FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on SECN+

Mississippi St. def. Georgia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Georgia 52.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:06 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Mississippi St. beat visiting Georgia 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Bernardita Aguilar led Mississippi St. with 13 kills; Georgia's Bianna Muoneke had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
UGA1920200
MISSST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.400 and 13 kills for Bernardita Aguilar as Mississippi St. rolled past Georgia.

Win probability never moved more than 4.4 points on one rally; Georgia topped out at 59% in Set 1. Georgia went in at 53% by RallyIQ.

GeorgiaMississippi St.
  • Break %+15.9 pts
    19.735.6

    On serve: 26/73 against 12/61 (Georgia sideout 64.4%).

  • Hitting+.095
    .254.349

    55 kills, 10 errors vs 43 kills, 13 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    35

    5 straight Mississippi St. points in the first set stretched a 20–19 lead to 25–19. That set ended 25–19.

Mississippi St. above 50Georgia belowMax swing 4.4%

GeorgiaMississippi St.

Aces
Georgia 0·Mississippi St. 1
Serve err
Georgia 6·Mississippi St. 6
Blocks
Georgia 2·Mississippi St. 30 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Georgia 54·Mississippi St. 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Mississippi St. above 50 · Georgia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.4% MISSSTrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Mississippi St. — set 1, UGA 19-22 MISSST. Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by McKenna Yates). MISSST win probability 57% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UGA 37.1%62.9% MISSST

Georgia wins

3-0
7.8%
3-1
13.4%
3-2
15.9%

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
18.8%
3-1
24.1%
3-2
20.0%
UGA break %
39.5% vs this opp
MISSST break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by McKenna Yates)

    Set 1 · UGA 19-22 MISSST · MISSST 57% → 62%

  2. 02
    Lindsey MangelsonAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson

    Set 1 · UGA 19-20 MISSST · UGA 42% → 46%

  3. 03
    Alex RichterAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Alex Richter

    Set 1 · UGA 16-19 MISSST · MISSST 55% → 59%

  4. 04

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 1 · UGA 19-21 MISSST · MISSST 54% → 57%

  5. 05

    Kill by Paloma Routaboul (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 1 · UGA 12-13 MISSST · MISSST 47% → 50%

  6. 06
    Tori HarperAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Tori Harper

    Set 1 · UGA 12-14 MISSST · MISSST 50% → 54%

  7. 07
    Alyssa WordenKill+3.4%

    Kill by Alyssa Worden (set by Kaiya Tyson)

    Set 1 · UGA 12-11 MISSST · UGA 52% → 56%

  8. 08
    Noella ObiKill+3.3%

    Kill by Noella Obi

    Set 1 · UGA 10-11 MISSST · MISSST 47% → 50%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
323357.35100010000023
311632.1560005102112
35215.200002100005
34110.300000000215
3013-.333100000000
3000–31021500000
3000–4021000000
3000–200300000
3000–100700000
1001.000100000000
1000–000300000
Team totals4313118.254400654104259
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312442.19000090010.512.5
310326.2690002010111
39012.750100100009
35011.455012200006
3508.625100301016
3102.5001800600001
313325.4000022000013
3001.0002400500000
3001.000000800000
3001.0008011900000
1000–00100010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5510129.349521657022375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 UGA · MISSST 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 UGAMISSST 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 UGAMISSST 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 UGAMISSST 3

Bars above the line = Mississippi St. leads, below = Georgia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Georgia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
0%0/5
2
67%6/9
14%1/7
3
60%6/10
0%0/6
4
45%5/11
33%3/9
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
80%4/5
17%1/6
All
65%32/49
18%7/40

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%6/6
17%1/6
2
86%6/7
25%2/8
3
86%6/7
33%3/9
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
100%5/5
62%8/13
6
80%4/5
20%1/5
All
83%33/40
35%17/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#UGA-MISSSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UGAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+1.8
21-1MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Alex Richter+1.8
31-2UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+1.8
42-2MISSSTUGAKillTori Harperset Chloe Elarton+1.8
52-3UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+1.9
63-3MISSSTUGAKillTori Harperset Chloe Elarton+1.9
73-4UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.9
84-4MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+1.9
94-5UGAMISSSTServe errGeorgia+2.0
105-5MISSSTUGAServe errMississippi St.+2.0
116-5UGAUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Rylan Miller+2.8
126-6UGAMISSSTServe errGeorgia+2.0
137-6MISSSTUGABlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kendal Kemp, Alyssa Worden+2.1
147-7UGAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+2.1
158-7MISSSTUGAKillKendal Kempset Chloe Elarton+2.1
169-7UGAUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Ana Julia Bleeker+3.0
179-8UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+2.0
1810-8MISSSTUGAKillTori Harperset Chloe Elarton+2.2
1910-9UGAMISSST×3KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+2.1
2010-10MISSSTMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+3.2
2110-11MISSSTMISSST×3KillNoella Obi+3.3
2211-11MISSSTUGAKillTori Harperset Chloe Elarton+2.3
2312-11UGAUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Kaiya Tyson+3.4
2412-12UGAMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.4
2512-13MISSSTMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+3.6
2612-14MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errTori Harper+3.6
2713-14MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+2.3
2813-15UGAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.6
2914-15MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+2.4
3014-16UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.8
3115-16MISSSTUGAAttack errBernardita Aguilar+2.5
3215-17UGAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+2.9
3316-17MISSSTUGAKillKendal Kempset Chloe Elarton+2.6
3416-18UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+3.1
3516-19MISSSTMISSSTAttack errAlex Richter+3.9
3617-19MISSSTUGAServe errMississippi St.+2.2
3717-20UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+2.9
3818-20MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+2.2
3919-20UGAUGAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+4.2
4019-21UGAMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+3.8
4119-22MISSSTMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+4.4
4219-23MISSSTMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+2.9
4319-24MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errAlyssa Worden+1.3
4419-25MISSSTMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+0.3
Set 2
10-1MISSSTMISSSTAttack errBianna Muoneke+2.6
21-1MISSSTUGAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+1.8
31-2UGAMISSSTServe errGeorgia+1.9
42-2MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Ana Julia Bleeker+1.9
52-3UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.9
62-4MISSSTMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Chloe Elarton+2.7
73-4MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.9
83-5UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.0
94-5MISSSTUGA×3KillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+1.9
105-5UGAUGA×3Attack errBernardita Aguilar+2.8
116-5UGAUGA×3KillKendal Kemp+2.9
126-6UGAMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.1
136-7MISSSTMISSST×3KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+3.0
146-8MISSSTMISSST×3KillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+3.0
157-8MISSSTUGAAttack errBernardita Aguilar+2.0
167-9UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.2
178-9MISSSTUGAServe errMississippi St.+2.1
188-10UGAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+2.3
199-10MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+2.1
209-11UGAMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+2.3
219-12MISSSTMISSST×3AceAva Andersonaced Alyssa Worden+3.1
229-13MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedTori Harperblk Noella Obi+2.8
2310-13MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.7
2410-14UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Erin Kline+2.0
2510-15MISSSTMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.4
2611-15MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.3
2712-15UGAUGAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+2.4
2812-16UGAMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+2.1
2913-16MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.7
3013-17UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.2
3114-17MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Ana Julia Bleeker+1.7
3214-18UGAMISSSTServe errGeorgia+2.2
3314-19MISSSTMISSSTAttack errAlyssa Worden+2.3
3415-19MISSSTUGABlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Kendal Kemp, Alyssa Worden+1.1
3515-20UGAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset McKenna Yates+1.6
3616-20MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.0
3716-21UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.5
3817-21MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+0.9
3917-22UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.4
4018-22MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+0.7
4118-23UGAMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.3
4219-23MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+0.5
4319-24UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.0
4420-24MISSSTUGAAttack errPaloma Routaboul+0.2
4520-25UGAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset McKenna Yates+0.5
Set 3
11-0UGAUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.8
21-1UGAMISSSTKillAva Andersonset Erin Kline+1.3
31-2MISSSTMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.9
42-2MISSSTUGAKillTori Harperset Chloe Elarton+1.3
52-3UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.4
62-4MISSSTMISSSTKillErin Klineset Noella Obi+1.9
73-4MISSSTUGAServe errMississippi St.+1.3
84-4UGAUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Emma Bryson+1.9
94-5UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.4
105-5MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.4
115-6UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.5
126-6MISSSTUGAKillKendal Kempset Chloe Elarton+1.4
136-7UGAMISSSTServe errGeorgia+1.5
147-7MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+1.5
157-8UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.5
167-9MISSSTMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+2.2
178-9MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.5
188-10UGAMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Erin Kline+1.6
199-10MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+1.5
2010-10UGAUGAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+2.3
2110-11UGAMISSSTBlockedKendal Kempblk Lindsey Mangelson, Cassidy Cage+1.7
2211-11MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.7
2311-12UGAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Erin Kline+1.8
2411-13MISSSTMISSSTAttack errAlyssa Worden+2.5
2512-13MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+1.6
2612-14UGAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.8
2712-15MISSSTMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.4
2813-15MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+1.5
2913-16UGAMISSSTBlockedAlyssa Wordenblk Paloma Routaboul+1.8
3013-17MISSSTMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+2.1
3114-17MISSSTUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Chloe Elarton+1.2
3215-17UGAUGAKillAlyssa Wordenset Kaiya Tyson+2.1
3315-18UGAMISSST×3Attack errAlyssa Worden+1.9
3415-19MISSST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
3515-20MISSSTMISSST×3KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+1.6
3616-20MISSSTUGAServe errMississippi St.+0.7
3716-21UGAMISSSTAttack errBianna Muoneke+1.1
3817-21MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Ana Julia Bleeker+0.6
3917-22UGAMISSSTServe errGeorgia+1.0
4018-22MISSSTUGAServe errMississippi St.+0.5
4119-22UGAUGAKillBianna Muoneke+1.2
4219-23UGAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.5
4320-23MISSSTUGAKillBianna Muonekeset Chloe Elarton+0.7
4420-24UGAMISSSTAttack errAlyssa Worden+1.3
4520-25MISSSTMISSSTKillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Georgia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).