CollegeVolleyball
FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026
TCU logo

AwayBIG-12

3:0
Purdue logo

HomeBIG-TEN

TCU def. Purdue 30

(25-22, 25-19, 25-23)
Set123Sets
TCU2525253
PURDUE2219230

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PURDUE above 50 · TCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100PURDUETCUBiggest swing +9.5% TCU · S3 25-23rally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.5% to TCU — set 3, TCU 25-23 PURDUE. Attack error by Taylor Anderson. PURDUE win probability 9%0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TCU 37.4%62.6% PURDUE

TCU wins

3-0
7.9%
3-1
13.5%
3-2
16.0%

Purdue wins

3-0
18.6%
3-1
23.9%
3-2
20.0%
TCU break %
39.5% vs this opp
PURDUE break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Taylor AndersonAttack error+9.5%

    Attack error by Taylor Anderson

    Set 3 · TCU 25-23 PURDUE · TCU 91%100%

  2. 02
    Evan HendrixAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Evan Hendrix

    Set 3 · TCU 23-23 PURDUE · PURDUE 9%16%

  3. 03
    Addy TindallAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Addy Tindall

    Set 2 · TCU 21-19 PURDUE · TCU 65%71%

  4. 04
    Grace HeaneyAttack error+6.2%

    Grace Heaney stuffed by De'Andrea McMillian

    Set 2 · TCU 20-19 PURDUE · TCU 59%65%

  5. 05
    Evan HendrixKill+6.2%

    Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 3 · TCU 24-23 PURDUE · TCU 84%91%

  6. 06
    Becca KelleyKill+6.0%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 3 · TCU 23-21 PURDUE · TCU 88%94%

  7. 07
    Dior CharlesAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Dior Charles

    Set 2 · TCU 19-19 PURDUE · TCU 53%59%

  8. 08
    TCU serverAce+5.3%

    TCU ace on Elle Schara

    Set 2 · TCU 22-19 PURDUE · TCU 71%76%

Official NCAA box

Box score

TCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318234.4710019104220
311741.09810010000011
35212.25000050132.57.5
32310-.100311300003
3000100002233
3103.3332301500001
37211.45501030010.58.5
30005001700000
30001000400000
2102.500000100001
2000000000000
Team totals4516113.2574323571310875
Purduehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313433.27300020010.513.5
38616.12500010111.59.5
37114.42910200031.58.5
36729-.034101800217
32110.100351090111.54.5
3000003810000
38231.194000200008
3001.000000410000
30004001000000
1000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals4421134.172411644228664

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 TCU · PURDUE 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 7 TCUPURDUE 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 8 TCUPURDUE 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 TCUPURDUE 4

Bars above the line = Purdue leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
33%3/9
2
73%8/11
50%8/16
3
41%7/17
22%2/9
4
70%7/10
30%3/10
5
55%6/11
57%8/14
6
63%5/8
67%10/15
All
62%41/66
47%34/73

Purdue

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
13%1/8
2
70%7/10
20%2/10
3
70%7/10
59%10/17
4
55%6/11
22%2/9
5
50%6/12
33%3/9
6
42%5/12
54%7/13
All
53%39/73
38%25/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#TCU-PURDUESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PURDUETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.7
21-1TCUPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+1.7
32-1PURDUETCUAttack errKate Hansen+1.8
42-2TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.7
52-3PURDUEPURDUEAttack errJalyn Gibson+2.5
63-3PURDUETCUKillKinsley Youngset Evan Hendrix+1.7
73-4TCUPURDUEAttack errEvan Hendrix+1.7
84-4PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.8
94-5TCUPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.8
105-5PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+1.8
116-5TCUTCUAttack errAddy Tindallblk Reese Robins, De'Andrea McMillian+2.8
126-6TCUPURDUEAttack errEvan Hendrix+1.9
136-7PURDUEPURDUEAcePURDUE serveraced Becca Kelley+2.8
147-7PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+1.9
157-8TCUPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.9
167-9PURDUEPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+2.7
178-9PURDUETCUServe errPURDUE server+1.8
188-10TCUPURDUEServe errTCU server+1.9
199-10PURDUETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.9
209-11TCUPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+2.0
2110-11PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.9
2211-11TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+3.1
2311-12TCUPURDUEKillTaylor Andersonset Taylor Anderson+2.2
2412-12PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.3
2512-13TCUPURDUEServe errTCU server+2.3
2613-13PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.4
2713-14TCUPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.4
2814-14PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+2.5
2914-15TCUPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.5
3015-15PURDUETCU×7KillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.6
3116-15TCUTCU×7Attack errGrace Heaneyblk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+4.1
3217-15TCUTCU×7Attack errDior Charlesblk Kinsley Young+4.1
3318-15TCUTCU×7AceTCU serveraced MaryKate Scheumann+3.9
3419-15TCUTCU×7KillBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+3.2
3520-15TCUTCU×7Attack errGrace Heaneyblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young+2.4
3621-15TCUTCU×7KillBecca Kelley+1.5
3721-16TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.5
3821-17PURDUEPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.2
3922-17PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.5
4022-18TCUPURDUE×4KillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.7
4122-19PURDUEPURDUE×4Attack errEvan Hendrixblk Kate Hansen, Taylor Anderson+1.8
4222-20PURDUEPURDUE×4KillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+2.9
4322-21PURDUEPURDUE×4KillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+4.6
4423-21PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+4.7
4524-21TCUTCUAttack errLameen Mambu+4.9
4624-22TCUPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+1.2
4725-22PURDUETCUKillLauren Murphyset Rosemary Archer+3.1
Set 2
11-0TCUTCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.9
22-0TCUTCUAttack errLameen Mambu+3.0
32-1TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.9
43-1PURDUETCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.1
54-1TCUTCUAttack errGrace Heaneyblk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley+3.0
64-2TCUPURDUEAttack errBecca Kelleyblk Grace Heaney, Kate Hansen+1.9
75-2PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+2.1
85-3TCUPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+1.9
95-4PURDUEPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+3.0
106-4PURDUETCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.3
116-5TCUPURDUEServe errTCU server+2.1
127-5PURDUETCUServe errPURDUE server+2.3
137-6TCUPURDUE×5KillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.1
147-7PURDUEPURDUE×5Attack errEvan Hendrix+3.3
157-8PURDUEPURDUE×5Attack errJalyn Gibson+3.3
167-9PURDUEPURDUE×5KillAddy Tindallset Ryan McAleer+3.2
177-10PURDUEPURDUE×5KillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+2.9
188-10PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset De'Andrea McMillian+1.9
198-11TCUPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.0
209-11PURDUETCUServe errPURDUE server+1.9
2110-11TCUTCUAttack errGrace Heaneyblk De'Andrea McMillian, Becca Kelley+3.2
2210-12TCUPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.4
2311-12PURDUETCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.3
2411-13TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+2.5
2511-14PURDUEPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Ryan McAleer+3.3
2612-14PURDUETCUKillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+2.0
2712-15TCUPURDUEKillTaylor Andersonset Ryan McAleer+2.3
2813-15PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.0
2913-16TCUPURDUE×3KillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+2.4
3013-17PURDUEPURDUE×3KillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+2.9
3113-18PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errKinsley Youngblk Dior Charles+2.1
3214-18PURDUETCU×4Serve errPURDUE server+1.0
3315-18TCUTCU×4Attack errDior Charles+2.2
3416-18TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.1
3517-18TCUTCU×4KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+4.1
3617-19TCUPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+3.3
3718-19PURDUETCU×8KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.0
3819-19TCUTCU×8Attack errDior Charles+5.4
3920-19TCUTCU×8Attack errGrace Heaneyblk De'Andrea McMillian+6.2
4021-19TCUTCU×8Attack errAddy Tindall+6.3
4122-19TCUTCU×8AceTCU serveraced Elle Schara+5.3
4223-19TCUTCU×8KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.5
4324-19TCUTCU×8KillEvan Hendrixset Jalyn Gibson+1.6
4425-19TCUTCU×8KillRosemary Archerset Alice Volpe+0.4
Set 3
11-0PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
21-1TCUPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.5
32-1PURDUETCUAttack errDior Charles+1.6
42-2TCUPURDUE×4KillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.5
52-3PURDUEPURDUE×4Attack errEvan Hendrix+2.2
62-4PURDUEPURDUE×4Attack errKinsley Young+2.2
72-5PURDUEPURDUE×4Attack errEvan Hendrix+2.0
83-5PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.3
94-5TCUTCUKillReese Robinsset Alice Volpe+2.1
104-6TCUPURDUEAttack errBecca Kelleyblk Grace Heaney, Dior Charles+1.5
114-7PURDUEPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.1
125-7PURDUETCU×3Serve errPURDUE server+1.4
136-7TCUTCU×3Attack errDior Charles+2.2
147-7TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Reese Wilburn+2.5
157-8TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.7
168-8PURDUETCU×3KillReese Robinsset Reese Wilburn+1.8
179-8TCUTCU×3Attack errGrace Heaney+2.7
1810-8TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+2.8
1910-9TCUPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+1.8
2010-10PURDUEPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Grace Heaney+2.8
2111-10PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.0
2211-11TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+2.0
2312-11PURDUETCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.1
2412-12TCUPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+2.0
2513-12PURDUETCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+2.2
2614-12TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Alice Volpe+3.2
2714-13TCUPURDUE×3KillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+2.0
2814-14PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errReese Robins+3.2
2914-15PURDUEPURDUE×3KillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+3.3
3015-15PURDUETCUAttack errGrace Heaney+2.3
3115-16TCUPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Ryan McAleer+2.4
3216-16PURDUETCU×4KillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+2.4
3317-16TCUTCU×4Attack errLameen Mambu+3.9
3418-16TCUTCU×4Serve errTCU server+3.9
3519-16TCUTCU×4Attack errDior Charlesblk De'Andrea McMillian+3.6
3619-17TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.9
3719-18PURDUEPURDUEAttack errReese Robinsblk Kate Hansen, Lameen Mambu+3.6
3820-18PURDUETCUAttack errLameen Mambu+3.1
3920-19TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+2.6
4020-20PURDUEPURDUEAttack errJalyn Gibsonblk Taylor Anderson+4.7
4121-20PURDUETCUServe errPURDUE server+3.7
4221-21TCUPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+3.5
4322-21PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+4.2
4423-21TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+6.0
4523-22TCUPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Kate Hansen+2.9
4623-23PURDUEPURDUEAttack errEvan Hendrix+6.8
4724-23PURDUETCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+6.2
4825-23TCUTCUAttack errTaylor Anderson+9.5

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.