TCU def. Purdue 3–0
(25-22, 25-19, 25-23)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| PURDUE | 22 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.5% to TCU — set 3, TCU 25-23 PURDUE. Attack error by Taylor Anderson. PURDUE win probability 9% → 0%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
TCU wins
Purdue wins
- TCU break %
- 39.5% vs this opp
- PURDUE break %
- 42.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Taylor AndersonAttack error+9.5%
Attack error by Taylor Anderson
Set 3 · TCU 25-23 PURDUE · TCU 91% → 100%
- 02
- 03
- 04Grace HeaneyAttack error+6.2%
Grace Heaney stuffed by De'Andrea McMillian
Set 2 · TCU 20-19 PURDUE · TCU 59% → 65%
- 05Evan HendrixKill+6.2%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 3 · TCU 24-23 PURDUE · TCU 84% → 91%
- 06Becca KelleyKill+6.0%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 3 · TCU 23-21 PURDUE · TCU 88% → 94%
- 07
- 08TCU serverAce+5.3%
TCU ace on Elle Schara
Set 2 · TCU 22-19 PURDUE · TCU 71% → 76%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 18 | 2 | 34 | .471 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 41 | .098 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -.100 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 16 | 113 | .257 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 57 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 4 | 33 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 14 | .429 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 29 | -.034 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .100 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 31 | .194 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 21 | 134 | .172 | 41 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 64 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
25-23
Bars above the line = Purdue leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
TCU
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89%8/9 | 33%3/9 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 50%8/16 |
| 3 | 41%7/17 | 22%2/9 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 57%8/14 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 62%41/66 | 47%34/73 |
Purdue
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%8/18 | 13%1/8 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 20%2/10 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 59%10/17 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 22%2/9 |
| 5 | 50%6/12 | 33%3/9 |
| 6 | 42%5/12 | 54%7/13 |
| All | 53%39/73 | 38%25/66 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
139 rallies
Rally log
| # | TCU-PURDUE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Rosemary Archer | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | PURDUE | TCU | Attack err | Kate Hansen | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Evan Hendrix | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | TCU | PURDUE | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Taylor Anderson | +1.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Alice Volpe | +1.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Addy Tindall | blk Reese Robins, De'Andrea McMillian | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | TCU | PURDUE | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Ace | PURDUE server | aced Becca Kelley | +2.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Reese Wilburn | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Taylor Anderson | +1.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Kill | Grace Heaney | set Taylor Anderson | +2.7 |
| 17 | 8-9 | PURDUE | TCU | Serve err | PURDUE server | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | TCU | PURDUE | Serve err | TCU server | +1.9 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Rosemary Archer | +1.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Grace Heaney | set Taylor Anderson | +2.0 |
| 21 | 10-11 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.9 |
| 22 | 11-11 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +3.1 |
| 23 | 11-12 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Taylor Anderson | set Taylor Anderson | +2.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +2.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | TCU | PURDUE | Serve err | TCU server | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +2.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.4 |
| 28 | 14-14 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Reese Wilburn | +2.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | PURDUE | TCU×7 | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +2.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | TCU | TCU×7 | Attack err | Grace Heaney | blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley | +4.1 |
| 32 | 17-15 | TCU | TCU×7 | Attack err | Dior Charles | blk Kinsley Young | +4.1 |
| 33 | 18-15 | TCU | TCU×7 | Ace | TCU server | aced MaryKate Scheumann | +3.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | TCU | TCU×7 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Jalyn Gibson | +3.2 |
| 35 | 20-15 | TCU | TCU×7 | Attack err | Grace Heaney | blk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young | +2.4 |
| 36 | 21-15 | TCU | TCU×7 | Kill | Becca Kelley | +1.5 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +0.5 |
| 38 | 21-17 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +1.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.5 |
| 40 | 22-18 | TCU | PURDUE×4 | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +0.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | PURDUE | PURDUE×4 | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | blk Kate Hansen, Taylor Anderson | +1.8 |
| 42 | 22-20 | PURDUE | PURDUE×4 | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +2.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | PURDUE | PURDUE×4 | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +4.6 |
| 44 | 23-21 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +4.7 |
| 45 | 24-21 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Lameen Mambu | +4.9 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +1.2 |
| 47 | 25-22 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Lauren Murphy | set Rosemary Archer | +3.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +2.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Lameen Mambu | +3.0 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +1.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +2.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Grace Heaney | blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley | +3.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | TCU | PURDUE | Attack err | Becca Kelley | blk Grace Heaney, Kate Hansen | +1.9 |
| 7 | 5-2 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Alice Volpe | +2.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +1.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +3.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +2.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TCU | PURDUE | Serve err | TCU server | +2.1 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | PURDUE | TCU | Serve err | PURDUE server | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | TCU | PURDUE×5 | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | PURDUE | PURDUE×5 | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +3.3 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | PURDUE | PURDUE×5 | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | +3.3 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | PURDUE | PURDUE×5 | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Ryan McAleer | +3.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | PURDUE | PURDUE×5 | Kill | Grace Heaney | set Taylor Anderson | +2.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set De'Andrea McMillian | +1.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | PURDUE | TCU | Serve err | PURDUE server | +1.9 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Grace Heaney | blk De'Andrea McMillian, Becca Kelley | +3.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +2.3 |
| 24 | 11-13 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +2.5 |
| 25 | 11-14 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Ryan McAleer | +3.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +2.0 |
| 27 | 12-15 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Taylor Anderson | set Ryan McAleer | +2.3 |
| 28 | 13-15 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +2.0 |
| 29 | 13-16 | TCU | PURDUE×3 | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +2.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | PURDUE | PURDUE×3 | Kill | Grace Heaney | set Taylor Anderson | +2.9 |
| 31 | 13-18 | PURDUE | PURDUE×3 | Attack err | Kinsley Young | blk Dior Charles | +2.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | PURDUE | TCU×4 | Serve err | PURDUE server | +1.0 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | TCU | TCU×4 | Attack err | Dior Charles | +2.2 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | TCU | TCU×4 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +3.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | TCU | TCU×4 | Kill | Jalyn Gibson | set Rosemary Archer | +4.1 |
| 36 | 17-19 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Taylor Anderson | +3.3 |
| 37 | 18-19 | PURDUE | TCU×8 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +3.0 |
| 38 | 19-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Attack err | Dior Charles | +5.4 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Attack err | Grace Heaney | blk De'Andrea McMillian | +6.2 |
| 40 | 21-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Attack err | Addy Tindall | +6.3 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Ace | TCU server | aced Elle Schara | +5.3 |
| 42 | 23-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +3.5 |
| 43 | 24-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Jalyn Gibson | +1.6 |
| 44 | 25-19 | TCU | TCU×8 | Kill | Rosemary Archer | set Alice Volpe | +0.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Taylor Anderson | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | PURDUE | TCU | Attack err | Dior Charles | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | TCU | PURDUE×4 | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Taylor Anderson | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PURDUE | PURDUE×4 | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | PURDUE | PURDUE×4 | Attack err | Kinsley Young | +2.2 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | PURDUE | PURDUE×4 | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +2.0 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +1.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Reese Robins | set Alice Volpe | +2.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | TCU | PURDUE | Attack err | Becca Kelley | blk Grace Heaney, Dior Charles | +1.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PURDUE | TCU×3 | Serve err | PURDUE server | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Dior Charles | +2.2 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Reese Wilburn | +2.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +1.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | PURDUE | TCU×3 | Kill | Reese Robins | set Reese Wilburn | +1.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | TCU | TCU×3 | Attack err | Grace Heaney | +2.7 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | TCU | TCU×3 | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Jalyn Gibson | +2.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Kate Hansen | set Taylor Anderson | +1.8 |
| 20 | 10-10 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Grace Heaney | +2.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +2.0 |
| 22 | 11-11 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +2.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +2.1 |
| 24 | 12-12 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Taylor Anderson | +2.0 |
| 25 | 13-12 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Rosemary Archer | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Alice Volpe | +3.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | TCU | PURDUE×3 | Kill | Dior Charles | set Taylor Anderson | +2.0 |
| 28 | 14-14 | PURDUE | PURDUE×3 | Attack err | Reese Robins | +3.2 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | PURDUE | PURDUE×3 | Kill | Grace Heaney | set Taylor Anderson | +3.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | PURDUE | TCU | Attack err | Grace Heaney | +2.3 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Grace Heaney | set Ryan McAleer | +2.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | PURDUE | TCU×4 | Kill | Kinsley Young | set Reese Wilburn | +2.4 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TCU | TCU×4 | Attack err | Lameen Mambu | +3.9 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | TCU | TCU×4 | Serve err | TCU server | +3.9 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | TCU | TCU×4 | Attack err | Dior Charles | blk De'Andrea McMillian | +3.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +1.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Attack err | Reese Robins | blk Kate Hansen, Lameen Mambu | +3.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | PURDUE | TCU | Attack err | Lameen Mambu | +3.1 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +2.6 |
| 40 | 20-20 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Attack err | Jalyn Gibson | blk Taylor Anderson | +4.7 |
| 41 | 21-20 | PURDUE | TCU | Serve err | PURDUE server | +3.7 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Lameen Mambu | set Taylor Anderson | +3.5 |
| 43 | 22-21 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +4.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | TCU | TCU | Kill | Becca Kelley | set Rosemary Archer | +6.0 |
| 45 | 23-22 | TCU | PURDUE | Kill | Addy Tindall | set Kate Hansen | +2.9 |
| 46 | 23-23 | PURDUE | PURDUE | Attack err | Evan Hendrix | +6.8 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | PURDUE | TCU | Kill | Evan Hendrix | set Rosemary Archer | +6.2 |
| 48 | 25-23 | TCU | TCU | Attack err | Taylor Anderson | +9.5 | |
Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.