FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayBIG-12

0:3

HomeSEC

Kentucky def. Houston 3–0

(25-13, 25-19, 25-23)

Set	1	2*	3*	Sets
HOU	13	19	23	0
UK	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UK above 50 · HOU below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Kentucky — set 3, HOU 23-23 UK. Kentucky ace on Gillian Pitts. UK win probability 99% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HOU 0.7%99.3% UK

Houston wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.5%

Kentucky wins

3-0

76.6%

3-1

19.5%

3-2

3.1%

HOU break %: 31.3% vs this opp
UK break %: 49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UK serverAce+0.3%
Kentucky ace on Gillian Pitts
Set 3 · HOU 23-23 UK · UK 99% → 100%
02
Brooklyn DeLeyeAttack error+0.3%
Brooklyn DeLeye stuffed by Tara Greenberry & Kamille Gibson
Set 3 · HOU 23-20 UK · HOU 1% → 1%
03
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.3%
Point Kentucky (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · HOU 23-24 UK · UK 100% → 100%
04
Sydney JonesKill+0.3%
Kill by Sydney Jones
Set 3 · HOU 22-20 UK · HOU 0% → 1%
05
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.2%
Point Kentucky (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · HOU 23-22 UK · UK 99% → 99%
06
HOU serverAce+0.2%
Houston ace on Brooklyn DeLeye
Set 3 · HOU 21-20 UK · HOU 0% → 0%
07
HOU serverAce+0.2%
Houston ace on Team
Set 2 · HOU 5-1 UK · HOU 1% → 1%
08
Kamille GibsonAttack error+0.2%
Kamille Gibson stuffed by Morgan Gaerte & Lizzie Carr
Set 3 · HOU 23-25 UK · UK 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Houstonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Sydney JonesOH	3	8	3	18	.278	1	1	3	6	2	0	0	0	9
34Tara GreenberryOH	3	6	3	11	.273	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
21Noemi DespaigneOH	3	7	5	23	.087	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
4Kamille GibsonOH	3	4	7	23	-.130	1	1	2	3	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
6Kalei EdsonS	3	2	2	7	.000	22	1	1	3	0	0	2	1	4
3Alexis RobersonMB	3	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
15Cali ReeceL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Lily BarronOH	2	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
24Gillian PittsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
19Mattie CasaleDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	22	86	.070	26	5	10	25	8	1	12	7	55

Kentuckyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Morgan GaerteOH	3	9	4	21	.238	0	0	1	4	0	0	5	2.5	11.5
15Lizzie CarrMB	3	8	1	11	.636	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	10.5
17Brooklyn DeLeyeOH	3	4	3	16	.063	0	3	2	1	1	2	1	2.5	9.5
10Kennedy WashingtonMB	3	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
6Kassie O'BrienS	3	0	0	1	.000	27	2	1	7	0	0	2	1	3
1Trinity WardL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
20Asia ThigpenOH	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	2	1	1	0	2	1	8
12Molly TuozzoL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	4	3	1	9	1	0	0	0	3
27Brynn CovellS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Caroline PrihodaS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Bryah BreauxOPP	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Georgia WatsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Sidney BurleyDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	13	73	.274	31	8	8	30	5	2	20	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 HOU · UK 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 HOUUK 8

Set 2*

19-25

Longest run 3 HOUUK 4

Set 3*

23-25

Longest run 4 HOUUK 5

Bars above the line = Kentucky leads, below = Houston leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Houston

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	0%0/2
2	67%2/3	0%0/2
3	20%2/10	50%2/4
4	67%2/3	0%0/2
5	25%1/4	33%1/3
6	100%1/1	0%0/1
All	42%10/24	21%3/14

Kentucky

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%2/2	0%0/1
2	100%2/2	33%1/3
3	50%2/4	33%1/3
4	100%2/2	80%8/10
5	67%2/3	33%1/3
6	100%1/1	75%3/4
All	79%11/14	58%14/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	HOU-UK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	HOU	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
2	0-2	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Sydney Jones	+0.1
3	1-2	UK	HOU	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
4	1-3	HOU	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
5	2-3	UK	HOU	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
6	2-4	HOU	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
7	2-5	UK	UK	Ace	UK server	aced Lily Barron	+0.1
8	3-5	UK	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
9	3-6	HOU	UK	Attack err	Kamille Gibson	blk Kennedy Washington, Asia Thigpen	+0.1
10	3-7	UK	UK	Attack err	Noemi Despaigne	blk Asia Thigpen, Kennedy Washington	+0.1
11	4-7	UK	HOU	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
12	4-8	HOU	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
13	4-9	UK	UK×3	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
14	4-10	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.0
15	5-10	UK	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
16	5-11	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.0
17	6-11	UK	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
18	6-12	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.0
19	7-12	UK	HOU	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
20	7-13	HOU	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
21	7-14	UK	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
22	8-14	UK	HOU×3	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
23	9-14	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Lily Barron	+0.0
24	10-14	HOU	HOU×3	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte		+0.0
25	10-15	HOU	UK×8	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
26	10-16	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Noemi Despaigne	blk Kennedy Washington, Morgan Gaerte	+0.0
27	10-17	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.0
28	10-18	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Kalei Edson		+0.0
29	10-19	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.0
30	10-20	UK	UK×8	Ace	UK server	aced Noemi Despaigne	+0.0
31	10-21	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.0
32	10-22	UK	UK×8	Attack err	Alexis Roberson		+0.0
33	11-22	UK	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
34	11-23	HOU	UK	Attack err	Noemi Despaigne	blk Morgan Gaerte, Kennedy Washington	+0.0
35	12-23	UK	HOU	Attack err	Asia Thigpen	blk Kalei Edson, Alexis Roberson	+0.0
36	13-23	HOU	HOU	Serve err	HOU server		+0.0
37	13-24	HOU	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
38	13-25	UK	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UK	HOU	Attack err	Lizzie Carr	blk Tara Greenberry	+0.1
2	2-0	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte	blk Tara Greenberry, Kamille Gibson	+0.1
3	2-1	HOU	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
4	3-1	UK	HOU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
5	4-1	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
6	5-1	HOU	HOU×3	Ace	HOU server	aced Team	+0.2
7	5-2	HOU	UK×4	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
8	5-3	UK	UK×4	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
9	5-4	UK	UK×4	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
10	5-5	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Sydney Jones		+0.1
11	6-5	UK	HOU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
12	6-6	HOU	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
13	7-6	UK	HOU	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.1
14	7-7	HOU	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
15	7-8	UK	UK	Attack err	Alexis Roberson		+0.1
16	8-8	UK	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
17	8-9	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.1
18	8-10	UK	UK	Attack err	Sydney Jones	blk Kassie O'Brien, Lizzie Carr	+0.1
19	9-10	UK	HOU	Kill	Kalei Edson		+0.1
20	9-11	HOU	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
21	9-12	UK	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
22	10-12	UK	HOU	Kill	Tara Greenberry		+0.0
23	10-13	HOU	UK×4	Attack err	Tara Greenberry		+0.0
24	10-14	UK	UK×4	Ace	UK server	aced Noemi Despaigne	+0.1
25	10-15	UK	UK×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
26	10-16	UK	UK×4	Kill	Lizzie Carr		+0.0
27	11-16	UK	HOU	Attack err	Lizzie Carr		+0.0
28	11-17	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.0
29	12-17	UK	HOU×3	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
30	13-17	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
31	14-17	HOU	HOU×3	Attack err	Asia Thigpen	blk Alexis Roberson, Kalei Edson	+0.0
32	14-18	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.0
33	14-19	UK	UK	Bad set	Sydney Jones		+0.0
34	15-19	UK	HOU	Kill	Alexis Roberson	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
35	15-20	HOU	UK	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
36	16-20	UK	HOU	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
37	17-20	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Kennedy Washington		+0.0
38	17-21	HOU	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
39	17-22	UK	UK	Attack err	Noemi Despaigne		+0.0
40	18-22	UK	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
41	18-23	HOU	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
42	18-24	UK	UK	Attack err	Tara Greenberry		+0.0
43	19-24	UK	HOU	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
44	19-25	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	HOU	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
2	0-2	UK	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
3	1-2	UK	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
4	1-3	HOU	UK	Kill	Morgan Gaerte	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
5	2-3	UK	HOU	Serve err	UK server		+0.0
6	3-3	HOU	HOU	Ace	HOU server	aced Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
7	3-4	HOU	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
8	4-4	UK	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
9	4-5	HOU	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
10	5-5	UK	HOU	Kill	Kalei Edson	set Kamille Gibson	+0.0
11	6-5	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Asia Thigpen		+0.1
12	6-6	HOU	UK×3	Kill	Asia Thigpen	set Molly Tuozzo	+0.0
13	6-7	UK	UK×3	Attack err	Sydney Jones	blk Kennedy Washington, Kassie O'Brien	+0.0
14	6-8	UK	UK×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
15	7-8	UK	HOU×3	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Gillian Pitts	+0.0
16	8-8	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Tara Greenberry		+0.0
17	9-8	HOU	HOU×3	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye		+0.1
18	9-9	HOU	UK	Bad set	Kalei Edson		+0.0
19	9-10	UK	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
20	10-10	UK	HOU	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
21	11-10	HOU	HOU	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
22	11-11	HOU	UK	Kill	Lizzie Carr		+0.0
23	12-11	UK	HOU×3	Bad set	Kassie O'Brien		+0.1
24	13-11	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Sydney Jones	+0.1
25	14-11	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Noemi Despaigne		+0.1
26	14-12	HOU	UK×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
27	14-13	UK	UK×4	Attack err	Tara Greenberry	blk Lizzie Carr, Morgan Gaerte	+0.1
28	14-14	UK	UK×4	Ace	UK server	aced Gillian Pitts	+0.1
29	14-15	UK	UK×4	Ace	UK server	aced Sydney Jones	+0.1
30	15-15	UK	HOU	Attack err	Molly Tuozzo	blk Tara Greenberry, Kamille Gibson	+0.1
31	15-16	HOU	UK	Serve err	HOU server		+0.1
32	15-17	UK	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
33	16-17	UK	HOU	Attack err	Morgan Gaerte	blk Noemi Despaigne, Alexis Roberson	+0.0
34	16-18	HOU	UK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
35	17-18	UK	HOU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
36	18-18	HOU	HOU	Serve err	HOU server		+0.1
37	18-19	HOU	UK	Kill	Kennedy Washington		+0.1
38	19-19	UK	HOU	Attack err	Kennedy Washington		+0.1
39	19-20	HOU	UK	Kill	Brooklyn DeLeye	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
40	20-20	UK	HOU×4	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
41	21-20	HOU	HOU×4	Ace	HOU server	aced Brooklyn DeLeye	+0.2
42	22-20	HOU	HOU×4	Kill	Sydney Jones		+0.3
43	23-20	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Brooklyn DeLeye	blk Tara Greenberry, Kamille Gibson	+0.3
44	23-21	HOU	UK×5	Kill	Lizzie Carr	set Kassie O'Brien	+0.1
45	23-22	UK	UK×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
46	23-23	UK	UK×5	Ace	UK server	aced Gillian Pitts	+0.3
47	23-24	UK	UK×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
48	23-25	UK	UK×5	Attack err	Kamille Gibson	blk Morgan Gaerte, Lizzie Carr	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Houston first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.