FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026 · Neutral site

Green Bay def. Navy 3–0

Green Bay beat Navy 3-0 (25-17, 25-21, 25-20) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026 at a neutral site. Green Bay's Gillian Koning led with 11 kills, and Kennedy Schmitz added 9 digs.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set123Sets
GRNBAY2525253
NAVY1721200

Win probability

Navy above 50 · Green Bay below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.6% GRNBAYrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Green Bay — set 2, GRNBAY 22-21 NAVY. Attack error by Ellen Gundlach. NAVY win probability 13% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GRNBAY 79.8%20.2% NAVY

Green Bay wins

3-0
31.3%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.3%

Navy wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.7%
3-2
10.2%
GRNBAY break %
46.9% vs this opp
NAVY break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ellen GundlachAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Ellen Gundlach

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 22-21 NAVY · GRNBAY 87% → 90%

  2. 02

    Kill by Hailey Jacobus (set by Amara Chambers)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-21 NAVY · NAVY 15% → 19%

  3. 03

    Kill by Gillian Koning (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 21-21 NAVY · GRNBAY 83% → 87%

  4. 04
    Hailey JacobusAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Hailey Jacobus

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 23-21 NAVY · GRNBAY 90% → 93%

  5. 05
    Ellen GundlachAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Ellen Gundlach

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 18-18 NAVY · GRNBAY 85% → 87%

  6. 06
    Siena MorganKill+2.5%

    Kill by Siena Morgan (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 15-17 NAVY · NAVY 14% → 17%

  7. 07
    Siena MorganKill+2.5%

    Kill by Siena Morgan (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-20 NAVY · NAVY 13% → 15%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ellen Gundlach (set by Isa Boyd)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 18-19 NAVY · NAVY 13% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311126.3850103002113
310024.4171122002112
37214.357003620218
35210.300000101438
3407.5713433400007
3001.000211910001
36112.417000000217
3000–200400000
3000–000000000
3000–300730000
Team totals43694.3944269366112775
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39425.20000000010.59.5
38523.13001163010.59.5
36010.60000000010.56.5
33312.000001520003
3000–1410900001
2125-.200011101013
3000–7011110000
25312.167000000005
2000–922400002
2000–000000000
1305.600110200004
11011.000400000001
1000–001000211
1014-.25000000010.50.5
1000–001200000
Team totals361897.186356840616458

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 GRNBAY · NAVY 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 GRNBAYNAVY 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 GRNBAYNAVY 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 GRNBAYNAVY 3

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Green Bay leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
33%3/9
2
67%8/12
38%5/13
3
58%7/12
59%10/17
4
67%6/9
54%7/13
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
83%5/6
58%7/12
All
67%40/60
48%35/73

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
30%3/10
2
57%8/14
33%4/12
3
38%6/16
33%4/12
4
60%6/10
45%5/11
5
38%5/13
0%0/6
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
52%38/73
33%20/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#GRNBAY-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NAVYGRNBAY×3Attack errFarrah Eike+1.2
22-0GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errHailey Jacobus+1.5
33-0GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bayaced Hailey Jacobus+1.4
43-1GRNBAYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.0
53-2NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Kayla Birmingham+1.6
63-3NAVYNAVY×3Attack errOlivia Neumann+1.8
74-3NAVYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
84-4GRNBAYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.4
95-4NAVYGRNBAY×4BlockedHailey Jacobusblk Olivia Neumann, Gillian Koning+1.4
106-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
117-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedAvery Madduxblk Olivia Neumann+1.5
128-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGreen Bayaced Farrah Eike+1.3
138-5GRNBAYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.9
148-6NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Macy Kline+1.5
159-6NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+1.2
169-7GRNBAYNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+1.2
1710-7NAVYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Macy Kline+1.2
1811-7GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Hailey Jacobus+1.4
1911-8GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+1.0
2011-9NAVYNAVYKillMackenzie Palumboset Kinamoni Jerome+1.6
2112-9NAVYGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Alexis Gardner+1.3
2212-10GRNBAYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.3
2313-10NAVYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
2413-11GRNBAYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.3
2514-11NAVYGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
2615-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGreen Bayaced Farrah Eike+1.5
2716-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
2817-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGreen Bayaced Farrah Eike+0.8
2917-12GRNBAYNAVY×4Serve errGreen Bay+0.5
3017-13NAVYNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.9
3117-14NAVYNAVY×4BlockedOlivia Neumannblk Avery Maddux+1.3
3217-15NAVYNAVY×4KillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.8
3318-15NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+1.7
3419-15GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.7
3519-16GRNBAYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+1.0
3620-16NAVYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
3721-16GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
3821-17GRNBAYNAVYKillMackenzie Palumboset Kinamoni Jerome+0.5
3922-17NAVYGRNBAY×4KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
4023-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errMackenzie Palumbo+0.5
4124-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.2
4225-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedMackenzie Palumboblk Diane Pichelman, Kayla Birmingham·
Set 2
11-0GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errEllen Gundlach+1.2
21-1GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+1.0
31-2NAVYNAVYBlockedGillian Koningblk Siena Morgan, Ellen Gundlach+1.4
42-2NAVYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
53-2GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
63-3GRNBAYNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+1.1
74-3NAVYGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+1.0
84-4GRNBAYNAVY×3Serve errGreen Bay+1.1
94-5NAVYNAVY×3Attack errKayla Birmingham+1.5
104-6NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Macy Kline+1.6
115-6NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+1.2
126-6GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errFarrah Eike+1.5
136-7GRNBAYNAVYKillMackenzie Palumboset Kinamoni Jerome+1.3
147-7NAVYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
158-7GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errAvery Maddux+1.5
168-8GRNBAYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+1.2
178-9NAVYNAVY×3AceNavyaced Kayla Birmingham+1.7
188-10NAVYNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.9
199-10NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+1.3
209-11GRNBAYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+1.5
2110-11NAVYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
2210-12GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+1.6
2311-12NAVYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+1.4
2411-13GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+1.6
2512-13NAVYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
2612-14GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+1.7
2713-14NAVYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
2814-14GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errMackenzie Palumbo+2.0
2914-15GRNBAYNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+1.8
3015-15NAVYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
3115-16GRNBAYNAVYKillMackenzie Palumboset Amara Chambers+1.9
3215-17NAVYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+2.5
3316-17NAVYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
3416-18GRNBAYNAVYKillMackenzie Palumboset Amara Chambers+2.1
3517-18NAVYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
3618-18GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errEllen Gundlach+2.6
3718-19GRNBAYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+2.3
3819-19NAVYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
3919-20GRNBAYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.5
4019-21NAVYNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Amara Chambers+3.4
4120-21NAVYGRNBAY×6KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
4221-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+3.4
4322-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errEllen Gundlach+3.6
4423-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errHailey Jacobus+3.2
4524-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×6AceGreen Bayaced Amara Chambers+2.1
4625-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
Set 3
10-1NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Macy Kline+0.7
21-1NAVYGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Diane Pichelman+0.5
31-2GRNBAYNAVYBad setKennedy Schmitz+0.6
42-2NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+0.5
52-3GRNBAYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.6
63-3NAVYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+0.6
73-4GRNBAYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.6
84-4NAVYGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
94-5GRNBAYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.6
105-5NAVYGRNBAY×4Serve errNavy+0.6
116-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
127-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
138-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedIzzy Picardblk Kayla Birmingham, Diane Pichelman+0.6
148-6GRNBAYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.5
159-6NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+0.5
169-7GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+0.5
179-8NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+0.7
1810-8NAVYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
1911-8GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
2011-9GRNBAYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.5
2111-10NAVYNAVYAceNavyaced Kennedy Schmitz+0.8
2212-10NAVYGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+0.6
2312-11GRNBAYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+0.6
2413-11NAVYGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
2513-12GRNBAYNAVY×3KillEllen Gundlachset Isa Boyd+0.7
2613-13NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKirsten Fishblk Grace Burgoyne, Farrah Eike+1.0
2713-14NAVYNAVY×3KillCaroline Adamsset Caroline Buffum+1.1
2814-14NAVYGRNBAYBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+0.8
2915-14GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexis Gardner+1.1
3015-15GRNBAYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Caroline Adams+0.9
3116-15NAVYGRNBAYServe errNavy+0.8
3216-16GRNBAYNAVYBlockedKayla Birminghamblk Grace Burgoyne, Izzy Picard+0.9
3317-16NAVYGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3418-16GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
3518-17GRNBAYNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Caroline Adams+0.8
3618-18NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Amara Chambers+1.3
3719-18NAVYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
3820-18GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koning+1.2
3920-19GRNBAYNAVYServe errGreen Bay+0.9
4021-19NAVYGRNBAY×3KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
4122-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
4223-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
4323-20GRNBAYNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.3
4424-20NAVYGRNBAYBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Olivia Neumann, Gillian Koning+0.4
4525-20GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Green Bay first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).