FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on BTN

Purdue def. Southern California 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Purdue 77.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 7:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Purdue beat visiting Southern California 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Purdue's Lameen Mambu led with 13 kills, and Ryan McAleer added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
USC2017200
PURDUE2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No doubt about it: No. 16 Purdue over Southern California.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. Southern California peaked at 28% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Purdue went in as RallyIQ's 77% pick.

Southern CaliforniaPurdue
  • Break %+17.0 pts
    27.644.6

    On serve: 33/74 against 16/58 (Southern California sideout 55.4%).

  • Hitting+.226
    .147.373

    Kills and errors: 48–10 vs 36–20.

Purdue above 50Southern California belowMax swing 3.2%

Southern CaliforniaPurdue

Aces
Southern California 1·Purdue 1
Serve err
Southern California 5·Purdue 10
Blocks
Southern California 4·Purdue 100 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Southern California 36·Purdue 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Purdue above 50 · Southern California below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.2% USCrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Southern California — set 1, USC 16-16 PURDUE. Lameen Mambu stuffed by Milly McGee & Leah Ford. PURDUE win probability 79% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 15.4%84.6% PURDUE

Southern California wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-2
8.1%

Purdue wins

3-0
36.6%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.7%
USC break %
35.2% vs this opp
PURDUE break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Lameen Mambu stuffed by Milly McGee & Leah Ford

    Set 1 · USC 16-16 PURDUE · USC 21% → 24%

  2. 02
    Lameen MambuKill+3.1%

    Kill by Lameen Mambu (set by Taylor Anderson)

    Set 1 · USC 16-18 PURDUE · PURDUE 78% → 82%

  3. 03
    London WijayKill+2.8%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Taylor Deckert)

    Set 1 · USC 10-8 PURDUE · USC 26% → 28%

  4. 04
    Addy TindallKill+2.6%

    Kill by Addy Tindall (set by Taylor Anderson)

    Set 1 · USC 10-10 PURDUE · PURDUE 73% → 76%

  5. 05
    London WijayKill+2.6%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Milly McGee)

    Set 1 · USC 15-16 PURDUE · USC 18% → 21%

  6. 06
    Abigail MullenAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Abigail Mullen

    Set 1 · USC 10-11 PURDUE · PURDUE 76% → 78%

  7. 07
    Grace HeaneyKill+2.5%

    Kill by Grace Heaney (set by Ryan McAleer)

    Set 1 · USC 12-14 PURDUE · PURDUE 78% → 81%

  8. 08

    Kill by Taylor Anderson (set by Grace Heaney)

    Set 1 · USC 16-19 PURDUE · PURDUE 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310725.1200005000010
38631.065201600008
37213.385000100218
36113.385002000217
3104.2501900500212
21212-.08300000010.51.5
3000–001000000
3000–000200000
3000–1001300000
2215.200000100002
2000–111130010.51.5
1116.000000010001
Team totals3620109.147331536108457
Purduehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312328.32100030132.514.5
310225.32020240031.511.5
3407.571000201648
35113.30811250111.57.5
34041.000380140010.54.5
3000–101500000
313424.3750001100013
3001.0004021400000
3000–102400000
2000–000100000
Team totals4810102.373471104313141075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 USC · PURDUE 4

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 USCPURDUE 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 USCPURDUE 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 USCPURDUE 3

Bars above the line = Purdue leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
36%4/11
2
42%8/19
33%4/12
3
58%7/12
0%0/8
4
46%6/13
30%3/10
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
50%6/12
25%2/8
All
55%41/74
28%16/58

Purdue

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
0%0/8
2
89%8/9
53%9/17
3
88%7/8
53%8/15
4
60%6/10
54%7/13
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
50%6/12
All
72%42/58
45%33/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#USC-PURDUESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.4
21-1USCPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.3
31-2PURDUEPURDUEServe errPurdue+1.9
42-2PURDUEUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.3
52-3USCPURDUEServe errSouthern California+1.3
63-3PURDUEUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.4
73-4USCPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.3
83-5PURDUEPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+1.9
94-5PURDUEUSC×3Serve errPurdue+1.2
105-5USCUSC×3Attack errLameen Mambu+2.1
116-5USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+2.4
126-6USCPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.5
137-6PURDUEUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+1.6
147-7USCPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+1.5
158-7PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.7
168-8USCPURDUEBlockedLeah Fordblk Kate Hansen+1.6
179-8PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.8
1810-8USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+2.8
1910-9USCPURDUE×3KillTaylor Andersonset Ryan McAleer+1.7
2010-10PURDUEPURDUE×3KillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+2.6
2110-11PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+2.6
2211-11PURDUEUSCServe errPurdue+1.7
2311-12USCPURDUEAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.7
2412-12PURDUEUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.8
2512-13USCPURDUE×3KillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+1.8
2612-14PURDUEPURDUE×3KillGrace Heaneyset Ryan McAleer+2.5
2712-15PURDUEPURDUE×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Grace Heaney, Dior Charles+2.2
2813-15PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.3
2913-16USCPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+1.5
3014-16PURDUEUSC×3Serve errPurdue+1.3
3115-16USCUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.6
3216-16USCUSC×3BlockedLameen Mambublk Milly McGee, Leah Ford+3.2
3316-17USCPURDUE×3KillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+2.2
3416-18PURDUEPURDUE×3KillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+3.1
3516-19PURDUEPURDUE×3KillTaylor Andersonset Grace Heaney+2.5
3617-19PURDUEUSCServe errPurdue+1.3
3717-20USCPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.7
3818-20PURDUEUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.3
3918-21USCPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+1.8
4019-21PURDUEUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.3
4119-22USCPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+1.8
4219-23PURDUEPURDUEBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Addy Tindall, Dior Charles+1.7
4320-23PURDUEUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.5
4420-24USCPURDUEKillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+0.9
4520-25PURDUEPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.3
Set 2
11-0USCUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.6
21-1USCPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+1.0
32-1PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.1
42-2USCPURDUE×3KillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+1.0
52-3PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errLondon Wijay+1.6
62-4PURDUEPURDUE×3KillDior Charles+1.4
73-4PURDUEUSCServe errPurdue+1.0
83-5USCPURDUEAttack errAbigail Mullen+0.9
94-5PURDUEUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.0
105-5USCUSC×3KillMilly McGeeset Taylor Anderson+1.7
116-5USCUSC×3BlockedLameen Mambublk Milly McGee, Mia Tvrdy+1.9
126-6USCPURDUE×3KillGrace Heaneyset Ryan McAleer+1.2
136-7PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errLondon Wijay+1.7
146-8PURDUEPURDUE×3KillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.6
157-8PURDUEUSCServe errPurdue+1.0
167-9USCPURDUEServe errSouthern California+1.1
178-9PURDUEUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.1
188-10USCPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+1.1
199-10PURDUEUSCKillRiley Malloyset London Wijay+1.1
209-11USCPURDUE×3KillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+1.1
219-12PURDUEPURDUE×3AceKate Hansenaced Riley Malloy+1.6
229-13PURDUEPURDUE×3KillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+1.3
2310-13PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+0.7
2411-13USCUSCAttack errAddy Tindall+1.4
2511-14USCPURDUE×4KillDior Charlesset Taylor Anderson+1.1
2611-15PURDUEPURDUE×4BlockedAbigail Mullenblk Dior Charles, Addy Tindall+1.3
2711-16PURDUEPURDUE×4KillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+1.0
2811-17PURDUEPURDUE×4KillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.7
2912-17PURDUEUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+0.3
3012-18USCPURDUE×3KillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.4
3112-19PURDUEPURDUE×3BlockedMia Tvrdyblk Grace Heaney, Dior Charles+0.4
3212-20PURDUEPURDUE×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Dior Charles, Grace Heaney+0.2
3313-20PURDUEUSCServe errPurdue+0.1
3413-21USCPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+0.1
3514-21PURDUEUSCAttack errGrace Heaney·
3615-21USCUSCKillQuinn Loperset Lilli Etter+0.1
3715-22USCPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+0.1
3816-22PURDUEUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.1
3916-23USCPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Grace Heaney+0.1
4017-23PURDUEUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter·
4117-24USCPURDUEKillKate Hansenset Taylor Anderson+0.1
4217-25PURDUEPURDUEBlockedRiley Malloyblk Addy Tindall·
Set 3
11-0PURDUEUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.6
21-1USCPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.5
31-2PURDUEPURDUEBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Dior Charles, Addy Tindall+0.8
42-2PURDUEUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.5
52-3USCPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.5
63-3PURDUEUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.5
73-4USCPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.5
83-5PURDUEPURDUEAttack errQuinn Loper+0.8
94-5PURDUEUSCKillQuinn Loperset London Wijay+0.5
104-6USCPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.5
114-7PURDUEPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Elle Schara+0.7
125-7PURDUEUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.4
135-8USCPURDUE×3Serve errSouthern California+0.5
145-9PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina+0.6
155-10PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errLondon Wijay+0.5
166-10PURDUEUSC×3Serve errPurdue+0.3
177-10USCUSC×3AceLilli Etteraced Lameen Mambu+0.5
188-10USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullen+0.7
198-11USCPURDUEServe errLilli Etter+0.5
209-11PURDUEUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.5
219-12USCPURDUEKillTaylor Andersonset MaryKate Scheumann+0.5
2210-12PURDUEUSCServe errPurdue+0.5
2310-13USCPURDUE×3KillTaylor Andersonset Ryan McAleer+0.5
2410-14PURDUEPURDUE×3BlockedMia Tvrdyblk Dior Charles+0.7
2510-15PURDUEPURDUE×3Attack errLondon Wijay+0.5
2611-15PURDUEUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.3
2712-15USCUSCAttack errAddy Tindall+0.6
2812-16USCPURDUEKillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.4
2913-16PURDUEUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.4
3013-17USCPURDUEKillGrace Heaneyset Taylor Anderson+0.5
3114-17PURDUEUSCBlockedGrace Heaneyblk Adonia Faumuina, Mia Tvrdy+0.4
3214-18USCPURDUE×3KillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.5
3314-19PURDUEPURDUE×3KillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.5
3414-20PURDUEPURDUE×3BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Taylor Anderson, Kate Hansen+0.3
3515-20PURDUEUSCBlockedLameen Mambublk Lilli Etter, Leah Ford+0.1
3616-20USCUSCAttack errKate Hansen+0.3
3716-21USCPURDUEKillLameen Mambuset Taylor Anderson+0.3
3817-21PURDUEUSC×3Serve errPurdue+0.2
3918-21USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.4
4019-21USCUSC×3Attack errAddy Tindall+0.8
4119-22USCPURDUE×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+0.7
4219-23PURDUEPURDUE×3KillAddy Tindallset Kate Hansen+0.7
4319-24PURDUEPURDUE×3KillAddy Tindallset Taylor Anderson+0.3
4420-24PURDUEUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter·
4520-25USCPURDUEServe errSouthern California+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).