FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Green Bay def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Green Bay 78.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Green Bay beat visiting Purdue Fort Wayne 3-0 (25-20, 25-23, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Green Bay's Diane Pichelman led with 12 kills, and Kennedy Schmitz added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
IPFW2023180
GRNBAY2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Green Bay held Purdue Fort Wayne to .119 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 5.7 points on one rally; Purdue Fort Wayne topped out at 22% in Set 2. Green Bay went in as RallyIQ's 79% pick.

Purdue Fort WayneGreen Bay
  • Break %+11.0 pts
    39.750.7

    37 of 73 on serve vs 25 of 63, so Purdue Fort Wayne's sideout was 49.3%.

  • Hitting+.080
    .119.199

    43 kills, 16 errors vs 33 kills, 18 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    56

    Up 3–1 in the first set, Green Bay scored 6 straight to make it 9–1. That set ended 25–20.

Green Bay above 50Purdue Fort Wayne belowMax swing 5.7%

Purdue Fort WayneGreen Bay

Aces
Purdue Fort Wayne 3·Green Bay 6
Serve err
Purdue Fort Wayne 5·Green Bay 7
Blocks
Purdue Fort Wayne 4·Green Bay 40 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Purdue Fort Wayne 59·Green Bay 62

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Green Bay above 50 · Purdue Fort Wayne below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.7% GRNBAYrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Green Bay — set 2, IPFW 23-24 GRNBAY. Attack error by Trinity Rye. GRNBAY win probability 85% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IPFW 26.0%74.0% GRNBAY

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0
4.7%
3-1
9.0%
3-2
12.4%

Green Bay wins

3-0
26.2%
3-1
28.3%
3-2
19.5%
IPFW break %
40.3% vs this opp
GRNBAY break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Trinity RyeAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Trinity Rye

    Set 2 · IPFW 23-24 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 85% → 91%

  2. 02

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 2 · IPFW 23-25 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 91% → 96%

  3. 03
    Trinity RyeKill+3.8%

    Kill by Trinity Rye (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 2 · IPFW 23-22 GRNBAY · IPFW 14% → 18%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kayla Birmingham (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 2 · IPFW 23-23 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 82% → 85%

  5. 05
    Olivia NeumannAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Olivia Neumann

    Set 2 · IPFW 20-19 GRNBAY · IPFW 13% → 16%

  6. 06
    Riley RosneckKill+3.2%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 2 · IPFW 22-21 GRNBAY · IPFW 14% → 17%

  7. 07
    Kirsten FishKill+3.0%

    Kill by Kirsten Fish (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 2 · IPFW 22-22 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 83% → 86%

  8. 08
    Riley RosneckKill+2.8%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 2 · IPFW 21-20 GRNBAY · IPFW 14% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311642.11901014000012
38016.50000000031.59.5
37632.03101110010.58.5
36320.150002111010.56.5
3114.00000000010.51.5
30211-.1822501900211
3001.000110300001
3000–1001430000
2000–001700000
Team totals3318126.119273559608461
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312327.33312260010.514.5
38119.368000200219
37214.357100200218
33415-.06700121010.53.5
32015.13330011100002
3000–210900001
34525-.040000011015
3000–0101400001
3002.0004001000000
3000–102200000
27119.316021400009
Team totals4316136.199396762316475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IPFW · GRNBAY 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 5 IPFWGRNBAY 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 IPFWGRNBAY 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 IPFWGRNBAY 4

Bars above the line = Green Bay leads, below = Purdue Fort Wayne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Purdue Fort Wayne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
14%1/7
2
44%7/16
30%3/10
3
40%6/15
13%1/8
4
55%6/11
57%8/14
5
75%6/8
54%7/13
6
67%4/6
45%5/11
All
49%36/73
40%25/63

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
55%6/11
2
88%7/8
56%9/16
3
55%6/11
63%10/16
4
55%6/11
45%5/11
5
43%6/14
45%5/11
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
60%38/63
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#IPFW-GRNBAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IPFWGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
20-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
30-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
41-3GRNBAYIPFWServe errGreen Bay+1.1
51-4IPFWGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
61-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×6BlockedBella DiBuonoblk Kelsey Justman, Diane Pichelman+1.3
71-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errRiley Rosneck+1.1
81-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errRiley Rosneck+0.9
91-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
101-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Bad setBella DiBuono+0.5
112-9GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.3
122-10IPFWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
133-10GRNBAYIPFW×5Serve errGreen Bay+0.3
144-10IPFWIPFW×5AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Kelsey Justman+0.5
155-10IPFWIPFW×5Attack errDiane Pichelman+0.7
166-10IPFWIPFW×5Attack errDiane Pichelman+1.0
177-10IPFWIPFW×5Attack errGillian Koning+1.3
187-11IPFWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
197-12GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
208-12GRNBAYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.8
218-13IPFWGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Macy Kline+0.9
228-14GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Gillian Koning+0.9
239-14GRNBAYIPFW×4KillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.5
2410-14IPFWIPFW×4KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.0
2511-14IPFWIPFW×4Attack errGillian Koning+1.3
2612-14IPFWIPFW×4AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Gillian Koning+1.8
2712-15IPFWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
2813-15GRNBAYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Becky Barrett+1.4
2913-16IPFWGRNBAYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.5
3013-17GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errTrinity Rye+1.7
3114-17GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.0
3214-18IPFWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Kelsey Justman+1.3
3314-19GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Becky Barrett+1.2
3415-19GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.6
3515-20IPFWGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3616-20GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.6
3716-21IPFWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
3816-22GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Miona Dimitric+0.6
3917-22GRNBAYIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.2
4018-22IPFWIPFW×3BlockedOlivia Neumannblk Mya Plemons, Miona Dimitric+0.5
4119-22IPFWIPFW×3Attack errGillian Koning+1.0
4219-23IPFWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
4320-23GRNBAYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.6
4420-24IPFWGRNBAYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.1
4520-25GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Becky Barrett+0.4
Set 2
11-0GRNBAYIPFW×3Attack errKelsey Justman+1.1
22-0IPFWIPFW×3Attack errKelsey Justman+1.5
33-0IPFWIPFW×3KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.6
43-1IPFWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
54-1GRNBAYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.3
64-2IPFWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
74-3GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.5
85-3GRNBAYIPFW×5BlockedKelsey Justmanblk Mya Plemons, Trinity Rye+1.3
96-3IPFWIPFW×5Bad setKelsey Justman+1.7
107-3IPFWIPFW×5KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.7
118-3IPFWIPFW×5KillMya Plemonsset Lili Smith+1.7
129-3IPFWIPFW×5BlockedKelsey Justmanblk Mya Plemons, Haiden Means+1.6
139-4IPFWGRNBAYAttack errHaiden Means+0.9
1410-4GRNBAYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.2
1510-5IPFWGRNBAYAttack errHaiden Means+0.9
1611-5GRNBAYIPFWServe errGreen Bay+1.2
1711-6IPFWGRNBAYAttack errRiley Rosneck+0.9
1812-6GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.2
1912-7IPFWGRNBAY×5KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
2012-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillKirsten Fishset Olivia Neumann+1.4
2112-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×5Attack errTrinity Rye+1.6
2212-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
2312-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillKayla Birminghamset Macy Kline+1.9
2413-11GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.7
2513-12IPFWGRNBAY×4KillKayla Birminghamset Macy Kline+1.5
2613-13GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errRiley Rosneck+2.0
2713-14GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
2813-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errMiona Dimitric+1.8
2914-15GRNBAYIPFWKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
3014-16IPFWGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
3114-17GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
3215-17GRNBAYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Becky Barrett+1.1
3315-18IPFWGRNBAYBad setHaiden Means+1.3
3416-18GRNBAYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.1
3517-18IPFWIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.0
3617-19IPFWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
3718-19GRNBAYIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Becky Barrett+1.6
3819-19IPFWIPFW×3BlockedGillian Koningblk Bella DiBuono, Haiden Means+2.8
3920-19IPFWIPFW×3Attack errOlivia Neumann+3.3
4020-20IPFWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
4121-20GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.8
4221-21IPFWGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
4322-21GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.2
4422-22IPFWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+3.0
4523-22GRNBAYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.8
4623-23IPFWGRNBAY×3KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+3.5
4723-24GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errTrinity Rye+5.7
4823-25GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+5.0
Set 3
11-0IPFWIPFWAttack errKirsten Fish+0.8
21-1IPFWGRNBAYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.5
32-1GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.6
43-1IPFWIPFWAttack errDiane Pichelman+0.8
53-2IPFWGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kendall Schara+0.6
64-2GRNBAYIPFWAttack errKayla Birmingham+0.7
74-3IPFWGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
84-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bay+0.8
94-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bay+0.8
105-5GRNBAYIPFWBad setKayla Birmingham+0.6
115-6IPFWGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
126-6GRNBAYIPFW×4Serve errGreen Bay+0.6
137-6IPFWIPFW×4AcePurdue Fort Wayne+0.9
148-6IPFWIPFW×4KillTrinity Ryeset Ava Tester+1.0
159-6IPFWIPFW×4Attack errGillian Koning+1.0
169-7IPFWGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
1710-7GRNBAYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.8
1810-8IPFWGRNBAYServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.7
1910-9GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedMiona Dimitricblk Kirsten Fish, Olivia Neumann+1.0
2011-9GRNBAYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+0.8
2111-10IPFWGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
2211-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
2311-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKayla Birminghamset Kendall Schara+1.0
2411-13GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKayla Birminghamset Riley Schmitz+0.9
2512-13GRNBAYIPFWServe errGreen Bay+0.7
2612-14IPFWGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Macy Kline+0.7
2713-14GRNBAYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.7
2814-14IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.1
2914-15IPFWGRNBAY×4Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.8
3014-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errTrinity Rye+1.0
3114-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errRiley Rosneck+0.9
3214-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Bad setBecky Barrett+0.7
3315-18GRNBAYIPFWServe errGreen Bay+0.4
3415-19IPFWGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Diane Pichelman+0.5
3515-20GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errTrinity Rye+0.5
3615-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGreen Bayaced Becky Barrett+0.3
3715-22GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.1
3816-22GRNBAYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means·
3917-22IPFWIPFWKillMya Plemons+0.1
4017-23IPFWGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.1
4117-24GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedMiona Dimitricblk Kirsten Fish, Olivia Neumann+0.1
4218-24GRNBAYIPFWServe errGreen Bay·
4318-25IPFWGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Kayla Birmingham·

Score shown after each rally, Purdue Fort Wayne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).