FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Cleveland St. def. Green Bay 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Green Bay 81.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cleveland St. beat visiting Green Bay 3-0 (25-22, 25-20, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Cleveland St.'s Alyssa Cerovac led with 20 kills, and Vayda Delventhal added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
GRNBAY2220170
CLE ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.410 on 39 swings: Alyssa Cerovac and Cleveland St. edged Green Bay.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Cleveland St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Green Bay at 82% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Green Bay 4–1 Cleveland St.

    The bottom for Cleveland St., then 24 of the next 42 rallies and the set, 25–22.

    Cleveland St. 14% → 37%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Green Bay 19–16 Cleveland St.

    Down 16–19, Cleveland St. scored 8 straight to lead 24–19. The match swung to Cleveland St.

    Cleveland St. 29% → 68%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Green Bay 7–9 Cleveland St.

    Cleveland St. scored 7 straight to stretch a 9–7 lead to 16–7.

    Cleveland St. 77% → 98%

Cleveland St. above 50Green Bay belowMax swing 6.8%

Green BayCleveland St.

Sideout %
Green Bay 49.3·Cleveland St. 62.3
Break %
Green Bay 37.7·Cleveland St. 50.7
Hitting
Green Bay .148·Cleveland St. .246
Longest run
Green Bay 4·Cleveland St. 8

Alyssa Cerovac
13 kills inside the turning points, 20 K and .410 for the match (21.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cleveland St. above 50 · Green Bay below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.8% CLE STrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Cleveland St. — set 2, GRNBAY 19-21 CLE ST. Kayla Birmingham stuffed by JeriLynn Koehler & Sariyah Glanton. CLE ST win probability 47% → 54%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GRNBAY 77.4%22.6% CLE ST

Green Bay wins

3-0
29.0%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
18.9%

Cleveland St. wins

3-0
3.9%
3-1
7.7%
3-2
11.1%
GRNBAY break %
46.8% vs this opp
CLE ST break %
41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kayla Birmingham stuffed by JeriLynn Koehler & Sariyah Glanton

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-21 CLE ST · CLE ST 47% → 54%

  2. 02
    Alexa HernandezAttack error+6.4%

    Attack error by Alexa Hernandez

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-22 CLE ST · CLE ST 54% → 60%

  3. 03

    Ace by Allison Salazar on Kelsey Justman

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-20 CLE ST · CLE ST 41% → 47%

  4. 04

    Kill by Alyssa Cerovac (set by Allison Salazar)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-19 CLE ST · CLE ST 36% → 41%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sariyah Glanton (set by Allison Salazar)

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 20-22 CLE ST · CLE ST 25% → 29%

  6. 06

    Kill by Alyssa Cerovac (set by Vayda Delventhal)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 19-23 CLE ST · CLE ST 60% → 65%

  7. 07
    Audrey EllisAce+4.4%

    Ace by Audrey Ellis on Alexis Gardner

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 20-21 CLE ST · CLE ST 20% → 25%

  8. 08
    Audrey EllisAce+4.2%

    Ace by Audrey Ellis on Alexis Gardner

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 20-23 CLE ST · CLE ST 29% → 34%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310433.1820224000012
38216.37510000031.59.5
34213.15410000031.55.5
32318-.056001120002
3228.0003003700002
3000–0011010000
38325.200101300008
3001.0003001210000
3000–0001200000
3000–001200000
24314.071000000004
2000–000220000
Team totals3819128.148362953606359
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35216.18800040073.58.5
34214.143002400637
3306.5003010120052.56.5
35424.042000300216
3407.57100030031.55.5
3001.000222200002
320439.41000010031.521.5
3000–020610002
3015-.2001111010001
3002.0007012000000
Team totals4113114.24640666520261375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Green Bay vs Cleveland St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 GRNBAY · CLE ST 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 GRNBAYCLE ST 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 GRNBAYCLE ST 8

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 GRNBAYCLE ST 7

Bars above the line = Cleveland St. leads, below = Green Bay leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
36%4/11
2
60%6/10
30%3/10
3
67%6/9
25%2/8
4
43%6/14
45%5/11
5
40%6/15
45%5/11
6
29%5/17
40%4/10
All
49%36/73
38%23/61

Cleveland St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
50%5/10
2
64%7/11
22%2/9
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
86%6/7
50%6/12
5
43%6/14
54%7/13
6
86%6/7
70%14/20
All
62%38/61
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#GRNBAY-CLE STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GRNBAYCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+1.3
21-1CLE STGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
32-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errJulia Jozefov+1.5
43-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
54-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errBryn VanVleet+1.3
64-2GRNBAYCLE ST×3KillBryn VanVleetset Audrey Ellis+1.0
74-3CLE STCLE ST×3KillAllison Salazarset Audrey Ellis+1.5
84-4CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedKirsten Fishblk Julia Jozefov, Bryn VanVleet+1.7
95-4CLE STGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
106-4GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errAddison Koppelman+1.5
116-5GRNBAYCLE STBlockedAlexa Hernandezblk Allison Salazar, Julia Jozefov+1.2
126-6CLE STCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+1.8
137-6CLE STGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
147-7GRNBAYCLE ST×3Serve errKelsey Justman+1.5
157-8CLE STCLE ST×3KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+2.1
167-9CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk JeriLynn Koehler, Alyssa Cerovac+2.3
178-9CLE STGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Macy Kline+1.6
188-10GRNBAYCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.8
198-11CLE STCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.4
209-11CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
2110-11GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedAlyssa Cerovacblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+2.2
2210-12GRNBAYCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.0
2311-12CLE STGRNBAYServe errAudrey Ellis+1.8
2412-12GRNBAYGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
2512-13GRNBAYCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.0
2612-14CLE STCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Vayda Delventhal+2.7
2713-14CLE STGRNBAYServe errVayda Delventhal+1.9
2813-15GRNBAYCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Allison Salazar+2.3
2913-16CLE STCLE STAceAddison Koppelmanaced Kelsey Justman+2.9
3014-16CLE STGRNBAYServe errAddison Koppelman+1.9
3114-17GRNBAYCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.4
3215-17CLE STGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
3316-17GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errJulia Jozefov+2.8
3416-18GRNBAYCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.7
3517-18CLE STGRNBAY×3Attack errJeriLynn Koehler+2.3
3618-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceDiane Pichelmanaced Addison Koppelman+3.2
3719-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Kayla Birmingham+3.2
3819-19GRNBAYCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.6
3920-19CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
4020-20GRNBAYCLE ST×4Serve errAlexa Hernandez+2.8
4120-21CLE STCLE ST×4AceAudrey Ellisaced Alexis Gardner+4.4
4220-22CLE STCLE ST×4KillSariyah Glantonset Allison Salazar+4.8
4320-23CLE STCLE ST×4AceAudrey Ellisaced Alexis Gardner+4.2
4421-23CLE STGRNBAYServe errAudrey Ellis+1.8
4521-24GRNBAYCLE STAttack errOlivia Neumann+3.5
4622-24CLE STGRNBAYBlockedBryn VanVleetblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.4
4722-25GRNBAYCLE STKillSariyah Glantonset Allison Salazar+3.4
Set 2
11-0CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Macy Kline+1.8
21-1GRNBAYCLE STAttack errKelsey Justman+2.0
32-1CLE STGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
42-2GRNBAYCLE STAttack errKirsten Fish+2.0
53-2CLE STGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
64-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
75-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
86-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
96-3GRNBAYCLE STKillAllison Salazarset Vayda Delventhal+1.3
106-4CLE STCLE STAceLaila Mosseyaced Kendall Schara+2.1
117-4CLE STGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
127-5GRNBAYCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.7
137-6CLE STCLE STBlockedDiane Pichelmanblk JeriLynn Koehler, Alyssa Cerovac+2.5
148-6CLE STGRNBAY×4Serve errJulia Jozefov+2.0
159-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceDiane Pichelmanaced Laila Mossey+2.3
1610-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
1711-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumann+1.6
1811-7GRNBAYCLE STServe errDiane Pichelman+1.1
1912-7CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
2012-8GRNBAYCLE STServe errAlexa Hernandez+1.1
2113-8CLE STGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
2213-9GRNBAYCLE STKillSariyah Glantonset Allison Salazar+1.1
2313-10CLE STCLE STBlockedKelsey Justmanblk Sariyah Glanton, Julia Jozefov+1.9
2414-10CLE STGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2515-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2615-11GRNBAYCLE STServe errRiley Schmitz+1.1
2716-11CLE STGRNBAYAttack errBryn VanVleet+1.3
2817-11GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
2917-12GRNBAYCLE ST×3BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Bryn VanVleet, Julia Jozefov+0.7
3017-13CLE STCLE ST×3BlockedKelsey Justmanblk Julia Jozefov, Allison Salazar+1.3
3117-14CLE STCLE ST×3AceLaila Mosseyaced Macy Kline+1.9
3218-14CLE STGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
3318-15GRNBAYCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+1.5
3418-16CLE STCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.8
3519-16CLE STGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
3619-17GRNBAYCLE ST×8KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+2.2
3719-18CLE STCLE ST×8KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+4.0
3819-19CLE STCLE ST×8KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+5.2
3919-20CLE STCLE ST×8AceAllison Salazaraced Kelsey Justman+6.3
4019-21CLE STCLE ST×8BlockedKayla Birminghamblk JeriLynn Koehler, Sariyah Glanton+6.8
4119-22CLE STCLE ST×8Attack errAlexa Hernandez+6.4
4219-23CLE STCLE ST×8KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+4.8
4319-24CLE STCLE ST×8BlockedOlivia Neumannblk JeriLynn Koehler, Sariyah Glanton+2.5
4420-24CLE STGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
4520-25GRNBAYCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.2
Set 3
10-1GRNBAYCLE STServe errKendall Schara+2.2
21-1CLE STGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
31-2GRNBAYCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+2.3
42-2CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
52-3GRNBAYCLE ST×3BlockedKayla Birminghamblk Julia Jozefov, Allison Salazar+2.3
62-4CLE STCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+3.2
72-5CLE STCLE ST×3KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+3.4
83-5CLE STGRNBAYAttack errAlyssa Cerovac+2.3
93-6GRNBAYCLE ST×4KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+2.7
103-7CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedGillian Koningblk JeriLynn Koehler, Allison Salazar+3.5
113-8CLE STCLE ST×4BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk JeriLynn Koehler, Alyssa Cerovac+3.4
123-9CLE STCLE ST×4KillAlyssa Cerovacset Addison Koppelman+3.2
134-9CLE STGRNBAY×4Serve errJulia Jozefov+2.0
145-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errJeriLynn Koehler+2.9
156-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+3.1
167-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errAlyssa Cerovac+3.3
177-10GRNBAYCLE ST×7BlockedGillian Koningblk JeriLynn Koehler, Allison Salazar+3.1
187-11CLE STCLE ST×7KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+3.9
197-12CLE STCLE ST×7KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+3.7
207-13CLE STCLE ST×7KillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+3.3
217-14CLE STCLE ST×7Attack errGillian Koning+2.8
227-15CLE STCLE ST×7KillAlyssa Cerovacset Vayda Delventhal+2.2
237-16CLE STCLE ST×7KillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+1.7
248-16CLE STGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
258-17GRNBAYCLE STServe errAlexa Hernandez+1.2
268-18CLE STCLE STKillSariyah Glantonset Allison Salazar+1.0
279-18CLE STGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Kirsten Fish+0.4
2810-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKayla Birminghamset Olivia Neumann+0.7
2911-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedBryn VanVleetblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.1
3012-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Macy Kline+1.5
3112-19GRNBAYCLE STAttack errKayla Birmingham+1.9
3213-19CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
3313-20GRNBAYCLE STKillBryn VanVleetset Vayda Delventhal+1.7
3414-20CLE STGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3514-21GRNBAYCLE STKillJulia Jozefovset Allison Salazar+1.5
3615-21CLE STGRNBAYAttack errAlyssa Cerovac+0.7
3715-22GRNBAYCLE STServe errKayla Birmingham+1.3
3816-22CLE STGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+0.5
3916-23GRNBAYCLE STServe errDiane Pichelman+1.0
4017-23CLE STGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.3
4117-24GRNBAYCLE STKillAlyssa Cerovacset Allison Salazar+0.6
4217-25CLE STCLE STKillJeriLynn Koehlerset Allison Salazar+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Green Bay first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).