Final · 5 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

VCU def. Fordham 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: VCU 51.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

VCU won at Fordham 3-2 (15-25, 26-28, 25-18, 25-20, 15-9) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. VCU's Lara Del Core led with 18 kills, and Cansin Sendir added 13 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set12345Sets
VCU15262525153
FORDHM2528182092

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Kayla Foley, and VCU needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are VCU's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave VCU 52% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · VCU 25–25 Fordham

    Fordham won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–0.

    VCU 34% → 13%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · VCU 2–6 Fordham

    VCU's low point. VCU then won 23 of the next 37 rallies and the set 25–20. That flipped the match to VCU.

    VCU 13% → 52%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · VCU 2–2 Fordham

    3 straight VCU kills broke a 2–2 tie and made it 5–2.

    VCU 52% → 76%

Fordham above 50VCU belowMax swing 10.2%

VCUFordham

Sideout %
VCU 56.4·Fordham 53.3
Break %
VCU 46.7·Fordham 43.6
Hitting
VCU .248·Fordham .290
Longest run
VCU 6·Fordham 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fordham above 50 · VCU below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.2% FORDHMrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Fordham — set 2, VCU 26-28 FORDHM. Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale). FORDHM win probability 77% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

VCU 54.7%45.3% FORDHM

VCU wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%

Fordham wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%
VCU break %
44.0% vs this opp
FORDHM break %
43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 2 · VCU 26-28 FORDHM · FORDHM 77% → 87%

  2. 02
    Lara Del CoreAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Lara Del Core

    Set 2 · VCU 25-26 FORDHM · FORDHM 66% → 77%

  3. 03

    Mila Micunovic stuffed by Cansin Sendir & Nina Boledovicova

    Set 5 · VCU 9-6 FORDHM · VCU 71% → 81%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mila Micunovic (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 5 · VCU 7-6 FORDHM · FORDHM 28% → 37%

  5. 05

    Kill by Nina Boledovicova

    Set 5 · VCU 4-2 FORDHM · VCU 59% → 68%

  6. 06
    Letizia GalliKill+8.7%

    Kill by Letizia Galli (set by Cansin Sendir)

    Set 5 · VCU 2-1 FORDHM · VCU 50% → 59%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+8.5%

    Point Fordham (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · VCU 0-1 FORDHM · FORDHM 48% → 57%

  8. 08
    Giada IanualeBad set+8.5%

    Bad set by Giada Ianuale

    Set 5 · VCU 8-6 FORDHM · VCU 63% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

VCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5181146.1521116000019
513432.2811112012216
514221.57110000031.515.5
511327.29602180010.513.5
58430.1331107012211
5003.00043211300213
5000–362500006
5011-1.000100400000
21011.000600000001
2000–000400000
1000–000000000
Team totals6525161.248571364952107106
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512329.31012213712216
511328.2861000002112
59018.50010000052.511.5
54318.05621110010.55.5
5205.4003911500003
5001.000010230001
515632.2811004002116
5000–001100000
5000–1001610000
5000–1001100000
2000–000100000
Team totals5315131.290475554131127100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

VCU vs Fordham

Season series · VCU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 VCU · FORDHM 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 4 VCUFORDHM 6

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 5 VCUFORDHM 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 VCUFORDHM 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 3 VCUFORDHM 4

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 4 VCUFORDHM 3

Bars above the line = Fordham leads, below = VCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

VCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
30%3/10
2
54%7/13
46%6/13
3
44%7/16
56%9/16
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
75%6/8
13%1/8
6
50%6/12
25%2/8
All
56%40/72
39%26/67

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
36%4/11
2
64%7/11
50%7/14
3
44%7/16
59%10/17
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
86%6/7
40%4/10
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
61%41/67
44%32/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#VCU-FORDHMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FORDHMFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Dunja Martic+2.4
21-1FORDHMVCU×4KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.9
32-1VCUVCU×4KillDunja Marticset Letizia Galli+2.5
43-1VCUVCU×4Attack errJohanna Franzen+2.5
54-1VCUVCU×4KillLara Del Coreset Kayla Foley+2.4
64-2VCUFORDHMServe errVCU+1.7
74-3FORDHMFORDHMAttack errGiada Ianuale+2.4
85-3FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.0
96-3VCUVCUBad setGiada Ianuale+2.5
106-4VCUFORDHM×6KillBridget Woodruffset Sophia Kuyn+1.8
116-5FORDHMFORDHM×6KillGiada Ianualeset Sophia Kuyn+2.5
126-6FORDHMFORDHM×6Attack errDunja Martic+2.7
136-7FORDHMFORDHM×6Attack errNina Boledovicova+2.8
146-8FORDHMFORDHM×6Bad setGabby LaPata+2.8
156-9FORDHMFORDHM×6Attack errLara Del Core+2.7
167-9FORDHMVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.9
178-9VCUVCUAttack errSophia Kuyn+2.8
188-10VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Whitney Woodrow+2.3
198-11FORDHMFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.9
209-11FORDHMVCUAttack errJohanna Franzen+2.0
219-12VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.3
2210-12FORDHMVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Maddalena Fiolo+2.1
2310-13VCUFORDHM×4Serve errVCU+2.3
2410-14FORDHMFORDHM×4KillTatum Holderiedset Tatum Holderied+2.7
2510-15FORDHMFORDHM×4Bad setDunja Martic+2.3
2610-16FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedLetizia Galliblk Bridget Woodruff, Tatum Holderied+1.8
2711-16FORDHMVCUKillGabby LaPataset Maddalena Fiolo+1.0
2811-17VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.4
2912-17FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Jordan Baksh+1.0
3012-18VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.4
3112-19FORDHMFORDHMAttack errLara Del Core+1.2
3213-19FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.5
3313-20VCUFORDHMBlockedLara Del Coreblk Johanna Franzen+0.8
3413-21FORDHMFORDHMServe errFordham+0.6
3514-21FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+0.2
3614-22VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.4
3715-22FORDHMVCUServe errFordham+0.1
3815-23VCUFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.3
3915-24FORDHMFORDHM×3Bad setMaddalena Fiolo+0.1
4015-25FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordham·
Set 2
10-1VCUFORDHMServe errVCU+1.9
21-1FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.9
32-1VCUVCUBad setLola Fernandez+2.5
42-2VCUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.0
53-2FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.0
63-3VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.0
73-4FORDHMFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Johanna Franzen+2.7
84-4FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.0
95-4VCUVCUKillMaddalena Fioloset Maddalena Fiolo+2.7
105-5VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovic+2.1
116-5FORDHMVCUKillDunja Marticset Maddalena Fiolo+2.2
126-6VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+2.2
137-6FORDHMVCUAttack errMila Micunovic+2.2
147-7VCUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+2.2
158-7FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Maddalena Fiolo+2.3
168-8VCUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.3
178-9FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+3.0
189-9FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.3
199-10VCUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+2.4
209-11FORDHMFORDHMBad setCansin Sendir+3.1
2110-11FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.3
2211-11VCUVCUAceVCUaced Johanna Franzen+3.2
2311-12VCUFORDHMServe errVCU+2.6
2412-12FORDHMVCUAttack errMila Micunovic+2.6
2512-13VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Ozge Ozaslan+2.7
2613-13FORDHMVCUKillDunja Marticset Lara Del Core+2.7
2713-14VCUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+2.8
2814-14FORDHMVCUKillGabby LaPataset Maddalena Fiolo+2.8
2914-15VCUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Tatum Holderied+3.0
3014-16FORDHMFORDHMBlockedLara Del Coreblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+3.8
3115-16FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Maddalena Fiolo+2.7
3216-16VCUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+4.0
3316-17VCUFORDHM×3KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+3.3
3416-18FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errGabby LaPata+4.2
3516-19FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errLara Del Core+3.8
3617-19FORDHMVCUServe errFordham+2.4
3717-20VCUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+3.1
3818-20FORDHMVCU×5Bad setOzge Ozaslan+2.4
3919-20VCUVCU×5AceVCUaced Lola Fernandez+4.2
4020-20VCUVCU×5AceVCUaced Johanna Franzen+5.2
4121-20VCUVCU×5Attack errJohanna Franzen+5.8
4222-20VCUVCU×5KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+5.7
4322-21VCUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+3.6
4423-21FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+5.0
4523-22VCUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+3.7
4623-23FORDHMFORDHMAttack errLara Del Core+7.6
4724-23FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Dunja Martic+7.8
4824-24VCUFORDHMKillGiada Ianuale+7.8
4925-24FORDHMVCUKillGabby LaPataset Nina Boledovicova+7.8
5025-25VCUFORDHMBad setCansin Sendir+7.8
5125-26FORDHMFORDHMAttack errLara Del Core+10.1
5226-26FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+7.9
5326-27VCUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+7.9
5426-28FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+10.2
Set 3
11-0FORDHMVCU×6KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+1.3
22-0VCUVCU×6AceVCUaced Johanna Franzen+1.6
33-0VCUVCU×6AceVCUaced Ozge Ozaslan+1.6
44-0VCUVCU×6KillLetizia Galliset Giada Ianuale+1.5
55-0VCUVCU×6KillDunja Marticset Johanna Franzen+1.3
66-0VCUVCU×6BlockedBridget Woodruffblk Letizia Galli, Dunja Martic+1.2
76-1VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.8
87-1FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+0.9
97-2VCUFORDHMServe errVCU+0.8
107-3FORDHMFORDHMAttack errDunja Martic+1.2
118-3FORDHMVCUKillDunja Marticset Cansin Sendir+1.1
129-3VCUVCUBlockedSophia Kuynblk Dunja Martic+1.2
139-4VCUFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.8
149-5FORDHMFORDHMAceFordham+1.2
1510-5FORDHMVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.1
1610-6VCUFORDHMAttack errGabby LaPata+0.9
1710-7FORDHMFORDHMAttack errNina Boledovicova+1.5
1811-7FORDHMVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.3
1911-8VCUFORDHM×4Attack errGabby LaPata+1.1
2011-9FORDHMFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Mila Micunovic+1.7
2111-10FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordham+2.0
2211-11FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errLara Del Core+2.1
2312-11VCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
2413-11VCUVCU×4Bad setGiada Ianuale+2.2
2514-11VCUVCU×4AceVCUaced Johanna Franzen+2.1
2615-11VCUVCU×4KillLetizia Galli+1.8
2715-12VCUFORDHMServe errVCU+1.2
2815-13FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Bridget Woodruff+1.9
2916-13FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.7
3017-13VCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
3117-14VCUFORDHMAttack errDunja Martic+1.2
3218-14FORDHMVCU×3KillNina Boledovicovaset Giada Ianuale+1.5
3319-14VCUVCU×3AceVCUaced Lola Fernandez+1.5
3420-14VCUVCU×3Bad setSophia Kuyn+1.0
3520-15VCUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.5
3621-15FORDHMVCU×4KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.7
3722-15VCUVCU×4KillNina Boledovicovaset Kayla Foley+0.5
3823-15VCUVCU×4AceVCUaced Johanna Franzen+0.2
3924-15VCUVCU×4BlockedSophia Kuynblk Nina Boledovicova+0.1
4024-16VCUFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale·
4124-17FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errNina Boledovicova·
4224-18FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errDunja Martic·
4325-18FORDHMVCUServe errFordham+0.1
Set 4
11-0VCUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Kayla Foley+3.3
21-1VCUFORDHMAttack errLara Del Core+2.6
31-2FORDHMFORDHMBlockedLetizia Galliblk Bridget Woodruff, Tatum Holderied+3.4
42-2FORDHMVCUServe errFordham+2.6
52-3VCUFORDHM×4KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.7
62-4FORDHMFORDHM×4KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+3.5
72-5FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errLara Del Core+3.4
82-6FORDHMFORDHM×4KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+3.1
93-6FORDHMVCU×3KillDunja Marticset Cansin Sendir+2.2
104-6VCUVCU×3AceKayla Foleyaced Johanna Franzen+3.2
115-6VCUVCU×3Attack errJohanna Franzen+3.5
125-7VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.9
135-8FORDHMFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Cansin Sendir+3.6
146-8FORDHMVCUKillDunja Marticset Cansin Sendir+2.6
157-8VCUVCUBlockedMila Micunovicblk Nina Boledovicova, Cansin Sendir+3.6
167-9VCUFORDHMServe errVCU+3.0
178-9FORDHMVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.9
189-9VCUVCUAceDunja Martic+4.0
199-10VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+3.2
2010-10FORDHMVCU×3KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+3.2
2111-10VCUVCU×3KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+4.3
2212-10VCUVCU×3AceNina Boledovicovaaced Johanna Franzen+4.2
2312-11VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+3.1
2412-12FORDHMFORDHMBlockedLara Del Coreblk Johanna Franzen, Sophia Kuyn+4.4
2513-12FORDHMVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+3.6
2613-13VCUFORDHMBad setLara Del Core+3.6
2714-13FORDHMVCU×3KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+3.7
2815-13VCUVCU×3KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+4.8
2916-13VCUVCU×3BlockedBridget Woodruffblk Letizia Galli, Dunja Martic+4.4
3016-14VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+3.0
3117-14FORDHMVCUKillDunja Marticset Cansin Sendir+3.6
3218-14VCUVCUAceKayla Foleyaced Lola Fernandez+3.9
3318-15VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+2.3
3418-16FORDHMFORDHMBlockedJordan Bakshblk Mila Micunovic, Tatum Holderied+4.0
3519-16FORDHMVCU×3KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+3.9
3620-16VCUVCU×3Attack errMila Micunovic+4.0
3721-16VCUVCU×3KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.8
3821-17VCUFORDHMAttack errLara Del Core+1.3
3921-18FORDHMFORDHMServe errFordham+2.7
4022-18FORDHMVCUAttack errMila Micunovic+3.1
4122-19VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.8
4223-19FORDHMVCUServe errFordham+3.0
4323-20VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.5
4424-20FORDHMVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+2.7
4525-20VCUVCUBlockedBridget Woodruffblk Letizia Galli, Gabby LaPata+2.0
Set 5
10-1FORDHM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+8.5
21-1FORDHMVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+6.5
32-1VCUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+8.7
42-2VCUFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+6.8
53-2FORDHMVCU×3KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+7.1
64-2VCUVCU×3KillNina Boledovicova+9.0
75-2VCUVCU×3KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+8.4
85-3VCUFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+5.7
96-3FORDHMVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+6.8
107-3VCUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+7.5
117-4VCUFORDHM×3Attack errDunja Martic+4.7
127-5FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordham+7.7
137-6FORDHMFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+9.5
148-6FORDHMVCUBad setGiada Ianuale+8.5
159-6VCUVCUBlockedMila Micunovicblk Cansin Sendir, Nina Boledovicova+9.8
169-7VCUFORDHMBlockedNina Boledovicovablk Tatum Holderied, Mila Micunovic+6.2
1710-7FORDHMVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+8.0
1810-8VCUFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+6.3
1911-8FORDHMVCU×4KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+8.4
2012-8VCUVCU×4KillGabby LaPata+8.0
2113-8VCUVCU×4KillLara Del Coreset Kayla Foley+4.6
2214-8VCUVCU×4AceCansin Sendir+1.9
2314-9VCUFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.3
2415-9FORDHMVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+0.7

Score shown after each rally, VCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).