FinalTue, Nov 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Purdue Fort Wayne def. IU Indy 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: IU Indy 70.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 3, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Purdue Fort Wayne won at IU Indy 3-0 (25-22, 25-20, 25-23) on Tue, Nov 3, 2026. Purdue Fort Wayne's Riley Rosneck led with 15 kills, and Becky Barrett added 13 digs.

Data through · final Nov 3

Set123Sets
IPFW2525253
IUINDY2220230

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Purdue Fort Wayne 30%. Purdue Fort Wayne won anyway.

The match turned once. Numbers are Purdue Fort Wayne's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, IU Indy was RallyIQ's 70% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Purdue Fort Wayne 12–12 IU Indy

    From 12–12, Purdue Fort Wayne scored 4 straight to lead 16–12.

    Purdue Fort Wayne 53% → 68%

IU Indy above 50Purdue Fort Wayne belowMax swing 8.0%

Purdue Fort WayneIU Indy

Sideout %
Purdue Fort Wayne 66.7·IU Indy 58.1
Break %
Purdue Fort Wayne 41.9·IU Indy 33.3
Hitting
Purdue Fort Wayne .218·IU Indy .212
Longest run
Purdue Fort Wayne 4·IU Indy 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

IU Indy above 50 · Purdue Fort Wayne below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.0% IPFWrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Purdue Fort Wayne — set 3, IPFW 25-23 IUINDY. Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means). IUINDY win probability 8% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IPFW 32.6%67.4% IUINDY

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0
6.5%
3-1
11.6%
3-2
14.6%

IU Indy wins

3-0
21.5%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
20.0%
IPFW break %
40.1% vs this opp
IUINDY break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Riley RosneckKill+8.0%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 3 · IPFW 25-23 IUINDY · IPFW 92% → 100%

  2. 02
    Jillian TippmannService error+5.9%

    Service error by Jillian Tippmann

    Set 3 · IPFW 24-22 IUINDY · IPFW 89% → 95%

  3. 03

    Bailey Sinish stuffed by Trinity Rye & Mya Plemons

    Set 1 · IPFW 21-19 IUINDY · IPFW 36% → 41%

  4. 04

    Kill by Miona Dimitric (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 1 · IPFW 24-21 IUINDY · IPFW 44% → 49%

  5. 05
    Riley RosneckAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Riley Rosneck

    Set 3 · IPFW 23-22 IUINDY · IUINDY 6% → 11%

  6. 06
    Lauren WhiteService error+4.8%

    Service error by Lauren White

    Set 1 · IPFW 23-21 IUINDY · IPFW 39% → 44%

  7. 07
    Chloe MaciasAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Chloe Macias

    Set 1 · IPFW 22-19 IUINDY · IPFW 41% → 46%

  8. 08
    Trinity RyeAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Trinity Rye

    Set 1 · IPFW 22-21 IUINDY · IUINDY 56% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315538.26300160010.515.5
313927.14800110010.513.5
310323.3040137010112
36110.500000000217
3116.000410080010.51.5
3026-.33300010010.50.5
3000–011000001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–1011300000
3000–0001110000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals4521110.218422747116475
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312121.52400020334.516.5
36120.250100600006
34317.05901061010.55.5
3328.125100000003
3115.0002801701012
3001.000100600000
36517.059003100217
3307.42900121010.53.5
3123-.33300000010.51.5
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–202800000
3000–202000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals361599.212351938248865

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs IU Indy

Season series · Purdue Fort Wayne leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 IPFW · IUINDY 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 IPFWIUINDY 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 IPFWIUINDY 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 IPFWIUINDY 4

Bars above the line = IU Indy leads, below = Purdue Fort Wayne leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Purdue Fort Wayne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
38%3/8
2
75%6/8
14%1/7
3
63%5/8
58%7/12
4
67%4/6
64%7/11
5
100%4/4
20%1/5
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
67%29/43
43%21/49

IU Indy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
38%3/8
2
60%6/10
25%2/8
3
33%4/12
25%2/8
4
50%4/8
50%4/8
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
100%4/4
33%2/6
All
57%28/49
33%14/43

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#IPFW-IUINDYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.3
21-1IPFWIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.6
32-1IUINDYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.7
42-2IPFWIUINDYServe errTrinity Rye+1.6
53-2IUINDYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.7
64-2IPFWIPFWAttack errJillian Tippmann+2.5
74-3IPFWIUINDYServe errMiona Dimitric+1.7
84-4IUINDYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephens+2.4
95-4IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.8
105-5IPFWIUINDYServe errAva Tester+1.7
116-5IUINDYIPFWServe errLaura Roeder+1.9
126-6IPFWIUINDYAttack errBella Dibuonoset Haiden Means+1.8
137-6IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.9
147-7IPFWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+1.8
158-7IUINDYIPFWAttack errChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.0
168-8IPFWIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.9
178-9IUINDYIUINDYBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Amanda Stephens, Bailey Sinish+2.6
189-9IUINDYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.0
199-10IPFWIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.9
209-11IUINDYIUINDY×3KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+2.6
219-12IUINDYIUINDY×3KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+2.3
2210-12IUINDYIPFW×4BlockedJillian Tippmannblk Miona Dimitric+1.5
2311-12IPFWIPFW×4KillMya Plemons+2.5
2412-12IPFWIPFW×4Attack errBailey Sinish+3.0
2513-12IPFWIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneck+3.3
2613-13IPFWIUINDY×3KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.3
2713-14IUINDYIUINDY×3AceBailey Sinishaced Ellie Adams+3.2
2813-15IUINDYIUINDY×3KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.0
2914-15IUINDYIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.1
3015-15IPFWIPFW×4Attack errJillian Tippmann+3.4
3116-15IPFWIPFW×4KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+3.8
3217-15IPFWIPFW×4Attack errJillian Tippmann+3.9
3317-16IPFWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.5
3417-17IUINDYIUINDYAttack errRiley Rosneck+3.9
3518-17IUINDYIPFWServe errLaura Roeder+3.1
3618-18IPFWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Elle Patterson+2.9
3719-18IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.4
3819-19IPFWIUINDYServe errRiley Rosneck+3.2
3920-19IUINDYIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.7
4021-19IPFWIPFW×3BlockedBailey Sinishblk Trinity Rye, Mya Plemons+5.2
4122-19IPFWIPFW×3Attack errChloe Macias+4.5
4222-20IPFWIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.1
4322-21IUINDYIUINDYAttack errTrinity Rye+4.4
4423-21IUINDYIPFWServe errLauren White+4.8
4524-21IPFWIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+4.9
4624-22IPFWIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+1.3
4725-22IUINDYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+3.4
Set 2
10-1IUINDYIUINDYAttack errTrinity Rye+2.7
21-1IUINDYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.0
31-2IPFWIUINDYKillAmanda Stephens+2.0
42-2IUINDYIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.1
53-2IPFWIPFW×3AceMiona Dimitricaced Bailey Sinish+3.0
64-2IPFWIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.2
74-3IPFWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.1
85-3IUINDYIPFWServe errJillian Tippmann+2.4
96-3IPFWIPFWAttack errGrace Purichia+3.3
106-4IPFWIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Ninah Miranda+2.1
116-5IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Chloe Macias+3.1
127-5IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.5
138-5IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.5
148-6IPFWIUINDYBlockedRiley Rosneckblk Grace Purichia+2.2
159-6IUINDYIPFWServe errLauren White+2.6
169-7IPFWIUINDY×3KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+2.3
179-8IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errTrinity Rye+3.4
189-9IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedBella Dibuonoblk Amanda Stephens+3.5
1910-9IUINDYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.7
2010-10IPFWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.6
2111-10IUINDYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.8
2211-11IPFWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.7
2312-11IUINDYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.9
2412-12IPFWIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.8
2513-12IUINDYIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.0
2614-12IPFWIPFW×4Attack errLila Britt+4.3
2715-12IPFWIPFW×4BlockedElle Pattersonblk Riley Rosneck, Bella Dibuono+4.3
2816-12IPFWIPFW×4KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+3.9
2916-13IPFWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.2
3017-13IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.9
3117-14IPFWIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.2
3218-14IUINDYIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneck+3.0
3319-14IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+3.2
3420-14IPFWIPFW×3Attack errBailey Sinish+2.3
3520-15IPFWIUINDYBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Amanda Stephens, Maia Long+0.9
3621-15IUINDYIPFWServe errGrace Purichia+1.5
3721-16IPFWIUINDY×3KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+0.8
3821-17IUINDYIUINDY×3KillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+1.7
3921-18IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errMya Plemons+2.7
4022-18IUINDYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.1
4122-19IPFWIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+1.7
4223-19IUINDYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+3.0
4324-19IPFWIPFWAttack errJillian Tippmann+2.0
4424-20IPFWIUINDYServe errMiona Dimitric+0.3
4525-20IUINDYIPFWServe errJillian Tippmann+0.8
Set 3
10-1IPFWIUINDYServe errBecky Barrett+1.6
20-2IUINDYIUINDYBlockedMiona Dimitricblk Jillian Tippmann, Amanda Stephens+2.1
31-2IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.5
42-2IPFWIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.3
52-3IPFWIUINDY×4KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+1.7
62-4IUINDYIUINDY×4BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Amanda Stephens+2.2
72-5IUINDYIUINDY×4Attack errMiona Dimitric+2.0
82-6IUINDYIUINDY×4KillMaia Longset Grace Purichia+1.8
93-6IUINDYIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.2
103-7IPFWIUINDYBlockedHaiden Meansblk Amanda Stephens+1.3
114-7IUINDYIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.2
125-7IPFWIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.0
136-7IPFW
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
147-7IPFWIPFW×4AceAva Testeraced Maia Long+2.6
157-8IPFWIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Lauren White+1.9
168-8IUINDYIPFWKillHaiden Means+2.0
179-8IPFWIPFWAttack errLila Britt+3.0
189-9IPFWIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Laura Roeder+2.1
199-10IUINDYIUINDYAttack errRiley Rosneck+2.9
2010-10IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.1
2110-11IPFWIUINDYBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Lila Britt, Jillian Tippmann+2.1
2211-11IUINDYIPFWKillTrinity Rye+2.2
2311-12IPFWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.2
2412-12IUINDYIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.3
2513-12IPFW
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.4
2614-12IPFWIPFW×3KillMiona Dimitric+3.6
2714-13IPFWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.3
2815-13IUINDYIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.7
2916-13IPFWIPFWBlockedAmanda Stephensblk Haiden Means, Mya Plemons+3.6
3016-14IPFWIUINDYKillMaia Longset Grace Purichia+2.2
3117-14IUINDYIPFWServe errMaia Long+2.8
3217-15IPFWIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Lauren White+2.2
3318-15IUINDYIPFWBad setLauren White+2.9
3419-15IPFW
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.4
3519-16IPFWIUINDYAttack errTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.7
3620-16IUINDYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.6
3721-16IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.5
3821-17IPFWIUINDY×3Attack errTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+1.0
3921-18IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errTrinity Rye+2.2
4021-19IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errMiona Dimitric+3.2
4122-19IUINDYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.5
4222-20IPFWIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Laura Roeder+2.2
4323-20IUINDYIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.7
4423-21IPFWIUINDYKillMaia Longset Grace Purichia+2.0
4523-22IUINDYIUINDYAttack errRiley Rosneck+4.8
4624-22IUINDYIPFWServe errJillian Tippmann+5.9
4724-23IPFWIUINDYServe errMiona Dimitric+3.2
4825-23IUINDYIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+8.0

Score shown after each rally, Purdue Fort Wayne first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).