Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

George Washington def. Davidson 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: George Washington 54.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

George Washington beat visiting Davidson 3-1 (25-16, 25-11, 16-25, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. George Washington's Riley Samuel led with 14 kills, and Lydia Zeng added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
DAVID161125191
G WASH252516253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the second set broke it open for George Washington.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.6 points. Davidson peaked at 52% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had George Washington at 54%.

DavidsonGeorge Washington
  • Break %+14.2 pts
    34.748.9

    Points won on own serve: 44 of 90 vs 25 of 72. Davidson sided out 51.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.160
    .154.314

    51 kills, 13 errors vs 42 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    67

    George Washington scored 7 straight in the second set to stretch a 12–6 lead to 19–6. The set finished 25–11.

George Washington above 50Davidson belowMax swing 3.6%

DavidsonGeorge Washington

Aces
Davidson 6·George Washington 7
Serve err
Davidson 11·George Washington 10
Blocks
Davidson 5·George Washington 120 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Davidson 52·George Washington 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

George Washington above 50 · Davidson below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.6% G WASHrally 162 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.6% to George Washington — set 1, DAVID 13-14 G WASH. Elena Garcia-guerrios stuffed by Riley Samuel & Abby Markworth. G WASH win probability 54% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAVID 47.8%52.2% G WASH

Davidson wins

3-0
11.6%
3-1
17.8%
3-2
18.4%

George Washington wins

3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.7%
3-2
19.1%
DAVID break %
42.0% vs this opp
G WASH break %
42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Elena Garcia-guerrios stuffed by Riley Samuel & Abby Markworth

    Set 1 · DAVID 13-14 G WASH · G WASH 54% → 57%

  2. 02

    Elena Garcia-guerrios stuffed by Riley Samuel & Abby Markworth

    Set 1 · DAVID 13-15 G WASH · G WASH 57% → 61%

  3. 03

    Kill by Alexis Rodriguez (set by Abby Markworth)

    Set 1 · DAVID 12-12 G WASH · G WASH 50% → 54%

  4. 04

    Kill by Abby Markworth (set by Lydia Zeng)

    Set 1 · DAVID 13-16 G WASH · G WASH 61% → 64%

  5. 05
    Alexis RodriguezAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Alexis Rodriguez

    Set 1 · DAVID 12-10 G WASH · DAVID 49% → 52%

  6. 06

    Kill by Nicanora Clarke (set by Abby Markworth)

    Set 4 · DAVID 0-2 G WASH · G WASH 80% → 83%

  7. 07

    Elena Garcia-guerrios stuffed by Riley Samuel & Nicanora Clarke

    Set 4 · DAVID 1-4 G WASH · G WASH 83% → 86%

  8. 08
    Ngodoo HarrisAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Ngodoo Harris

    Set 4 · DAVID 3-7 G WASH · G WASH 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
491043-.0230115200010
410019.5260013000010
48114.500000000219
47530.0670131010008
4325.200000100003
41011.0002211800002
43312.00000010052.55.5
4102.50000010031.52.5
4000–3211600002
4000–011210001
4002.0001301500000
4011-1.000000000000
4001.000000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–002000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4222130.15438611527010571
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414222.5450001006317
410020.500312101052.513.5
412528.25010010000012
48010.8000001024412
4219.1114222100052.56.5
44531-.0321111120005
41011.000022120003
4000–011200001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–002200000
4000–3001300000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5113121.314507106162201291

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Davidson vs George Washington

Season series · George Washington leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 DAVID · G WASH 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 DAVIDG WASH 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 3 DAVIDG WASH 7

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 DAVIDG WASH 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 DAVIDG WASH 3

Bars above the line = George Washington leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
14%1/7
2
54%7/13
30%3/10
3
71%5/7
36%4/11
4
50%5/10
55%6/11
5
38%5/13
50%5/10
6
71%5/7
29%2/7
All
52%34/65
38%21/56

George Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
29%2/7
2
70%7/10
50%7/14
3
64%7/11
46%6/13
4
36%5/14
44%4/9
5
83%5/6
44%4/9
6
67%4/6
62%8/13
All
63%35/56
48%31/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

162 rallies

#DAVID-G WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1G WASHG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+2.4
20-2G WASHG WASHAceGeorge Washingtonaced Meile Songaila+2.4
31-2G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+1.8
41-3DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+1.9
52-3G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+1.8
62-4DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+1.9
73-4G WASHDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.8
84-4DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.6
95-4DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.7
105-5DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+2.0
115-6G WASHG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+2.7
126-6G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.1
137-6DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.8
147-7DAVIDG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+2.1
158-7G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.2
168-8DAVIDG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+2.2
179-8G WASHDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+2.3
189-9DAVIDG WASHAttack errMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+2.3
1910-9G WASHDAVIDKillMeile Songaila+2.4
2010-10DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+2.3
2111-10G WASHDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2212-10DAVIDDAVIDAttack errAlexis Rodriguez+3.2
2312-11DAVIDG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+2.3
2412-12G WASHG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+3.3
2513-12G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+2.6
2613-13G WASH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
2713-14G WASHG WASH×6BlockedElena Garcia-guerriosblk Riley Samuel, Abby Markworth+3.6
2813-15G WASHG WASH×6BlockedElena Garcia-guerriosblk Riley Samuel, Abby Markworth+3.5
2913-16G WASHG WASH×6KillAbby Markworthset Lydia Zeng+3.2
3013-17G WASHG WASH×6AceGeorge Washington+2.8
3113-18G WASHG WASH×6Attack errElena Garcia-guerrios+2.2
3214-18G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.2
3314-19DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+1.6
3415-19G WASHDAVIDBlockedCayla Coganblk Mia Compas, Ngodoo Harris+1.1
3515-20DAVIDG WASH×4KillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+1.6
3615-21G WASHG WASH×4BlockedMelanie Tillesblk Simone Assasie+1.3
3715-22G WASHG WASH×4Attack errElena Garcia-guerrios+0.7
3815-23G WASHG WASH×4KillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.3
3916-23G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+0.1
4016-24DAVIDG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.1
4116-25G WASHG WASHAceGeorge Washington·
Set 2
10-1DAVIDG WASH×5KillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+1.8
20-2G WASHG WASH×5BlockedMeile Songailablk Simone Assasie, Nicanora Clarke+2.3
30-3G WASHG WASH×5KillTessa De albergariaset Abby Markworth+2.2
40-4G WASHG WASH×5KillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+2.1
50-5G WASHG WASH×5AceGeorge Washingtonaced Elena Garcia-guerrios+1.9
61-5G WASHDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.2
71-6DAVIDG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+1.4
81-7G WASHG WASHBlockedElena Garcia-guerriosblk Riley Samuel, Nicanora Clarke+1.6
92-7G WASHDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
102-8DAVIDG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.2
112-9G WASHG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+1.3
123-9G WASHDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.8
134-9DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidson+1.4
145-9DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errRiley Samuel+1.7
155-10DAVIDG WASH×3KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.5
165-11G WASHG WASH×3AceGeorge Washingtonaced Adlee Grissett+1.6
175-12G WASHG WASH×3BlockedElena Garcia-guerriosblk Riley Samuel, Abby Markworth+1.3
186-12G WASHDAVIDKillElena Garcia-guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.8
196-13DAVIDG WASH×7KillCayla Coganset Alexis Rodriguez+1.0
206-14G WASHG WASH×7AceGeorge Washington+0.9
216-15G WASHG WASH×7KillCayla Coganset Nicanora Clarke+0.6
226-16G WASHG WASH×7Attack errEllie Ocampo+0.4
236-17G WASHG WASH×7Attack errMeile Songaila+0.2
246-18G WASHG WASH×7KillCayla Coganset Nicanora Clarke+0.1
256-19G WASHG WASH×7KillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.1
267-19G WASHDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou·
278-19DAVIDDAVIDAttack errAlexis Rodriguez·
288-20DAVIDG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.1
299-20G WASHDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou·
309-21DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson·
3110-21G WASHDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith·
3210-22DAVIDG WASH×3KillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth·
3310-23G WASHG WASH×3KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth·
3410-24G WASHG WASH×3KillRiley Samuel·
3511-24G WASHDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith·
3611-25DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson·
Set 3
10-1G WASHG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Lydia Zeng+1.5
21-1G WASHDAVID×3Serve errGeorge Washington+1.1
32-1DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errCayla Cogan+1.5
43-1DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-guerrios+1.5
53-2DAVIDG WASHAttack errElena Garcia-guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+1.1
64-2G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+1.2
74-3DAVIDG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+1.1
85-3G WASHDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+1.2
96-3DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errAlexis Rodriguez+1.6
107-3DAVIDDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
117-4DAVIDG WASH×3Serve errDavidson+1.0
127-5G WASHG WASH×3KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.5
137-6G WASHG WASH×3KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.6
148-6G WASHDAVIDAttack errAbby Markworthset Cayla Cogan+1.3
158-7DAVIDG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.2
169-7G WASHDAVIDBlockedCayla Coganblk Cayla Weisner, Ngodoo Harris+1.4
1710-7DAVIDDAVIDBlockedCayla Coganblk Mia Compas, Ngodoo Harris+1.7
1810-8DAVIDG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.2
1910-9G WASHG WASHBlockedMeile Songailablk Abby Markworth, Simone Assasie+1.7
2011-9G WASHDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.4
2112-9DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Alexis Rodriguez+1.8
2212-10DAVIDG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+1.2
2313-10G WASHDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.4
2413-11DAVIDG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+1.3
2514-11G WASHDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.5
2615-11DAVIDDAVID×3KillCayla Weisnerset Kinsey Smith+1.7
2716-11DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Tessa De albergaria+1.4
2816-12DAVIDG WASHBlockedElena Garcia-guerriosblk Simone Assasie, Nicanora Clarke+0.8
2917-12G WASHDAVIDKillKinsey Smithset Nicanora Clarke+1.1
3017-13DAVIDG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.8
3118-13G WASHDAVID×6Serve errGeorge Washington+1.1
3219-13DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errRiley Samuel+1.0
3320-13DAVIDDAVID×6KillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
3421-13DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errCayla Cogan+0.4
3522-13DAVIDDAVID×6BlockedAlexis Rodriguezblk Cayla Weisner, Ngodoo Harris+0.2
3623-13DAVIDDAVID×6AceDavidsonaced Alexis Rodriguez+0.1
3723-14DAVIDG WASHAttack errElena Garcia-guerriosset Ylame Dsamou·
3823-15G WASHG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth·
3924-15G WASHDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Brooke Briscoe·
4024-16DAVIDG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth·
4125-16G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou·
Set 4
10-1DAVIDG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Cayla Cogan+2.4
20-2G WASHG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+3.1
31-2G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.3
41-3DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+2.4
51-4G WASHG WASHBlockedElena Garcia-guerriosblk Riley Samuel, Nicanora Clarke+3.0
62-4G WASHDAVIDKillAriyana Johnson+2.2
72-5DAVIDG WASHServe errDavidson+2.3
83-5G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+2.2
93-6DAVIDG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+2.4
103-7G WASHG WASHAttack errNgodoo Harris+2.9
114-7G WASHDAVIDServe errGeorge Washington+2.0
124-8DAVIDG WASHBlockedMeile Songailablk Abby Markworth, Riley Samuel+2.2
134-9G WASHG WASHBlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Simone Assasie+2.6
145-9G WASHDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+1.7
155-10DAVIDG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+2.0
165-11G WASHG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+2.2
176-11G WASHDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+1.4
186-12DAVIDG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+1.7
196-13G WASHG WASHAceGeorge Washingtonaced Elena Garcia-guerrios+1.7
207-13G WASHDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
218-13DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Tessa De albergaria+1.7
228-14DAVIDG WASH×3KillAlexis Rodriguezset Lydia Zeng+1.7
238-15G WASHG WASH×3KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.7
248-16G WASHG WASH×3Attack errMia Compas+1.2
259-16G WASHDAVIDKillElena Garcia-guerriosset Brooke Briscoe+0.6
269-17DAVIDG WASHKillAbby Markworthset Nicanora Clarke+0.8
2710-17G WASHDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.5
2811-17DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedAlexis Rodriguezblk Ngodoo Harris, Cayla Weisner+1.0
2912-17DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
3012-18DAVIDG WASHAttack errNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+1.5
3113-18G WASHDAVIDKillElena Garcia-guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+1.0
3213-19DAVIDG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+1.5
3314-19G WASHDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.9
3414-20DAVIDG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+1.4
3515-20G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
3615-21DAVIDG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+1.3
3715-22G WASHG WASHBlockedMeile Songailablk Nicanora Clarke, Simone Assasie+0.9
3816-22G WASHDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.3
3916-23DAVIDG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.5
4017-23G WASHDAVID×3Serve errGeorge Washington+0.2
4118-23DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnson+0.4
4219-23DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Nicanora Clarke+0.9
4319-24DAVIDG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.3
4419-25G WASHG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).