NIU vs Purdue Fort Wayne: Purdue Fort Wayne Wins 3-0 (Nov 7)

FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Purdue Fort Wayne 70.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Purdue Fort Wayne beat visiting NIU 3-0 (25-18, 25-16, 25-14) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Purdue Fort Wayne's Trinity Rye and Riley Rosneck led with 14 kills each, and Haiden Means added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT · final Nov 7

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NIU	18	16	14	0
IPFW	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.500 and 14 kills for Riley Rosneck as Purdue Fort Wayne rolled past NIU.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.0 points. NIU peaked at 30% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Purdue Fort Wayne went in as RallyIQ's 71% pick.

NIUPurdue Fort Wayne

Break %+24.8 pts
30.054.8
Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 15 of 50. NIU sided out 45.2% of the time.
Hitting+.271
.105.376
47 K / 12 E against 24 K / 15 E.
Longest run+2
46
6 straight Purdue Fort Wayne points in the third set stretched a 16–13 lead to 22–13. That set ended 25–14.

Purdue Fort Wayne above 50NIU belowMax swing 3.0%

NIUPurdue Fort Wayne

Aces: NIU 3·Purdue Fort Wayne 10
Serve err: NIU 3·Purdue Fort Wayne 9
Blocks: NIU 7·Purdue Fort Wayne 61 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs: NIU 30·Purdue Fort Wayne 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Purdue Fort Wayne above 50 · NIU below

Biggest swing: 3.0% to NIU — set 1, NIU 16-17 IPFW. Trinity Rye stuffed by Naomi Dowd & Rylea Alvin. IPFW win probability 76% → 73%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NIU 25.0%75.0% IPFW

NIU wins

3-0

4.4%

3-1

8.6%

3-2

12.0%

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0

27.0%

3-1

28.7%

3-2

19.3%

NIU break %: 38.9% vs this opp
IPFW break %: 44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Naomi Dowd&Rylea AlvinBlock+3.0%
Trinity Rye stuffed by Naomi Dowd & Rylea Alvin
Set 1 · NIU 16-17 IPFW · NIU 24% → 27%
02
Bella DiBuonoKill+3.0%
Kill by Bella DiBuono (set by Haiden Means)
Set 1 · NIU 16-19 IPFW · IPFW 76% → 79%
03
Trinity RyeKill+2.6%
Kill by Trinity Rye (set by Haiden Means)
Set 2 · NIU 13-14 IPFW · IPFW 82% → 85%
04
Autumn FlynnKill+2.6%
Kill by Autumn Flynn
Set 1 · NIU 8-8 IPFW · NIU 27% → 30%
05
Rylea AlvinKill+2.6%
Kill by Rylea Alvin
Set 2 · NIU 12-11 IPFW · NIU 17% → 19%
06
Purdue Fort WayneAce+2.5%
Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Ava Grevengoed
Set 1 · NIU 8-10 IPFW · IPFW 72% → 74%
07
Bella DiBuonoKill+2.5%
Kill by Bella DiBuono (set by Haiden Means)
Set 2 · NIU 13-15 IPFW · IPFW 85% → 87%
08
Ava GrevengoedAce+2.4%
Ace by Ava Grevengoed on Riley Rosneck
Set 1 · NIU 6-6 IPFW · NIU 27% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

NIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	7	2	17	.294	0	1	0	10	4	0	0	0	8
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	5	3	20	.100	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	6
11Katie PahlOH	3	3	5	18	-.111	1	1	0	3	3	0	4	2	6
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	5
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	1	9	0	0	0	0	0
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
16Lilly AbneyOH	2	5	4	19	.053	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
14Naomi DowdOH	2	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
4Kiana ShieldsMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		24	15	86	.105	20	3	3	30	10	1	12	7	48

Purdue Fort Waynehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Trinity RyeOH	3	14	4	31	.323	0	3	1	4	0	2	1	18
6Riley RosneckOH	3	14	2	24	.500	0	0	2	5	2	1	0.5	14.5
5Mya PlemonsMB	3	6	0	8	.750	1	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
15Bella DiBuonoMB	3	7	2	12	.417	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
19Miona DimitricOH	3	4	3	13	.077	0	2	1	10	1	2	1	7
10Haiden MeansS	3	2	1	5	.200	36	2	1	12	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Ava TesterS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	2	2	0	0	0	2
3Becky BarrettDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	10	0	0	0	1
Team totals		47	12	93	.376	45	10	9	44	3	12	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NIU · IPFW 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 NIUIPFW 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 NIUIPFW 4

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 NIUIPFW 6

Bars above the line = Purdue Fort Wayne leads, below = NIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	0%0/7
2	46%6/13	33%3/9
3	46%6/13	25%2/8
4	38%5/13	14%1/7
5	42%5/12	50%5/10
6	45%5/11	44%4/9
All	45%33/73	30%15/50

Purdue Fort Wayne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%7/7	64%9/14
2	55%6/11	40%4/10
3	100%6/6	45%5/11
4	75%6/8	65%11/17
5	50%5/10	62%8/13
6	63%5/8	38%3/8
All	70%35/50	55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#	NIU-IPFW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NIU	IPFW	Serve err	Kylie Schulze		+1.5
2	0-2	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	Trinity Rye	aced Ava Grevengoed	+2.0
3	1-2	IPFW	NIU	Attack err	Haiden Means		+1.4
4	2-2	NIU	NIU	Ace	Katie Pahl	aced Riley Rosneck	+2.2
5	2-3	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.5
6	2-4	IPFW	IPFW	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Mya Plemons, Riley Rosneck	+2.1
7	3-4	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
8	3-5	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.5
9	4-5	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+1.5
10	4-6	NIU	IPFW	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.5
11	5-6	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
12	6-6	NIU	NIU	Ace	Ava Grevengoed	aced Riley Rosneck	+2.4
13	6-7	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+1.7
14	6-8	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+2.3
15	7-8	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+1.6
16	8-8	NIU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn		+2.6
17	8-9	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.8
18	8-10	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	Purdue Fort Wayne	aced Ava Grevengoed	+2.5
19	8-11	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Ava Tester	+2.2
20	9-11	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
21	9-12	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Becky Barrett	+1.6
22	10-12	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
23	10-13	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+1.6
24	10-14	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	Purdue Fort Wayne		+2.0
25	10-15	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	Purdue Fort Wayne	aced Charlotte Gramzow	+1.6
26	11-15	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.9
27	11-16	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.1
28	12-16	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Charlotte Gramzow	+0.8
29	12-17	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.1
30	13-17	IPFW	NIU×4	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+0.8
31	14-17	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
32	15-17	NIU	NIU×4	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Naomi Dowd, Rylea Alvin	+2.3
33	16-17	NIU	NIU×4	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Naomi Dowd, Rylea Alvin	+3.0
34	16-18	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+2.4
35	16-19	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+3.0
36	16-20	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Becky Barrett	+2.2
37	17-20	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.1
38	17-21	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.5
39	17-22	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Ava Tester	+1.3
40	17-23	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons		+0.6
41	18-23	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Purdue Fort Wayne		+0.1
42	18-24	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.3
43	18-25	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	Purdue Fort Wayne	aced Katie Pahl	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.3
2	1-1	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+1.3
3	1-2	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+1.8
4	1-3	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	Trinity Rye	aced Katie Pahl	+1.7
5	2-3	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Trinity Rye		+1.2
6	3-3	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Katie Pahl	+1.9
7	3-4	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+1.3
8	4-4	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
9	4-5	NIU	IPFW	Serve err	Viktoria Djukic		+1.3
10	4-6	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	Ava Tester	aced Katie Pahl	+1.8
11	5-6	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Ava Tester	+1.3
12	6-6	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+2.0
13	6-7	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.4
14	6-8	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.9
15	7-8	IPFW	NIU	Blocked	Trinity Rye	blk Katie Pahl, Rylea Alvin	+1.3
16	8-8	NIU	NIU	Ace	Charlotte Gramzow	aced Miona Dimitric	+2.1
17	8-9	NIU	IPFW	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.5
18	9-9	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Riley Rosneck		+1.6
19	9-10	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+1.5
20	10-10	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.6
21	10-11	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.6
22	11-11	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
23	12-11	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin		+2.6
24	12-12	NIU	IPFW	Serve err	Autumn Flynn		+1.7
25	13-12	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Miona Dimitric		+1.9
26	13-13	NIU	IPFW×4	Kill	Haiden Means	set Becky Barrett	+1.8
27	13-14	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+2.6
28	13-15	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+2.5
29	13-16	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+2.1
30	14-16	IPFW	NIU	Attack err	Bella DiBuono		+1.3
31	14-17	NIU	IPFW×4	Kill	Haiden Means	set Bella DiBuono	+1.5
32	14-18	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.8
33	14-19	IPFW	IPFW×4	Ace	Haiden Means	aced Lilly Abney	+1.3
34	14-20	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+0.8
35	15-20	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.3
36	15-21	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.5
37	16-21	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.3
38	16-22	NIU	IPFW×4	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.4
39	16-23	IPFW	IPFW×4	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.2
40	16-24	IPFW	IPFW×4	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+0.1
41	16-25	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Becky Barrett	·
Set 3
1	0-1	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+0.7
2	1-1	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.7
3	1-2	NIU	IPFW	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Miona Dimitric, Mya Plemons	+0.7
4	2-2	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.7
5	2-3	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.7
6	2-4	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+1.0
7	2-5	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.9
8	3-5	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.6
9	4-5	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Bella DiBuono		+1.0
10	4-6	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.7
11	4-7	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+0.9
12	4-8	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	Haiden Means	aced Ava Grevengoed	+0.8
13	5-8	IPFW	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.5
14	5-9	NIU	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.6
15	6-9	IPFW	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.5
16	7-9	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Miona Dimitric	blk Rylea Alvin, Katie Pahl	+0.9
17	8-9	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Riley Rosneck	blk Rylea Alvin	+1.1
18	8-10	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.8
19	8-11	IPFW	IPFW×3	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Trinity Rye, Mya Plemons	+1.0
20	8-12	IPFW	IPFW×3	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Miona Dimitric, Mya Plemons	+0.9
21	9-12	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Ava Tester		+0.6
22	9-13	NIU	IPFW	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+0.6
23	10-13	IPFW	NIU×3	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.6
24	11-13	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+1.0
25	12-13	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Miona Dimitric	blk Katie Pahl, Autumn Flynn	+1.2
26	12-14	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Haiden Means	+0.9
27	12-15	IPFW	IPFW×3	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Mya Plemons, Haiden Means	+1.2
28	12-16	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.0
29	13-16	IPFW	NIU	Blocked	Riley Rosneck	blk Autumn Flynn, Katie Pahl	+0.6
30	13-17	NIU	IPFW×6	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.7
31	13-18	IPFW	IPFW×6	Ace	Becky Barrett	aced Ava Grevengoed	+0.7
32	13-19	IPFW	IPFW×6	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.5
33	13-20	IPFW	IPFW×6	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+0.3
34	13-21	IPFW	IPFW×6	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Mya Plemons	+0.1
35	13-22	IPFW	IPFW×6	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Haiden Means	+0.1
36	14-22	IPFW	NIU	Serve err	Becky Barrett		·
37	14-23	NIU	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	·
38	14-24	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	·
39	14-25	IPFW	IPFW×3	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Trinity Rye, Bella DiBuono	·

Score shown after each rally, NIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Purdue Fort Wayne def. NIU 3–0

.500 and 14 kills for Riley Rosneck as Purdue Fort Wayne rolled past NIU.