FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

Texas A&M def. Cal Poly 3–0

Texas A&M beat visiting Cal Poly 3-0 (26-24, 25-15, 25-23) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Texas A&M's Natalie Ring led with 15 kills, and Gabi Rodriguez added 10 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set123Sets
CALPLY2415230
TX A&M2625253

Win probability

Texas A&M above 50 · Cal Poly below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.8% CALPLYrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Cal Poly — set 1, CALPLY 24-24 TX A&M. Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Alexis Haury). TX A&M win probability 87% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALPLY 18.0%82.0% TX A&M

Cal Poly wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.2%

Texas A&M wins

3-0
33.6%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
17.7%
CALPLY break %
35.6% vs this opp
TX A&M break %
42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma FredrickKill+6.8%

    Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Alexis Haury)

    Set 1 · CALPLY 24-24 TX A&M · CALPLY 13% → 20%

  2. 02
    Emma FredrickAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Emma Fredrick

    Set 1 · CALPLY 24-26 TX A&M · TX A&M 84% → 90%

  3. 03
    Eliza SharpKill+4.5%

    Kill by Eliza Sharp (set by Kirra Musgrove)

    Set 1 · CALPLY 24-25 TX A&M · TX A&M 80% → 84%

  4. 04
    Natalie RingKill+4.2%

    Kill by Natalie Ring

    Set 1 · CALPLY 21-23 TX A&M · TX A&M 83% → 87%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kendall Beshear (set by Elif Hurriyet)

    Set 1 · CALPLY 20-20 TX A&M · CALPLY 16% → 20%

  6. 06
    Kirra MusgroveBad set+3.5%

    Bad set by Kirra Musgrove

    Set 1 · CALPLY 17-15 TX A&M · CALPLY 23% → 26%

  7. 07
    Taryn MorrisKill+3.3%

    Kill by Taryn Morris (set by Kirra Musgrove)

    Set 1 · CALPLY 17-17 TX A&M · TX A&M 76% → 79%

  8. 08
    Kendall BeshearAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Kendall Beshear

    Set 1 · CALPLY 17-18 TX A&M · TX A&M 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312737.1350124104215
312325.3601035200012
36214.28600000031.57.5
35214.21400010031.56.5
3001.0003010300001
2013-.333000000000
3000–2021300000
3000–002300000
2104.250000000423
2000–000100000
1000–001000000
Team totals361598.21433210305014762
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315331.38710351010.515.5
39213.53800150052.511.5
39216.4380000004211
36519.053011610218
36211.364100100428
1000–300200000
3003.000343150010.53.5
3000–1101000001
3000–000300000
3000–002000000
Team totals451493.33340583720178.576

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CALPLY · TX A&M 7

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 CALPLYTX A&M 3

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 CALPLYTX A&M 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 CALPLYTX A&M 4

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
53%8/15
2
58%7/12
36%4/11
3
88%7/8
22%2/9
4
55%6/11
50%7/14
5
28%5/18
40%4/10
6
45%5/11
0%0/5
All
50%37/74
39%25/64

Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
60%9/15
2
70%7/10
42%5/12
3
78%7/9
30%3/10
4
54%7/13
22%2/9
5
56%5/9
69%11/16
6
83%5/6
58%7/12
All
61%39/64
50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#CALPLY-TX A&MSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CALPLYTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Lily Nicholson+1.0
20-2TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson+1.5
31-2TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.0
41-3CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+1.0
52-3TX A&MCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.0
63-3CALPLYCALPLYAttack errEliza Sharp+1.8
73-4CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+1.1
84-4TX A&MCALPLYBlockedMegan Fitchblk Breklyn Pulling, Kayla Murdoch+1.2
94-5CALPLYTX A&MBlockedBreklyn Pullingblk Megan Fitch, Eliza Sharp+1.2
105-5TX A&MCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.2
116-5CALPLYCALPLY×3KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.2
127-5CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errMegan Fitch+2.3
137-6CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+1.4
148-6TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.6
158-7CALPLYTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Lily Nicholson+1.4
169-7TX A&MCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.6
179-8CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Gabi Rodriguez+1.4
1810-8TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.7
1910-9CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+1.5
2010-10TX A&MTX A&MAttack errKayla Murdoch+2.4
2111-10TX A&MCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.7
2211-11CALPLYTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+1.5
2311-12TX A&MTX A&MKillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+2.4
2412-12TX A&MCALPLY×4Serve errTexas A&M+1.6
2513-12CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errMegan Fitch+2.8
2614-12CALPLYCALPLY×4KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+3.0
2715-12CALPLYCALPLY×4KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+3.1
2815-13CALPLYTX A&M×3Serve errCal Poly+1.6
2915-14TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedKendall Beshearblk Megan Fitch, Kaia Castle, Kirra Musgrove+2.9
3015-15TX A&MTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+3.0
3116-15TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+2.1
3217-15CALPLYCALPLYBad setKirra Musgrove+3.5
3317-16CALPLYTX A&M×3Serve errCal Poly+1.9
3417-17TX A&MTX A&M×3KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+3.3
3517-18TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errKendall Beshear+3.3
3618-18TX A&MCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.2
3718-19CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+2.2
3818-20TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ring+3.2
3919-20TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+1.8
4020-20CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+3.8
4120-21CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+2.7
4221-21TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+2.8
4321-22CALPLYTX A&MBlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Taryn Morris, Eliza Sharp+3.1
4421-23TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ring+4.2
4522-23TX A&MCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.8
4622-24CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+3.0
4723-24TX A&MCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.6
4824-24CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+6.8
4924-25CALPLYTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+4.5
5024-26TX A&MTX A&MAttack errEmma Fredrick+6.0
Set 2
10-1TX A&MTX A&M×4KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+1.2
20-2TX A&MTX A&M×4KillNatalie Ringset Eliza Sharp+1.1
30-3TX A&MTX A&M×4Bad setElif Hurriyet+1.0
40-4TX A&MTX A&M×4KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+0.8
51-4TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Emma Fredrick+0.5
62-4CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet+0.9
72-5CALPLYTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+0.6
82-6TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedKayla Murdochblk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp+0.9
92-7TX A&MTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Alexis Haury+0.7
103-7TX A&MCALPLYBad setTaryn Morris+0.4
113-8CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+0.4
124-8TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+0.4
134-9CALPLYTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.4
145-9TX A&MCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+0.4
155-10CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+0.4
165-11TX A&MTX A&MKillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
176-11TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.3
186-12CALPLYTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.3
196-13TX A&MTX A&MAceTexas A&Maced Emma Fredrick+0.4
207-13TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.2
218-13CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Natalie Ring+0.4
228-14CALPLYTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+0.3
239-14TX A&MCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+0.3
2410-14CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrick+0.6
2510-15CALPLYTX A&MBlockedEmma Fredrickblk Taryn Morris, Eliza Sharp+0.5
2611-15TX A&MCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.4
2712-15CALPLYCALPLYBlockedNatalie Ringblk Kayla Murdoch, Breklyn Pulling+0.8
2812-16CALPLYTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.7
2913-16TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+0.6
3014-16CALPLYCALPLYAttack errMegan Fitch+1.2
3114-17CALPLYTX A&MKillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.9
3214-18TX A&MTX A&MKillMegan Fitch+1.1
3315-18TX A&MCALPLYAttack errKaia Castle+0.5
3415-19CALPLYTX A&M×7Serve errCal Poly+0.7
3515-20TX A&MTX A&M×7AceTexas A&M+0.7
3615-21TX A&MTX A&M×7Attack errKendall Beshear+0.4
3715-22TX A&MTX A&M×7BlockedKendall Beshearblk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris+0.2
3815-23TX A&MTX A&M×7KillMegan Fitchset Natalie Ring+0.1
3915-24TX A&MTX A&M×7Attack errKendall Beshear·
4015-25TX A&MTX A&M×7AceTexas A&M·
Set 3
11-0CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errKaia Castle+0.7
22-0CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errNatalie Ring+0.8
33-0CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedTaryn Morrisblk Kendall Beshear, Chloe Leluge+0.8
44-0CALPLYCALPLY×4KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.8
54-1CALPLYTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
65-1TX A&MCALPLYBlockedNatalie Ringblk Chloe Leluge, Kendall Beshear+0.6
75-2CALPLYTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
85-3TX A&MTX A&MAttack errEmma Fredrick+0.8
96-3TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+0.6
106-4CALPLYTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
117-4TX A&MCALPLYBlockedMegan Fitchblk Breklyn Pulling, Kayla Murdoch+0.6
128-4CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.9
138-5CALPLYTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
148-6TX A&MTX A&MKillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.8
159-6TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+0.6
1610-6CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.0
1710-7CALPLYTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
1810-8TX A&MTX A&MBlockedKendall Beshearblk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris+0.9
1911-8TX A&MCALPLYServe errTexas A&M+0.7
2011-9CALPLYTX A&M×4KillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.6
2111-10TX A&MTX A&M×4KillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+1.0
2211-11TX A&MTX A&M×4Attack errKendall Beshear+1.0
2311-12TX A&MTX A&M×4KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+0.9
2412-12TX A&MCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.6
2513-12CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.1
2614-12CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedTaryn Morrisblk Kendall Beshear, Chloe Leluge+1.2
2714-13CALPLYTX A&M×3KillTaryn Morrisset Kirra Musgrove+0.7
2814-14TX A&MTX A&M×3AceTexas A&Maced Kendall Beshear+1.1
2914-15TX A&MTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+1.1
3015-15TX A&MCALPLY×3BlockedEliza Sharpblk Chloe Leluge, Kendall Beshear+0.7
3116-15CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdoch+1.3
3217-15CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Megan Fitch+1.4
3317-16CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+0.7
3418-16TX A&MCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.0
3518-17CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+0.8
3619-17TX A&MCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.0
3720-17CALPLYCALPLYKillBreklyn Pulling+1.5
3820-18CALPLYTX A&MServe errCal Poly+0.7
3921-18TX A&MCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.0
4021-19CALPLYTX A&M×4KillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.7
4121-20TX A&MTX A&M×4AceTexas A&Maced Emma Fredrick+1.4
4221-21TX A&MTX A&M×4KillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+1.8
4321-22TX A&MTX A&M×4Attack errBreklyn Pulling+1.9
4422-22TX A&MCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+1.2
4522-23CALPLYTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+1.4
4622-24TX A&MTX A&MKillTaryn Morris+1.8
4723-24TX A&MCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.6
4823-25CALPLYTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).