CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
Cal Poly logo

AwayBIG-WEST

2:3
UC Davis logo

HomeMOUNTAIN-WEST

UC Davis def. Cal Poly 32

(25-21, 18-25, 23-25, 25-23, 15-12)
Set1*2345Sets
CALPLY21252523122
UC DAV25182325153
  • * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UC DAV above 50 · CALPLY below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100UC DAVCALPLYBiggest swing +13.9% UC DAV · S4 23-24rally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.9% to UC Davis — set 4, CALPLY 23-24 UC DAV. Kill by Allie Caldwell. UC DAV win probability 23%37%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CALPLY 47.9%52.1% UC DAV

Cal Poly wins

3-0
11.6%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%

UC Davis wins

3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%
CALPLY break %
39.1% vs this opp
UC DAV break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Allie CaldwellKill+13.9%

    Kill by Allie Caldwell

    Set 4 · CALPLY 23-24 UC DAV · UC DAV 23%37%

  2. 02
    UC DAV serverAce+12.1%

    UC Davis ace on Team

    Set 4 · CALPLY 23-25 UC DAV · UC DAV 37%49%

  3. 03
    Kayla MurdochAttack error+12.0%

    Attack error by Kayla Murdoch

    Set 5 · CALPLY 10-13 UC DAV · UC DAV 80%92%

  4. 04
    Emma FredrickKill+11.3%

    Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Alexis Haury)

    Set 5 · CALPLY 9-10 UC DAV · CALPLY 21%32%

  5. 05

    Kill by Isabella Umpierre (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 4 · CALPLY 23-23 UC DAV · UC DAV 13%23%

  6. 06
    Isabella UmpierreAttack error+10.5%

    Attack error by Isabella Umpierre

    Set 3 · CALPLY 24-22 UC DAV · CALPLY 57%68%

  7. 07
    Kendall BeshearAttack error+10.3%

    Kendall Beshear stuffed by Isabella Umpierre & Allie Caldwell

    Set 5 · CALPLY 10-12 UC DAV · UC DAV 70%80%

  8. 08
    Kayla MurdochAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Kayla Murdoch

    Set 5 · CALPLY 2-4 UC DAV · UC DAV 59%69%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512245.22210714002113
58217.35300010073.511.5
58741.02402112000010
56514.07100110111.57.5
52021.00038221100215
5001.0002011420000
511431.2261002004213
51011.0001101210002
5000022200002
Team totals4820152.184437146951169106
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151248.06320680010.515.5
5141145.0670015000014
511123.43501240031.513.5
55012.417000101227
5304.7504813130031.55.5
50001111610001
515645.20000020313.518.5
5002.0004112210001
4000110430001
2012-.500000000000
Team totals6331181.177565147574109106

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 CALPLY · UC DAV 5

Set 1*

21-25

Longest run 3 CALPLYUC DAV 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 CALPLYUC DAV 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 CALPLYUC DAV 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 CALPLYUC DAV 5

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 5 CALPLYUC DAV 3

Bars above the line = UC Davis leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
53%9/17
2
59%10/17
17%2/12
3
62%8/13
36%5/14
4
47%7/15
36%4/11
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
46%6/13
61%11/18
All
59%48/81
44%37/85

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
38%5/13
2
91%10/11
33%5/15
3
64%7/11
50%9/18
4
50%7/14
22%2/9
5
44%7/16
53%8/15
6
50%7/14
36%4/11
All
56%48/85
41%33/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

212 rallies

Rally log

#CALPLY-UC DAVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+2.6
20-2UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+2.6
30-3UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.5
41-3UC DAVCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierre+1.5
51-4CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.7
61-5UC DAVUC DAVAttack errKayla Murdoch+2.3
72-5UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+1.4
83-5CALPLYCALPLYAttack errGianna Boganblk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly+2.4
93-6CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.7
103-7UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.4
114-7UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+1.4
124-8CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.6
135-8UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.4
145-9CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.6
156-9UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.4
166-10CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.6
177-10UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+1.4
188-10CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshear+2.6
198-11CALPLYUC DAV×4Serve errCALPLY server+1.9
208-12UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errEmma Fredrick+2.6
218-13UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Rachel Dunagan+2.2
228-14UC DAVUC DAV×4KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.7
239-14UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+0.8
249-15CALPLYUC DAVAttack errIsabella Umpierre+1.1
2510-15UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.8
2610-16CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+1.1
2711-16UC DAVCALPLY×3Bad setIsabella Umpierre+0.7
2812-16CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+1.6
2913-16CALPLYCALPLY×3Bad setMia Starr+2.2
3013-17CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.9
3114-17UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.4
3214-18CALPLYUC DAVAttack errBreklyn Pullingblk Brooke Hibino+1.9
3315-18UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+1.4
3415-19CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.9
3516-19UC DAVCALPLYAttack errBrooke Hibino+1.3
3616-20CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.9
3717-20UC DAVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Elif Hurriyet+1.3
3818-20CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierreblk Charlotte Kelly, Kendall Beshear+3.0
3918-21CALPLYUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+2.7
4019-21UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+1.9
4119-22CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.8
4220-22UC DAVCALPLYFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.8
4321-22CALPLYCALPLYAceCALPLY serveraced Team+4.5
4421-23CALPLYUC DAV×3KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+4.3
4521-24UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC DAV serveraced Team+4.5
4621-25UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.5
Set 2
11-0CALPLYCALPLYAceCALPLY serveraced Rachel Dunagan+2.6
21-1CALPLYUC DAVAttack errCharlotte Kellyblk Allie Caldwell+1.7
31-2UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+2.6
42-2UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.7
52-3CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+1.8
63-3UC DAVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+1.7
73-4CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.8
84-4UC DAVCALPLY×3Bad setMia Starr+1.8
95-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+2.9
106-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.9
116-5CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.8
127-5UC DAVCALPLY×4KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.9
138-5CALPLYCALPLY×4AceCALPLY serveraced Khloe Wong+2.8
149-5CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.6
1510-5CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.2
1610-6CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.2
1710-7UC DAVUC DAVAttack errBreklyn Pulling+2.2
1811-7UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.7
1911-8CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+1.4
2012-8UC DAVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+1.7
2112-9CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.5
2212-10UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.7
2313-10UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+2.1
2413-11CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+1.8
2514-11UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+2.1
2615-11CALPLYCALPLYAttack errGianna Boganblk Breklyn Pulling, Kayla Murdoch+2.8
2715-12CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.5
2816-12UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.9
2917-12CALPLYCALPLYAttack errBrooke Hibino+2.3
3017-13CALPLYUC DAVKillMia Starrset Khloe Wong+1.0
3118-13UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.4
3218-14CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.0
3319-14UC DAVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+1.4
3420-14CALPLYCALPLYAceCALPLY serveraced Ximena Cordero Barr+1.4
3520-15CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.5
3621-15UC DAVCALPLY×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+0.8
3722-15CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errGianna Bogan+0.6
3823-15CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errDemi Cole+0.2
3923-16CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.0
4024-16UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.1
4124-17CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+0.0
4224-18UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.0
4325-18UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+0.1
Set 3
11-0UC DAVCALPLY×3Attack errGianna Bogan+2.3
22-0CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+3.6
33-0CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Gianna Bogan+3.4
43-1CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+2.1
54-1UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Boganblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch+2.3
64-2CALPLYUC DAVAttack errEmma Fredrick+2.1
75-2UC DAVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.3
85-3CALPLYUC DAVAttack errGianna Bogan+2.1
95-4UC DAVUC DAVAttack errEmma Fredrickblk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler+3.6
106-4UC DAVCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+2.5
117-4CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.7
128-4CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCALPLY serveraced Team+3.4
138-5CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.9
149-5UC DAVCALPLY×3KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.3
1510-5CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+3.0
1611-5CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCALPLY serveraced Khloe Wong+2.5
1711-6CALPLYUC DAVBad setEmma Fredrick+1.2
1812-6UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.6
1913-6CALPLYCALPLYAceCALPLY serveraced Khloe Wong+1.9
2013-7CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+0.9
2114-7UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.2
2214-8CALPLYUC DAV×3KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.8
2314-9UC DAVUC DAV×3Bad setElif Hurriyet+1.7
2414-10UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC DAV serveraced Elif Hurriyet+2.4
2515-10UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Kendall Beshear+2.0
2615-11CALPLYUC DAV×4KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.5
2715-12UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+3.1
2815-13UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+3.9
2915-14UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+4.7
3016-14UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+3.5
3116-15CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Isabella Umpierre+3.2
3217-15UC DAVCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierre+3.7
3318-15CALPLYCALPLYAttack errAlly Chandlerblk Breklyn Pulling+5.1
3418-16CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+2.6
3519-16UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+3.4
3619-17CALPLYUC DAV×4KillMia Starrset Isabella Umpierre+2.6
3719-18UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC DAV serveraced Maren O'Farrell+5.5
3819-19UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibino+6.8
3919-20UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+7.5
4020-20UC DAVCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Maren O'Farrell+4.7
4121-20CALPLYCALPLYBad setMia Starr+8.4
4221-21CALPLYUC DAVAttack errKendall Beshearblk Allie Caldwell, Brooke Hibino+5.2
4322-21UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+6.1
4422-22CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+5.8
4523-22UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+7.2
4624-22CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierre+10.5
4724-23CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+3.5
4825-23UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+9.0
Set 4
11-0CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierreblk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly+3.6
21-1CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.3
32-1UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+2.4
42-2CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.4
52-3UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+3.8
63-3UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+2.4
74-3CALPLYCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+3.9
84-4CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.5
95-4UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+2.6
106-4CALPLYCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+4.0
116-5CALPLYUC DAV×4Serve errCALPLY server+2.4
126-6UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC DAV serveraced Maren O'Farrell+4.0
136-7UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errEmma Fredrick+4.1
146-8UC DAVUC DAV×4KillMia Starrset Elif Hurriyet+4.1
157-8UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+2.5
167-9CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.7
178-9UC DAVCALPLY×4Serve errUC DAV server+2.6
189-9CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errBrooke Hibinoblk Charlotte Kelly, Alexis Haury+4.4
1910-9CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errBrooke Hibino+4.6
2011-9CALPLYCALPLY×4KillCharlotte Kelly+4.5
2111-10CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.8
2212-10UC DAVCALPLY×4KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+3.0
2313-10CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+4.4
2414-10CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errGianna Boganblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch+3.9
2515-10CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.2
2615-11CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+1.5
2716-11UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.0
2816-12CALPLYUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.5
2916-13UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+3.1
3016-14UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+4.1
3117-14UC DAVCALPLY×3Serve errUC DAV server+3.3
3218-14CALPLYCALPLY×3Bad setMia Starr+4.1
3319-14CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errGianna Bogan+3.0
3419-15CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.2
3520-15UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.9
3620-16CALPLYUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.1
3720-17UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.8
3820-18UC DAVUC DAV×4KillAllie Caldwell+4.2
3920-19UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errBreklyn Pulling+5.8
4021-19UC DAVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+4.9
4121-20CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+3.9
4222-20UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+5.4
4323-20CALPLYCALPLYServe errCALPLY server+6.3
4423-21CALPLYUC DAV×5KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.1
4523-22UC DAVUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+6.3
4623-23UC DAVUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+10.7
4723-24UC DAVUC DAV×5KillAllie Caldwell+13.9
4823-25UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC DAV serveraced Team+12.1
Set 5
11-0UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+6.0
21-1CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+5.9
31-2UC DAVUC DAVAttack errCharlotte Kellyblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+9.5
42-2UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+6.1
52-3CALPLYUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+6.4
62-4UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errKayla Murdoch+9.8
72-5UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errKayla Murdoch+8.9
83-5UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Kayla Murdoch+4.9
93-6CALPLYUC DAVAttack errEmma Fredrickblk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler+6.0
103-7UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+7.7
114-7UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+3.8
124-8CALPLYUC DAV×3Attack errBreklyn Pullingblk Brooke Hibino+5.0
134-9UC DAVUC DAV×3KillGianna Boganset Alexis Haury+5.7
144-10UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errBreklyn Pullingblk Brooke Hibino+3.6
155-10UC DAVCALPLY×5Serve errUC DAV server+1.2
166-10CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errBrooke Hibino+3.2
177-10CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errBrooke Hibinoblk Alexis Haury, Charlotte Kelly+5.2
188-10CALPLYCALPLY×5KillCharlotte Kelly+7.9
199-10CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+11.3
209-11CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+9.4
2110-11UC DAVCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Maren O'Farrell+7.6
2210-12CALPLYUC DAVAttack errKendall Beshearblk Isabella Umpierre, Allie Caldwell+10.3
2310-13UC DAVUC DAVAttack errKayla Murdoch+12.0
2411-13UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+4.1
2511-14CALPLYUC DAVServe errCALPLY server+7.7
2612-14UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC DAV server+2.7
2712-15CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+6.8

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.