Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

UC Davis def. Cal Poly 3–2

UC Davis beat visiting Cal Poly 3-2 (25-21, 18-25, 23-25, 25-23, 15-12) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. UC Davis' Isabella Umpierre and Brooke Hibino led with 15 kills each, and Ximena Cordero Barr added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set12345Sets
CALPLY21252523122
UC DAV25182325153

Win probability

UC Davis above 50 · Cal Poly below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+12.9% UC DAVrally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.9% to UC Davis — set 5, CALPLY 10-13 UC DAV. Attack error by Kayla Murdoch. UC DAV win probability 78% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALPLY 58.2%41.8% UC DAV

Cal Poly wins

3-0
16.3%
3-1
22.2%
3-2
19.8%

UC Davis wins

3-0
9.4%
3-1
15.3%
3-2
17.1%
CALPLY break %
40.1% vs this opp
UC DAV break %
38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kayla MurdochAttack error+12.9%

    Attack error by Kayla Murdoch

    Set 5 · CALPLY 10-13 UC DAV · UC DAV 78% → 91%

  2. 02
    Allie CaldwellKill+12.9%

    Kill by Allie Caldwell

    Set 4 · CALPLY 23-24 UC DAV · UC DAV 20% → 33%

  3. 03
    UC DavisAce+11.8%

    UC Davis ace

    Set 4 · CALPLY 23-25 UC DAV · UC DAV 33% → 45%

  4. 04
    Emma FredrickKill+11.7%

    Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Alexis Haury)

    Set 5 · CALPLY 9-10 UC DAV · CALPLY 23% → 35%

  5. 05

    Kendall Beshear stuffed by Isabella Umpierre & Allie Caldwell

    Set 5 · CALPLY 10-12 UC DAV · UC DAV 67% → 78%

  6. 06
    Kayla MurdochAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Kayla Murdoch

    Set 5 · CALPLY 2-4 UC DAV · UC DAV 55% → 65%

  7. 07
    Isabella UmpierreAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Isabella Umpierre

    Set 3 · CALPLY 24-22 UC DAV · CALPLY 63% → 73%

  8. 08
    Cal PolyService error+9.9%

    Cal Poly service error

    Set 5 · CALPLY 9-11 UC DAV · UC DAV 65% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512245.22210714002113
58217.35300010073.511.5
58741.02402112000010
56514.07100110111.57.5
52021.00038221100215
5001.0002011420000
511431.2261002004213
51011.0001101210002
5000–022200002
Team totals4820152.184437146951169106
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151248.06320680010.515.5
5141145.0670015000014
511123.43501240031.513.5
55012.417000101227
5304.7504813130031.55.5
5000–1111610001
515645.20000020313.518.5
5002.0004112210001
4000–110430001
2012-.500000000000
Team totals6331181.177565147574109106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CALPLY · UC DAV 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 CALPLYUC DAV 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 CALPLYUC DAV 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 CALPLYUC DAV 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 CALPLYUC DAV 5

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 5 CALPLYUC DAV 3

Bars above the line = UC Davis leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
53%9/17
2
59%10/17
17%2/12
3
62%8/13
36%5/14
4
47%7/15
36%4/11
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
46%6/13
61%11/18
All
59%48/81
44%37/85

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
38%5/13
2
91%10/11
33%5/15
3
64%7/11
50%9/18
4
50%7/14
22%2/9
5
44%7/16
53%8/15
6
50%7/14
36%4/11
All
56%48/85
41%33/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

212 rallies

#CALPLY-UC DAVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+2.6
20-2UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+2.7
30-3UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.6
41-3UC DAVCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierre+1.6
51-4CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.8
61-5UC DAVUC DAVAttack errKayla Murdoch+2.5
72-5UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+1.4
83-5CALPLYCALPLYBlockedGianna Boganblk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly+2.5
93-6CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.8
103-7UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.6
114-7UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+1.5
124-8CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.7
135-8UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.5
145-9CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.8
156-9UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.5
166-10CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.8
177-10UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+1.5
188-10CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshear+2.7
198-11CALPLYUC DAV×4Serve errCal Poly+2.1
208-12UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errEmma Fredrick+2.9
218-13UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Rachel Dunagan+2.4
228-14UC DAVUC DAV×4KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.9
239-14UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+0.9
249-15CALPLYUC DAVAttack errIsabella Umpierre+1.3
2510-15UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.9
2610-16CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+1.2
2711-16UC DAVCALPLY×3Bad setIsabella Umpierre+0.8
2812-16CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+1.8
2913-16CALPLYCALPLY×3Bad setMia Starr+2.4
3013-17CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.0
3114-17UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.5
3214-18CALPLYUC DAVBlockedBreklyn Pullingblk Brooke Hibino+2.1
3315-18UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+1.5
3415-19CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.1
3516-19UC DAVCALPLYAttack errBrooke Hibino+1.4
3616-20CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.1
3717-20UC DAVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Elif Hurriyet+1.4
3818-20CALPLYCALPLYBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Charlotte Kelly, Kendall Beshear+3.1
3918-21CALPLYUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+2.9
4019-21UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+2.0
4119-22CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+3.0
4220-22CALPLY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
4321-22CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Poly+4.7
4421-23CALPLYUC DAV×3KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+4.5
4521-24UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davis+4.8
4621-25UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.7
Set 2
11-0CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Rachel Dunagan+2.8
21-1CALPLYUC DAVBlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Allie Caldwell+1.8
31-2UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+2.9
42-2UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.9
52-3CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+2.0
63-3UC DAVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+1.9
73-4CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.0
84-4UC DAVCALPLY×3Bad setMia Starr+2.0
95-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+3.1
106-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+3.0
116-5CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.9
127-5UC DAVCALPLY×4KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+2.0
138-5CALPLYCALPLY×4AceCal Polyaced Khloe Wong+2.9
149-5CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.5
1510-5CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.2
1610-6CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.2
1710-7UC DAVUC DAVAttack errBreklyn Pulling+2.2
1811-7UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.7
1911-8CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+1.5
2012-8UC DAVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+1.7
2112-9CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.5
2212-10UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.8
2313-10UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+2.1
2413-11CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+1.9
2514-11UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+2.2
2615-11CALPLYCALPLYBlockedGianna Boganblk Breklyn Pulling, Kayla Murdoch+2.8
2715-12CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.5
2816-12UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.9
2917-12CALPLYCALPLYAttack errBrooke Hibino+2.2
3017-13CALPLYUC DAVKillMia Starrset Khloe Wong+1.0
3118-13UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.4
3218-14CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.0
3319-14UC DAVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+1.4
3420-14CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Ximena Cordero Barr+1.3
3520-15CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.5
3621-15UC DAVCALPLY×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+0.8
3722-15CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errGianna Bogan+0.5
3823-15CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errDemi Cole+0.2
3923-16CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr·
4024-16UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.1
4124-17CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly·
4224-18UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr·
4325-18UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+0.1
Set 3
11-0UC DAVCALPLY×3Attack errGianna Bogan+2.2
22-0CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+3.4
33-0CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Gianna Bogan+3.2
43-1CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+1.9
54-1UC DAVCALPLYBlockedGianna Boganblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch+2.1
64-2CALPLYUC DAVAttack errEmma Fredrick+2.0
75-2UC DAVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.1
85-3CALPLYUC DAVAttack errGianna Bogan+2.0
95-4UC DAVUC DAVBlockedEmma Fredrickblk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler+3.5
106-4UC DAVCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+2.4
117-4CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.4
128-4CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Poly+3.1
138-5CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.8
149-5UC DAVCALPLY×3KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+2.0
1510-5CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+2.7
1611-5CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Khloe Wong+2.1
1711-6CALPLYUC DAVBad setEmma Fredrick+1.1
1812-6UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.4
1913-6CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Khloe Wong+1.6
2013-7CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+0.7
2114-7UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.0
2214-8CALPLYUC DAV×3KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.7
2314-9UC DAVUC DAV×3Bad setElif Hurriyet+1.5
2414-10UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Elif Hurriyet+2.1
2515-10UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Kendall Beshear+1.8
2615-11CALPLYUC DAV×4KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.3
2715-12UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.8
2815-13UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+3.6
2915-14UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+4.5
3016-14UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+3.3
3116-15CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Isabella Umpierre+3.1
3217-15UC DAVCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierre+3.5
3318-15CALPLYCALPLYBlockedAlly Chandlerblk Breklyn Pulling+4.7
3418-16CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+2.5
3519-16UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+3.2
3619-17CALPLYUC DAV×4KillMia Starrset Isabella Umpierre+2.5
3719-18UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC Davisaced Maren O'Farrell+5.2
3819-19UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibino+6.6
3919-20UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+7.6
4020-20UC DAVCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Maren O'Farrell+4.7
4121-20CALPLYCALPLYBad setMia Starr+8.2
4221-21CALPLYUC DAVBlockedKendall Beshearblk Allie Caldwell, Brooke Hibino+5.2
4322-21UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+6.0
4422-22CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+5.8
4523-22UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+7.0
4624-22CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIsabella Umpierre+9.9
4724-23CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+3.3
4825-23UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+8.3
Set 4
11-0CALPLYCALPLYBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly+3.2
21-1CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.1
32-1UC DAVCALPLYAttack errGianna Bogan+2.1
42-2CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.2
52-3UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+3.5
63-3UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+2.2
74-3CALPLYCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+3.5
84-4CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+2.2
95-4UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+2.3
106-4CALPLYCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+3.4
116-5CALPLYUC DAV×4Serve errCal Poly+2.2
126-6UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC Davisaced Maren O'Farrell+3.6
136-7UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errEmma Fredrick+3.8
146-8UC DAVUC DAV×4KillMia Starrset Elif Hurriyet+3.9
157-8UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+2.4
167-9CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.6
178-9UC DAVCALPLY×4Serve errUC Davis+2.4
189-9CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Charlotte Kelly, Alexis Haury+4.0
1910-9CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errBrooke Hibino+4.1
2011-9CALPLYCALPLY×4KillCharlotte Kelly+4.0
2111-10CALPLYUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.4
2212-10UC DAVCALPLY×4KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+2.6
2313-10CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.7
2414-10CALPLYCALPLY×4BlockedGianna Boganblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch+3.2
2515-10CALPLYCALPLY×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+2.5
2615-11CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+1.2
2716-11UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.6
2816-12CALPLYUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.2
2916-13UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+2.6
3016-14UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+3.5
3117-14UC DAVCALPLY×3Serve errUC Davis+2.7
3218-14CALPLYCALPLY×3Bad setMia Starr+3.4
3319-14CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errGianna Bogan+2.4
3419-15CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.0
3520-15UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.5
3620-16CALPLYUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.9
3720-17UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.3
3820-18UC DAVUC DAV×4KillAllie Caldwell+3.5
3920-19UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errBreklyn Pulling+5.1
4021-19UC DAVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury+4.2
4121-20CALPLYUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+3.5
4222-20UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+4.6
4323-20CALPLYCALPLYServe errCal Poly+5.3
4423-21CALPLYUC DAV×5KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.8
4523-22UC DAVUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr+5.4
4623-23UC DAVUC DAV×5KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+9.5
4723-24UC DAVUC DAV×5KillAllie Caldwell+12.9
4823-25UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC Davis+11.8
Set 5
11-0UC DAVCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+5.8
21-1CALPLYUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+5.9
31-2UC DAVUC DAVBlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+9.7
42-2UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+6.1
52-3CALPLYUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+6.6
62-4UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errKayla Murdoch+10.1
72-5UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errKayla Murdoch+9.5
83-5UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Kayla Murdoch+5.2
93-6CALPLYUC DAVBlockedEmma Fredrickblk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler+6.4
103-7UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+8.5
114-7UC DAVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+4.1
124-8CALPLYUC DAV×3BlockedBreklyn Pullingblk Brooke Hibino+5.6
134-9UC DAVUC DAV×3KillGianna Boganset Alexis Haury+6.4
144-10UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedBreklyn Pullingblk Brooke Hibino+4.1
155-10UC DAVCALPLY×5Serve errUC Davis+1.4
166-10CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errBrooke Hibino+3.6
177-10CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Alexis Haury, Charlotte Kelly+5.7
188-10CALPLYCALPLY×5KillCharlotte Kelly+8.5
199-10CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+11.7
209-11CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+9.9
2110-11UC DAVCALPLYKillAlexis Hauryset Maren O'Farrell+7.9
2210-12CALPLYUC DAVBlockedKendall Beshearblk Isabella Umpierre, Allie Caldwell+10.9
2310-13UC DAVUC DAVAttack errKayla Murdoch+12.9
2411-13UC DAVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+4.3
2511-14CALPLYUC DAVServe errCal Poly+8.5
2612-14UC DAVCALPLYServe errUC Davis+2.9
2712-15CALPLYUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+7.6

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).