FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeSEC

Mississippi St. def. Georgia St. 3–0

(25-20, 25-21, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GA ST	20	21	22	0
MISSST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MISSST above 50 · GA ST below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Georgia St. — set 1, GA ST 16-11 MISSST. Georgia St. ace on Mary Neal. MISSST win probability 87% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GA ST 6.3%93.7% MISSST

Georgia St. wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.8%

3-2

3.7%

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

52.1%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

11.1%

GA ST break %: 39.6% vs this opp
MISSST break %: 51.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
GA ST serverAce+1.6%
Georgia St. ace on Mary Neal
Set 1 · GA ST 16-11 MISSST · GA ST 13% → 15%
02
Lindsey MangelsonAttack error+1.6%
Lindsey Mangelson stuffed by Akira Burt & Jayden Eaker
Set 1 · GA ST 14-10 MISSST · GA ST 11% → 13%
03
Ava AndersonAttack error+1.5%
Ava Anderson stuffed by Sophia Johnson & Jayden Eaker
Set 1 · GA ST 13-10 MISSST · GA ST 10% → 11%
04
MISSST serverAce+1.5%
Mississippi St. ace on Isabel Morales
Set 1 · GA ST 16-15 MISSST · MISSST 89% → 91%
05
MISSST serverAce+1.5%
Mississippi St. ace on Isabel Morales
Set 1 · GA ST 16-16 MISSST · MISSST 91% → 92%
06
Bernardita AguilarKill+1.4%
Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 1 · GA ST 16-14 MISSST · MISSST 88% → 89%
07
Noella ObiAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Noella Obi
Set 1 · GA ST 20-21 MISSST · GA ST 5% → 6%
08
Bernardita AguilarKill+1.4%
Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 1 · GA ST 20-22 MISSST · MISSST 94% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Georgia St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Akira BurtMB	3	15	6	42	.214	0	1	0	2	0	2	1	17
11Sophia JohnsonOH	3	8	2	25	.240	2	0	1	8	1	3	1.5	9.5
17Mina OlgarMB	3	3	2	10	.100	1	1	2	2	0	3	1.5	5.5
15Jayden EakerOPP	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	4.5
3Leilani-Kai GiustaOH	3	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2
2Dariana ValenciaS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	0	0	13	0	0	0	0
12Julie AriasOH	3	4	2	9	.222	1	0	3	8	3	0	0	4
10Annelore EngelsS	3	1	0	4	.250	15	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Isabel MoralesL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	2	3	0	0	1
13Manuela Altieri LievOPP	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Madilyn LenoxMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Sydney CrowderS	1	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	16	113	.177	36	3	7	49	7	14	7	63

Mississippi St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lindsey MangelsonOH	3	12	4	29	.276	0	1	1	8	0	0	2	1	14
1Bernardita AguilarOH	3	10	5	29	.172	0	0	0	8	0	0	2	1	11
20Noella ObiOPP	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	5
24Cayley HansonS	3	2	0	6	.333	31	2	1	8	0	0	2	1	5
8Mary NealDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	0	1
21Ava AndersonMB	2	4	3	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	4	8
28Olivia StantOH	3	5	4	19	.053	0	0	0	4	1	0	2	1	6
4McKenna YatesDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	19	1	0	0	0	2
22Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossMB	2	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
13Sydnie WallerOH	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
17Kyla ScharfmanDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
2Adriana JeanpierreS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Avery PowerDS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	19	113	.204	38	7	3	58	3	2	16	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 GA ST · MISSST 9

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 GA STMISSST 9

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 GA STMISSST 7

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 GA STMISSST 4

Bars above the line = Mississippi St. leads, below = Georgia St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Georgia St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%6/13	58%7/12
2	75%6/8	45%5/11
3	35%6/17	14%1/7
4	50%6/12	50%6/12
5	29%5/17	40%4/10
6	57%4/7	58%7/12
All	45%33/74	47%30/64

Mississippi St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	44%4/9
2	75%6/8	50%6/12
3	67%6/9	63%10/16
4	55%6/11	50%6/12
5	42%5/12	58%7/12
6	42%5/12	62%8/13
All	53%34/64	55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	GA ST-MISSST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Lindsey Mangelson, Ava Anderson	+0.6
2	1-1	MISSST	GA ST×3	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+0.6
3	2-1	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Mina Olgar	+0.8
4	3-1	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.9
5	3-2	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.7
6	4-2	MISSST	GA ST	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.8
7	4-3	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.7
8	4-4	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.8
9	5-4	MISSST	GA ST	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.8
10	5-5	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.7
11	5-6	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Olivia Stant	set McKenna Yates	+0.8
12	6-6	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Leilani-Kai Giusta	set Annelore Engels	+0.7
13	6-7	GA ST	MISSST	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.7
14	7-7	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.7
15	7-8	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.7
16	7-9	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Leilani-Kai Giusta		+0.7
17	8-9	MISSST	GA ST×4	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.7
18	9-9	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Olivia Stant	blk Akira Burt, Mina Olgar	+0.9
19	10-9	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+1.1
20	11-9	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+1.3
21	11-10	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Cayley Hanson		+0.9
22	12-10	MISSST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Ava Anderson	blk Mina Olgar, Sophia Johnson	+1.2
23	13-10	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Ava Anderson	blk Sophia Johnson, Jayden Eaker	+1.5
24	14-10	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson	blk Akira Burt, Jayden Eaker	+1.6
25	14-11	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+1.0
26	15-11	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Isabel Morales	+1.4
27	16-11	GA ST	GA ST	Ace	GA ST server	aced Mary Neal	+1.6
28	16-12	GA ST	MISSST×9	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
29	16-13	MISSST	MISSST×9	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.3
30	16-14	MISSST	MISSST×9	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.4
31	16-15	MISSST	MISSST×9	Ace	MISSST server	aced Isabel Morales	+1.5
32	16-16	MISSST	MISSST×9	Ace	MISSST server	aced Isabel Morales	+1.5
33	16-17	MISSST	MISSST×9	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+1.4
34	16-18	MISSST	MISSST×9	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Noella Obi, Lindsey Mangelson	+1.2
35	16-19	MISSST	MISSST×9	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
36	16-20	MISSST	MISSST×9	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+0.7
37	17-20	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Sydney Crowder	+0.5
38	18-20	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson	blk Manuela Altieri Liev, Jayden Eaker	+0.9
39	18-21	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
40	19-21	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Leilani-Kai Giusta	set Sydney Crowder	+0.7
41	20-21	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Noella Obi		+1.4
42	20-22	GA ST	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+1.4
43	20-23	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Leilani-Kai Giusta	blk Ava Anderson, Bernardita Aguilar	+1.2
44	20-24	MISSST	MISSST×4	Bad set	Sydney Crowder		+0.6
45	20-25	MISSST	MISSST×4	Attack err	Julie Arias	blk Ava Anderson, Bernardita Aguilar	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	GA ST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Sophia Johnson	blk Ava Anderson, Cayley Hanson	+0.3
2	0-2	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Mina Olgar	blk Noella Obi	+0.4
3	0-3	MISSST	MISSST×3	Bad set	Sophia Johnson		+0.3
4	1-3	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.3
5	1-4	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
6	2-4	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
7	2-5	GA ST	MISSST	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.3
8	3-5	MISSST	GA ST	Attack err	Olivia Stant		+0.3
9	3-6	GA ST	MISSST	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.3
10	4-6	MISSST	GA ST	Bad set	Cayley Hanson		+0.3
11	5-6	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
12	5-7	GA ST	MISSST×7	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
13	5-8	MISSST	MISSST×7	Kill	Ava Anderson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
14	5-9	MISSST	MISSST×7	Bad set	Sophia Johnson		+0.3
15	5-10	MISSST	MISSST×7	Attack err	Jayden Eaker	blk Olivia Stant, Ava Anderson	+0.2
16	5-11	MISSST	MISSST×7	Ace	MISSST server	aced Sophia Johnson	+0.2
17	5-12	MISSST	MISSST×7	Kill	Olivia Stant		+0.1
18	5-13	MISSST	MISSST×7	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Ava Anderson	+0.1
19	6-13	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Isabel Morales	+0.1
20	6-14	GA ST	MISSST	Attack err	Sophia Johnson	blk Cayley Hanson, Ava Anderson	+0.1
21	7-14	MISSST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.1
22	8-14	GA ST	GA ST×3	Ace	GA ST server	aced McKenna Yates	+0.1
23	9-14	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Ava Anderson		+0.2
24	9-15	GA ST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
25	9-16	MISSST	MISSST×3	Ace	MISSST server	aced Isabel Morales	+0.1
26	9-17	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.1
27	10-17	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.0
28	11-17	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.1
29	11-18	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
30	12-18	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.1
31	12-19	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
32	12-20	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.1
33	13-20	MISSST	GA ST×4	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.0
34	14-20	GA ST	GA ST×4	Ace	GA ST server	aced Olivia Stant	+0.1
35	15-20	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Olivia Stant		+0.1
36	16-20	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Annelore Engels	set Sophia Johnson	+0.2
37	16-21	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Olivia Stant	set McKenna Yates	+0.2
38	16-22	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Sydnie Waller	set Avery Power	+0.2
39	17-22	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Annelore Engels	+0.1
40	18-22	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Julie Arias	+0.2
41	18-23	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
42	19-23	MISSST	GA ST×3	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Dariana Valencia	+0.1
43	20-23	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.2
44	21-23	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
45	21-24	GA ST	MISSST	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.7
46	21-25	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	MISSST	GA ST	Attack err	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss		+0.2
2	1-1	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
3	1-2	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Cayley Hanson	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
4	2-2	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Julie Arias	set Dariana Valencia	+0.2
5	2-3	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
6	2-4	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+0.2
7	3-4	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Julie Arias	set Dariana Valencia	+0.2
8	4-4	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
9	4-5	GA ST	MISSST×3	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.2
10	4-6	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
11	4-7	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Noella Obi, Olivia Stant	+0.2
12	5-7	MISSST	GA ST	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+0.1
13	5-8	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
14	6-8	MISSST	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.1
15	7-8	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
16	8-8	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
17	9-8	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+0.3
18	9-9	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
19	9-10	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.3
20	10-10	MISSST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
21	11-10	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Olivia Stant	blk Mina Olgar, Annelore Engels	+0.4
22	12-10	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.4
23	12-11	GA ST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Julie Arias		+0.3
24	12-12	MISSST	MISSST×3	Attack err	Mina Olgar		+0.3
25	12-13	MISSST	MISSST×3	Ace	MISSST server	aced Julie Arias	+0.3
26	13-13	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Julie Arias	set Sophia Johnson	+0.3
27	13-14	GA ST	MISSST	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.3
28	13-15	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	MISSST server	aced Julie Arias	+0.3
29	14-15	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Julie Arias	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
30	14-16	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Adriana Jeanpierre	+0.2
31	15-16	MISSST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
32	16-16	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.4
33	16-17	GA ST	MISSST×3	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.3
34	16-18	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
35	16-19	MISSST	MISSST×3	Ace	MISSST server	aced Julie Arias	+0.3
36	17-19	MISSST	GA ST	Serve err	MISSST server		+0.2
37	18-19	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Noella Obi		+0.4
38	18-20	GA ST	MISSST×4	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
39	18-21	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
40	18-22	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.2
41	18-23	MISSST	MISSST×4	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
42	19-23	MISSST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.0
43	20-23	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.1
44	21-23	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar	blk Sophia Johnson, Madilyn Lenox	+0.2
45	21-24	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
46	22-24	MISSST	GA ST	Bad set	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss		+0.1
47	22-25	GA ST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Georgia St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.