Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Arizona St. def. Cal Poly 3–2

Arizona St. won at Cal Poly 3-2 (25-20, 25-19, 21-25, 21-25, 15-11) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Arizona St.'s Una Vajagic led with 21 kills, and Faith Frame added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set12345Sets
AZ ST25252121153
CALPLY20192525112

Win probability

Cal Poly above 50 · Arizona St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+10.1% AZ STrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Arizona St. — set 5, AZ ST 6-5 CALPLY. Arizona St. ace on Emma Fredrick. CALPLY win probability 38% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AZ ST 83.6%16.4% CALPLY

Arizona St. wins

3-0
35.4%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.1%

Cal Poly wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
8.6%
AZ ST break %
43.0% vs this opp
CALPLY break %
35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Arizona St.Ace+10.1%

    Arizona St. ace on Emma Fredrick

    Set 5 · AZ ST 6-5 CALPLY · AZ ST 62% → 72%

  2. 02
    Kiylah PresleyAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Kiylah Presley

    Set 5 · AZ ST 2-3 CALPLY · CALPLY 33% → 42%

  3. 03
    Kendall BeshearAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Kendall Beshear

    Set 5 · AZ ST 7-5 CALPLY · AZ ST 72% → 81%

  4. 04
    Noemie GloverKill+7.6%

    Kill by Noemie Glover (set by Isabella Costantini)

    Set 5 · AZ ST 9-6 CALPLY · AZ ST 82% → 89%

  5. 05
    Arizona St.Service error+7.2%

    Arizona St. service error

    Set 5 · AZ ST 4-5 CALPLY · CALPLY 37% → 44%

  6. 06
    Kayla MurdochKill+6.9%

    Kill by Kayla Murdoch (set by Alexis Haury)

    Set 5 · AZ ST 3-4 CALPLY · CALPLY 37% → 43%

  7. 07
    Una VajagicKill+6.5%

    Kill by Una Vajagic (set by Ziva Labinjan)

    Set 5 · AZ ST 5-5 CALPLY · AZ ST 56% → 62%

  8. 08
    Zoey BurgessKill+6.2%

    Kill by Zoey Burgess (set by Ziva Labinjan)

    Set 5 · AZ ST 4-4 CALPLY · AZ ST 57% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521750.28001192010.522.5
515734.23510040010.515.5
514627.29600010010.514.5
510216.5001033102111
4407.571000000426
4214.2502800500424
5000–042610004
5000–032100003
5011-1.0001510300001
5000–1001100000
3013-.333000000000
3000–1101300000
2001.00000010010.50.5
2000–100000000
Team totals6625143.28758994760147107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520131.6130001002121
513635.20013111100016
511639.12812710102114
5407.57100000052.56.5
5001.000311160010.51.5
2027-.28600000132.52.5
5000–500830000
5000–002100000
46211.36400000052.58.5
4000–1901300000
3617.714000000217
2000–002000000
2000–000210000
Team totals6018138.3045761442912011100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 AZ ST · CALPLY 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 AZ STCALPLY 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 AZ STCALPLY 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 AZ STCALPLY 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 2 AZ STCALPLY 3

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 4 AZ STCALPLY 2

Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = Arizona St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
76%13/17
41%7/17
2
62%13/21
32%6/19
3
67%12/18
41%9/22
4
67%10/15
42%8/19
5
60%9/15
47%8/17
6
60%9/15
25%3/12
All
65%66/101
39%41/106

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
81%13/16
20%3/15
2
57%13/23
35%7/20
3
73%11/15
33%6/18
4
48%10/21
31%5/16
5
56%9/16
36%5/14
6
60%9/15
50%9/18
All
61%65/106
35%35/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#AZ ST-CALPLYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.0
21-1AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.1
32-1CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.0
42-2AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.1
53-2CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.0
63-3AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.1
74-3CALPLYAZ STAttack errEmma Fredrick+1.1
85-3AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Zoey Burgess+1.5
95-4AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+1.0
106-4CALPLYAZ STBlockedKendall Beshearblk Elle Mottola, Ella Lomigora+1.0
116-5AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.0
127-5CALPLYAZ ST×3KillElla Lomigoraset Elle Mottola+1.0
138-5AZ STAZ ST×3AceArizona St.+1.4
149-5AZ STAZ ST×3BlockedKendall Beshearblk Noemie Glover, Ella Lomigora+1.2
159-6AZ STCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.7
169-7CALPLYCALPLYBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly+1.3
1710-7CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+0.9
1810-8AZ STCALPLYAttack errNoemie Glover+0.9
1910-9CALPLYCALPLYBlockedAniya Clintonblk Charlotte Kelly, Kayla Murdoch+1.7
2011-9CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.2
2112-9AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Faith Frame+1.6
2212-10AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.0
2312-11CALPLYCALPLYBlockedZoey Burgessblk Kayla Murdoch, Breklyn Pulling+1.8
2413-11CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.3
2514-11AZ STAZ STKillElle Mottolaset Noemie Glover+1.7
2614-12AZ STCALPLY×3BlockedElle Mottolablk Breklyn Pulling+1.0
2714-13CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errNoemie Glover+2.0
2814-14CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errUna Vajagic+2.5
2915-14CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.6
3015-15AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+1.7
3116-15CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.7
3216-16AZ STCALPLYBlockedUna Vajagicblk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling+1.8
3317-16CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.8
3418-16AZ STAZ STAttack errEmma Fredrick+2.6
3518-17AZ STCALPLYKillElla Lomigoraset Elle Mottola+1.6
3619-17CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.7
3719-18AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.6
3820-18CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+1.9
3921-18AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+2.2
4021-19AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.1
4122-19CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.5
4222-20AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.0
4323-20CALPLYAZ ST×3KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+1.5
4424-20AZ STAZ ST×3KillUna Vajagicset Paige Lehman+1.1
4525-20AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+0.3
Set 2
10-1AZ STCALPLYBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly+0.8
21-1CALPLYAZ ST×3KillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.8
32-1AZ STAZ ST×3KillAniya Clinton+1.2
43-1AZ STAZ ST×3KillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+1.0
53-2AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.7
64-2CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+0.7
75-2AZ STAZ STBlockedBreklyn Pullingblk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola+0.9
85-3AZ STCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.6
95-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet+1.1
105-5CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errAniya Clinton+1.3
116-5CALPLYAZ ST×6BlockedEmma Fredrickblk Zoey Burgess, Elle Mottola+0.8
127-5AZ STAZ ST×6Attack errKendall Beshear+1.2
138-5AZ STAZ ST×6AceArizona St.aced Noelle Vanacht+1.0
149-5AZ STAZ ST×6AceArizona St.aced Elif Hurriyet+0.8
1510-5AZ STAZ ST×6Attack errEmma Fredrick+0.7
1611-5AZ STAZ ST×6AceArizona St.+0.5
1711-6AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Samantha Callahan+0.3
1811-7CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Poly+0.6
1912-7CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.4
2013-7AZ STAZ STBlockedKendall Beshearblk Ella Lomigora, Elle Mottola+0.5
2113-8AZ STCALPLY×3KillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+0.2
2213-9CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedUna Vajagicblk Charlotte Kelly, Aveya Stone+0.5
2313-10CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedUna Vajagicblk Aveya Stone+0.8
2414-10CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.6
2514-11AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+0.5
2614-12CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Piper Rama+1.1
2715-12CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.8
2815-13AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.7
2916-13CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+0.8
3016-14AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+0.8
3117-14CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.9
3218-14AZ STAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+1.0
3318-15AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.5
3419-15CALPLYAZ ST×3KillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+0.6
3520-15AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errBreklyn Pulling+0.6
3621-15AZ STAZ ST×3AceArizona St.+0.3
3721-16AZ STCALPLYBlockedNoemie Gloverblk Breklyn Pulling, Aveya Stone+0.1
3822-16CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+0.2
3923-16AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Samantha Callahan+0.1
4023-17AZ STCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan·
4123-18CALPLYCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+0.1
4224-18CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.1
4324-19AZ STCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan·
4425-19CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola·
Set 3
11-0CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Elle Mottola+0.4
21-1AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.4
32-1CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+0.4
42-2AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.4
53-2CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.4
63-3AZ STCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+0.4
74-3CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+0.4
85-3AZ STAZ STKillElle Mottola+0.6
95-4AZ STCALPLY×3Serve errArizona St.+0.4
105-5CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+0.7
115-6CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+0.8
126-6CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+0.5
137-6AZ STAZ STBlockedAveya Stoneblk Una Vajagic, Antonina Serafinowska+0.7
147-7AZ STCALPLY×5KillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+0.5
157-8CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errUna Vajagic+0.8
167-9CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errNoemie Glover+0.9
177-10CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedUna Vajagicblk Aveya Stone, Chloe Leluge+0.9
187-11CALPLYCALPLY×5KillChloe Leluge+0.9
198-11CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Ziva Labinjan+0.5
208-12AZ STCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Samantha Callahan+0.6
219-12CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Ziva Labinjan+0.5
2210-12AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Faith Frame+0.9
2310-13AZ STCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.7
2410-14CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errAniya Clinton+1.0
2510-15CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Una Vajagic+0.9
2611-15CALPLYAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Ziva Labinjan+0.4
2712-15AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Elif Hurriyet+0.8
2813-15AZ STAZ ST×4KillZoey Burgess+0.9
2914-15AZ STAZ ST×4AceArizona St.aced Elif Hurriyet+1.0
3014-16AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+0.8
3115-16CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Ziva Labinjan+0.7
3215-17AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet+0.8
3316-17CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+0.7
3416-18AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+0.9
3517-18CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.7
3617-19AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+1.0
3717-20CALPLYCALPLYBlockedUna Vajagicblk Aveya Stone, Chloe Leluge+1.4
3818-20CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+0.6
3918-21AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+1.0
4018-22CALPLYCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.1
4119-22CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Ziva Labinjan+0.4
4220-22AZ STAZ STKillNoemie Glover+0.9
4320-23AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.1
4420-24CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Una Vajagic+0.9
4521-24CALPLYAZ STAttack errEmma Fredrick+0.2
4621-25AZ STCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+0.4
Set 4
11-0AZ STAZ STKillElla Lomigora+1.9
21-1AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+1.3
32-1CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.2
43-1AZ STAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Ziva Labinjan+1.8
53-2AZ STCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.2
63-3CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errAniya Clinton+2.1
73-4CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errAniya Clinton+2.4
84-4CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Ziva Labinjan+1.4
94-5AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.6
104-6CALPLYCALPLYAttack errZoey Burgess+2.7
115-6CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Ziva Labinjan+1.6
125-7AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Samantha Callahan+1.8
136-7CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+1.6
147-7AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+2.5
157-8AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+1.8
167-9CALPLYCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Emma Fredrick+2.9
178-9CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Isabella Costantini+1.7
188-10AZ STCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Kendall Beshear+2.0
199-10CALPLYAZ STKillElla Lomigoraset Isabella Costantini+1.8
209-11AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Elif Hurriyet+2.1
219-12CALPLYCALPLYKillKayla Murdoch+3.3
2210-12CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.8
2310-13AZ STCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+2.3
2410-14CALPLYCALPLYAttack errNoemie Glover+3.3
2511-14CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.6
2612-14AZ STAZ STAceArizona St.aced Kendall Beshear+3.0
2712-15AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.4
2813-15CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.9
2913-16AZ STCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Samantha Callahan+2.5
3013-17CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Poly+3.5
3113-18CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Zoey Burgess+3.0
3214-18CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+1.2
3315-18AZ STAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+2.6
3415-19AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+2.5
3516-19CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+1.6
3616-20AZ STCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Samantha Callahan+2.5
3717-20CALPLYAZ STKillUna Vajagicset Isabella Costantini+1.5
3817-21AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.5
3917-22CALPLYCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.5
4018-22CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+0.7
4119-22AZ STAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Elle Mottola+1.9
4219-23AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+2.4
4320-23CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Elle Mottola+0.9
4420-24AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.1
4521-24CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Elle Mottola+0.5
4621-25AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Samantha Callahan+0.1
Set 5
11-0CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+5.0
21-1AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Elif Hurriyet+5.4
32-1CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+5.2
42-2AZ STCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+5.6
52-3CALPLYCALPLYAttack errKiylah Presley+9.8
63-3CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Ziva Labinjan+5.9
73-4AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+6.9
84-4CALPLYAZ STKillZoey Burgessset Ziva Labinjan+6.2
94-5AZ STCALPLYServe errArizona St.+7.2
105-5CALPLYAZ ST×3KillUna Vajagicset Ziva Labinjan+6.5
116-5AZ STAZ ST×3AceArizona St.aced Emma Fredrick+10.1
127-5AZ STAZ ST×3Attack errKendall Beshear+9.0
137-6AZ STCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+5.5
148-6CALPLYAZ ST×4Attack errChloe Leluge+6.0
159-6AZ STAZ ST×4KillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+7.6
1610-6AZ STAZ ST×4Attack errKendall Beshear+5.3
1711-6AZ STAZ ST×4BlockedAveya Stoneblk Aniya Clinton, Ella Lomigora+3.1
1811-7AZ STCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Samantha Callahan+1.1
1912-7CALPLYAZ STKillNoemie Gloverset Isabella Costantini+1.8
2012-8AZ STCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.9
2112-9CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIsabella Costantini+2.7
2213-9CALPLYAZ STKillAniya Clintonset Isabella Costantini+3.0
2314-9AZ STAZ STAttack errKayla Murdoch+1.8
2414-10AZ STCALPLYAttack errAniya Clinton+0.3
2514-11CALPLYCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Ziva Labinjan+1.1
2615-11CALPLYAZ STServe errCal Poly+1.7

Score shown after each rally, Arizona St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).