Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 20, 2026

Stanford def. Cal Poly 3–1

Stanford won at Cal Poly 3-1 (25-22, 25-22, 21-25, 25-20) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Stanford's Jordyn Harvey led with 21 kills, and Logan Parks added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 20

Set1234Sets
STAN252521253
CALPLY222225201

Win probability

Cal Poly above 50 · Stanford below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.4% STANrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Stanford — set 1, STAN 22-20 CALPLY. Attack error by Emma Fredrick. CALPLY win probability 33% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STAN 64.1%35.9% CALPLY

Stanford wins

3-0
19.5%
3-1
24.6%
3-2
20.1%

Cal Poly wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
15.6%
STAN break %
41.2% vs this opp
CALPLY break %
38.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma FredrickAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Emma Fredrick

    Set 1 · STAN 22-20 CALPLY · STAN 67% → 72%

  2. 02
    Ipar KurtAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Ipar Kurt

    Set 1 · STAN 20-20 CALPLY · CALPLY 32% → 37%

  3. 03
    Emma FredrickKill+4.2%

    Kill by Emma Fredrick (set by Elif Hurriyet)

    Set 4 · STAN 13-13 CALPLY · CALPLY 14% → 19%

  4. 04

    Kill by Julia Blyashov (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 4 · STAN 15-13 CALPLY · STAN 84% → 88%

  5. 05

    Kill by Julia Blyashov (set by Spencer Etzler)

    Set 1 · STAN 23-20 CALPLY · STAN 72% → 76%

  6. 06
    StanfordAce+3.8%

    Stanford ace on Kendall Beshear

    Set 4 · STAN 13-11 CALPLY · STAN 84% → 88%

  7. 07
    Lizzy AndrewKill+3.8%

    Kill by Lizzy Andrew (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 1 · STAN 21-20 CALPLY · STAN 63% → 67%

  8. 08
    Aveya StoneAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Aveya Stone

    Set 4 · STAN 16-13 CALPLY · STAN 88% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421140.5000236002124
417124.6670001004219
49328.21400280010.59.5
48224.25000051010.58.5
4306.50047131200215
4206.333000300213
4000–021100002
4000–023400002
4000–610410001
1000–110000001
1000–001000000
Team totals607128.41454913445012696
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414124.5420257300016
414429.34501053010.515.5
412019.63200300010.512.5
410428.2140004000010
48215.400000100008
4001.0003510800001
46416.12500040010.56.5
4000–1811900001
4001.0008001020000
3000–002200000
1000–000000000
Team totals6415133.36861511509031.589

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 STAN · CALPLY 3

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 STANCALPLY 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 STANCALPLY 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 STANCALPLY 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 5 STANCALPLY 2

Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
41%7/17
2
60%12/20
25%4/16
3
73%11/15
39%7/18
4
56%10/18
47%9/19
5
90%9/10
29%4/14
6
67%8/12
27%3/11
All
69%62/90
36%34/95

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
33%5/15
2
71%12/17
20%3/15
3
69%11/16
40%8/20
4
56%10/18
31%5/16
5
57%8/14
31%4/13
6
100%8/8
27%3/11
All
64%61/95
31%28/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#STAN-CALPLYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIpar Kurt+2.5
21-1CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.6
31-2STANCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.7
41-3CALPLYCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+2.7
52-3CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+1.7
62-4STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.8
72-5CALPLYCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+2.7
83-5CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.6
93-6STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.9
104-6CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.7
114-7STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+1.9
125-7CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.7
136-7STANSTANAceStanfordaced Elif Hurriyet+2.8
146-8STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+2.0
157-8CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+1.9
167-9STANCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+2.1
178-9CALPLYSTAN×4KillIpar Kurtset Spencer Etzler+1.9
189-9STANSTAN×4BlockedKayla Murdochblk Lizzy Andrew, Jordyn Harvey+3.1
1910-9STANSTAN×4KillIpar Kurtset Spencer Etzler+3.1
2011-9STANSTAN×4KillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler+2.9
2111-10STANCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+1.9
2212-10CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.0
2313-10STANSTANAceStanfordaced Kendall Beshear+2.7
2413-11STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.6
2513-12CALPLYCALPLYAttack errLizzy Andrew+3.0
2614-12CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+2.1
2714-13STANCALPLYServe errStanford+2.0
2815-13CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.2
2916-13STANSTANAttack errEmma Fredrick+3.0
3016-14STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+1.7
3117-14CALPLYSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+2.0
3217-15STANCALPLYServe errStanford+1.7
3317-16CALPLYCALPLYAttack errJulia Blyashov+3.4
3418-16CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+2.6
3518-17STANCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+2.4
3619-17CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.8
3719-18STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+2.5
3820-18CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+3.0
3920-19STANCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.6
4020-20CALPLYCALPLYAttack errIpar Kurt+5.1
4121-20CALPLYSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+3.8
4222-20STANSTAN×3Attack errEmma Fredrick+5.4
4323-20STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler+3.9
4423-21STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.4
4524-21CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.6
4624-22STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+0.9
4725-22CALPLYSTANAttack errEmma Fredrick+2.3
Set 2
11-0STANSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.1
22-0STANSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.0
32-1STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+1.3
43-1CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+1.4
53-2STANCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+1.3
63-3CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+2.2
73-4CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.4
84-4CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+1.5
94-5STANCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+1.6
105-5CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.6
115-6STANCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Samantha Callahan+1.7
125-7CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Poly+2.5
135-8CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+2.5
146-8CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.5
156-9STANCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+1.7
167-9CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.5
177-10STANCALPLYServe errStanford+1.8
187-11CALPLYCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+2.5
198-11CALPLYSTAN×5KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+1.4
209-11STANSTAN×5Attack errKayla Murdoch+2.4
2110-11STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.7
2211-11STANSTAN×5KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.8
2312-11STANSTAN×5KillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+2.9
2412-12STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.9
2513-12CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+1.9
2613-13STANCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+2.0
2713-14CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdochset Logan Parks+3.2
2813-15CALPLYCALPLY×3KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+3.3
2914-15CALPLYSTANAttack errEmma Fredrick+2.0
3015-15STANSTANBlockedKayla Murdochblk Lizzy Andrew, Julia Blyashov+3.3
3115-16STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+2.4
3216-16CALPLYSTAN×3Serve errCal Poly+2.3
3317-16STANSTAN×3BlockedAveya Stoneblk Logan Parks, Ella Andrews+3.6
3418-16STANSTAN×3KillLogan Parksset Samantha Callahan+3.4
3518-17STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+2.1
3619-17CALPLYSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.4
3719-18STANCALPLYServe errStanford+2.1
3820-18CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.6
3920-19STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Samantha Callahan+2.2
4021-19CALPLYSTANAttack errChloe Leluge+2.8
4121-20STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+2.3
4222-20CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+3.0
4322-21STANCALPLYServe errStanford+2.4
4423-21CALPLYSTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+3.4
4524-21STANSTANAceStanfordaced Kendall Beshear+3.4
4624-22STANCALPLYServe errStanford+0.8
4725-22CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.0
Set 3
11-0CALPLYSTANKillIpar Kurtset Spencer Etzler+0.8
21-1STANCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+0.9
31-2CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Poly+1.4
42-2CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.9
53-2STANSTANAceStanfordaced Emma Fredrick+1.3
63-3STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury+0.9
74-3CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.9
84-4STANCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.9
94-5CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Aveya Stone, Charlotte Kelly+1.5
104-6CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Spencer Etzler+1.5
115-6CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.9
125-7STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+1.0
136-7CALPLYSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+1.0
146-8STANCALPLYServe errStanford+1.1
156-9CALPLYCALPLYKillChloe Leluge+1.6
167-9CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.9
177-10STANCALPLY×3KillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+1.1
187-11CALPLYCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+1.5
197-12CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Poly+1.3
208-12CALPLYSTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+0.7
218-13STANCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+0.9
228-14CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Ipar Kurt+1.1
239-14CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+0.5
2410-14STANSTANBlockedChloe Lelugeblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks+1.0
2510-15STANCALPLYServe errStanford+0.9
2611-15CALPLYSTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+0.7
2711-16STANCALPLY×3KillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.9
2811-17CALPLYCALPLY×3KillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+1.0
2911-18CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet+0.7
3012-18CALPLYSTANKillLogan Parks+0.3
3112-19STANCALPLYServe errStanford+0.4
3213-19CALPLYSTAN×3Bad setKendall Beshear+0.2
3314-19STANSTAN×3AceStanfordaced Elif Hurriyet+0.5
3415-19STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Lilly Wagner+0.8
3515-20STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+0.8
3616-20CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+0.5
3716-21STANCALPLYServe errStanford+0.8
3817-21CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.4
3917-22STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.7
4018-22CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.3
4119-22STANSTANBlockedKayla Murdochblk Ipar Kurt, Lizzy Andrew+0.9
4219-23STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet+1.1
4320-23CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.5
4420-24STANCALPLYServe errStanford+0.9
4521-24CALPLYSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.2
4621-25STANCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Samantha Callahan+0.6
Set 4
10-1STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet+2.1
21-1CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.0
31-2STANCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury+2.1
42-2CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.0
52-3STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury+2.2
63-3CALPLYSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.1
74-3STANSTANAceStanfordaced Emma Fredrick+3.1
84-4STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+2.1
94-5CALPLYCALPLYAttack errJulia Blyashov+3.4
105-5CALPLYSTAN×4KillLogan Parksset Logan Parks+2.2
116-5STANSTAN×4KillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+3.3
127-5STANSTAN×4Attack errAveya Stone+3.2
138-5STANSTAN×4BlockedKendall Beshearblk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews+2.9
148-6STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+1.8
158-7CALPLYCALPLYKillChloe Lelugeset Samantha Callahan+3.1
169-7CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.2
179-8STANCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Samantha Callahan+2.1
189-9CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+3.6
1910-9CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.4
2010-10STANCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Elif Hurriyet+2.5
2111-10CALPLYSTANServe errCal Poly+2.5
2211-11STANCALPLYServe errStanford+2.6
2312-11CALPLYSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.6
2413-11STANSTANAceStanfordaced Kendall Beshear+3.8
2513-12STANCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+2.4
2613-13CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet+4.2
2714-13CALPLYSTAN×5KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+2.8
2815-13STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+4.1
2916-13STANSTAN×5Attack errAveya Stone+3.7
3017-13STANSTAN×5AceStanford+3.0
3118-13STANSTAN×5Attack errAveya Stone+2.2
3218-14STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+1.0
3318-15CALPLYCALPLYAttack errJulia Blyashov+2.2
3419-15CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+2.0
3519-16STANCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Samantha Callahan+1.4
3620-16CALPLYSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+2.0
3720-17STANCALPLYServe errStanford+1.4
3821-17CALPLYSTANKillIpar Kurtset Logan Parks+2.0
3922-17STANSTANAceStanfordaced Emma Fredrick+1.8
4022-18STANCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury+0.6
4123-18CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler+1.0
4224-18STANSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.5
4324-19STANCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.1
4424-20CALPLYCALPLYKillKayla Murdochset Alexis Haury+0.2
4525-20CALPLYSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).