FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

3:0

HomeMVC

Georgia St. def. Murray St. 3–0

(25-20, 25-23, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GA ST	25	25	25	3
MURRAY	20	23	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MURRAY above 50 · GA ST below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Murray St. — set 2, GA ST 18-19 MURRAY. Kill by Burcu Gulomur (set by Paige Brock). MURRAY win probability 7% → 9%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GA ST 89.4%10.6% MURRAY

Georgia St. wins

3-0

43.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.3%

Murray St. wins

3-0

1.4%

3-1

3.2%

3-2

5.9%

GA ST break %: 46.5% vs this opp
MURRAY break %: 37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Burcu GulomurKill+2.0%
Kill by Burcu Gulomur (set by Paige Brock)
Set 2 · GA ST 18-19 MURRAY · MURRAY 7% → 9%
02
Akira BurtKill+2.0%
Kill by Akira Burt (set by Dariana Valencia)
Set 2 · GA ST 25-23 MURRAY · GA ST 96% → 98%
03
Maezi SnyderAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Maezi Snyder
Set 2 · GA ST 20-19 MURRAY · GA ST 93% → 95%
04
Madilyn LenoxKill+1.6%
Kill by Madilyn Lenox (set by Annelore Engels)
Set 2 · GA ST 21-19 MURRAY · GA ST 95% → 96%
05
Sophia JohnsonAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Sophia Johnson
Set 2 · GA ST 18-18 MURRAY · MURRAY 5% → 7%
06
MURRAY serverAce+1.6%
Murray St. ace on Manuela Altieri Liev
Set 2 · GA ST 13-15 MURRAY · MURRAY 8% → 9%
07
Sophia JohnsonKill+1.4%
Kill by Sophia Johnson (set by Sigrun Jonsdottir)
Set 2 · GA ST 15-15 MURRAY · GA ST 92% → 93%
08
Manuela Altieri LievAttack error+1.4%
Manuela Altieri Liev stuffed by Maezi Snyder & Alexa Watts
Set 2 · GA ST 13-14 MURRAY · MURRAY 6% → 8%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Georgia St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Sophia JohnsonOH	3	17	4	42	.310	1	0	0	7	2	0	1	0.5	17.5
14Akira BurtMB	3	13	6	31	.226	1	0	0	7	0	0	2	1	14
17Mina OlgarMB	3	9	2	14	.500	0	0	1	2	0	1	3	2.5	11.5
13Manuela Altieri LievOPP	3	5	2	19	.158	0	1	0	3	3	0	2	1	7
2Dariana ValenciaS	3	0	0	0	–	26	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
15Jayden EakerOPP	2	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Madilyn LenoxMB	3	3	0	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
10Annelore EngelsS	3	1	3	8	-.250	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Jayden FitzgeraldOH	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	0	1
8Sigrun JonsdottirL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	19	0	0	0	0	0
3Leilani-Kai GiustaOH	2	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		52	18	135	.252	51	1	6	51	7	1	12	7	75

Murray St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Lily BurnettOH	3	4	1	14	.214	0	4	2	4	0	0	2	1	9
17Anne MakowskiOH	3	8	5	27	.111	1	0	0	6	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
12Ceren DurakOH	3	7	1	27	.222	0	0	2	13	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
11Maezi SnyderMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
15Alexa WattsOH	3	4	4	21	.000	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
8Kathryn TitusS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	2	7	0	0	0	0	0
1Ada TamturkL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	3	0	14	0	0	0	0	3
13Burcu GulomurMB	2	5	2	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
2Paige BrockS	2	0	0	1	.000	10	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
14Mija Sagadin PristovnikOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Samantha NelsonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	14	112	.161	30	7	7	54	1	1	10	6	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 GA ST · MURRAY 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 GA STMURRAY 7

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 GA STMURRAY 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 GA STMURRAY 4

Bars above the line = Murray St. leads, below = Georgia St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Georgia St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	50%7/14
2	100%6/6	40%4/10
3	86%6/7	54%7/13
4	38%6/16	45%5/11
5	50%6/12	54%7/13
6	100%5/5	62%8/13
All	57%37/65	51%38/74

Murray St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	50%6/12
2	55%6/11	42%5/12
3	50%6/12	0%0/6
4	43%6/14	33%3/9
5	50%6/12	65%11/17
6	45%5/11	33%3/9
All	49%36/74	43%28/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	GA ST-MURRAY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+1.0
2	2-0	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+0.9
3	3-0	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Anne Makowski	blk Akira Burt, Jayden Eaker	+0.8
4	3-1	GA ST	MURRAY	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.6
5	3-2	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Ada Tamturk	+1.0
6	4-2	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+0.7
7	5-2	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.9
8	5-3	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Kathryn Titus	+0.6
9	6-3	MURRAY	GA ST	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.6
10	7-3	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Dariana Valencia	+0.7
11	7-4	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Kathryn Titus	+0.5
12	8-4	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
13	8-5	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Kathryn Titus	+0.5
14	9-5	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.5
15	10-5	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.6
16	10-6	GA ST	MURRAY×3	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.4
17	10-7	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Mina Olgar		+0.7
18	10-8	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Kathryn Titus	+1.0
19	11-8	MURRAY	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.7
20	12-8	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.8
21	13-8	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.6
22	14-8	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.4
23	14-9	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Kathryn Titus	+0.3
24	15-9	MURRAY	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
25	16-9	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.3
26	17-9	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.2
27	17-10	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Kathryn Titus	+0.1
28	18-10	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Dariana Valencia	+0.1
29	19-10	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Dariana Valencia	+0.1
30	19-11	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Kathryn Titus	+0.0
31	20-11	MURRAY	GA ST×3	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+0.0
32	21-11	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Anne Makowski	blk Mina Olgar, Manuela Altieri Liev	+0.0
33	22-11	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.0
34	22-12	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Kathryn Titus	+0.0
35	23-12	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Dariana Valencia	+0.0
36	23-13	GA ST	MURRAY×7	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Kathryn Titus	+0.0
37	23-14	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Manuela Altieri Liev	+0.0
38	23-15	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Attack err	Annelore Engels		+0.0
39	23-16	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Sophia Johnson	+0.0
40	23-17	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Manuela Altieri Liev	+0.0
41	23-18	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Ceren Durak, Maezi Snyder	+0.1
42	23-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×7	Attack err	Annelore Engels	blk Ceren Durak	+0.2
43	24-19	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Fitzgerald	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
44	24-20	GA ST	MURRAY	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.1
45	25-20	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Leilani-Kai Giusta	set Annelore Engels	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
2	2-0	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Sophia Johnson	+0.6
3	2-1	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Kathryn Titus	+0.5
4	3-1	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
5	3-2	GA ST	MURRAY	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.5
6	4-2	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
7	4-3	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Anne Makowski	+0.5
8	5-3	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.5
9	5-4	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Ada Tamturk	+0.5
10	6-4	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Annelore Engels	set Akira Burt	+0.5
11	6-5	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+0.5
12	7-5	MURRAY	GA ST	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.5
13	7-6	GA ST	MURRAY×5	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+0.6
14	7-7	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Sophia Johnson	+0.9
15	7-8	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.1
16	7-9	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Jayden Fitzgerald	+1.2
17	7-10	MURRAY	MURRAY×5	Kill	Burcu Gulomur	set Ada Tamturk	+1.3
18	8-10	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.8
19	8-11	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.0
20	9-11	MURRAY	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.8
21	10-11	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+1.2
22	11-11	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Dariana Valencia	+1.2
23	11-12	GA ST	MURRAY	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Lily Burnett, Anne Makowski	+0.9
24	12-12	MURRAY	GA ST	Attack err	Lily Burnett	blk Mina Olgar	+0.8
25	13-12	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Ceren Durak	blk Mina Olgar, Annelore Engels	+1.1
26	13-13	GA ST	MURRAY×3	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Kathryn Titus	+0.9
27	13-14	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev	blk Maezi Snyder, Alexa Watts	+1.4
28	13-15	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Manuela Altieri Liev	+1.6
29	14-15	MURRAY	GA ST×5	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Annelore Engels	+1.0
30	15-15	GA ST	GA ST×5	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+1.4
31	16-15	GA ST	GA ST×5	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+1.4
32	17-15	GA ST	GA ST×5	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+1.2
33	18-15	GA ST	GA ST×5	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+1.0
34	18-16	GA ST	MURRAY×4	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Kathryn Titus	+0.6
35	18-17	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Burcu Gulomur, Maezi Snyder	+1.2
36	18-18	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Sophia Johnson		+1.6
37	18-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Kill	Burcu Gulomur	set Paige Brock	+2.0
38	19-19	MURRAY	GA ST×4	Serve err	MURRAY server		+1.3
39	20-19	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Maezi Snyder		+1.9
40	21-19	GA ST	GA ST×4	Kill	Madilyn Lenox	set Annelore Engels	+1.6
41	22-19	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Burcu Gulomur		+1.2
42	22-20	GA ST	MURRAY	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+0.6
43	23-20	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.8
44	24-20	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Anne Makowski	blk Akira Burt, Madilyn Lenox	+0.6
45	24-21	GA ST	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.1
46	24-22	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Sophia Johnson	blk Burcu Gulomur, Lily Burnett	+0.5
47	24-23	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.2
48	25-23	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+2.0
Set 3
1	0-1	GA ST	MURRAY	Attack err	Sophia Johnson		+0.3
2	0-2	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Burcu Gulomur	set Paige Brock	+0.4
3	1-2	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.3
4	2-2	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Madilyn Lenox	set Dariana Valencia	+0.4
5	2-3	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.3
6	3-3	MURRAY	GA ST	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.3
7	4-3	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar		+0.4
8	4-4	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski		+0.3
9	4-5	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.4
10	5-5	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.3
11	5-6	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Kathryn Titus	+0.3
12	5-7	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.5
13	6-7	MURRAY	GA ST×3	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.3
14	7-7	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.5
15	8-7	GA ST	GA ST×3	Ace	GA ST server	aced Anne Makowski	+0.4
16	8-8	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Kathryn Titus	+0.3
17	8-9	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+0.5
18	9-9	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
19	9-10	GA ST	MURRAY	Attack err	Annelore Engels		+0.4
20	10-10	MURRAY	GA ST	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.4
21	11-10	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Burcu Gulomur	blk Sophia Johnson, Madilyn Lenox	+0.5
22	11-11	GA ST	MURRAY×4	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+0.4
23	11-12	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Sophia Johnson		+0.6
24	11-13	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Leilani-Kai Giusta	+0.7
25	11-14	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Ada Tamturk	+0.7
26	12-14	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Leilani-Kai Giusta	+0.4
27	12-15	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Burcu Gulomur	set Paige Brock	+0.5
28	13-15	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Madilyn Lenox	set Dariana Valencia	+0.4
29	14-15	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Dariana Valencia	+0.7
30	14-16	GA ST	MURRAY	Attack err	Jayden Fitzgerald		+0.6
31	15-16	MURRAY	GA ST×5	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Dariana Valencia	+0.5
32	16-16	GA ST	GA ST×5	Bad set	Kathryn Titus		+0.7
33	17-16	GA ST	GA ST×5	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Annelore Engels	+0.7
34	18-16	GA ST	GA ST×5	Attack err	Anne Makowski	blk Mina Olgar, Manuela Altieri Liev	+0.6
35	19-16	GA ST	GA ST×5	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.5
36	19-17	GA ST	MURRAY	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.3
37	19-18	MURRAY	MURRAY	Bad set	Jayden Fitzgerald		+0.6
38	20-18	MURRAY	GA ST	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.5
39	20-19	GA ST	MURRAY	Attack err	Mina Olgar		+0.4
40	21-19	MURRAY	GA ST×3	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.5
41	22-19	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.5
42	23-19	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+0.3
43	23-20	GA ST	MURRAY	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.1
44	24-20	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
45	24-21	GA ST	MURRAY	Kill	Burcu Gulomur	set Alexa Watts	+0.1
46	25-21	MURRAY	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Georgia St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.