Cal Poly def. CSU Bakersfield 3–0
Cal Poly beat visiting CSU Bakersfield 3-0 (25-21, 25-21, 25-11) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Cal Poly's Emma Fredrick led with 11 kills, and Alexis Haury added 11 digs.
Data through · final Sep 25
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSUBAK | 21 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| CALPLY | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Cal Poly stayed the heavy favorite throughout.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
CSU Bakersfield wins
Cal Poly wins
- CSUBAK break %
- 33.0% vs this opp
- CALPLY break %
- 48.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 28 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | -.095 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -.250 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 24 | 17 | 89 | .079 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 53 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 25 | .200 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 1 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | .174 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 6 | 0 | 10 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 16 | 98 | .255 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
11-25
Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
CSU Bakersfield
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30%7/23 | 44%4/9 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 30%3/10 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 43%6/14 | 13%1/8 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 14%1/7 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 40%4/10 |
| All | 50%37/74 | 30%16/54 |
Cal Poly
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 |
| 2 | 100%7/7 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 57%8/14 |
| 5 | 67%6/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 6 | 50%5/10 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 70%38/54 | 50%37/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
128 rallies
| # | CSUBAK-CALPLY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | ||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Elif Hurriyet |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Attack err | Jordyn Waite-Ward | |
| 3 | 0-3 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Attack err | Anna Bacchin | |
| 4 | 0-4 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury |
| 5 | 0-5 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | |
| 6 | 0-6 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Attack err | Suelen Lima | |
| 7 | 0-7 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Suelen Lima |
| 8 | 1-7 | CALPLY | CSUBAK×3 | Attack err | Kayla Murdoch | |
| 9 | 2-7 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Kendall Beshear | blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik |
| 10 | 3-7 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Emma Fredrick |
| 11 | 3-8 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Elif Hurriyet |
| 12 | 4-8 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 13 | 4-9 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury |
| 14 | 5-9 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-Ward | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 15 | 5-10 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 16 | 5-11 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Suelen Lima | |
| 17 | 6-11 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | |
| 18 | 7-11 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Attack err | Aveya Stone | |
| 19 | 7-12 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Chloe Leluge | set Samantha Callahan |
| 20 | 7-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Chloe Leluge | set Samantha Callahan |
| 21 | 8-13 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 22 | 8-14 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 23 | 9-14 | CALPLY | CSUBAK×5 | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 24 | 10-14 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×5 | Kill | Jordyn Waite-Ward | set Analiese Gagliano |
| 25 | 11-14 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×5 | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 26 | 12-14 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×5 | Attack err | Aveya Stone | |
| 27 | 13-14 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×5 | Attack err | Samantha Callahan | |
| 28 | 13-15 | CSUBAK | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Samantha Callahan |
| 29 | 13-16 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Blocked | Anna Bacchin | blk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly |
| 30 | 13-17 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 31 | 13-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Attack err | Suelen Lima | |
| 32 | 14-18 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Defne Yanik | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 33 | 15-18 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 34 | 15-19 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Elif Hurriyet |
| 35 | 16-19 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Attack err | Jordyn Waite-Ward | |
| 36 | 16-20 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 37 | 17-20 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 38 | 18-20 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | |
| 39 | 18-21 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Blocked | Suelen Lima | blk Chloe Leluge, Kayla Murdoch |
| 40 | 19-21 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Blocked | Aveya Stone | blk Leylah Duran, Suelen Lima |
| 41 | 19-22 | CSUBAK | CALPLY×3 | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 42 | 19-23 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Blocked | Anna Bacchin | blk Aveya Stone, Chloe Leluge |
| 43 | 19-24 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Suelen Lima |
| 44 | 20-24 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 45 | 21-24 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 46 | 21-25 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Samantha Callahan |
| Set 2 | ||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CSUBAK | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Chloe Leluge | set Alexis Haury |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | |
| 3 | 0-3 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Elif Hurriyet |
| 4 | 1-3 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 5 | 1-4 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 6 | 1-5 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Blocked | Jordyn Waite-Ward | blk Emma Fredrick, Breklyn Pulling |
| 7 | 2-5 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-Ward | set Analiese Gagliano |
| 8 | 2-6 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 9 | 3-6 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Alexis Haury |
| 10 | 3-7 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 11 | 4-7 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Luiza Da Cruz |
| 12 | 4-8 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 13 | 5-8 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 14 | 5-9 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Alexis Haury | |
| 15 | 6-9 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Attack err | Chloe Leluge | |
| 16 | 6-10 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Elif Hurriyet |
| 17 | 7-10 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 18 | 7-11 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 19 | 8-11 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 20 | 8-12 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 21 | 8-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Bad set | Samantha Capinpin | |
| 22 | 9-13 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-Ward | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 23 | 9-14 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury |
| 24 | 10-14 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 25 | 10-15 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury |
| 26 | 11-15 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Ella Pallagi | set Ella Pallagi |
| 27 | 11-16 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Chloe Leluge |
| 28 | 12-16 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Attack err | Kendall Beshear | |
| 29 | 12-17 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 30 | 12-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 31 | 13-18 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 32 | 13-19 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 33 | 14-19 | CALPLY | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Defne Yanik | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 34 | 15-19 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Blocked | Kendall Beshear | blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran |
| 35 | 16-19 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Leylah Duran | |
| 36 | 17-19 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×4 | Kill | Jordyn Waite-Ward | set Analiese Gagliano |
| 37 | 17-20 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 38 | 18-20 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Leylah Duran | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 39 | 18-21 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 40 | 18-22 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | |
| 41 | 19-22 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Ella Pallagi |
| 42 | 19-23 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury |
| 43 | 20-23 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Anna Bacchin | set Ella Pallagi |
| 44 | 21-23 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK | Ace | CSU Bakersfield | aced Kendall Beshear |
| 45 | 21-24 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Blocked | Ella Pallagi | blk Kendall Beshear |
| 46 | 21-25 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Ella Pallagi | |
| Set 3 | ||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Suelen Lima |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 3 | 0-3 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Suelen Lima |
| 4 | 1-3 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 5 | 1-4 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 6 | 1-5 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Blocked | Anna Bacchin | blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly |
| 7 | 2-5 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Jordyn Waite-Ward | set Samantha Capinpin |
| 8 | 2-6 | CSUBAK | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury |
| 9 | 2-7 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 10 | 2-8 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Ella Scott |
| 11 | 2-9 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Blocked | Anna Bacchin | blk Kayla Murdoch, Breklyn Pulling |
| 12 | 3-9 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 13 | 3-10 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury |
| 14 | 4-10 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | |
| 15 | 4-11 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 16 | 4-12 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Suelen Lima | |
| 17 | 5-12 | CALPLY | CSUBAK×3 | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 18 | 6-12 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Emma Fredrick | blk Suelen Lima, Nele Broszat |
| 19 | 7-12 | CSUBAK | CSUBAK×3 | Blocked | Kendall Beshear | blk Nele Broszat, Ella Pallagi |
| 20 | 7-13 | CSUBAK | CALPLY×3 | Bad set | Ella Pallagi | |
| 21 | 7-14 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury |
| 22 | 7-15 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | |
| 23 | 8-15 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Ella Pallagi |
| 24 | 8-16 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 25 | 9-16 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Kill | Suelen Lima | set Nele Broszat |
| 26 | 9-17 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Serve err | CSU Bakersfield | |
| 27 | 10-17 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Serve err | Cal Poly | |
| 28 | 10-18 | CSUBAK | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 29 | 11-18 | CALPLY | CSUBAK | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | |
| 30 | 11-19 | CSUBAK | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 31 | 11-20 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Blocked | Suelen Lima | blk Breklyn Pulling, Emma Fredrick |
| 32 | 11-21 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Blocked | Leylah Duran | blk Breklyn Pulling, Emma Fredrick |
| 33 | 11-22 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury |
| 34 | 11-23 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Attack err | Anna Bacchin | |
| 35 | 11-24 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
| 36 | 11-25 | CALPLY | CALPLY×7 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury |
Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).