Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Cal Poly def. UC Riverside 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Cal Poly 99.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cal Poly beat visiting UC Riverside 3-1 (25-17, 25-12, 22-25, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Cal Poly's Emma Fredrick led with 19 kills, and Elif Hurriyet added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
UC RIV171225211
CALPLY252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the first set broke it open for Cal Poly.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.2 points. UC Riverside peaked at 1% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Cal Poly at >99%.

UC RiversideCal Poly
  • Break %+12.9 pts
    43.456.3

    54 of 96 on serve vs 33 of 76, so UC Riverside's sideout was 43.8%.

  • Hitting+.081
    .183.264

    56 kills, 22 errors vs 46 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    67

    7 straight Cal Poly points in the first set erased a 1–8 deficit: 8–8. That set ended 25–17.

Cal Poly above 50UC Riverside belowMax swing 0.2%

UC RiversideCal Poly

Aces
UC Riverside 3·Cal Poly 10
Serve err
UC Riverside 8·Cal Poly 4
Blocks
UC Riverside 13·Cal Poly 93 BS · 20 BA vs 0 BS · 18 BA
Digs
UC Riverside 43·Cal Poly 52

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cal Poly above 50 · UC Riverside below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100rally 172 · set 4

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Cal Poly stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC RIV 0.1%99.9% CALPLY

UC Riverside wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.0%
3-2
0.1%

Cal Poly wins

3-0
87.3%
3-1
11.6%
3-2
1.0%
UC RIV break %
29.9% vs this opp
CALPLY break %
52.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411630.1670001104213
47015.467001301229
4406.667000001859
4011-1.0001712100001
25311.182000320005
1014-.250000000000
47419.158000301229
4002.00014111000001
4001.0004131420001
4000–201420000
36425.08000020010.56.5
26011.54510021031.57.5
1036-.500000000000
Team totals4622131.183383843103201375
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419846.23901062031.521.5
411331.2580317000014
49113.6150002006312
4215.2004112900214
4000–001510000
2339.00000020010.53.5
410621.1901003004212
4000–030400003
4000–120200002
4000–5001200000
2204.500000000213
1000–000000000
Team totals5622129.26448104523018997

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Riverside vs Cal Poly

Season series · Cal Poly leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UC RIV · CALPLY 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 UC RIVCALPLY 7

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 UC RIVCALPLY 6

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 UC RIVCALPLY 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 UC RIVCALPLY 4

Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = UC Riverside leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Riverside

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
56%5/9
2
42%5/12
50%6/12
3
24%4/17
44%4/9
4
40%4/10
67%8/12
5
31%4/13
20%1/5
6
33%4/12
43%3/7
All
38%27/72
50%27/54

Cal Poly

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
17%1/6
2
50%5/10
58%7/12
3
38%5/13
64%9/14
4
80%4/5
75%12/16
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
43%3/7
75%12/16
All
50%27/54
63%45/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#UC RIV-CALPLYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0CALPLYUC RIV×3KillCasi Dollset Elena Kasavica
22-0UC RIVUC RIV×3AceUC Riversideaced Noelle Vanacht
33-0UC RIVUC RIV×3BlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Zeynep Belgutay, Casi Doll
43-1UC RIVCALPLYServe errUC Riverside
54-1CALPLYUC RIV×5Attack errAveya Stone
65-1UC RIVUC RIV×5AceUC Riversideaced Emma Fredrick
76-1UC RIVUC RIV×5KillMalia Tanksleyset Maya Barron
87-1UC RIVUC RIV×5KillZeynep Belgutayset Maya Barron
98-1UC RIVUC RIV×5BlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Zeynep Belgutay
108-2UC RIVCALPLY×7KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
118-3CALPLYCALPLY×7Attack errMalia Tanksley
128-4CALPLYCALPLY×7KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
138-5CALPLYCALPLY×7AceCal Polyaced McKenna Giles
148-6CALPLYCALPLY×7AceCal Poly
158-7CALPLYCALPLY×7KillEmma Fredrick
168-8CALPLYCALPLY×7Attack errCasi Doll
179-8CALPLYUC RIV×4KillCasi Dollset Maya Barron
1810-8UC RIVUC RIV×4Attack errEmma Fredrick
1911-8UC RIVUC RIV×4KillJuliette D'Eliseo
2012-8UC RIVUC RIV×4BlockedEmma Fredrickblk Malia Tanksley, Zeynep Belgutay
2112-9UC RIVCALPLY×3KillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
2212-10CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
2312-11CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedMalia Tanksleyblk Emma Fredrick, Breklyn Pulling
2413-11CALPLYUC RIVKillZeynep Belgutayset Maya Barron
2513-12UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
2614-12CALPLYUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrixset Maya Barron
2714-13UC RIVCALPLY×7Attack errJuliette D'Eliseo
2814-14CALPLYCALPLY×7BlockedNicole Hughesblk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling
2914-15CALPLYCALPLY×7KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
3014-16CALPLYCALPLY×7BlockedSariah Johnsonblk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling
3114-17CALPLYCALPLY×7KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
3214-18CALPLYCALPLY×7Attack errSariah Johnson
3314-19CALPLYCALPLY×7KillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet
3415-19CALPLYUC RIVKillJuliette D'Eliseoset Alexis Haury
3516-19UC RIVUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Elena Kasavica
3616-20UC RIVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
3717-20CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Elena Kasavica
3817-21UC RIVCALPLY×5KillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
3917-22CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errSariah Johnson
4017-23CALPLYCALPLY×5Attack errElena Kasavica
4117-24CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedCasi Dollblk Aveya Stone, Charlotte Kelly
4217-25CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
Set 2
11-0UC RIVUC RIVAttack errEmma Fredrick
22-0UC RIVUC RIVBlockedCharlotte Kellyblk Evelyn Hendrix, Casi Doll
32-1UC RIVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
42-2CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet
53-2CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Elena Kasavica
64-2UC RIVUC RIVKillJuliette D'Eliseoset Alexis Haury
74-3UC RIVCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
85-3CALPLYUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica
95-4UC RIVCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
105-5CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedAndrea Brewerblk Aveya Stone, Breklyn Pulling
115-6CALPLYCALPLY×5AceCal Polyaced Casi Doll
125-7CALPLYCALPLY×5KillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
135-8CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedCasi Dollblk Emma Fredrick, Breklyn Pulling
146-8CALPLYUC RIVAttack errEmma Fredrick
156-9UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
167-9CALPLYUC RIVServe errNoelle Vanacht
177-10UC RIVCALPLY×6KillAlexis Hauryset Zeynep Belgutay
187-11CALPLYCALPLY×6KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
197-12CALPLYCALPLY×6Attack errJuliette D'Eliseo
207-13CALPLYCALPLY×6KillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
217-14CALPLYCALPLY×6Attack errJuliette D'Eliseo
227-15CALPLYCALPLY×6AceCal Polyaced Juliette D'Eliseo
238-15CALPLYUC RIVKillJuliette D'Eliseoset Maya Barron
249-15UC RIVUC RIVBlockedKendall Beshearblk Malia Tanksley, Evelyn Hendrix
259-16UC RIVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
269-17CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Misu Nguyen
2710-17CALPLYUC RIVKillJuliette D'Eliseoset Elena Kasavica
2810-18UC RIVCALPLYKillCharlotte Kellyset Alexis Haury
2910-19CALPLYCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet
3011-19CALPLYUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica
3111-20UC RIVCALPLY×3KillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
3211-21CALPLYCALPLY×3Attack errCasi Doll
3311-22CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
3412-22CALPLYUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica
3512-23UC RIVCALPLY×3KillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
3612-24CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrick
3712-25CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Juliette D'Eliseo
Set 3
11-0CALPLYUC RIV×3KillZeynep Belgutayset Elena Kasavica
22-0UC RIVUC RIV×3BlockedEmma Fredrickblk Evelyn Hendrix
33-0UC RIVUC RIV×3BlockedAlexis Hauryblk Malia Tanksley
43-1UC RIVCALPLYBad setMadison Pulsipher
54-1CALPLYUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset McKenna Giles
64-2UC RIVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
75-2CALPLYUC RIVServe errAlexis Haury
85-3UC RIVCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
96-3CALPLYUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Maya Barron
106-4UC RIVCALPLY×3Serve errUC Riverside
116-5CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Maren O'Farrell
126-6CALPLYCALPLY×3BlockedAndrea Brewerblk Aveya Stone, Breklyn Pulling
137-6CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Maya Barron
148-6UC RIVUC RIVAttack errAveya Stone
158-7UC RIVCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
168-8CALPLYCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
179-8CALPLYUC RIV×3KillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica
1810-8UC RIVUC RIV×3Attack errBreklyn Pulling
1911-8UC RIVUC RIV×3KillMadison Pulsipherset McKenna Giles
2011-9UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
2112-9CALPLYUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Misu Nguyen
2213-9UC RIVUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica
2313-10UC RIVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
2413-11CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Poly
2514-11CALPLYUC RIVBlockedKendall Beshearblk Madison Pulsipher, Evelyn Hendrix
2614-12UC RIVCALPLYKillAlexis Haury
2714-13CALPLYCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
2815-13CALPLYUC RIV×6BlockedKendall Beshearblk Evelyn Hendrix, Madison Pulsipher
2916-13UC RIVUC RIV×6KillAndrea Brewerset McKenna Giles
3017-13UC RIVUC RIV×6KillCasi Dollset Madison Pulsipher
3118-13UC RIVUC RIV×6BlockedEmma Fredrickblk Andrea Brewer, Evelyn Hendrix
3219-13UC RIVUC RIV×6KillEvelyn Hendrix
3320-13UC RIVUC RIV×6KillEvelyn Hendrixset Maya Barron
3420-14UC RIVCALPLY×5KillChloe Lelugeset Alexis Haury
3520-15CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet
3620-16CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedAndrea Brewerblk Aveya Stone, Chloe Leluge
3720-17CALPLYCALPLY×5KillEmma Fredrickset Elif Hurriyet
3820-18CALPLYCALPLY×5BlockedCasi Dollblk Emma Fredrick, Chloe Leluge
3921-18CALPLYUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Maya Barron
4022-18UC RIVUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Maya Barron
4122-19UC RIVCALPLY×3KillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
4222-20CALPLYCALPLY×3KillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
4322-21CALPLYCALPLY×3AceCal Polyaced Madison Pulsipher
4423-21CALPLYUC RIVAttack errEmma Fredrick
4524-21UC RIVUC RIVAceUC Riversideaced Emma Fredrick
4624-22UC RIVCALPLYServe errUC Riverside
4725-22CALPLYUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica
Set 4
10-1UC RIVCALPLY×4Serve errUC Riverside
20-2CALPLYCALPLY×4AceCal Polyaced McKenna Giles
30-3CALPLYCALPLY×4KillChloe Leluge
40-4CALPLYCALPLY×4KillKendall Beshearset Elif Hurriyet
51-4CALPLYUC RIVServe errAlexis Haury
61-5UC RIVCALPLYServe errUC Riverside
71-6CALPLYCALPLYAceCal Polyaced Misu Nguyen
82-6CALPLYUC RIVServe errKendall Beshear
92-7UC RIVCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
102-8CALPLYCALPLYKillAveya Stoneset Alexis Haury
113-8CALPLYUC RIVBlockedAveya Stoneblk Evelyn Hendrix, Casi Doll
123-9UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
134-9CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Maya Barron
144-10UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
155-10CALPLYUC RIVKillZeynep Belgutayset Maya Barron
165-11UC RIVCALPLYKillBreklyn Pullingset Alexis Haury
175-12CALPLYCALPLYAttack errMalia Tanksley
186-12CALPLYUC RIV×3KillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica
197-12UC RIVUC RIV×3KillZeynep Belgutay
208-12UC RIVUC RIV×3KillZeynep Belgutayset Elena Kasavica
218-13UC RIVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
228-14CALPLY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

239-14CALPLYUC RIVKillZeynep Belgutayset Elena Kasavica
2410-14UC RIVUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrixset Alexis Haury
2510-15UC RIVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
2611-15CALPLYUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica
2712-15UC RIVUC RIVBlockedAveya Stoneblk Madison Pulsipher, Evelyn Hendrix
2812-16UC RIVCALPLYServe errUC Riverside
2913-16CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Misu Nguyen
3013-17UC RIVCALPLYAttack errAndrea Brewer
3114-17CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset Maya Barron
3214-18UC RIVCALPLYServe errUC Riverside
3315-18CALPLYUC RIVKillCasi Dollset McKenna Giles
3415-19UC RIVCALPLYServe errUC Riverside
3516-19CALPLYUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica
3616-20UC RIVCALPLYKillKendall Beshearset Alexis Haury
3716-21CALPLYCALPLYAttack errMalia Tanksley
3817-21CALPLYUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica
3917-22UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Aveya Stone
4018-22CALPLYUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica
4119-22UC RIVUC RIVAttack errAveya Stone
4219-23UC RIVCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
4319-24CALPLYCALPLYKillEmma Fredrickset Alexis Haury
4420-24CALPLYUC RIVBlockedAveya Stoneblk Casi Doll, Evelyn Hendrix
4521-24UC RIVUC RIVAttack errEmma Fredrick
4621-25UC RIVCALPLYAttack errCasi Doll

Score shown after each rally, UC Riverside first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).