FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

Charlotte def. N.C. A&T 3–0

(25-17, 26-24, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NC A&T	17	24	20	0
CHAR	25	26	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CHAR above 50 · NC A&T below

Biggest swing: 11.1% to Charlotte — set 2, NC A&T 24-26 CHAR. Tyne Ross stuffed by Sofia Locadia & Mariam Mushkudiani. CHAR win probability 74% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NC A&T 55.9%44.1% CHAR

N.C. A&T wins

3-0

15.1%

3-1

21.2%

3-2

19.5%

Charlotte wins

3-0

10.2%

3-1

16.3%

3-2

17.6%

NC A&T break %: 42.1% vs this opp
CHAR break %: 41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tyne RossAttack error+11.1%
Tyne Ross stuffed by Sofia Locadia & Mariam Mushkudiani
Set 2 · NC A&T 24-26 CHAR · CHAR 74% → 85%
02
Zariah WintonKill+10.9%
Kill by Zariah Winton (set by Charlie Meadoweal)
Set 2 · NC A&T 24-24 CHAR · NC A&T 23% → 34%
03
Tyne RossAttack error+8.3%
Attack error by Tyne Ross
Set 2 · NC A&T 22-24 CHAR · CHAR 72% → 80%
04
Zariah WintonAttack error+7.7%
Zariah Winton stuffed by Milan Cannon
Set 2 · NC A&T 24-25 CHAR · CHAR 66% → 74%
05
Agata ZwierzynskaAttack error+7.3%
Agata Zwierzynska stuffed by Milan Cannon
Set 2 · NC A&T 21-22 CHAR · CHAR 64% → 71%
06
Mariam MushkudianiKill+6.1%
Kill by Mariam Mushkudiani (set by Harper Hall)
Set 2 · NC A&T 22-23 CHAR · CHAR 66% → 72%
07
Tyne RossAttack error+5.6%
Tyne Ross stuffed by Harper Hall & Milan Cannon
Set 2 · NC A&T 20-20 CHAR · CHAR 58% → 64%
08
Agata ZwierzynskaKill+5.0%
Kill by Agata Zwierzynska (set by Kirsten Kemper)
Set 2 · NC A&T 22-22 CHAR · NC A&T 29% → 34%

Official NCAA box

Box score

N.C. A&Taway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Tyne RossOH	3	11	6	29	.172	2	1	2	6	2	2	0	2	14
19Agata ZwierzynskaOH	3	10	2	19	.421	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	11
2Zariah WintonOH	3	3	8	21	-.238	2	1	1	6	3	0	0	0	4
15Luca RadnaiMB	3	1	2	8	-.125	2	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
12Kirsten KemperOH	3	0	0	1	.000	13	0	1	8	0	1	0	1	1
11Daja WarrenMB	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
10Mikala SampsonOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
6Charlie MeadowealS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
1Madison MullinsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Valeria EstradaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
8Nicole EllisMB	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Madison CurryOH	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
16Eden EyassuL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	22	100	.120	33	2	9	41	9	5	2	6	61

Charlottehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Mariam MushkudianiOH	3	9	2	17	.412	0	0	1	4	0	2	3	3.5	12.5
19Sofia LocadiaMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	3	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
8Milan CannonMB	3	4	4	13	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	7.5
7Elena KovacevicOH	3	5	2	18	.167	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	1	6
3Harper HallS	3	2	1	4	.250	29	1	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
2Clara BrileyOH	2	2	3	12	-.083	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
10Sara MarinkovicOH	3	7	2	20	.250	1	2	0	4	1	0	0	0	9
9Chloe MaughanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	13	1	0	0	0	2
4Erin LehmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Cassidy FlakesMB	2	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
16Kennedy EarlsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	18	100	.180	34	9	5	38	2	3	14	10	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NC A&T · CHAR 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 NC A&TCHAR 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 NC A&TCHAR 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 NC A&TCHAR 7

Bars above the line = Charlotte leads, below = N.C. A&T leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

N.C. A&T

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	30%3/10
2	50%7/14	36%4/11
3	50%6/12	46%6/13
4	50%5/10	50%6/12
5	63%5/8	17%1/6
6	45%5/11	55%6/11
All	47%35/74	41%26/63

Charlotte

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	54%7/13
2	58%7/12	61%11/18
3	60%6/10	60%9/15
4	46%6/13	25%2/8
5	63%5/8	55%6/11
6	45%5/11	44%4/9
All	59%37/63	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	NC A&T-CHAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+1.8
2	1-1	CHAR	NC A&T×3	Kill	Daja Warren	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.8
3	2-1	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Clara Briley		+2.5
4	3-1	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Ace	NC A&T server	aced Chloe Maughan	+2.5
5	3-2	NC A&T	CHAR×3	Attack err	Tyne Ross		+1.7
6	3-3	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+2.6
7	3-4	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+2.7
8	4-4	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.9
9	4-5	NC A&T	CHAR	Attack err	Tyne Ross	blk Mariam Mushkudiani	+2.0
10	4-6	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+2.8
11	5-6	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Charlie Meadoweal	+1.9
12	5-7	NC A&T	CHAR×3	Serve err	NC A&T server		+2.1
13	5-8	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+2.8
14	5-9	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	CHAR server	aced Team	+2.6
15	6-9	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Mikala Sampson	set Charlie Meadoweal	+1.6
16	6-10	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Harper Hall	set Erin Lehman	+1.9
17	6-11	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	CHAR server	aced Team	+2.3
18	7-11	CHAR	NC A&T×3	Serve err	CHAR server		+1.4
19	8-11	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Attack err	Milan Cannon		+2.3
20	9-11	NC A&T	NC A&T×3	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Madison Mullins	+2.7
21	9-12	NC A&T	CHAR×4	Kill	Harper Hall	set Milan Cannon	+2.2
22	9-13	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+2.8
23	9-14	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+2.4
24	9-15	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Luca Radnai	blk Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon	+1.9
25	10-15	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.0
26	10-16	NC A&T	CHAR×3	Serve err	NC A&T server		+1.3
27	10-17	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani		+1.3
28	10-18	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Tyne Ross		+0.9
29	11-18	CHAR	NC A&T	Bad set	Harper Hall		+0.3
30	11-19	NC A&T	CHAR×4	Kill	Clara Briley	set Elena Kovacevic	+0.5
31	11-20	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	CHAR server	aced Team	+0.4
32	11-21	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Clara Briley	+0.2
33	11-22	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.1
34	12-22	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+0.0
35	12-23	NC A&T	CHAR	Serve err	NC A&T server		+0.0
36	12-24	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Daja Warren	blk Cassidy Flakes, Clara Briley	+0.0
37	13-24	CHAR	NC A&T×5	Attack err	Harper Hall	blk Tyne Ross	+0.0
38	14-24	NC A&T	NC A&T×5	Attack err	Cassidy Flakes		+0.0
39	15-24	NC A&T	NC A&T×5	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Luca Radnai	+0.0
40	16-24	NC A&T	NC A&T×5	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+0.0
41	17-24	NC A&T	NC A&T×5	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.0
42	17-25	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Cassidy Flakes	set Harper Hall	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.9
2	2-0	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Agata Zwierzynska	+2.6
3	2-1	NC A&T	CHAR	Serve err	NC A&T server		+1.8
4	3-1	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.9
5	3-2	NC A&T	CHAR	Serve err	NC A&T server		+1.8
6	4-2	CHAR	NC A&T	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+1.9
7	4-3	NC A&T	CHAR	Serve err	NC A&T server		+1.9
8	5-3	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Daja Warren	set Charlie Meadoweal	+2.0
9	6-3	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Mikala Sampson	+2.6
10	6-4	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+1.8
11	6-5	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Sara Marinkovic	+2.7
12	7-5	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Mikala Sampson	set Charlie Meadoweal	+2.1
13	7-6	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+2.0
14	8-6	CHAR	NC A&T×4	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Zariah Winton	+2.1
15	9-6	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Ace	NC A&T server	aced Sara Marinkovic	+2.8
16	10-6	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Attack err	Milan Cannon		+2.5
17	11-6	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Tyne Ross	+2.2
18	11-7	NC A&T	CHAR×3	Serve err	NC A&T server		+1.3
19	11-8	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Agata Zwierzynska		+2.2
20	11-9	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Zariah Winton	blk Mariam Mushkudiani, Milan Cannon	+2.7
21	12-9	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+2.2
22	12-10	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+2.0
23	12-11	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Zariah Winton	blk Milan Cannon	+3.2
24	13-11	CHAR	NC A&T	Serve err	CHAR server		+2.5
25	14-11	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+3.2
26	14-12	NC A&T	CHAR×4	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+2.0
27	14-13	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+3.4
28	14-14	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+3.9
29	14-15	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	CHAR server	aced Tyne Ross	+4.2
30	15-15	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Charlie Meadoweal	+2.9
31	15-16	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Madison Mullins	+3.1
32	16-16	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Charlie Meadoweal	+3.0
33	16-17	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+3.3
34	17-17	CHAR	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Charlie Meadoweal	+3.2
35	18-17	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska		+4.8
36	19-17	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Bad set	Harper Hall		+4.7
37	20-17	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+4.1
38	20-18	NC A&T	CHAR×3	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+2.2
39	20-19	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	CHAR server	aced Eden Eyassu	+4.3
40	20-20	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Tyne Ross	blk Harper Hall, Milan Cannon	+5.6
41	21-20	CHAR	NC A&T	Serve err	CHAR server		+4.4
42	21-21	NC A&T	CHAR	Serve err	NC A&T server		+4.4
43	21-22	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Agata Zwierzynska	blk Milan Cannon	+7.3
44	22-22	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+5.0
45	22-23	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+6.1
46	22-24	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Tyne Ross		+8.3
47	23-24	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Kirsten Kemper	+3.2
48	24-24	NC A&T	NC A&T	Kill	Zariah Winton	set Charlie Meadoweal	+10.9
49	24-25	NC A&T	CHAR	Attack err	Zariah Winton	blk Milan Cannon	+7.7
50	24-26	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Tyne Ross	blk Sofia Locadia, Mariam Mushkudiani	+11.1
Set 3
1	0-1	NC A&T	CHAR	Serve err	NC A&T server		+1.4
2	0-2	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Luca Radnai		+2.0
3	1-2	CHAR	NC A&T	Attack err	Milan Cannon		+1.3
4	2-2	NC A&T	NC A&T	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Harper Hall	+2.0
5	2-3	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+1.5
6	3-3	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Luca Radnai	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.4
7	4-3	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Tyne Ross	+2.0
8	4-4	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+1.5
9	5-4	CHAR	NC A&T	Serve err	CHAR server		+1.5
10	6-4	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+2.0
11	6-5	NC A&T	CHAR×4	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.4
12	6-6	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	CHAR server	aced Zariah Winton	+2.1
13	6-7	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	CHAR server	aced Zariah Winton	+2.2
14	6-8	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+2.3
15	7-8	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Mikala Sampson	set Valeria Estrada	+1.5
16	7-9	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.7
17	8-9	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Nicole Ellis	set Charlie Meadoweal	+1.6
18	9-9	NC A&T	NC A&T	Kill	Mikala Sampson	set Valeria Estrada	+2.3
19	9-10	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+1.8
20	10-10	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Madison Curry	set Charlie Meadoweal	+1.7
21	10-11	NC A&T	CHAR×7	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+1.8
22	10-12	CHAR	CHAR×7	Attack err	Madison Curry	blk Mariam Mushkudiani	+2.6
23	10-13	CHAR	CHAR×7	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+2.4
24	10-14	CHAR	CHAR×7	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+2.2
25	10-15	CHAR	CHAR×7	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+1.8
26	10-16	CHAR	CHAR×7	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+1.4
27	10-17	CHAR	CHAR×7	Attack err	Zariah Winton		+1.0
28	11-17	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Agata Zwierzynska	set Tyne Ross	+0.5
29	11-18	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.7
30	12-18	CHAR	NC A&T×4	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.4
31	13-18	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Zariah Winton	+0.9
32	14-18	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Luca Radnai	+1.3
33	15-18	NC A&T	NC A&T×4	Kill	Tyne Ross	set Kirsten Kemper	+1.8
34	15-19	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.7
35	16-19	CHAR	NC A&T	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+1.2
36	17-19	NC A&T	NC A&T	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+2.4
37	17-20	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+2.3
38	18-20	CHAR	NC A&T	Kill	Nicole Ellis	set Charlie Meadoweal	+1.7
39	18-21	NC A&T	CHAR	Attack err	Mikala Sampson		+2.4
40	18-22	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	CHAR server	aced Zariah Winton	+2.4
41	19-22	CHAR	NC A&T	Attack err	Milan Cannon	blk Nicole Ellis, Mikala Sampson	+0.9
42	19-23	NC A&T	CHAR	Attack err	Mikala Sampson		+1.6
43	19-24	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	CHAR server	aced Tyne Ross	+1.1
44	20-24	CHAR	NC A&T	Attack err	Cassidy Flakes	blk Kirsten Kemper	+0.2
45	20-25	NC A&T	CHAR	Kill	Cassidy Flakes	set Harper Hall	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, N.C. A&T first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.