Wake Forest def. N.C. A&T 3–0
(25-20, 25-10, 25-23)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| NC A&T | 20 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.3% to Wake Forest — set 3, WAKE 25-23 NC A&T. Kill by Ryleigh Whitekettle (set by Emma Keeping). NC A&T win probability 2% → 0%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Wake Forest wins
N.C. A&T wins
- WAKE break %
- 43.1% vs this opp
- NC A&T break %
- 38.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Ryleigh WhitekettleKill+2.3%
Kill by Ryleigh Whitekettle (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 3 · WAKE 25-23 NC A&T · WAKE 98% → 100%
- 02Lyla StewartKill+2.3%
Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Ryleigh Whitekettle)
Set 3 · WAKE 23-21 NC A&T · WAKE 96% → 98%
- 03WAKE serverAce+2.2%
Wake Forest ace on Eden Eyassu
Set 3 · WAKE 21-20 NC A&T · WAKE 93% → 96%
- 04Lyla StewartKill+2.1%
Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 3 · WAKE 20-20 NC A&T · WAKE 91% → 93%
- 05Lyla StewartKill+2.1%
Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 1 · WAKE 1-0 NC A&T · WAKE 72% → 74%
- 06
- 07
- 08Ryleigh WhitekettleKill+1.7%
Kill by Ryleigh Whitekettle (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 3 · WAKE 22-21 NC A&T · WAKE 94% → 96%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 2 | 30 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 2 | 19 | .368 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | .750 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .238 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .556 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 9 | 105 | .343 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 4 | 43 | .186 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 37 | 15 | 102 | .216 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 53 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-20
Set 2
25-10
Set 3
25-23
Bars above the line = N.C. A&T leads, below = Wake Forest leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Wake Forest
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 57%8/14 |
| 2 | 88%7/8 | 74%20/27 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 60%9/15 |
| 4 | 83%5/6 | 0%0/5 |
| 5 | 50%5/10 | 0%0/5 |
| 6 | 50%5/10 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 65%35/54 | 54%40/74 |
N.C. A&T
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27%7/26 | 40%4/10 |
| 2 | 38%6/16 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 46%6/13 | 14%1/7 |
| 4 | 100%5/5 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 71%5/7 | 17%1/6 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 55%6/11 |
| All | 46%34/74 | 35%19/54 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
128 rallies
Rally log
| # | WAKE-NC A&T | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +2.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | +2.0 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Daja Warren | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Agata Zwierzynska | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 5-0 | WAKE | WAKE×5 | Attack err | Tyne Ross | blk Kelis Hawkins | +1.4 |
| 6 | 5-1 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.8 |
| 7 | 6-1 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 8 | 7-1 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Valeria Estrada | +1.1 |
| 9 | 7-2 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Daja Warren | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.7 |
| 10 | 8-2 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.8 |
| 11 | 8-3 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Agata Zwierzynska | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.7 |
| 12 | 9-3 | NC A&T | WAKE | Serve err | NC A&T server | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Zariah Winton | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Charlie Meadoweal | +1.2 |
| 15 | 10-5 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Lyla Stewart | +1.0 |
| 16 | 10-6 | WAKE | NC A&T | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.9 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Kelis Hawkins | set Ava Roddey | +1.0 |
| 18 | 11-7 | WAKE | NC A&T | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Kill | Daja Warren | set Kirsten Kemper | +1.6 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.3 |
| 21 | 13-8 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Daja Warren | blk Kelis Hawkins | +1.5 |
| 22 | 13-9 | WAKE | NC A&T | Attack err | Kelis Hawkins | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | NC A&T | WAKE×6 | Kill | Emma Keeping | +1.0 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | WAKE | WAKE×6 | Bad set | Agata Zwierzynska | +1.1 | |
| 25 | 16-9 | WAKE | WAKE×6 | Attack err | Zariah Winton | blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams | +0.7 |
| 26 | 17-9 | WAKE | WAKE×6 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Valeria Estrada | +0.5 |
| 27 | 18-9 | WAKE | WAKE×6 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Valeria Estrada | +0.3 |
| 28 | 19-9 | WAKE | WAKE×6 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 29 | 19-10 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Agata Zwierzynska | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.0 |
| 30 | 20-10 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +0.1 |
| 31 | 21-10 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Madison Mullins | +0.0 |
| 32 | 21-11 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Zariah Winton | set Tyne Ross | +0.0 |
| 33 | 21-12 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Attack err | Laiya Ebo | blk Luca Radnai | +0.0 |
| 34 | 22-12 | NC A&T | WAKE | Serve err | NC A&T server | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 22-13 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Zariah Winton | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.0 |
| 36 | 23-13 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Andrea Roman | +0.0 |
| 37 | 23-14 | WAKE | NC A&T×6 | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.0 |
| 38 | 23-15 | NC A&T | NC A&T×6 | Kill | Daja Warren | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.0 |
| 39 | 23-16 | NC A&T | NC A&T×6 | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.0 |
| 40 | 23-17 | NC A&T | NC A&T×6 | Kill | Daja Warren | set Eden Eyassu | +0.1 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NC A&T | NC A&T×6 | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Luca Radnai | +0.2 |
| 42 | 23-19 | NC A&T | NC A&T×6 | Attack err | Kelis Hawkins | +0.4 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Ava Roddey | +0.6 |
| 44 | 24-20 | WAKE | NC A&T | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.1 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | NC A&T | WAKE | Bad set | Charlie Meadoweal | +0.3 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC A&T | WAKE×11 | Kill | Emma Keeping | +1.2 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Attack err | Tyne Ross | blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.6 |
| 3 | 3-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 4 | 4-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Kill | Dhru Lalaji | set Charlie Meadoweal | +1.3 |
| 5 | 5-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Attack err | Mikala Sampson | blk Lyla Stewart | +1.1 |
| 6 | 6-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.9 |
| 7 | 7-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Team | +0.7 |
| 8 | 8-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +0.5 |
| 9 | 9-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Eden Eyassu | +0.4 |
| 10 | 10-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Kill | Emma Keeping | set Dhru Lalaji | +0.3 |
| 11 | 11-0 | WAKE | WAKE×11 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.2 |
| 12 | 11-1 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.1 |
| 13 | 12-1 | NC A&T | WAKE | Serve err | NC A&T server | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 12-2 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Daja Warren | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.1 |
| 15 | 12-3 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Ace | NC A&T server | aced Dhru Lalaji | +0.2 |
| 16 | 13-3 | NC A&T | WAKE | Attack err | Agata Zwierzynska | blk Lyla Stewart, Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.2 |
| 17 | 13-4 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Daja Warren | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.1 |
| 18 | 14-4 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Ava Roddey | +0.1 |
| 19 | 14-5 | WAKE | NC A&T | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 15-5 | NC A&T | WAKE×3 | Serve err | NC A&T server | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 16-5 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Zariah Winton | blk Catherine Burke | +0.1 |
| 22 | 17-5 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Zariah Winton | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 17-6 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.0 |
| 24 | 17-7 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Madison Mullins | +0.0 |
| 25 | 18-7 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Ava Roddey | +0.1 |
| 26 | 19-7 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 27 | 19-8 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Charlie Meadoweal | +0.0 |
| 28 | 20-8 | NC A&T | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 29 | 21-8 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 30 | 22-8 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Tyne Ross | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 22-9 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Eden Eyassu | +0.0 |
| 32 | 22-10 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Madison Mullins | +0.0 |
| 33 | 23-10 | NC A&T | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.0 |
| 34 | 24-10 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 25-10 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Camille McCoy | +0.0 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | WAKE | NC A&T | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.7 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Emma Keeping | +0.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NC A&T | WAKE | Serve err | NC A&T server | +0.7 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Tyne Ross | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Daja Warren | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.6 |
| 8 | 5-3 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +0.6 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Madison Curry | set Madison Mullins | +0.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Andrea Roman | +0.7 |
| 13 | 8-5 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Catherine Burke | +0.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | NC A&T×4 | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.6 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NC A&T | NC A&T×4 | Kill | Luca Radnai | +1.0 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | NC A&T | NC A&T×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | NC A&T | NC A&T×4 | Kill | Luca Radnai | +1.2 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Ava Roddey | +0.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | WAKE | NC A&T×4 | Kill | Luca Radnai | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NC A&T | NC A&T×4 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.3 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | NC A&T | NC A&T×4 | Ace | NC A&T server | aced Amina Ndiaye | +1.3 |
| 22 | 9-13 | NC A&T | NC A&T×4 | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Kirsten Kemper | +1.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | NC A&T | WAKE | Serve err | NC A&T server | +0.7 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.9 |
| 25 | 11-14 | NC A&T | WAKE×4 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +0.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Daja Warren | +1.2 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Madison Mullins | +1.4 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.4 |
| 29 | 14-15 | WAKE | NC A&T | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | +1.1 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Attack err | Lyla Stewart | blk Madison Curry | +1.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Lyla Stewart | +1.0 |
| 32 | 15-17 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Madison Curry | set Kirsten Kemper | +1.2 |
| 33 | 16-17 | NC A&T | WAKE | Attack err | Madison Curry | +1.0 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Luca Radnai | set Kirsten Kemper | +1.3 |
| 35 | 17-18 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Ava Roddey | +1.1 |
| 36 | 17-19 | WAKE | NC A&T | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Madison Curry | +1.4 |
| 37 | 18-19 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Andrea Roman | +1.1 |
| 38 | 18-20 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Mikala Sampson | set Kirsten Kemper | +1.5 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NC A&T | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Emma Keeping | +2.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Ace | WAKE server | aced Eden Eyassu | +2.2 |
| 42 | 21-21 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Kirsten Kemper | +1.5 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NC A&T | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Lyla Stewart | set Ryleigh Whitekettle | +2.3 |
| 45 | 24-21 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | WAKE | NC A&T | Kill | Tyne Ross | set Kirsten Kemper | +0.4 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NC A&T | NC A&T | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.4 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | NC A&T | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +2.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Wake Forest first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.