FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeMAC

Miami (OH) def. McNeese 3–0

(26-24, 25-22, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MCNEES	24	22	22	0
MIA OH	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MIA OH above 50 · MCNEES below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to McNeese — set 1, MCNEES 24-23 MIA OH. Kill by Kayla Wilson (set by Neal Grace Berry). MIA OH win probability 94% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MCNEES 3.6%96.4% MIA OH

McNeese wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.3%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0

59.8%

3-1

28.2%

3-2

8.3%

MCNEES break %: 36.6% vs this opp
MIA OH break %: 50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kayla WilsonKill+3.5%
Kill by Kayla Wilson (set by Neal Grace Berry)
Set 1 · MCNEES 24-23 MIA OH · MCNEES 6% → 9%
02
Corynne HauslerBad set+2.8%
Bad set by Corynne Hausler
Set 1 · MCNEES 24-24 MIA OH · MIA OH 91% → 94%
03
Molly CreechKill+2.7%
Kill by Molly Creech (set by Kamryn Utley)
Set 1 · MCNEES 24-25 MIA OH · MIA OH 94% → 96%
04
MIA OH serverAce+2.0%
Miami (OH) ace on Sophia Tocmo
Set 1 · MCNEES 24-26 MIA OH · MIA OH 96% → 98%
05
Molly CreechAttack error+1.6%
Molly Creech stuffed by Ava Henry & Neal Grace Berry
Set 1 · MCNEES 23-23 MIA OH · MCNEES 4% → 6%
06
Molly CreechAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Molly Creech
Set 1 · MCNEES 21-21 MIA OH · MCNEES 4% → 6%
07
Molly CreechKill+1.6%
Kill by Molly Creech (set by Rachel Morgan)
Set 1 · MCNEES 22-23 MIA OH · MIA OH 94% → 96%
08
Ava HenryKill+1.4%
Kill by Ava Henry (set by Corynne Hausler)
Set 1 · MCNEES 22-22 MIA OH · MCNEES 4% → 6%

Official NCAA box

Box score

McNeeseaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Kayla WilsonOH	3	12	5	32	.219	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	13
23Ava HenryMB	3	8	4	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
2Harmony SolesMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	4
12Neal Grace BerryOH	3	2	2	15	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Gaby SantiagoOH	3	1	2	14	-.071	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	1
3Corynne HauslerS	3	0	1	2	-.500	17	0	0	13	0	0	0	0
25Gabbie MaldonadoOPP	3	11	2	21	.429	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	12
10Megan GroseS	3	1	0	3	.333	17	1	0	12	0	0	0	2
4Carli BanksOH	3	0	1	2	-.500	1	1	1	5	2	0	0	1
8Sophia TocmoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
9Harmony JacksonOH	1	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3
7Bailey FoolkesL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Sophie TwiggL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	20	120	.175	40	2	4	61	3	10	5	68

Miami (OH)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Molly CreechOH	3	15	5	37	.270	0	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
20Lindy RadaszewskiMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	2	2	0	3	0	3	7
17Lauren CoyneOPP	3	5	0	22	.227	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
15Lydia MichelinMB	3	3	4	12	-.083	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
13Grace KreutzOH	3	1	0	7	.143	0	2	2	9	1	0	0	0	3
18Holland Van DeusenS	3	1	0	3	.333	19	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	1
7Chelsea WilliamsOH	3	17	2	36	.417	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	1	18
14Kamryn UtleyS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
9Rachel MorganL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
12Sydney WallerOPP	2	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
19Kendall BosseMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Madison BrownS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Piper WillingerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	15	133	.241	42	3	9	53	2	5	4	7	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MCNEES · MIA OH 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 5 MCNEESMIA OH 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MCNEESMIA OH 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 MCNEESMIA OH 3

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = McNeese leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

McNeese

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	27%3/11
2	75%9/12	25%3/12
3	50%8/16	10%1/10
4	64%7/11	56%10/18
5	55%6/11	30%3/10
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	61%45/74	33%23/70

Miami (OH)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	36%4/11
2	75%9/12	36%5/14
3	64%9/14	36%5/14
4	53%8/15	53%9/17
5	75%6/8	45%5/11
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	67%47/70	39%29/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

144 rallies

Rally log

#	MCNEES-MIA OH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Rachel Morgan	+0.3
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski		+0.4
3	1-2	MIA OH	MCNEES×3	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.3
4	2-2	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.5
5	3-2	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.6
6	3-3	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.4
7	4-3	MIA OH	MCNEES	Attack err	Lydia Michelin	blk Ava Henry, Kayla Wilson	+0.5
8	4-4	MCNEES	MIA OH×4	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.4
9	4-5	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Madison Brown	+0.5
10	4-6	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Kayla Wilson	blk Lydia Michelin, Sydney Waller	+0.4
11	4-7	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Harmony Soles		+0.4
12	5-7	MIA OH	MCNEES×5	Kill	Neal Grace Berry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.3
13	6-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Attack err	Molly Creech	blk Harmony Soles, Gabbie Maldonado	+0.5
14	7-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Attack err	Molly Creech	blk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles	+0.6
15	8-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Megan Grose	+0.7
16	9-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×5	Attack err	Lydia Michelin		+0.9
17	9-8	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Sydney Waller	set Madison Brown	+0.6
18	9-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Wilson	blk Chelsea Williams	+0.7
19	10-9	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.7
20	10-10	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+0.6
21	11-10	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gaby Santiago	set Megan Grose	+0.7
22	12-10	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Carli Banks	+1.0
23	12-11	MCNEES	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+0.7
24	12-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.9
25	12-13	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Lindy Radaszewski	+0.8
26	12-14	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Lindy Radaszewski	+0.6
27	13-14	MIA OH	MCNEES	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.5
28	13-15	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.5
29	13-16	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Carli Banks	+0.5
30	14-16	MIA OH	MCNEES	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.4
31	14-17	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.4
32	15-17	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.4
33	15-18	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.4
34	16-18	MIA OH	MCNEES	Attack err	Sydney Waller		+0.4
35	16-19	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado	blk Lydia Michelin, Molly Creech	+0.5
36	17-19	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+0.4
37	18-19	MCNEES	MCNEES	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Chelsea Williams	+0.9
38	18-20	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.7
39	19-20	MIA OH	MCNEES	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.7
40	19-21	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.8
41	20-21	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.8
42	21-21	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Molly Creech		+1.6
43	21-22	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Carli Banks		+1.3
44	22-22	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+1.4
45	22-23	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+1.6
46	23-23	MIA OH	MCNEES	Attack err	Molly Creech	blk Ava Henry, Neal Grace Berry	+1.6
47	24-23	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Neal Grace Berry	+3.5
48	24-24	MCNEES	MIA OH×3	Bad set	Corynne Hausler		+2.8
49	24-25	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+2.7
50	24-26	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+2.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.3
2	1-1	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+0.2
3	2-1	MIA OH	MCNEES	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.3
4	2-2	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.2
5	3-2	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.3
6	4-2	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Sydney Waller		+0.4
7	4-3	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.3
8	5-3	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+0.4
9	6-3	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.5
10	6-4	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.3
11	7-4	MIA OH	MCNEES	Attack err	Lydia Michelin		+0.4
12	7-5	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Rachel Morgan	+0.4
13	8-5	MIA OH	MCNEES	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.5
14	9-5	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Lindy Radaszewski		+0.6
15	9-6	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Neal Grace Berry		+0.4
16	10-6	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.5
17	10-7	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Rachel Morgan	+0.4
18	11-7	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.5
19	11-8	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.4
20	11-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Neal Grace Berry		+0.6
21	12-9	MIA OH	MCNEES	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.5
22	12-10	MCNEES	MIA OH×3	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.4
23	12-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Bad set	Kayla Wilson		+0.6
24	12-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.5
25	13-12	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+0.5
26	13-13	MCNEES	MIA OH	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.4
27	13-14	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.5
28	14-14	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.4
29	14-15	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.4
30	15-15	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.5
31	15-16	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Gaby Santiago		+0.4
32	16-16	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.5
33	16-17	MCNEES	MIA OH	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.5
34	17-17	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.5
35	17-18	MCNEES	MIA OH	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.5
36	17-19	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Wilson		+0.6
37	18-19	MIA OH	MCNEES×4	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.4
38	19-19	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+0.8
39	20-19	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Lydia Michelin		+1.1
40	21-19	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+1.3
41	21-20	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado		+0.7
42	21-21	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.1
43	22-21	MIA OH	MCNEES	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+1.1
44	22-22	MCNEES	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.0
45	22-23	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+1.3
46	22-24	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Gaby Santiago		+1.0
47	22-25	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Ace	MIA OH server	aced Carli Banks	+0.5
Set 3
1	1-0	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.2
2	1-1	MCNEES	MIA OH×3	Kill	Grace Kreutz	set Rachel Morgan	+0.1
3	1-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
4	1-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Corynne Hausler		+0.1
5	2-3	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.1
6	3-3	MCNEES	MCNEES	Bad set	Holland Van Deusen		+0.1
7	3-4	MCNEES	MIA OH×3	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
8	3-5	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
9	3-6	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Harmony Jackson		+0.1
10	4-6	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.1
11	4-7	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
12	5-7	MIA OH	MCNEES×3	Serve err	MIA OH server		+0.1
13	6-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Megan Grose	+0.1
14	7-7	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Grace Kreutz	+0.2
15	7-8	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+0.1
16	8-8	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.1
17	8-9	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+0.1
18	9-9	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Neal Grace Berry	set Megan Grose	+0.2
19	10-9	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Kendall Bosse	blk Kayla Wilson, Ava Henry	+0.2
20	10-10	MCNEES	MIA OH	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.2
21	10-11	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
22	11-11	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Megan Grose	+0.2
23	11-12	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Rachel Morgan	+0.2
24	11-13	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski		+0.2
25	12-13	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.1
26	12-14	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lindy Radaszewski	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
27	12-15	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Lydia Michelin	+0.1
28	13-15	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.1
29	13-16	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.1
30	14-16	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.1
31	14-17	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+0.1
32	15-17	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Megan Grose	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.1
33	16-17	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson		+0.2
34	16-18	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Wilson		+0.2
35	16-19	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Kamryn Utley	+0.2
36	17-19	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Megan Grose	+0.1
37	18-19	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.2
38	18-20	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Kayla Wilson		+0.2
39	19-20	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Megan Grose	+0.2
40	19-21	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Holland Van Deusen	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
41	20-21	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.2
42	20-22	MCNEES	MIA OH	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Lindy Radaszewski	+0.3
43	21-22	MIA OH	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.2
44	21-23	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.3
45	21-24	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Harmony Soles		+0.2
46	22-24	MIA OH	MCNEES	Attack err	Molly Creech		+0.1
47	22-25	MCNEES	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Kamryn Utley	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, McNeese first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.