FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

0:3

HomeBIG-SKY

Weber St. def. San Jose St. 3–0

(25-15, 25-22, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SJSU	15	22	21	0
WEB ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WEB ST above 50 · SJSU below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to San Jose St. — set 1, SJSU 10-11 WEB ST. Rose Moore stuffed by Learden Lee & Lolo Fonua. WEB ST win probability 69% → 67%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SJSU 35.6%64.4% WEB ST

San Jose St. wins

3-0

7.3%

3-1

12.8%

3-2

15.5%

Weber St. wins

3-0

19.7%

3-1

24.7%

3-2

20.0%

SJSU break %: 42.8% vs this opp
WEB ST break %: 45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Rose MooreAttack error+2.6%
Rose Moore stuffed by Learden Lee & Lolo Fonua
Set 1 · SJSU 10-11 WEB ST · SJSU 31% → 33%
02
Naima FosterAttack error+2.6%
Naima Foster stuffed by Stacia Barker & Rose Moore
Set 1 · SJSU 8-10 WEB ST · WEB ST 66% → 69%
03
Naima FosterAttack error+2.5%
Naima Foster stuffed by Maggie Larsen & Ziya Munyer
Set 1 · SJSU 10-13 WEB ST · WEB ST 69% → 71%
04
Alexis CarlsonKill+2.5%
Kill by Alexis Carlson (set by Addison Eastwood)
Set 2 · SJSU 22-25 WEB ST · WEB ST 90% → 92%
05
Tatiana RobinsonAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Tatiana Robinson
Set 1 · SJSU 5-5 WEB ST · WEB ST 61% → 64%
06
Alexis CarlsonKill+2.5%
Kill by Alexis Carlson (set by Morgan Pratt)
Set 1 · SJSU 5-6 WEB ST · WEB ST 64% → 66%
07
Rose MooreAttack error+2.4%
Rose Moore stuffed by Lolo Fonua
Set 1 · SJSU 3-1 WEB ST · SJSU 38% → 40%
08
Lolo FonuaAttack error+2.4%
Lolo Fonua stuffed by Rose Moore & Stacia Barker
Set 1 · SJSU 8-11 WEB ST · WEB ST 69% → 71%

Official NCAA box

Box score

San Jose St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Zuzana KosikovaOH	3	6	4	15	.133	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	0	7
3Lolo FonuaOH	3	4	5	21	-.048	0	1	0	5	1	1	1	1.5	6.5
11Learden LeeMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	4
9Ava HewittMB	3	2	3	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
1Fatimah HallS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
24Naima FosterOH	1	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
10Tatiana RobinsonOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
7Devon DeNecocheaOPP	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
18Hanna DarvasS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Kylee SellsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
0Orian DroreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	0
16Morgan GravesOH	2	5	1	14	.286	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	6
19Aniyah HallMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		33	20	100	.130	32	4	8	36	4	1	10	6	58

Weber St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Alexis CarlsonOH	3	17	3	29	.483	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	17.5
5Rose MooreOPP	3	13	6	30	.233	0	0	1	3	0	1	5	3.5	16.5
11Ziya MunyerMB	3	4	2	9	.222	0	1	1	0	0	1	5	3.5	8.5
19Stacia BarkerMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
2Morgan PrattS	3	1	0	2	.500	25	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
6Maggie LarsenOH	2	3	2	16	.063	0	0	1	2	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
12Katelynn AlbanoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
9Marly PrattL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	13	0	0	0	0	1
4Ashlyn AaronOPP	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Addison EastwoodS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
18Reagan WilliamsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
14Tennille GonderOH	1	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
21Sophia SparrowMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		42	16	100	.260	37	4	5	40	4	2	18	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 SJSU · WEB ST 4

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 SJSUWEB ST 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 SJSUWEB ST 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 SJSUWEB ST 3

Bars above the line = Weber St. leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

San Jose St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	27%3/11
2	39%7/18	42%5/12
3	78%7/9	13%1/8
4	50%6/12	36%4/11
5	55%6/11	45%5/11
6	55%6/11	14%1/7
All	53%39/73	32%19/60

Weber St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	25%2/8
2	70%7/10	56%9/16
3	70%7/10	56%9/16
4	58%7/12	22%2/9
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	75%6/8	50%6/12
All	68%41/60	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	SJSU-WEB ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+1.7
2	1-1	WEB ST	SJSU×3	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+1.8
3	2-1	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Rose Moore		+2.4
4	3-1	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Rose Moore	blk Lolo Fonua	+2.4
5	3-2	SJSU	WEB ST	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.8
6	4-2	WEB ST	SJSU	Attack err	Maggie Larsen		+2.0
7	4-3	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Marly Pratt	+1.9
8	5-3	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+2.0
9	5-4	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+1.9
10	5-5	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Tatiana Robinson		+2.5
11	5-6	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+2.5
12	6-6	WEB ST	SJSU	Serve err	WEB ST server		+2.0
13	6-7	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+2.0
14	7-7	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+2.1
15	7-8	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Morgan Pratt	+2.1
16	8-8	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+2.1
17	8-9	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+2.1
18	8-10	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Naima Foster	blk Stacia Barker, Rose Moore	+2.6
19	8-11	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Lolo Fonua	blk Rose Moore, Stacia Barker	+2.4
20	9-11	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+1.8
21	10-11	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Rose Moore	blk Learden Lee, Lolo Fonua	+2.6
22	10-12	SJSU	WEB ST×4	Serve err	SJSU server		+2.2
23	10-13	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Naima Foster	blk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer	+2.5
24	10-14	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Lolo Fonua	blk Ziya Munyer, Rose Moore	+2.2
25	10-15	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Ziya Munyer, Rose Moore	+1.8
26	11-15	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+1.2
27	11-16	SJSU	WEB ST	Attack err	Ava Hewitt	blk Ziya Munyer	+1.4
28	12-16	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Orian Drore	+1.1
29	12-17	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Morgan Pratt	+1.4
30	13-17	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
31	13-18	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+1.4
32	13-19	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Alexis Carlson		+1.3
33	13-20	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Tatiana Robinson		+0.8
34	14-20	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+0.4
35	14-21	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Marly Pratt	+0.6
36	14-22	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+0.3
37	15-22	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
38	15-23	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.2
39	15-24	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Naima Foster	blk Sophia Sparrow, Rose Moore	+0.1
40	15-25	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Katelynn Albano	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	WEB ST	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+1.6
2	2-0	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Learden Lee	set Fatimah Hall	+2.1
3	3-0	SJSU	SJSU×3	Ace	SJSU server	aced Alexis Carlson	+2.1
4	3-1	SJSU	WEB ST×4	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+1.5
5	3-2	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Bad set	Fatimah Hall		+2.0
6	3-3	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Kill	Rose Moore	set Fatimah Hall	+2.1
7	3-4	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Orian Drore	+2.0
8	4-4	WEB ST	SJSU	Attack err	Rose Moore		+1.7
9	4-5	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.6
10	4-6	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+2.0
11	4-7	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+1.9
12	5-7	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Fatimah Hall	+1.4
13	5-8	SJSU	WEB ST	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+1.5
14	6-8	WEB ST	SJSU	Serve err	WEB ST server		+1.5
15	7-8	SJSU	SJSU	Ace	SJSU server	aced Maggie Larsen	+2.1
16	7-9	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Marly Pratt	+1.7
17	7-10	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova		+2.0
18	8-10	WEB ST	SJSU	Attack err	Alexis Carlson		+1.5
19	9-10	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+2.2
20	9-11	SJSU	WEB ST×4	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.8
21	9-12	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Stacia Barker, Morgan Pratt	+2.1
22	9-13	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Kill	Alexis Carlson		+1.9
23	9-14	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Lolo Fonua	+1.6
24	10-14	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+1.0
25	10-15	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+1.2
26	11-15	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Orian Drore	+1.0
27	11-16	SJSU	WEB ST	Attack err	Tatiana Robinson	blk Rose Moore	+1.2
28	11-17	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+1.2
29	12-17	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
30	12-18	SJSU	WEB ST	Serve err	SJSU server		+0.9
31	13-18	WEB ST	SJSU×3	Kill	Aniyah Hall	set Fatimah Hall	+0.6
32	14-18	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Maggie Larsen	blk Aniyah Hall, Devon DeNecochea	+1.2
33	15-18	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Orian Drore	+1.7
34	15-19	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+1.7
35	15-20	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Morgan Graves		+1.5
36	15-21	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Ziya Munyer	set Morgan Pratt	+1.0
37	16-21	WEB ST	SJSU×3	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+0.4
38	17-21	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Ziya Munyer		+0.9
39	18-21	SJSU	SJSU×3	Ace	SJSU server	aced Maggie Larsen	+1.5
40	18-22	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+1.7
41	18-23	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Ziya Munyer, Ashlyn Aaron	+1.3
42	19-23	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+0.4
43	19-24	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+0.8
44	20-24	WEB ST	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+0.2
45	21-24	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+0.6
46	22-24	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Alexis Carlson	blk Learden Lee	+1.4
47	22-25	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+2.5
Set 3
1	0-1	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Morgan Pratt	+0.9
2	1-1	WEB ST	SJSU	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.9
3	1-2	SJSU	WEB ST×3	Serve err	SJSU server		+0.9
4	1-3	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Ziya Munyer	set Morgan Pratt	+1.1
5	1-4	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Ziya Munyer	set Marly Pratt	+1.1
6	2-4	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Fatimah Hall	+0.8
7	2-5	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.8
8	3-5	WEB ST	SJSU	Attack err	Tennille Gonder		+0.8
9	3-6	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Marly Pratt	+0.9
10	3-7	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Ziya Munyer	set Morgan Pratt	+1.0
11	4-7	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+0.7
12	4-8	SJSU	WEB ST	Attack err	Devon DeNecochea	blk Alexis Carlson	+0.8
13	4-9	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+0.9
14	5-9	WEB ST	SJSU	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.6
15	5-10	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+0.7
16	5-11	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+0.7
17	6-11	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+0.5
18	7-11	SJSU	SJSU	Ace	SJSU server	aced Alexis Carlson	+0.8
19	7-12	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Morgan Pratt	+0.7
20	8-12	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+0.6
21	8-13	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.7
22	8-14	WEB ST	WEB ST	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Orian Drore	+0.7
23	9-14	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Fatimah Hall	+0.5
24	10-14	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Rose Moore		+0.8
25	10-15	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.7
26	11-15	WEB ST	SJSU	Attack err	Tennille Gonder	blk Tatiana Robinson, Ava Hewitt	+0.6
27	12-15	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Tennille Gonder	blk Ava Hewitt, Devon DeNecochea	+1.0
28	12-16	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Morgan Pratt	set Katelynn Albano	+0.9
29	12-17	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson		+0.9
30	13-17	WEB ST	SJSU×3	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.6
31	14-17	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Alexis Carlson		+1.0
32	15-17	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+1.3
33	15-18	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+1.2
34	16-18	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
35	16-19	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+1.3
36	17-19	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
37	17-20	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Marly Pratt	+1.4
38	17-21	WEB ST	WEB ST	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Orian Drore	+1.3
39	18-21	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
40	18-22	SJSU	WEB ST	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.0
41	18-23	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.7
42	19-23	WEB ST	SJSU	Attack err	Rose Moore		+0.3
43	19-24	SJSU	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.5
44	20-24	WEB ST	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+0.1
45	21-24	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Ziya Munyer		+0.4
46	21-25	SJSU	WEB ST	Serve err	SJSU server		+0.6

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.