FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

3:0

HomeWCC

San Jose St. def. San Francisco 3–0

(25-16, 25-19, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SJSU	25	25	25	3
S FRAN	16	19	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S FRAN above 50 · SJSU below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to San Jose St. — set 1, SJSU 1-0 S FRAN. Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Fatimah Hall). S FRAN win probability 41% → 38%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SJSU 59.2%40.8% S FRAN

San Jose St. wins

3-0

16.8%

3-1

22.6%

3-2

19.8%

San Francisco wins

3-0

9.0%

3-1

14.9%

3-2

16.9%

SJSU break %: 43.8% vs this opp
S FRAN break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ava HewittKill+2.4%
Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Fatimah Hall)
Set 1 · SJSU 1-0 S FRAN · SJSU 59% → 62%
02
Hokulani PerezAttack error+2.3%
Hokulani Perez stuffed by Ava Hewitt
Set 1 · SJSU 2-0 S FRAN · SJSU 62% → 64%
03
Lolo FonuaKill+2.2%
Kill by Lolo Fonua (set by Orian Drore)
Set 1 · SJSU 10-6 S FRAN · SJSU 67% → 69%
04
Petra FritzAttack error+2.2%
Petra Fritz stuffed by Learden Lee
Set 3 · SJSU 17-16 S FRAN · SJSU 90% → 92%
05
Zuzana KosikovaAttack error+2.2%
Zuzana Kosikova stuffed by Anica Bobic & Maeve Bailey
Set 1 · SJSU 7-5 S FRAN · S FRAN 33% → 35%
06
Katariina KorhonenAttack error+2.2%
Katariina Korhonen stuffed by Learden Lee & Tatiana Robinson
Set 2 · SJSU 4-2 S FRAN · SJSU 78% → 80%
07
Naima FosterKill+2.2%
Kill by Naima Foster (set by Fatimah Hall)
Set 1 · SJSU 3-0 S FRAN · SJSU 64% → 66%
08
Learden LeeKill+2.2%
Kill by Learden Lee (set by Jordan Smart)
Set 3 · SJSU 18-16 S FRAN · SJSU 92% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

San Jose St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lolo FonuaOH	3	9	3	21	.286	1	0	2	9	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
9Ava HewittMB	3	6	2	11	.364	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
2Zuzana KosikovaOH	3	7	7	25	.000	0	1	2	6	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
24Naima FosterOH	3	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
11Learden LeeMB	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
1Fatimah HallS	3	0	0	0	–	16	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
10Tatiana RobinsonOH	3	10	2	20	.400	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	2	12
8Kylee SellsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
18Hanna DarvasS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
0Orian DroreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
17Ryleeh TuaoloOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	16	100	.280	40	3	8	40	1	2	12	8	75

San Franciscohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Petra FritzOH	3	10	8	29	.069	0	0	4	4	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
14Emma NeukirchenMB	3	8	2	18	.333	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	8
16Maeve BaileyMB	3	4	0	13	.308	1	0	0	1	0	1	6	4	8
12Katariina KorhonenOH	3	4	5	19	-.053	0	0	2	6	0	0	2	1	5
19Hokulani PerezMB	3	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2
4Adelynn LegatesS	2	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
8Anica BobicOH	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
13Jordan SmartS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
18Laura AmaroL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	2	0	0	0	0
3Piper JustissS	1	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Simona IvanovaMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11True TakemotoDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	18	92	.130	28	1	7	36	3	2	14	9	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 10 SJSU · S FRAN 8

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 SJSUS FRAN 2

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 10 SJSUS FRAN 8

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 SJSUS FRAN 4

Bars above the line = San Francisco leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

San Jose St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	54%7/13
2	67%6/9	33%3/9
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	43%6/14	45%5/11
5	71%5/7	58%7/12
6	100%5/5	74%14/19
All	63%35/56	54%40/74

San Francisco

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	25%2/8
2	55%6/11	36%4/11
3	60%6/10	25%2/8
4	56%5/9	63%10/16
5	25%5/20	17%1/6
6	45%5/11	29%2/7
All	46%34/74	38%21/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	SJSU-S FRAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SJSU	SJSU×5	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Fatimah Hall	+2.4
2	2-0	SJSU	SJSU×5	Attack err	Hokulani Perez	blk Ava Hewitt	+2.3
3	3-0	SJSU	SJSU×5	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+2.2
4	4-0	SJSU	SJSU×5	Bad set	Adelynn Legates		+2.0
5	5-0	SJSU	SJSU×5	Kill	Naima Foster	set Orian Drore	+1.8
6	5-1	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.2
7	6-1	S FRAN	SJSU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.4
8	6-2	SJSU	S FRAN	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+1.2
9	6-3	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Maeve Bailey	+1.9
10	7-3	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+1.6
11	7-4	SJSU	S FRAN	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova		+1.4
12	7-5	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Anica Bobic, Maeve Bailey	+2.2
13	8-5	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+1.8
14	8-6	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.7
15	9-6	S FRAN	SJSU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.9
16	10-6	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Orian Drore	+2.2
17	10-7	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.5
18	11-7	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+1.7
19	12-7	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson	+1.9
20	12-8	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
21	13-8	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+1.5
22	14-8	SJSU	SJSU	Ace	SJSU server	aced Hokulani Perez	+1.6
23	14-9	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+0.9
24	15-9	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Fatimah Hall	+1.2
25	16-9	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+1.1
26	16-10	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+0.6
27	17-10	S FRAN	SJSU	Attack err	Hokulani Perez	blk Ava Hewitt, Zuzana Kosikova	+0.8
28	18-10	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
29	18-11	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+0.3
30	18-12	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Team	+0.6
31	19-12	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
32	20-12	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.5
33	20-13	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Jordan Smart	+0.2
34	21-13	S FRAN	SJSU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.3
35	21-14	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+0.1
36	21-15	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Tatiana Robinson		+0.4
37	22-15	S FRAN	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Hanna Darvas	+0.5
38	23-15	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson	+0.2
39	24-15	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
40	24-16	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+0.0
41	25-16	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	S FRAN	SJSU	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Lolo Fonua, Ava Hewitt	+1.6
2	1-1	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+1.6
3	2-1	S FRAN	SJSU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.7
4	2-2	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Adelynn Legates	+1.7
5	3-2	S FRAN	SJSU×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+1.7
6	4-2	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Learden Lee, Tatiana Robinson	+2.2
7	5-2	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Orian Drore	+2.1
8	5-3	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.5
9	6-3	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Orian Drore	+1.6
10	7-3	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.9
11	7-4	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+1.3
12	8-4	S FRAN	SJSU×10	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+1.5
13	9-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson	+1.7
14	10-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.4
15	11-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
16	12-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Ace	SJSU server	aced Laura Amaro	+0.9
17	13-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Kylee Sells	+0.6
18	14-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Kill	Ava Hewitt		+0.4
19	15-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.3
20	16-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Kylee Sells	+0.1
21	17-4	SJSU	SJSU×10	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
22	17-5	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.0
23	18-5	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+0.0
24	19-5	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Fatimah Hall	+0.0
25	19-6	SJSU	S FRAN×3	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.0
26	19-7	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Ava Hewitt	blk Hokulani Perez	+0.0
27	19-8	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+0.0
28	20-8	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+0.0
29	20-9	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+0.0
30	20-10	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Ava Hewitt	+0.0
31	21-10	S FRAN	SJSU×3	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+0.1
32	22-10	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Lolo Fonua	+0.0
33	23-10	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+0.0
34	23-11	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Adelynn Legates	+0.0
35	24-11	S FRAN	SJSU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.0
36	24-12	SJSU	S FRAN×8	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+0.0
37	24-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Jordan Smart	+0.0
38	24-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Maeve Bailey, Katariina Korhonen	+0.0
39	24-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+0.0
40	24-16	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Attack err	Ryleeh Tuaolo	blk Maeve Bailey	+0.0
41	24-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+0.0
42	24-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Maeve Bailey, Anica Bobic	+0.0
43	24-19	S FRAN	S FRAN×8	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova		+0.1
44	25-19	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Piper Justiss	+1.0
2	1-1	S FRAN	SJSU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.0
3	1-2	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.0
4	2-2	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+1.0
5	3-2	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Piper Justiss	+1.4
6	3-3	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+1.0
7	3-4	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.4
8	4-4	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+1.1
9	4-5	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.1
10	4-6	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Katariina Korhonen, Maeve Bailey	+1.5
11	5-6	S FRAN	SJSU×5	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.1
12	6-6	SJSU	SJSU×5	Ace	SJSU server	aced Laura Amaro	+1.5
13	7-6	SJSU	SJSU×5	Bad set	Jordan Smart		+1.5
14	8-6	SJSU	SJSU×5	Kill	Learden Lee	set Hanna Darvas	+1.5
15	9-6	SJSU	SJSU×5	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.4
16	9-7	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+1.0
17	9-8	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic		+1.5
18	10-8	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+1.2
19	11-8	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua		+1.4
20	11-9	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.0
21	12-9	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
22	12-10	SJSU	S FRAN×4	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Piper Justiss	+1.0
23	12-11	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Lolo Fonua	blk Hokulani Perez, Petra Fritz	+1.6
24	12-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Naima Foster		+1.8
25	12-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+1.9
26	13-13	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Zuzana Kosikova	set Fatimah Hall	+1.4
27	14-13	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+1.9
28	14-14	SJSU	S FRAN	Serve err	SJSU server		+1.5
29	14-15	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Zuzana Kosikova	blk Maeve Bailey, Hokulani Perez	+2.1
30	15-15	S FRAN	SJSU	Bad set	Katariina Korhonen		+1.5
31	15-16	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	+1.6
32	16-16	S FRAN	SJSU×3	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+1.6
33	17-16	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Learden Lee	+2.2
34	18-16	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Learden Lee	set Jordan Smart	+2.2
35	18-17	SJSU	S FRAN	Attack err	Tatiana Robinson	blk Anica Bobic, Maeve Bailey	+1.5
36	19-17	S FRAN	SJSU	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+1.7
37	20-17	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Orian Drore	+2.0
38	20-18	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
39	21-18	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Learden Lee	set Hanna Darvas	+1.6
40	22-18	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Anica Bobic		+1.5
41	22-19	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.7
42	23-19	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Tatiana Robinson	set Orian Drore	+1.1
43	23-20	SJSU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Piper Justiss	+0.5
44	24-20	S FRAN	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Fatimah Hall	+1.0
45	25-20	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Orian Drore	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.