FinalWed, Sep 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UTRGV def. McNeese 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UTRGV 72.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 22, 9:25 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UTRGV won at McNeese 3-0 (25-23, 25-16, 25-12) on Wed, Sep 23, 2026. UTRGV's Martina Franco led with 12 kills, and Celianiz Cabranes added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 23

Set123Sets
UTRGV2525253
MCNEES2316120

Win probability

McNeese above 50 · UTRGV below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.4% UTRGVrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.4% to UTRGV — set 1, UTRGV 25-23 MCNEES. McNeese service error. MCNEES win probability 21% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UTRGV 72.0%28.0% MCNEES

UTRGV wins

3-0
24.7%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%

McNeese wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.1%
UTRGV break %
43.6% vs this opp
MCNEES break %
39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    McNeeseService error+5.4%

    McNeese service error

    Set 1 · UTRGV 25-23 MCNEES · UTRGV 79% → 84%

  2. 02

    Kill by Martina Franco (set by Lana Rnjak)

    Set 1 · UTRGV 24-22 MCNEES · UTRGV 77% → 81%

  3. 03

    Kill by Gabbie Maldonado (set by Megan Grose)

    Set 1 · UTRGV 18-18 MCNEES · MCNEES 26% → 30%

  4. 04
    Megan GroseBad set+3.9%

    Bad set by Megan Grose

    Set 1 · UTRGV 20-18 MCNEES · UTRGV 73% → 77%

  5. 05

    Ema Petkovic stuffed by Kayla Wilson & Ava Henry

    Set 1 · UTRGV 23-22 MCNEES · MCNEES 19% → 23%

  6. 06
    Kayla WilsonKill+3.3%

    Kill by Kayla Wilson (set by Sophia Tocmo)

    Set 1 · UTRGV 15-15 MCNEES · MCNEES 26% → 29%

  7. 07
    UTRGVAce+3.3%

    UTRGV ace on Gaby Santiago

    Set 1 · UTRGV 22-19 MCNEES · UTRGV 78% → 81%

  8. 08
    UTRGVAce+3.2%

    UTRGV ace on Sophia Tocmo

    Set 1 · UTRGV 17-15 MCNEES · UTRGV 73% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UTRGVaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312327.3333015010113
38324.2080316002112
38013.61500110031.59.5
3417.429000201226
3417.429311140010.55.5
34312.083100100215
3000–030000003
3000–2011210000
2000–101710000
1000–001200000
Team totals401190.3223877402210775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39426.192000100009
35314.143011201228
3216.1671001700002
3129-.11120231010.51.5
3002.000101510000
2114.00000010010.51.5
311424.29200010010.511.5
3002.0003011020000
3000–1502300000
2235-.20000000010.52.5
2000–010000001
2003.000000210000
1000–000000000
Team totals311895.137312835716451

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UTRGV · MCNEES 3

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 UTRGVMCNEES 2

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 UTRGVMCNEES 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 6 UTRGVMCNEES 2

Bars above the line = McNeese leads, below = UTRGV leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UTRGV

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
44%4/9
2
78%7/9
50%7/14
3
54%7/13
46%6/13
4
78%7/9
56%9/16
5
83%5/6
50%5/10
6
67%4/6
64%7/11
All
70%37/53
52%38/73

McNeese

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
25%2/8
2
50%7/14
22%2/9
3
44%7/16
36%4/11
4
60%6/10
36%4/11
5
33%4/12
25%2/8
6
57%4/7
33%2/6
All
48%35/73
30%16/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#UTRGV-MCNEESSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MCNEESMCNEESBlockedEma Petkovicblk Harmony Soles, Carli Banks+2.2
20-2MCNEESMCNEESAttack errSoukeyna Diouf+2.4
31-2MCNEESUTRGVServe errMcNeese+1.6
41-3UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.7
52-3MCNEESUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Celianiz Cabranes+1.6
63-3UTRGVUTRGV×3KillMartina Francoset Celianiz Cabranes+2.3
74-3UTRGVUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Aaliyah Snead+2.2
84-4UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+1.6
94-5MCNEESMCNEESAttack errMartina Franco+2.5
105-5MCNEESUTRGVServe errMcNeese+1.7
115-6UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.8
126-6MCNEESUTRGVAttack errHarmony Jackson+1.7
136-7UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.9
147-7MCNEESUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.8
158-7UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedHarmony Solesblk Aaliyah Snead, Soukeyna Diouf+2.5
169-7UTRGVUTRGV×3Bad setCorynne Hausler+2.4
179-8UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.6
1810-8MCNEESUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+1.7
1910-9UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+1.7
2011-9MCNEESUTRGVKillLana Rnjakset Martina Franco+1.7
2112-9UTRGVUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.2
2212-10UTRGVMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+1.5
2312-11MCNEESMCNEESBlockedAaliyah Sneadblk Ava Henry+2.5
2413-11MCNEESUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+1.9
2514-11UTRGVUTRGVAttack errCarli Banks+2.4
2614-12UTRGVMCNEESKillMegan Groseset Gaby Santiago+1.5
2714-13MCNEESMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Sophia Tocmo+2.7
2815-13MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+2.0
2915-14UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.0
3015-15MCNEESMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Sophia Tocmo+3.3
3116-15MCNEESUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+2.4
3217-15UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Sophia Tocmo+3.2
3317-16UTRGVMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+2.1
3418-16MCNEESUTRGVServe errMcNeese+2.4
3518-17UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.2
3618-18MCNEESMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.9
3719-18MCNEESUTRGVAttack errMegan Grose+2.9
3820-18UTRGVUTRGVBad setMegan Grose+3.9
3920-19UTRGVMCNEESAttack errAaliyah Snead+2.4
4021-19MCNEESUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+2.9
4122-19UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Gaby Santiago+3.3
4222-20UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.5
4323-20MCNEESUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.4
4423-21UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.3
4523-22MCNEESMCNEESBlockedEma Petkovicblk Kayla Wilson, Ava Henry+3.7
4624-22MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+4.2
4724-23UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.4
4825-23MCNEESUTRGVServe errMcNeese+5.4
Set 2
11-0UTRGVUTRGVAttack errGabbie Maldonado+1.7
21-1UTRGVMCNEESKillCarli Banksset Megan Grose+1.2
32-1MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.2
42-2UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+1.3
52-3MCNEESMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.9
63-3MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.3
74-3UTRGVUTRGVBlockedKayla Wilsonblk Julianna Bryant, Ema Petkovic+1.8
84-4UTRGVMCNEES×3KillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+1.3
94-5MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errMartina Franco+2.0
104-6MCNEESMCNEES×3KillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+2.1
115-6MCNEESUTRGVServe errMcNeese+1.4
125-7UTRGVMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+1.5
135-8MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Sujeili Mermella+2.2
146-8MCNEESUTRGVKillLana Rnjakset Sujeili Mermella+1.4
157-8UTRGVUTRGVBlockedHarmony Jacksonblk Julianna Bryant, Lana Rnjak+2.1
167-9UTRGVMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+1.6
178-9MCNEESUTRGV×3KillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+1.5
189-9UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGV+2.2
1910-9UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGV+2.2
2010-10UTRGVMCNEESKillMegan Groseset Carli Banks+1.6
2111-10MCNEESUTRGV×3KillLana Rnjakset Martina Franco+1.6
2212-10UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errGabbie Maldonado+2.1
2313-10UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errGabbie Maldonado+1.9
2413-11UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.2
2513-12MCNEESMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+2.1
2614-12MCNEESUTRGV×4Serve errMcNeese+1.6
2715-12UTRGVUTRGV×4KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+2.0
2816-12UTRGVUTRGV×4BlockedAva Henryblk Martina Franco+1.6
2917-12UTRGVUTRGV×4KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.2
3017-13UTRGVMCNEESAttack errLana Rnjak+0.6
3118-13MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.8
3219-13UTRGVUTRGVAttack errKayla Wilson+0.8
3319-14UTRGVMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+0.4
3419-15MCNEESMCNEESBlockedEma Petkovicblk Ava Henry, Harmony Jackson+0.8
3520-15MCNEESUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.8
3621-15UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Mary-Alice Dohmann+0.7
3722-15UTRGVUTRGV×3KillMartina Franco+0.3
3822-16UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+0.1
3923-16MCNEESUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.2
4024-16UTRGVUTRGV×3BlockedKayla Wilsonblk Soukeyna Diouf+0.1
4125-16UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errHarmony Jackson·
Set 3
11-0MCNEESUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+0.7
22-0UTRGVUTRGVBlockedCarli Banksblk Ema Petkovic, Aaliyah Snead+0.9
32-1UTRGVMCNEESAttack errMartina Franco+0.6
43-1MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.6
54-1UTRGVUTRGVAttack errKayla Wilson+0.8
64-2UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+0.6
75-2MCNEESUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.6
86-2UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errAva Henry+0.8
97-2UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.6
107-3UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Carli Banks+0.4
118-3MCNEESUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.4
129-3UTRGVUTRGVBlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Julianna Bryant, Soukeyna Diouf+0.5
139-4UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+0.3
149-5MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Celianiz Cabranes+0.6
1510-5MCNEESUTRGV×4KillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+0.5
1611-5UTRGVUTRGV×4KillAaliyah Snead+0.5
1712-5UTRGVUTRGV×4AceUTRGVaced Carli Banks+0.4
1813-5UTRGVUTRGV×4KillLana Rnjakset Martina Franco+0.3
1913-6UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Sophia Tocmo+0.1
2013-7MCNEESMCNEESAttack errAaliyah Snead+0.3
2114-7MCNEESUTRGVServe errMcNeese+0.3
2214-8UTRGVMCNEESServe errUTRGV+0.2
2315-8MCNEESUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+0.3
2416-8UTRGVUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.2
2516-9UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Megan Grose+0.1
2617-9MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.2
2717-10UTRGVMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Megan Grose+0.1
2818-10MCNEESUTRGV×6Serve errMcNeese+0.1
2919-10UTRGVUTRGV×6KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.1
3020-10UTRGVUTRGV×6AceUTRGVaced Sophia Tocmo·
3121-10UTRGVUTRGV×6Attack errAva Henry·
3222-10UTRGVUTRGV×6KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak·
3323-10UTRGVUTRGV×6KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak·
3423-11UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Corynne Hausler·
3524-11MCNEESUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak·
3624-12UTRGVMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Corynne Hausler·
3725-12MCNEESUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak·

Score shown after each rally, UTRGV first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).