UTRGV def. McNeese 3–0
RallyIQ pre-match: UTRGV 72.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 22, 9:25 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.
UTRGV won at McNeese 3-0 (25-23, 25-16, 25-12) on Wed, Sep 23, 2026. UTRGV's Martina Franco led with 12 kills, and Celianiz Cabranes added 12 digs.
Data through · final Sep 23
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTRGV | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| MCNEES | 23 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.4% to UTRGV — set 1, UTRGV 25-23 MCNEES. McNeese service error. MCNEES win probability 21% → 16%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UTRGV wins
McNeese wins
- UTRGV break %
- 43.6% vs this opp
- MCNEES break %
- 39.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01McNeeseService error+5.4%
McNeese service error
Set 1 · UTRGV 25-23 MCNEES · UTRGV 79% → 84%
- 02Martina FrancoKill+4.2%
Kill by Martina Franco (set by Lana Rnjak)
Set 1 · UTRGV 24-22 MCNEES · UTRGV 77% → 81%
- 03Gabbie MaldonadoKill+3.9%
Kill by Gabbie Maldonado (set by Megan Grose)
Set 1 · UTRGV 18-18 MCNEES · MCNEES 26% → 30%
- 04
- 05Kayla Wilson&Ava HenryBlock+3.7%
Ema Petkovic stuffed by Kayla Wilson & Ava Henry
Set 1 · UTRGV 23-22 MCNEES · MCNEES 19% → 23%
- 06Kayla WilsonKill+3.3%
Kill by Kayla Wilson (set by Sophia Tocmo)
Set 1 · UTRGV 15-15 MCNEES · MCNEES 26% → 29%
- 07UTRGVAce+3.3%
UTRGV ace on Gaby Santiago
Set 1 · UTRGV 22-19 MCNEES · UTRGV 78% → 81%
- 08UTRGVAce+3.2%
UTRGV ace on Sophia Tocmo
Set 1 · UTRGV 17-15 MCNEES · UTRGV 73% → 76%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 3 | 27 | .333 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 8 | 0 | 13 | .615 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | .083 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 11 | 90 | .322 | 38 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 26 | .192 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -.111 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 11 | 4 | 24 | .292 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 15 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 31 | 18 | 95 | .137 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 51 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-23
Set 2
25-16
Set 3
25-12
Bars above the line = McNeese leads, below = UTRGV leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UTRGV
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70%7/10 | 44%4/9 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 50%7/14 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 46%6/13 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 56%9/16 |
| 5 | 83%5/6 | 50%5/10 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 64%7/11 |
| All | 70%37/53 | 52%38/73 |
McNeese
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%7/14 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 50%7/14 | 22%2/9 |
| 3 | 44%7/16 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 5 | 33%4/12 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 48%35/73 | 30%16/53 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
126 rallies
| # | UTRGV-MCNEES | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Blocked | Ema Petkovic | blk Harmony Soles, Carli Banks | +2.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Attack err | Soukeyna Diouf | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Serve err | McNeese | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Megan Grose | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Celianiz Cabranes | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Celianiz Cabranes | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Aaliyah Snead | +2.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Attack err | Martina Franco | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Serve err | McNeese | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +1.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Attack err | Harmony Jackson | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +1.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +1.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Harmony Soles | blk Aaliyah Snead, Soukeyna Diouf | +2.5 |
| 16 | 9-7 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Bad set | Corynne Hausler | +2.4 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +1.6 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Soukeyna Diouf | set Lana Rnjak | +1.7 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +1.7 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Lana Rnjak | set Martina Franco | +1.7 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +2.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Harmony Soles | set Megan Grose | +1.5 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Blocked | Aaliyah Snead | blk Ava Henry | +2.5 |
| 24 | 13-11 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Aaliyah Snead | set Lana Rnjak | +1.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Carli Banks | +2.4 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Megan Grose | set Gaby Santiago | +1.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Sophia Tocmo | +2.7 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +2.0 |
| 29 | 15-14 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +2.0 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Sophia Tocmo | +3.3 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +2.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Ace | UTRGV | aced Sophia Tocmo | +3.2 |
| 33 | 17-16 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Ava Henry | set Corynne Hausler | +2.1 |
| 34 | 18-16 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Serve err | McNeese | +2.4 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +2.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Megan Grose | +3.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Attack err | Megan Grose | +2.9 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Bad set | Megan Grose | +3.9 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Attack err | Aaliyah Snead | +2.4 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Soukeyna Diouf | set Lana Rnjak | +2.9 |
| 41 | 22-19 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Ace | UTRGV | aced Gaby Santiago | +3.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Megan Grose | +1.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +2.4 |
| 44 | 23-21 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Megan Grose | +1.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Blocked | Ema Petkovic | blk Kayla Wilson, Ava Henry | +3.7 |
| 46 | 24-22 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +4.2 |
| 47 | 24-23 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +2.4 |
| 48 | 25-23 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Serve err | McNeese | +5.4 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Gabbie Maldonado | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Carli Banks | set Megan Grose | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +1.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Corynne Hausler | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +1.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Blocked | Kayla Wilson | blk Julianna Bryant, Ema Petkovic | +1.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | UTRGV | MCNEES×3 | Kill | Ava Henry | set Corynne Hausler | +1.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MCNEES | MCNEES×3 | Attack err | Martina Franco | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | MCNEES | MCNEES×3 | Kill | Harmony Jackson | set Corynne Hausler | +2.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Serve err | McNeese | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Ava Henry | set Corynne Hausler | +1.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Ace | McNeese | aced Sujeili Mermella | +2.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Lana Rnjak | set Sujeili Mermella | +1.4 |
| 15 | 7-8 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Blocked | Harmony Jackson | blk Julianna Bryant, Lana Rnjak | +2.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Harmony Jackson | set Corynne Hausler | +1.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Soukeyna Diouf | set Lana Rnjak | +1.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | +2.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Megan Grose | set Carli Banks | +1.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Lana Rnjak | set Martina Franco | +1.6 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Gabbie Maldonado | +2.1 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Gabbie Maldonado | +1.9 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Megan Grose | +1.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Kill | Ava Henry | set Megan Grose | +2.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MCNEES | UTRGV×4 | Serve err | McNeese | +1.6 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +2.0 |
| 28 | 16-12 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Blocked | Ava Henry | blk Martina Franco | +1.6 |
| 29 | 17-12 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +1.2 |
| 30 | 17-13 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Attack err | Lana Rnjak | +0.6 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.8 |
| 32 | 19-13 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Kayla Wilson | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Ava Henry | set Corynne Hausler | +0.4 |
| 34 | 19-15 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Blocked | Ema Petkovic | blk Ava Henry, Harmony Jackson | +0.8 |
| 35 | 20-15 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +0.8 |
| 36 | 21-15 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Mary-Alice Dohmann | +0.7 |
| 37 | 22-15 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Martina Franco | +0.3 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +0.2 |
| 40 | 24-16 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Blocked | Kayla Wilson | blk Soukeyna Diouf | +0.1 |
| 41 | 25-16 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Harmony Jackson | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Aaliyah Snead | set Lana Rnjak | +0.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Blocked | Carli Banks | blk Ema Petkovic, Aaliyah Snead | +0.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Attack err | Martina Franco | +0.6 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.6 |
| 5 | 4-1 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Attack err | Kayla Wilson | +0.8 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +0.6 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | MCNEES | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +0.6 |
| 8 | 6-2 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Attack err | Ava Henry | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | UTRGV | UTRGV×3 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | +0.6 |
| 10 | 7-3 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Carli Banks | +0.4 |
| 11 | 8-3 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +0.4 |
| 12 | 9-3 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Blocked | Gabbie Maldonado | blk Julianna Bryant, Soukeyna Diouf | +0.5 |
| 13 | 9-4 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Ace | McNeese | aced Celianiz Cabranes | +0.6 |
| 15 | 10-5 | MCNEES | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Soukeyna Diouf | set Lana Rnjak | +0.5 |
| 16 | 11-5 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Aaliyah Snead | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Carli Banks | +0.4 |
| 18 | 13-5 | UTRGV | UTRGV×4 | Kill | Lana Rnjak | set Martina Franco | +0.3 |
| 19 | 13-6 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Sophia Tocmo | +0.1 |
| 20 | 13-7 | MCNEES | MCNEES | Attack err | Aaliyah Snead | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Serve err | McNeese | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Serve err | UTRGV | +0.2 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Aaliyah Snead | set Lana Rnjak | +0.3 |
| 24 | 16-8 | UTRGV | UTRGV | Kill | Ema Petkovic | set Lana Rnjak | +0.2 |
| 25 | 16-9 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Megan Grose | +0.1 |
| 26 | 17-9 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.2 |
| 27 | 17-10 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Kayla Wilson | set Megan Grose | +0.1 |
| 28 | 18-10 | MCNEES | UTRGV×6 | Serve err | McNeese | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 19-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×6 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | +0.1 |
| 30 | 20-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×6 | Ace | UTRGV | aced Sophia Tocmo | · |
| 31 | 21-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×6 | Attack err | Ava Henry | · | |
| 32 | 22-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×6 | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | · |
| 33 | 23-10 | UTRGV | UTRGV×6 | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | · |
| 34 | 23-11 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Corynne Hausler | · |
| 35 | 24-11 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Martina Franco | set Lana Rnjak | · |
| 36 | 24-12 | UTRGV | MCNEES | Kill | Gabbie Maldonado | set Corynne Hausler | · |
| 37 | 25-12 | MCNEES | UTRGV | Kill | Julianna Bryant | set Lana Rnjak | · |
Score shown after each rally, UTRGV first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).