Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Houston Christian def. McNeese 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: McNeese 61.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 11:10 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Houston Christian beat visiting McNeese 3-1 (27-29, 25-17, 25-18, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Houston Christian's Katy Barger led with 19 kills, and Bianca Byerly added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
MCNEES291718171
HOUCHR272525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Enisilina Savelio served 4 aces, and Houston Christian needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Houston Christian's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. McNeese went in at 62% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · McNeese 21–23 Houston Christian

    McNeese scored 3 straight to turn a 21–23 deficit into a 24–23 lead. The match swung to McNeese.

    Houston Christian 52% → 32%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · McNeese 26–26 Houston Christian

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to McNeese, enough to take the set 29–27 and lead 1–0.

    Houston Christian 41% → 23%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · McNeese 18–19 Houston Christian

    Houston Christian scored 6 straight to stretch a 19–18 lead to 25–18.

    Houston Christian 50% → 69%

Houston Christian above 50McNeese belowMax swing 9.9%

McNeeseHouston Christian

Sideout %
McNeese 49.5·Houston Christian 62.2
Break %
McNeese 37.8·Houston Christian 50.5
Hitting
McNeese .038·Houston Christian .190
Longest run
McNeese 4·Houston Christian 6

Katy Barger
4 kills inside the turning points, 19 K and .279 for the match (20.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Houston Christian above 50 · McNeese below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.9% HOUCHRrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.9% to Houston Christian — set 1, MCNEES 24-25 HOUCHR. Gabbie Maldonado stuffed by Malaya Balina-Ayers. HOUCHR win probability 39% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MCNEES 55.1%44.9% HOUCHR

McNeese wins

3-0
14.7%
3-1
20.9%
3-2
19.5%

Houston Christian wins

3-0
10.5%
3-1
16.6%
3-2
17.8%
MCNEES break %
42.7% vs this opp
HOUCHR break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Gabbie Maldonado stuffed by Malaya Balina-Ayers

    Set 1 · MCNEES 24-25 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 39% → 49%

  2. 02

    Bad set by Malaya Balina-Ayers

    Set 1 · MCNEES 24-23 HOUCHR · MCNEES 59% → 68%

  3. 03
    Ava HenryKill+9.6%

    Kill by Ava Henry (set by Corynne Hausler)

    Set 1 · MCNEES 28-27 HOUCHR · MCNEES 59% → 68%

  4. 04
    Allana ArchieAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Allana Archie

    Set 1 · MCNEES 29-27 HOUCHR · MCNEES 68% → 77%

  5. 05

    Joya Euhus stuffed by Harmony Soles & Harmony Jackson

    Set 1 · MCNEES 23-23 HOUCHR · MCNEES 51% → 59%

  6. 06

    Kill by Harmony Jackson (set by Megan Grose)

    Set 1 · MCNEES 25-25 HOUCHR · MCNEES 51% → 59%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sa'Myah Medford (set by Enisilina Savelio)

    Set 1 · MCNEES 25-26 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 41% → 49%

  8. 08
    Ava HenryKill+7.3%

    Kill by Ava Henry (set by Megan Grose)

    Set 1 · MCNEES 26-26 HOUCHR · MCNEES 51% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411635.14300020031.512.5
48419.211000410219
45519.000001201016
4226.000100100635
4105.2001710700002
33619-.158111900004
47730.00000020111.58.5
4104.2501421400003
4025-.4002101900001
4003.0001101030001
32210.000000320002
2000–001100000
1001.000100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4034156.0383764647212881
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411731.1290002004213
411533.1820005002112
46317.17600010355.511.5
45217.17620340254.59.5
42011.1824141100010.56.5
4001.0000001020000
419743.27900011031.520.5
4005.0004102120001
4000–011300001
4000–1111310001
Team totals5424158.190487670652015102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MCNEES · HOUCHR 6

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 4 MCNEESHOUCHR 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 MCNEESHOUCHR 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 MCNEESHOUCHR 6

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 MCNEESHOUCHR 5

Bars above the line = Houston Christian leads, below = McNeese leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

McNeese

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
43%6/14
2
60%9/15
33%5/15
3
60%9/15
36%5/14
4
42%8/19
47%7/15
5
47%8/17
33%4/12
6
30%6/20
33%4/12
All
50%50/101
38%31/82

Houston Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
50%8/16
2
63%10/16
23%3/13
3
47%8/17
50%9/18
4
73%8/11
38%5/13
5
73%8/11
53%9/17
6
54%7/13
71%17/24
All
62%51/82
50%51/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#MCNEES-HOUCHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+1.7
22-0MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Katelyn Vo+2.3
32-1MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
43-1HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errAllana Archie+1.7
53-2MCNEESHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.7
64-2HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+1.7
75-2MCNEESMCNEESAttack errAllana Archie+2.2
85-3MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
96-3HOUCHRMCNEESKillCarli Banksset Gaby Santiago+1.7
106-4MCNEESHOUCHRServe errMcNeese+1.6
116-5HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errCarli Banks+2.4
127-5HOUCHRMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.9
138-5MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Leighton Hale+2.4
148-6MCNEESHOUCHR×4KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
158-7HOUCHRHOUCHR×4KillKaty Bargerset Leighton Hale+2.5
168-8HOUCHRHOUCHR×4BlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Katy Barger, Malaya Balina-Ayers+2.8
178-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×4BlockedCarli Banksblk Joya Euhus, Malaya Balina-Ayers+3.0
189-9HOUCHRMCNEESServe errHouston Christian+2.1
1910-9MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Katy Barger+3.0
2010-10MCNEESHOUCHRAttack errGabbie Maldonado+2.2
2111-10HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errSa'Myah Medford+2.2
2211-11MCNEESHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.3
2311-12HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errGabbie Maldonado+3.3
2412-12HOUCHRMCNEES×3KillMegan Grose+2.4
2513-12MCNEESMCNEES×3KillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+3.3
2614-12MCNEESMCNEES×3AceMcNeeseaced Bianca Byerly+3.2
2714-13MCNEESHOUCHR×5Serve errMcNeese+2.2
2814-14HOUCHRHOUCHR×5AceHouston Christianaced Harmony Jackson+3.5
2914-15HOUCHRHOUCHR×5BlockedAva Henryblk Allana Archie, Sa'Myah Medford+3.8
3014-16HOUCHRHOUCHR×5Attack errKayla Wilson+3.9
3114-17HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+3.7
3215-17HOUCHRMCNEESServe errHouston Christian+2.2
3316-17MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Bianca Byerly+3.7
3416-18MCNEESHOUCHR×3KillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+3.2
3516-19HOUCHRHOUCHR×3AceHouston Christianaced Sophia Tocmo+4.0
3616-20HOUCHRHOUCHR×3BlockedKayla Wilsonblk Allana Archie+3.3
3717-20HOUCHRMCNEES×4KillCarli Banksset Corynne Hausler+1.6
3818-20MCNEESMCNEES×4KillKayla Wilsonset Sophia Tocmo+3.2
3919-20MCNEESMCNEES×4Bad setKaty Barger+4.2
4020-20MCNEESMCNEES×4BlockedKaty Bargerblk Kayla Wilson, Harmony Soles+5.1
4120-21MCNEESHOUCHRBad setCorynne Hausler+4.3
4221-21HOUCHRMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+4.1
4321-22MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+4.9
4421-23HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Bianca Byerly+6.7
4522-23HOUCHRMCNEES×3KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.4
4623-23MCNEESMCNEES×3BlockedJoya Euhusblk Harmony Soles, Harmony Jackson+7.5
4724-23MCNEESMCNEES×3Bad setMalaya Balina-Ayers+9.6
4824-24MCNEESHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+6.9
4924-25HOUCHRHOUCHRBlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Malaya Balina-Ayers+9.9
5025-25HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Megan Grose+7.3
5125-26MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+7.3
5226-26HOUCHRMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+7.3
5326-27MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+7.3
5427-27HOUCHRMCNEES×3KillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+7.3
5528-27MCNEESMCNEES×3KillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+9.6
5629-27MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errAllana Archie+9.1
Set 2
10-1MCNEESHOUCHRBlockedHarmony Jacksonblk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Joya Euhus+1.6
21-1HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.6
31-2MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
42-2HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Megan Grose+1.6
52-3MCNEESHOUCHRBlockedKayla Wilsonblk Sa'Myah Medford, Allana Archie+1.7
63-3HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+1.6
73-4MCNEESHOUCHRAttack errGaby Santiago+1.7
84-4HOUCHRMCNEESBad setMalaya Balina-Ayers+1.7
94-5MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.8
104-6HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errCarli Banks+2.4
115-6HOUCHRMCNEESKillCorynne Hauslerset Carli Banks+1.7
125-7MCNEESHOUCHR×4KillEnisilina Savelio+1.8
135-8HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Bad setGabbie Maldonado+2.5
145-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errCarli Banks+2.3
155-10HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errHarmony Soles+2.1
166-10HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+1.3
177-10MCNEESMCNEESBlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+2.1
187-11MCNEESHOUCHRServe errMcNeese+1.8
198-11HOUCHRMCNEES×4Serve errHouston Christian+1.5
209-11MCNEESMCNEES×4KillAva Henryset Megan Grose+2.4
2110-11MCNEESMCNEES×4Attack errSa'Myah Medford+2.6
2211-11MCNEESMCNEES×4KillCarli Banksset Sophia Tocmo+2.8
2311-12MCNEESHOUCHR×4KillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.2
2411-13HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errAva Henry+3.0
2511-14HOUCHRHOUCHR×4BlockedHarmony Jacksonblk Allana Archie, Enisilina Savelio+2.9
2611-15HOUCHRHOUCHR×4BlockedAva Henryblk Allana Archie, Sa'Myah Medford+2.6
2712-15HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.6
2812-16MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+2.0
2913-16HOUCHRMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+1.6
3013-17MCNEESHOUCHR×5Attack errCarli Banks+2.0
3113-18HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+2.2
3213-19HOUCHRHOUCHR×5BlockedKayla Wilsonblk Katy Barger, Malaya Balina-Ayers+1.6
3313-20HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.0
3413-21HOUCHRHOUCHR×5Attack errMary-Alice Dohmann+0.6
3514-21HOUCHRMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.2
3614-22MCNEESHOUCHRServe errMcNeese+0.3
3714-23HOUCHRHOUCHRAceHouston Christianaced Mary-Alice Dohmann+0.2
3815-23HOUCHRMCNEES×3Attack errKaty Barger·
3916-23MCNEESMCNEES×3KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.1
4017-23MCNEESMCNEES×3KillMary-Alice Dohmannset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
4117-24MCNEESHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
4217-25HOUCHRHOUCHRBlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Malaya Balina-Ayers+0.1
Set 3
10-1HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+3.3
20-2HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errKayla Wilson+3.4
31-2HOUCHRMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.4
42-2MCNEESMCNEESAttack errJoya Euhus+3.3
52-3MCNEESHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Bianca Byerly+2.6
62-4HOUCHRHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Malaya Balina-Ayers+3.6
73-4HOUCHRMCNEESServe errHouston Christian+2.5
83-5MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+2.7
93-6HOUCHRHOUCHRBlockedHarmony Solesblk Allana Archie+3.6
104-6HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errSa'Myah Medford+2.4
115-6MCNEESMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Gaby Santiago+3.5
125-7MCNEESHOUCHR×3KillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.8
135-8HOUCHRHOUCHR×3BlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Allana Archie, Katy Barger+3.8
145-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.6
156-9HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.3
166-10MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Bianca Byerly+2.7
177-10HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.3
187-11MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+2.7
197-12HOUCHRHOUCHRBad setMegan Grose+3.3
208-12HOUCHRMCNEESBlockedKaty Bargerblk Ava Henry+1.9
219-12MCNEESMCNEESBad setBianca Byerly+3.2
229-13MCNEESHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+2.8
239-14HOUCHRHOUCHRBlockedCarli Banksblk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Sa'Myah Medford+3.4
2410-14HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errCorynne Hausler+1.9
2510-15MCNEESHOUCHRAttack errHarmony Jackson+2.5
2611-15HOUCHRMCNEESServe errHouston Christian+1.9
2712-15MCNEESMCNEESBlockedJoya Euhusblk Harmony Soles, Harmony Jackson+3.3
2812-16MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Bianca Byerly+3.0
2913-16HOUCHRMCNEES×3KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.4
3014-16MCNEESMCNEES×3BlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Harmony Soles, Gabbie Maldonado+4.0
3115-16MCNEESMCNEES×3KillGabbie Maldonadoset Harmony Soles+4.8
3215-17MCNEESHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+4.1
3316-17HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.6
3416-18MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+4.3
3516-19HOUCHRHOUCHRAceHouston Christianaced Mary-Alice Dohmann+5.4
3617-19HOUCHRMCNEESBlockedKaty Bargerblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+3.1
3718-19MCNEESMCNEESAttack errMalaya Balina-Ayers+5.4
3818-20MCNEESHOUCHR×6KillKaty Bargerset Malaya Balina-Ayers+4.9
3918-21HOUCHRHOUCHR×6AceHouston Christianaced Sophia Tocmo+5.9
4018-22HOUCHRHOUCHR×6KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+4.4
4118-23HOUCHRHOUCHR×6KillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+2.6
4218-24HOUCHRHOUCHR×6KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.0
4318-25HOUCHRHOUCHR×6KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
Set 4
10-1MCNEESHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.7
21-1HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.7
31-2MCNEESHOUCHRAttack errMary-Alice Dohmann+2.8
41-3HOUCHRHOUCHRBlockedAva Henryblk Allana Archie+3.9
52-3HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errJoya Euhus+2.7
63-3MCNEESMCNEESAttack errSa'Myah Medford+3.8
73-4MCNEESHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.9
83-5HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Bianca Byerly+4.1
94-5HOUCHRMCNEESServe errHouston Christian+2.8
104-6MCNEESHOUCHR×4KillEnisilina Savelioset Enisilina Savelio+3.1
114-7HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errKayla Wilson+4.1
124-8HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errKayla Wilson+3.9
134-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errAva Henry+3.6
145-9HOUCHRMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.2
156-9MCNEESMCNEESBlockedKaty Bargerblk Kayla Wilson+3.5
166-10MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.0
176-11HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Bianca Byerly+3.6
187-11HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errKaty Barger+2.2
197-12MCNEESHOUCHRAttack errGaby Santiago+2.7
208-12HOUCHRMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Maleah Mutterback+2.2
219-12MCNEESMCNEESAttack errSa'Myah Medford+3.6
229-13MCNEESHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+3.2
2310-13HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Megan Grose+2.6
2410-14MCNEESHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+3.2
2511-14HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.6
2612-14MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Katelyn Vo+4.3
2712-15MCNEESHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+3.8
2813-15HOUCHRMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+3.2
2913-16MCNEESHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.9
3014-16HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errKaty Barger+3.3
3114-17MCNEESHOUCHR×5KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+4.1
3214-18HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillJoya Euhus+4.8
3314-19HOUCHRHOUCHR×5AceEnisilina Savelioaced Sophia Tocmo+3.7
3414-20HOUCHRHOUCHR×5AceEnisilina Savelio+2.6
3514-21HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillKaty Bargerset Joya Euhus+1.5
3615-21HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errMalaya Balina-Ayers+0.5
3715-22MCNEESHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+0.9
3816-22HOUCHRMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+0.4
3916-23MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
4016-24HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errHarmony Jackson+0.3
4117-24HOUCHRMCNEESAttack errJoya Euhus·
4217-25MCNEESHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.1

Score shown after each rally, McNeese first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).