Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

McNeese def. Southeastern La. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Southeastern La. 68.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

McNeese beat visiting Southeastern La. 3-2 (15-25, 25-19, 25-22, 15-25, 18-16) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set12345Sets
SE LA25192225162
MCNEES15252515183

Match story · written from the play-by-play

McNeese beat Southeastern La. from a 32% pre-match call.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are McNeese's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Southeastern La. was RallyIQ's 68% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Southeastern La. 6–6 McNeese

    4 straight McNeese points broke a 6–6 tie and made it 10–6. The match swung to McNeese.

    McNeese 45% → 86%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Southeastern La. 11–14 McNeese

    Down 11–14, Southeastern La. scored 4 straight to lead 15–14. The match swung to Southeastern La.

    McNeese 94% → 24%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Southeastern La. 15–15 McNeese

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to McNeese, enough to take the set 18–16 and win the match 3–2.

    McNeese 42% → >99%

McNeese above 50Southeastern La. belowMax swing 30.0%

Southeastern La.McNeese

Sideout %
Southeastern La. 64.9·McNeese 59.3
Break %
Southeastern La. 40.7·McNeese 35.1
Hitting
Southeastern La. .241·McNeese .192
Longest run
Southeastern La. 5·McNeese 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

McNeese above 50 · Southeastern La. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+30.0% MCNEESrally 205 · set 5

Biggest swing: 30.0% to McNeese — set 5, SE LA 16-18 MCNEES. Kyra McKelvey stuffed by Mary-Alice Dohmann. MCNEES win probability 70% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SE LA 68.8%31.2% MCNEES

Southeastern La. wins

3-0
22.4%
3-1
26.4%
3-2
20.0%

McNeese wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
11.0%
3-2
14.2%
SE LA break %
43.9% vs this opp
MCNEES break %
40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kyra McKelvey stuffed by Mary-Alice Dohmann

    Set 5 · SE LA 16-18 MCNEES · MCNEES 70% → 100%

  2. 02
    Corynne HauslerBad set+28.2%

    Bad set by Corynne Hausler

    Set 5 · SE LA 14-14 MCNEES · SE LA 22% → 50%

  3. 03
    Abby BaileyAttack error+27.5%

    Attack error by Abby Bailey

    Set 5 · SE LA 16-17 MCNEES · MCNEES 42% → 70%

  4. 04
    Kyra McKelveyKill+25.8%

    Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Ashley Richardson)

    Set 5 · SE LA 15-14 MCNEES · SE LA 50% → 76%

  5. 05
    Southeastern La.Service error+18.8%

    Southeastern La. service error

    Set 5 · SE LA 15-15 MCNEES · MCNEES 24% → 42%

  6. 06
    Gracie BrownKill+18.8%

    Kill by Gracie Brown (set by Ashley Richardson)

    Set 5 · SE LA 16-15 MCNEES · SE LA 58% → 76%

  7. 07
    Ava HenryKill+18.8%

    Kill by Ava Henry (set by Corynne Hausler)

    Set 5 · SE LA 16-16 MCNEES · MCNEES 24% → 42%

  8. 08
    Southeastern La.Ace+12.4%

    Southeastern La. ace on Gaby Santiago

    Set 5 · SE LA 13-14 MCNEES · SE LA 10% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523844.341011120111.525.5
512527.25930041031.513.5
59527.148001134111.510.5
56114.35745201400219
54119.15812220031.57.5
3619.55600020010.56.5
5015-.2007211200002
5000–400210000
4000–002200000
3729.55600000132.59.5
3228.000000100002
3127-.143001010001
1011-1.000000300000
Team totals7029170.241607867731410107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514638.2110000006317
514430.33301140031.516.5
5308.37500010073.56.5
51117.0001101120213
5003.0002112400001
5002.0000021210000
514430.3330000002115
55213.231000011016
5005.0001201800002
5012-.5002611200001
3000–010100001
2148-.375000010001
Team totals5222156.19249765371201198

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southeastern La. vs McNeese

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SE LA · MCNEES 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 SE LAMCNEES 2

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 SE LAMCNEES 2

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 SE LAMCNEES 4

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 5 SE LAMCNEES 3

Set 5

16-18

Longest run 4 SE LAMCNEES 4

Bars above the line = McNeese leads, below = Southeastern La. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southeastern La.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
38%6/16
2
86%12/14
48%11/23
3
71%12/17
33%6/18
4
59%10/17
29%5/17
5
56%9/16
44%8/18
6
62%8/13
50%8/16
All
65%63/97
41%44/108

McNeese

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
47%9/19
2
63%12/19
8%1/13
3
71%12/17
25%4/16
4
65%11/17
35%6/17
5
50%9/18
29%4/14
6
57%8/14
56%10/18
All
59%64/108
35%34/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#SE LA-MCNEESSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MCNEESMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.3
20-2MCNEESMCNEESBlockedKyra McKelveyblk Gabbie Maldonado, Ava Henry+2.4
31-2MCNEESSE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+1.7
42-2SE LASE LAAttack errGabbie Maldonado+2.3
52-3SE LAMCNEESKillCarli Banksset Megan Grose+1.8
63-3MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+1.7
74-3SE LASE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Lindsey Wickersham+2.3
84-4SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.8
95-4MCNEESSE LA×3KillAbby Baileyset Lindsey Wickersham+1.7
106-4SE LASE LA×3AceSoutheastern La.aced Harmony Jackson+2.3
117-4SE LASE LA×3KillAshley Richardsonset Lindsey Wickersham+2.1
127-5SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+1.5
137-6MCNEESMCNEESBlockedAbby Baileyblk Kayla Wilson, Harmony Soles+2.3
148-6MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Gracie Brown+1.7
159-6SE LASE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+2.2
169-7SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.5
1710-7MCNEESSE LAServe errMegan Grose+1.6
1811-7SE LASE LAAceSoutheastern La.aced Carli Banks+2.0
1911-8SE LAMCNEESBlockedMelina Gonzalezblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+1.3
2012-8MCNEESSE LAKillAinsley Driskaset Ashley Richardson+1.5
2113-8SE LASE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+1.6
2213-9SE LAMCNEESAttack errMelina Gonzalez+1.0
2313-10MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Melina Gonzalez+1.8
2414-10MCNEESSE LA×5KillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+1.5
2515-10SE LASE LA×5KillKyra McKelveyset Lindsey Wickersham+1.7
2616-10SE LASE LA×5KillKyra McKelveyset Lindsey Wickersham+1.2
2717-10SE LASE LA×5BlockedAva Henryblk Ainsley Driska, Kyra McKelvey+0.8
2818-10SE LASE LA×5KillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+0.5
2918-11SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+0.2
3019-11MCNEESSE LAKillAinsley Driskaset Ashley Richardson+0.3
3119-12SE LAMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Corynne Hausler+0.2
3220-12MCNEESSE LAAttack errHarmony Jackson+0.3
3320-13SE LAMCNEESAttack errCarissa Young+0.1
3420-14MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Melina Gonzalez+0.4
3521-14MCNEESSE LAKillGracie Brownset Brea Payne+0.4
3621-15SE LAMCNEESKillHarmony Jacksonset Corynne Hausler+0.2
3722-15MCNEESSE LA×4KillCarissa Youngset Brea Payne+0.3
3823-15SE LASE LA×4AceSoutheastern La.aced Mary-Alice Dohmann+0.2
3924-15SE LASE LA×4Attack errHarmony Jackson·
4025-15SE LASE LA×4KillMelina Gonzalezset Brea Payne·
Set 2
11-0SE LASE LAKillAinsley Driskaset Ashley Richardson+1.8
21-1SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.4
31-2MCNEESMCNEESBlockedAbby Baileyblk Ava Henry, Gabbie Maldonado+2.0
42-2MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+1.4
52-3SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.5
62-4MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Melina Gonzalez+2.1
73-4MCNEESSE LAServe errCorynne Hausler+1.4
83-5SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.6
93-6MCNEESMCNEESAttack errGracie Brown+2.2
104-6MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+1.4
115-6SE LASE LAKillGracie Brownset Kyra McKelvey+2.1
125-7SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+1.7
136-7MCNEESSE LAKillAshley Richardsonset Carli Banks+1.5
146-8SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.7
156-9MCNEESMCNEESAttack errAinsley Driska+2.3
167-9MCNEESSE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+1.5
177-10SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.8
188-10MCNEESSE LABlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Melina Gonzalez+1.6
198-11SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+1.8
209-11MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Lindsey Wickersham+1.6
219-12SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Sophia Tocmo+1.9
2210-12MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+1.6
2310-13SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+1.9
2410-14MCNEESMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Corynne Hausler+2.4
2511-14MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Brea Payne+1.5
2611-15SE LAMCNEESKillMary-Alice Dohmannset Corynne Hausler+1.9
2711-16MCNEESMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.1
2812-16MCNEESSE LABlockedKayla Wilsonblk Melina Gonzalez, Gracie Brown+1.2
2912-17SE LAMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Corynne Hausler+1.6
3012-18MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Brea Payne+1.6
3113-18MCNEESSE LAKillAshley Richardsonset Abby Bailey+0.8
3213-19SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.2
3314-19MCNEESSE LAKillAinsley Driskaset Ashley Richardson+0.7
3414-20SE LAMCNEESKillHarmony Solesset Megan Grose+1.1
3515-20MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+0.6
3616-20SE LASE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+1.3
3716-21SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+1.5
3817-21MCNEESSE LABad setAva Henry+0.8
3917-22SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+1.4
4018-22MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+0.7
4118-23SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+1.2
4218-24MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Abby Bailey+0.7
4319-24MCNEESSE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+0.1
4419-25SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+0.2
Set 3
10-1MCNEESMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.2
21-1MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+2.3
31-2SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+2.4
42-2MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Abby Bailey+2.3
52-3SE LAMCNEES×3KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.5
62-4MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errKyra McKelvey+3.5
72-5MCNEESMCNEES×3KillAva Henryset Ashley Richardson+3.5
83-5MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+2.4
93-6SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.7
103-7MCNEESMCNEESAttack errAudrey Vielguth+3.5
114-7MCNEESSE LA×3KillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+2.2
125-7SE LASE LA×3KillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+3.4
136-7SE LASE LA×3Attack errKayla Wilson+3.6
146-8SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+2.9
157-8MCNEESSE LAServe errMegan Grose+2.7
167-9SE LAMCNEES×3KillMary-Alice Dohmannset Megan Grose+3.0
177-10MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errKyra McKelvey+4.0
187-11MCNEESMCNEES×3BlockedMelina Gonzalezblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+3.8
198-11MCNEESSE LAKillAinsley Driskaset Ashley Richardson+2.4
209-11SE LASE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+3.7
219-12SE LAMCNEESAttack errMelina Gonzalez+3.1
2210-12MCNEESSE LAKillAshley Richardson+2.7
2310-13SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+3.2
2411-13MCNEESSE LAAttack errAva Henry+2.8
2511-14SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+3.4
2612-14MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+2.8
2712-15SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+3.5
2813-15MCNEESSE LAServe errAva Henry+2.9
2913-16SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Carli Banks+3.6
3014-16MCNEESSE LAKillCarissa Youngset Abby Bailey+3.0
3114-17SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.7
3214-18MCNEESMCNEESBlockedCarissa Youngblk Harmony Soles, Carli Banks+4.4
3315-18MCNEESSE LAServe errGaby Santiago+2.4
3415-19SE LAMCNEES×4KillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.4
3515-20MCNEESMCNEES×4AceMcNeeseaced Melina Gonzalez+3.5
3615-21MCNEESMCNEES×4Attack errKyra McKelvey+2.3
3715-22MCNEESMCNEES×4KillAva Henryset Megan Grose+1.2
3816-22MCNEESSE LA×3KillAinsley Driskaset Ashley Richardson+0.4
3917-22SE LASE LA×3Attack errAva Henry+0.9
4018-22SE LASE LA×3Attack errGabbie Maldonado+1.5
4118-23SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+2.0
4219-23MCNEESSE LA×3KillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+0.8
4320-23SE LASE LA×3AceSoutheastern La.aced Carli Banks+2.0
4421-23SE LASE LA×3BlockedKayla Wilsonblk Kyra McKelvey+3.7
4521-24SE LAMCNEESBad setAbby Bailey+5.1
4622-24MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+1.9
4722-25SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+4.8
Set 4
11-0SE LASE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+3.6
21-1SE LAMCNEESAttack errAbby Bailey+2.7
32-1MCNEESSE LAKillKeira Beverlyset Ashley Richardson+2.7
42-2SE LAMCNEESAttack errLindsey Wickersham+2.8
53-2MCNEESSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Ashley Richardson+2.8
63-3SE LAMCNEESAttack errAshley Richardson+2.9
74-3MCNEESSE LAAttack errCorynne Hausler+2.8
85-3SE LASE LAKillAshley Richardsonset Corynne Hausler+3.7
95-4SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+2.7
106-4MCNEESSE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+2.8
116-5SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+2.8
127-5MCNEESSE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+2.8
137-6SE LAMCNEESAttack errKeira Beverly+2.8
147-7MCNEESMCNEESBlockedKyra McKelveyblk Harmony Soles, Carli Banks+4.3
158-7MCNEESSE LAServe errGaby Santiago+3.2
168-8SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+3.3
179-8MCNEESSE LAKillKeira Beverlyset Ashley Richardson+3.3
1810-8SE LASE LABlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Abby Bailey, Gracie Brown+4.3
1910-9SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+3.1
2011-9MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+3.2
2111-10SE LAMCNEESKillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+3.2
2212-10MCNEESSE LAAttack errKayla Wilson+3.3
2313-10SE LASE LABlockedMary-Alice Dohmannblk Ashley Richardson, Gracie Brown+4.1
2413-11SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+2.8
2514-11MCNEESSE LA×5KillGracie Brownset Ashley Richardson+3.1
2615-11SE LASE LA×5BlockedMary-Alice Dohmannblk Keira Beverly, Ashley Richardson+3.6
2716-11SE LASE LA×5Attack errHarmony Jackson+2.8
2817-11SE LASE LA×5Attack errHarmony Jackson+2.0
2918-11SE LASE LA×5KillKeira Beverlyset Kyra McKelvey+1.3
3018-12SE LAMCNEES×3KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+0.6
3118-13MCNEESMCNEES×3Bad setLauren Ossmann+1.3
3218-14MCNEESMCNEES×3BlockedLauren Ossmannblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+2.0
3319-14MCNEESSE LA×5KillKeira Beverlyset Ashley Richardson+2.0
3420-14SE LASE LA×5AceSoutheastern La.+1.8
3521-14SE LASE LA×5KillKeira Beverlyset Megan Grose+1.0
3622-14SE LASE LA×5AceSoutheastern La.+0.4
3723-14SE LASE LA×5KillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+0.1
3823-15SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose·
3924-15MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Lindsey Wickersham+0.1
4025-15SE LASE LABlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Keira Beverly, Abby Bailey+1.1
Set 5
11-0SE LASE LAKillKeira Beverlyset Ashley Richardson+8.2
21-1SE LAMCNEESAttack errKyra McKelvey+6.2
32-1MCNEESSE LAKillKeira Beverlyset Ashley Richardson+6.2
42-2SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Megan Grose+6.4
52-3MCNEESMCNEESAttack errKeira Beverly+9.5
63-3MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+6.7
73-4SE LAMCNEESKillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+7.4
83-5MCNEESMCNEESAceMcNeeseaced Lauren Ossmann+10.3
94-5MCNEESSE LAKillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+6.8
104-6SE LAMCNEESBlockedAbby Baileyblk Kayla Wilson, Ava Henry+8.0
115-6MCNEESSE LAKillAshley Richardson+7.1
126-6SE LASE LAKillLauren Ossmann+10.7
136-7SE LAMCNEES×4KillKayla Wilsonset Corynne Hausler+8.6
146-8MCNEESMCNEES×4KillHarmony Soles+12.0
156-9MCNEESMCNEES×4BlockedLauren Ossmannblk Gabbie Maldonado, Harmony Soles+11.3
166-10MCNEESMCNEES×4KillMary-Alice Dohmannset Megan Grose+9.5
177-10MCNEESSE LAKillMelina Gonzalezset Ashley Richardson+4.7
187-11SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+7.1
197-12MCNEESMCNEESAttack errMelina Gonzalez+6.4
208-12MCNEESSE LAAttack errCarli Banks+2.3
218-13SE LAMCNEESKillGabbie Maldonadoset Megan Grose+4.2
229-13MCNEESSE LA×3KillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+1.6
2310-13SE LASE LA×3BlockedGabbie Maldonadoblk Abby Bailey, Keira Beverly+4.2
2411-13SE LASE LA×3BlockedAva Henryblk Keira Beverly+7.7
2511-14SE LAMCNEESAttack errKyra McKelvey+10.5
2612-14MCNEESSE LA×4KillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+4.0
2713-14SE LASE LA×4AceSoutheastern La.aced Gaby Santiago+12.4
2814-14SE LASE LA×4Bad setCorynne Hausler+28.2
2915-14SE LASE LA×4KillKyra McKelveyset Ashley Richardson+25.8
3015-15SE LAMCNEESServe errSoutheastern La.+18.8
3116-15MCNEESSE LAKillGracie Brownset Ashley Richardson+18.8
3216-16SE LAMCNEES×3KillAva Henryset Corynne Hausler+18.8
3316-17MCNEESMCNEES×3Attack errAbby Bailey+27.5
3416-18MCNEESMCNEES×3BlockedKyra McKelveyblk Mary-Alice Dohmann+30.0

Score shown after each rally, Southeastern La. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).