Pepperdine def. South Dakota St. 3–0
(25-16, 25-19, 25-21)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDAKST | 16 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| PEPPER | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.0% to Pepperdine — set 2, SDAKST 15-15 PEPPER. Bad set by Brooke Larsen. PEPPER win probability 88% → 90%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
South Dakota St. wins
Pepperdine wins
- SDAKST break %
- 36.2% vs this opp
- PEPPER break %
- 43.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Maggie BeauerKill+1.9%
Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Ella Piskorz)
Set 2 · SDAKST 17-19 PEPPER · PEPPER 92% → 94%
- 03Ella PiskorzKill+1.9%
Kill by Ella Piskorz (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 2 · SDAKST 15-16 PEPPER · PEPPER 90% → 92%
- 04Hannah KleinKill+1.9%
Kill by Hannah Klein (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 2 · SDAKST 12-9 PEPPER · SDAKST 12% → 14%
- 05Maggie BeauerAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Maggie Beauer
Set 1 · SDAKST 2-0 PEPPER · SDAKST 17% → 19%
- 06Maggie BeauerAttack error+1.8%
Maggie Beauer stuffed by Brooke Larsen
Set 2 · SDAKST 11-9 PEPPER · SDAKST 10% → 12%
- 07Chloe PravednikovKill+1.7%
Kill by Chloe Pravednikov (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 1 · SDAKST 3-3 PEPPER · PEPPER 82% → 84%
- 08PEPPER serverAce+1.7%
Pepperdine ace on Team
Set 2 · SDAKST 12-11 PEPPER · PEPPER 87% → 89%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 27 | .148 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | .083 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -.111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 26 | 19 | 85 | .082 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 56 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 3 | 20 | .400 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 2 | 22 | .500 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 22 | .136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | .077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 16 | 95 | .274 | 39 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 8.5 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
16-25
Set 2
19-25
Set 3
21-25
Bars above the line = Pepperdine leads, below = South Dakota St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
South Dakota St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 27%3/11 |
| 3 | 43%6/14 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 32%6/19 | 14%1/7 |
| 5 | 86%6/7 | 50%6/12 |
| 6 | 45%5/11 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 51%38/74 | 32%18/57 |
Pepperdine
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%8/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 22%2/9 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 60%9/15 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 65%11/17 |
| 5 | 40%6/15 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 86%6/7 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 68%39/57 | 49%36/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
131 rallies
Rally log
| # | SDAKST-PEPPER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.2 |
| 2 | 2-0 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +1.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.3 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SDAKST | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +1.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +1.6 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Hannah Mlsna | +1.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +1.0 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | SDAKST | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +1.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | blk Ella Piskorz, Tristen Raymond | +1.3 |
| 12 | 4-8 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Chloe Pravednikov, Ella Piskorz, Tristen Raymond | +0.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.5 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +0.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +0.5 |
| 17 | 6-11 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Chloe Pravednikov | +0.6 |
| 18 | 6-12 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | +0.7 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Sylvie Zgonc | +0.5 |
| 20 | 7-13 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.2 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Tristen Raymond | set Charis Kai | +0.3 |
| 22 | 8-14 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.2 |
| 23 | 8-15 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.3 |
| 24 | 9-15 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.2 |
| 25 | 9-16 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +0.3 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 27 | 10-17 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.3 |
| 28 | 11-17 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Joslyn Richardson | +0.2 |
| 29 | 11-18 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +0.2 |
| 30 | 12-18 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 31 | 13-18 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +0.4 |
| 33 | 14-19 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.2 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.3 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Laine Briggs | +0.3 |
| 36 | 14-22 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Astrid Puig | +0.1 |
| 37 | 15-22 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.0 |
| 39 | 16-23 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | blk Ella Piskorz, Astrid Puig | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Joslyn Richardson | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Sylvie Zgonc | +1.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PEPPER | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Chloe Pravednikov | +0.8 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Astrid Puig | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Astrid Puig | +1.4 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | +1.3 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +0.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Chloe Pravednikov | +1.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Ella Piskorz | +1.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.9 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Attack err | Hannah Klein | blk Ella Piskorz, Tristen Raymond | +0.9 |
| 16 | 7-9 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Attack err | Brooke Larsen | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | PEPPER | SDAKST×5 | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.8 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST×5 | Attack err | Ella Piskorz | +1.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST×5 | Attack err | Laine Briggs | +1.6 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST×5 | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | blk Brooke Larsen | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | SDAKST | SDAKST×5 | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Tristen Raymond | +1.9 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Chloe Pravednikov | +1.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Team | +1.7 |
| 24 | 13-11 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Rylee Martin | +1.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Serve err | SDAKST server | +1.1 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Irelynd Lorenzen | set Tristen Raymond | +1.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +1.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +1.2 |
| 30 | 15-15 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Bad set | Brooke Larsen | +2.0 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +1.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +1.3 |
| 33 | 16-17 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +1.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +1.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | SDAKST | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +1.4 |
| 36 | 17-19 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Ella Piskorz | +1.9 |
| 37 | 17-20 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +1.5 |
| 38 | 17-21 | PEPPER | PEPPER×4 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +1.0 |
| 39 | 18-21 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +0.4 |
| 40 | 18-22 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +0.6 |
| 41 | 19-22 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.4 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.6 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Laine Briggs | +0.4 |
| 44 | 19-25 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Hannah Klein | blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Astrid Puig | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Bad set | Brooke Larsen | +0.4 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Attack err | Hannah Mlsna | +0.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Sylvie Zgonc | +0.4 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | +0.5 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Marisa Michaelis | blk Ella Piskorz, Chloe Pravednikov | +0.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Bad set | Tristen Raymond | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Astrid Puig | blk Taylor Byl, Sylvie Zgonc | +0.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.3 |
| 11 | 4-7 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Tristen Raymond | set Irelynd Lorenzen | +0.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Brooke Larsen | set Rylee Martin | +0.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Bad set | Joslyn Richardson | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | PEPPER | SDAKST×4 | Kill | Katelyn Van Kirk | set Rylee Martin | +0.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | blk Hannah Mlsna, Brooke Larsen | +0.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | blk Hannah Mlsna, Brooke Larsen | +0.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SDAKST | SDAKST×4 | Ace | SDAKST server | aced Team | +0.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | SDAKST | PEPPER×3 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +0.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Joslyn Richardson | +0.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | PEPPER | PEPPER×3 | Attack err | Hannah Mlsna | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Attack err | Ella Piskorz | +0.4 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Attack err | Katelyn Van Kirk | +0.4 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | PEPPER | PEPPER | Kill | Astrid Puig | set Tristen Raymond | +0.6 |
| 24 | 11-13 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Marisa Michaelis | set Brooke Larsen | +0.3 |
| 25 | 11-14 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +0.4 |
| 26 | 12-14 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Brooke Larsen | +0.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Sylvie Zgonc | set Joslyn Richardson | +0.4 |
| 29 | 13-16 | SDAKST | PEPPER×6 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Tristen Raymond | +0.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | PEPPER | PEPPER×6 | Ace | PEPPER server | aced Team | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | PEPPER | PEPPER×6 | Attack err | Taylor Byl | blk Ella Piskorz, Chloe Pravednikov | +0.3 |
| 32 | 13-19 | PEPPER | PEPPER×6 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Rylee Martin | +0.2 |
| 33 | 13-20 | PEPPER | PEPPER×6 | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Charis Kai | +0.1 |
| 34 | 13-21 | PEPPER | PEPPER×6 | Kill | Ella Piskorz | set Tristen Raymond | +0.0 |
| 35 | 14-21 | PEPPER | SDAKST×3 | Serve err | PEPPER server | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Attack err | Chloe Pravednikov | blk Taylor Byl, Brooke Larsen | +0.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | SDAKST | SDAKST×3 | Kill | Katelyn Van Kirk | set Joslyn Richardson | +0.1 |
| 38 | 16-22 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Chloe Pravednikov | set Laine Briggs | +0.1 |
| 39 | 17-22 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Attack err | Maggie Beauer | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Attack err | Ella Piskorz | blk Hannah Klein, Hannah Mlsna | +0.1 |
| 41 | 18-23 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Bad set | Brooke Larsen | +0.1 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Klein | set Sylvie Zgonc | +0.1 |
| 43 | 20-23 | SDAKST | SDAKST | Kill | Hannah Mlsna | set Brooke Larsen | +0.2 |
| 44 | 20-24 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Kill | Maggie Beauer | set Tristen Raymond | +0.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | PEPPER | SDAKST | Attack err | Astrid Puig | +0.1 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | SDAKST | PEPPER | Serve err | SDAKST server | +0.2 | |
Score shown after each rally, South Dakota St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.