Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayWCC

1:3

HomeCUSA

Western Ky. def. Pepperdine 3–1

(25-22, 16-25, 25-16, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
PEPPER	22	25	16	17	1
W KY	25	16	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W KY above 50 · PEPPER below

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Western Ky. — set 1, PEPPER 22-23 W KY. Ella Piskorz stuffed by Alivia Skidmore & Eliza McKnight. W KY win probability 51% → 59%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PEPPER 48.4%51.6% W KY

Pepperdine wins

3-0

11.8%

3-1

18.1%

3-2

18.5%

Western Ky. wins

3-0

13.2%

3-1

19.4%

3-2

19.0%

PEPPER break %: 40.5% vs this opp
W KY break %: 40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ella PiskorzAttack error+8.2%
Ella Piskorz stuffed by Alivia Skidmore & Eliza McKnight
Set 1 · PEPPER 22-23 W KY · W KY 51% → 59%
02
Eliza McKnightKill+7.7%
Kill by Eliza McKnight (set by Kate Rush)
Set 1 · PEPPER 22-24 W KY · W KY 59% → 66%
03
Faith YoungKill+4.9%
Kill by Faith Young (set by Kate Rush)
Set 3 · PEPPER 15-18 W KY · W KY 62% → 67%
04
Maggie BeauerKill+4.8%
Kill by Maggie Beauer (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 1 · PEPPER 22-21 W KY · PEPPER 49% → 54%
05
Mariia Nikol DvornikovaKill+4.7%
Kill by Mariia Nikol Dvornikova (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 3 · PEPPER 15-16 W KY · PEPPER 37% → 42%
06
PEPPER serverService error+4.5%
Pepperdine service error
Set 1 · PEPPER 22-22 W KY · W KY 46% → 51%
07
Ella PiskorzKill+4.4%
Kill by Ella Piskorz (set by Tristen Raymond)
Set 1 · PEPPER 17-16 W KY · PEPPER 47% → 52%
08
Kaira KnoxKill+4.2%
Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)
Set 4 · PEPPER 9-11 W KY · W KY 79% → 84%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Pepperdineaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Maggie BeauerOH	4	11	5	27	.222	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	12
22Mariia Nikol DvornikovaOH	4	7	3	26	.154	2	0	1	6	2	1	0	1	8
3Chloe PravednikovOH	4	6	3	27	.111	1	0	1	7	3	0	2	1	7
18Ella PiskorzMB	4	5	3	16	.125	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	2	7
1Irelynd LorenzenMB	4	5	0	12	.417	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
9Tristen RaymondS	4	4	1	11	.273	27	2	1	5	0	0	2	1	7
21Laine BriggsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	4	3	22	1	0	0	0	4
8Charis KaiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
14Ryan GilhoolyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
20Astrid PuigOH	2	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Eliya DevL/DS	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Isabella RasiS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Reese PoernerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	15	123	.195	37	9	8	49	6	2	12	8	80

Western Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Kaira KnoxOH	4	14	7	31	.226	2	0	4	11	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
18Aubrey SearsOH	4	14	4	24	.417	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	14
22Faith YoungOH	4	10	0	19	.526	0	2	3	1	0	0	2	1	13
20Kate RushS	4	6	2	12	.333	46	2	1	5	1	1	1	1.5	9.5
21Eliza McKnightOH	4	3	2	20	.050	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
8Cali FosterL/DS	4	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	6	6	0	0	0	1
17Alivia SkidmoreOH	4	11	3	32	.250	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
3Kennedy CherryL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
2Tayler BaronL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	22	2	0	0	0	1
25Izzy Van De WieleMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
16Sonja LaaksonenOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
9Camila AdamsDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	18	140	.300	53	6	14	58	9	1	10	6	91

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 PEPPER · W KY 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 PEPPERW KY 4

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 3 PEPPERW KY 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 PEPPERW KY 8

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 4 PEPPERW KY 8

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Pepperdine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Pepperdine

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	36%4/11
2	56%9/16	40%6/15
3	62%8/13	57%12/21
4	80%8/10	20%2/10
5	30%7/23	47%7/15
6	55%6/11	22%2/9
All	52%47/90	41%33/81

Western Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	38%5/13
2	47%9/19	55%11/20
3	50%8/16	38%5/13
4	57%8/14	11%1/9
5	80%8/10	58%11/19
6	67%6/9	63%10/16
All	59%48/81	48%43/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

171 rallies

Rally log

#	PEPPER-W KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Chloe Pravednikov	blk Kaira Knox, Faith Young	+2.6
2	0-2	W KY	W KY	Ace	W KY server	aced Chloe Pravednikov	+2.6
3	1-2	W KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Aubrey Sears	blk Maggie Beauer, Ella Piskorz	+1.7
4	2-2	PEPPER	PEPPER	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Cali Foster	+2.6
5	2-3	PEPPER	W KY×3	Serve err	PEPPER server		+1.8
6	2-4	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	W KY server	aced Chloe Pravednikov	+2.7
7	2-5	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	W KY server	aced Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+2.6
8	3-5	W KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Eliza McKnight		+1.6
9	4-5	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+2.6
10	4-6	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.9
11	5-6	W KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		+1.8
12	5-7	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.0
13	6-7	W KY	PEPPER×5	Serve err	W KY server		+1.9
14	7-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+3.0
15	8-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore	blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Tristen Raymond	+3.1
16	9-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Kill	Eliya Dev		+3.1
17	10-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×5	Attack err	Kate Rush	blk Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+2.9
18	10-8	PEPPER	W KY×3	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.8
19	10-9	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Tristen Raymond	+3.0
20	10-10	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+3.2
21	11-10	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+2.3
22	11-11	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush		+2.3
23	11-12	W KY	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears		+3.5
24	12-12	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+2.4
25	12-13	PEPPER	W KY	Attack err	Maggie Beauer		+2.5
26	13-13	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+2.5
27	13-14	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+2.6
28	14-14	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+2.6
29	15-14	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+4.0
30	15-15	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.7
31	15-16	W KY	W KY	Ace	W KY server	aced Chloe Pravednikov	+4.2
32	16-16	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+2.8
33	17-16	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+4.4
34	17-17	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+3.0
35	18-17	W KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Kate Rush		+3.2
36	18-18	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Kennedy Cherry	+3.2
37	19-18	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+3.5
38	19-19	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+3.4
39	20-19	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+3.8
40	20-20	PEPPER	W KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+3.7
41	21-20	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+4.2
42	21-21	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+4.0
43	22-21	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+4.8
44	22-22	PEPPER	W KY×4	Serve err	PEPPER server		+4.5
45	22-23	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Ella Piskorz	blk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight	+8.2
46	22-24	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+7.7
47	22-25	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Ella Piskorz		+4.1
Set 2
1	1-0	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+2.6
2	2-0	PEPPER	PEPPER	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Cali Foster	+2.5
3	2-1	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Tayler Baron	+1.7
4	2-2	W KY	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+2.6
5	3-2	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+1.8
6	3-3	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.8
7	4-3	W KY	PEPPER×3	Kill	Tristen Raymond	set Chloe Pravednikov	+1.9
8	5-3	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Attack err	Eliza McKnight	blk Ella Piskorz	+2.7
9	6-3	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Kill	Ella Piskorz		+2.6
10	6-4	PEPPER	W KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+1.7
11	7-4	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+1.8
12	7-5	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.7
13	7-6	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.7
14	8-6	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Tristen Raymond	set Charis Kai	+2.0
15	9-6	PEPPER	PEPPER	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+2.8
16	9-7	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.7
17	10-7	W KY	PEPPER×3	Kill	Tristen Raymond	set Laine Briggs	+2.0
18	11-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore	blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Tristen Raymond	+2.6
19	12-7	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+2.2
20	12-8	PEPPER	W KY	Bad set	Tristen Raymond		+1.2
21	13-8	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+1.5
22	13-9	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.2
23	14-9	W KY	PEPPER×3	Kill	Tristen Raymond	set Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+1.6
24	15-9	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Attack err	Aubrey Sears		+1.8
25	16-9	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+1.3
26	16-10	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.6
27	17-10	W KY	PEPPER×3	Serve err	W KY server		+0.8
28	18-10	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Attack err	Aubrey Sears		+0.8
29	19-10	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Laine Briggs	+0.4
30	19-11	PEPPER	W KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+0.1
31	20-11	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+0.2
32	20-12	PEPPER	W KY	Attack err	Chloe Pravednikov	blk Eliza McKnight, Kaira Knox	+0.1
33	21-12	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+0.2
34	22-12	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Ella Piskorz	set Tristen Raymond	+0.1
35	22-13	PEPPER	W KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+0.0
36	23-13	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+0.0
37	23-14	PEPPER	W KY×3	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+0.0
38	23-15	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.0
39	23-16	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+0.1
40	24-16	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+0.1
41	25-16	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Irelynd Lorenzen	+2.4
2	1-1	PEPPER	W KY×4	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.4
3	1-2	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+3.5
4	1-3	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Chloe Pravednikov		+3.5
5	1-4	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Maggie Beauer		+3.3
6	2-4	W KY	PEPPER×3	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Laine Briggs	+2.1
7	3-4	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Cali Foster	+3.4
8	4-4	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Cali Foster	+3.7
9	4-5	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+2.6
10	5-5	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+2.6
11	5-6	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+2.6
12	6-6	W KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+2.6
13	6-7	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+2.7
14	7-7	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+2.7
15	7-8	PEPPER	W KY×3	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+2.8
16	7-9	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+4.0
17	7-10	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+3.8
18	8-10	W KY	PEPPER	Attack err	Aubrey Sears		+2.4
19	9-10	PEPPER	PEPPER	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Kate Rush	+3.9
20	9-11	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+2.9
21	9-12	W KY	W KY	Ace	W KY server	aced Laine Briggs	+4.0
22	10-12	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Irelynd Lorenzen	set Tristen Raymond	+2.5
23	10-13	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+2.8
24	10-14	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Maggie Beauer		+3.6
25	11-14	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+2.0
26	12-14	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Laine Briggs	+3.7
27	12-15	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Cali Foster		+3.0
28	13-15	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+2.6
29	13-16	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+3.1
30	14-16	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+2.6
31	15-16	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+4.7
32	15-17	PEPPER	W KY×8	Kill	Kate Rush	set Tayler Baron	+3.7
33	15-18	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+4.9
34	15-19	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+4.0
35	15-20	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Kate Rush	set Kaira Knox	+2.8
36	15-21	W KY	W KY×8	Attack err	Tristen Raymond		+1.7
37	15-22	W KY	W KY×8	Bad set	Tristen Raymond		+0.8
38	15-23	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.3
39	15-24	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Faith Young		+0.1
40	16-24	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+0.0
41	16-25	PEPPER	W KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	PEPPER	W KY×5	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+2.3
2	0-2	W KY	W KY×5	Attack err	Maggie Beauer	blk Faith Young, Kaira Knox	+3.4
3	0-3	W KY	W KY×5	Attack err	Maggie Beauer		+3.2
4	0-4	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+3.0
5	0-5	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+2.7
6	1-5	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Irelynd Lorenzen	+1.6
7	2-5	PEPPER	PEPPER	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Tayler Baron	+2.7
8	2-6	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.1
9	3-6	W KY	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Kaira Knox	blk Chloe Pravednikov, Irelynd Lorenzen	+1.9
10	4-6	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+3.2
11	5-6	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Cali Foster	+3.5
12	6-6	PEPPER	PEPPER×4	Attack err	Kaira Knox	blk Ella Piskorz, Chloe Pravednikov	+3.8
13	6-7	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+2.7
14	7-7	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+2.7
15	8-7	PEPPER	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+4.0
16	8-8	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.7
17	8-9	W KY	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kennedy Cherry	+4.1
18	9-9	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+2.8
19	9-10	PEPPER	W KY×8	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.9
20	9-11	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+4.2
21	9-12	W KY	W KY×8	Ace	W KY server	aced Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	+4.0
22	9-13	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+3.5
23	9-14	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Kate Rush	set Kaira Knox	+2.9
24	9-15	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kennedy Cherry	+2.3
25	9-16	W KY	W KY×8	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.6
26	9-17	W KY	W KY×8	Attack err	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova		+1.0
27	10-17	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+0.4
28	10-18	PEPPER	W KY	Attack err	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	blk Kate Rush	+0.7
29	11-18	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	set Tristen Raymond	+0.4
30	11-19	PEPPER	W KY	Serve err	PEPPER server		+0.6
31	12-19	W KY	PEPPER×3	Attack err	Kaira Knox	blk Irelynd Lorenzen, Maggie Beauer	+0.3
32	13-19	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Cali Foster	+0.7
33	14-19	PEPPER	PEPPER×3	Ace	PEPPER server	aced Tayler Baron	+1.2
34	14-20	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears	set Kate Rush	+1.3
35	14-21	W KY	W KY	Kill	Aubrey Sears		+1.0
36	15-21	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Maggie Beauer	set Tristen Raymond	+0.3
37	15-22	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.6
38	15-23	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Ella Piskorz		+0.3
39	16-23	W KY	PEPPER	Kill	Chloe Pravednikov	set Tristen Raymond	+0.1
40	16-24	PEPPER	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.1
41	17-24	W KY	PEPPER	Serve err	W KY server		+0.0
42	17-25	PEPPER	W KY	Attack err	Mariia Nikol Dvornikova	blk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kate Rush	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Pepperdine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.