Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UC Irvine def. CSUN 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: CSUN 78.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Irvine won at CSUN 3-1 (25-15, 26-24, 19-25, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Abby Pekrul led UC Irvine with 14 kills; CSUN's Hailey Brockway had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
UC IRV252619253
CSUN152425201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The upset: UC Irvine, a 21% pick, over CSUN.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UC Irvine's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, CSUN was RallyIQ's 79% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · UC Irvine 22–24 CSUN

    UC Irvine closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–0. The match swung to UC Irvine.

    UC Irvine 30% → 71%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · UC Irvine 10–9 CSUN

    Up 10–9, UC Irvine scored 4 straight to make it 14–9.

    UC Irvine 65% → 85%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · UC Irvine 17–17 CSUN

    UC Irvine scored 3 straight to go from 17–17 to a 20–17 lead.

    UC Irvine 62% → 84%

CSUN above 50UC Irvine belowMax swing 14.0%

UC IrvineCSUN

Sideout %
UC Irvine 57.6·CSUN 51.1
Break %
UC Irvine 48.9·CSUN 42.4
Hitting
UC Irvine .292·CSUN .227
Longest run
UC Irvine 6·CSUN 7

Ava Gronemeyer
4 kills on .111, 6.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

CSUN above 50 · UC Irvine below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.0% UC IRVrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.0% to UC Irvine — set 2, UC IRV 26-24 CSUN. Attack error by Julia Bazylevych. CSUN win probability 43% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC IRV 30.3%69.7% CSUN

UC Irvine wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.7%
3-2
13.9%

CSUN wins

3-0
23.0%
3-1
26.7%
3-2
19.9%
UC IRV break %
42.6% vs this opp
CSUN break %
46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Julia BazylevychAttack error+14.0%

    Attack error by Julia Bazylevych

    Set 2 · UC IRV 26-24 CSUN · UC IRV 57% → 71%

  2. 02

    Julia Bazylevych stuffed by Taylor Boice & Ava Gronemeyer

    Set 2 · UC IRV 25-24 CSUN · UC IRV 45% → 57%

  3. 03

    Fallyn Blotzer stuffed by Taylor Boice & Ava Gronemeyer

    Set 2 · UC IRV 24-24 CSUN · UC IRV 34% → 45%

  4. 04
    Iye OkoloAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Iye Okolo

    Set 4 · UC IRV 22-19 CSUN · UC IRV 80% → 89%

  5. 05

    Hailey Brockway stuffed by Nicole Feliciano & Abby Pekrul & Lois Hansen

    Set 4 · UC IRV 19-17 CSUN · UC IRV 68% → 76%

  6. 06
    Abby PekrulKill+7.8%

    Kill by Abby Pekrul (set by Angelina Dellutri)

    Set 4 · UC IRV 21-19 CSUN · UC IRV 72% → 80%

  7. 07

    Kill by Nicole Feliciano (set by Angelina Dellutri)

    Set 4 · UC IRV 20-17 CSUN · UC IRV 76% → 84%

  8. 08
    Abby PekrulKill+7.7%

    Kill by Abby Pekrul (set by Nicole Feliciano)

    Set 4 · UC IRV 23-20 CSUN · UC IRV 84% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412217.58820110275.517.5
414122.5911001012216
48320.250252070010.510.5
48225.24000150010.58.5
4002.000100610000
2114.00010000010.51.5
49231.2260004012211
4000–0321800003
4012-.5002310800001
4001.000011000001
4002.000000500000
34218.11100030052.56.5
Team totals5614144.292537558241913.595
CSUNhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420659.23711210200021
412217.5880001030315
411220.4500001002112
49531.129111101010.510.5
4438.1254301140010.54.5
1033-1.000000100000
4000–4021220000
3000–000510000
25112.333000200005
21313-.154101100001
1000–000000000
1000–200300000
Team totals6225163.227522760734584

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Irvine vs CSUN

Season series · UC Irvine leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UC IRV · CSUN 7

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 UC IRVCSUN 2

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 6 UC IRVCSUN 7

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 UC IRVCSUN 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 UC IRVCSUN 4

Bars above the line = CSUN leads, below = UC Irvine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Irvine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
43%6/14
2
80%8/10
62%13/21
3
57%8/14
56%10/18
4
67%8/12
27%3/11
5
57%8/14
43%6/14
6
39%7/18
50%8/16
All
58%49/85
49%46/94

CSUN

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
59%13/22
2
30%8/27
25%3/12
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
89%8/9
38%5/13
5
50%8/16
38%5/13
6
54%7/13
36%4/11
All
51%48/94
42%36/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#UC IRV-CSUNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CSUNCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.6
21-1CSUNUC IRVAttack errAnnie Gilmore+1.4
32-1UC IRVUC IRVAceWhitney Wallaceaced Julia Bazylevych+1.9
42-2UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.4
53-2CSUNUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.6
63-3UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+1.5
74-3CSUNUC IRVServe errHailey Brockway+1.6
84-4UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Taylor Dunlap+1.5
95-4CSUNUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.7
106-4UC IRVUC IRVKillAbby Pekrul+2.2
116-5UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Taylor Dunlap+1.6
127-5CSUNUC IRVAttack errAnnie Gilmore+1.8
137-6UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.7
148-6CSUNUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+1.9
159-6UC IRVUC IRVBlockedIye Okoloblk Abby Pekrul+2.4
169-7UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.7
1710-7CSUNUC IRVAttack errAnnie Gilmore+2.0
1810-8UC IRVCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.7
1911-8CSUNUC IRV×6KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+2.1
2012-8UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedTatiana Turgeonblk Memphis Burnett, Taylor Boice+2.5
2113-8UC IRVUC IRV×6Attack errHailey Brockway+2.3
2214-8UC IRVUC IRV×6KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.1
2315-8UC IRVUC IRV×6KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.7
2416-8UC IRVUC IRV×6KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.3
2516-9UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+0.7
2617-9CSUNUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.0
2718-9UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Lois Hansen, Taylor Boice+0.9
2819-9UC IRVUC IRV×3KillLois Hansenset Angelina Dellutri+0.5
2919-10UC IRVCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+0.2
3020-10CSUNUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+0.4
3120-11UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+0.2
3220-12CSUNCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+0.3
3321-12CSUNUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Angelina Dellutri+0.4
3422-12UC IRVUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Jessica Bates+0.3
3522-13UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+0.1
3622-14CSUNCSUNAttack errJessica Bates+0.1
3723-14CSUNUC IRVKillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+0.2
3823-15UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.1
3924-15CSUNUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+0.1
4025-15UC IRVUC IRVBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Taylor Boice, Jessica Bates·
Set 2
10-1UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Memphis Burnett+1.9
21-1CSUNUC IRV×3KillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+2.1
32-1UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errJulia Bazylevych+2.8
43-1UC IRVUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+3.0
53-2UC IRVCSUNBlockedTaylor Boiceblk Iye Okolo+2.2
63-3CSUNCSUNAceJulia Bazylevychaced Madison Triplett+2.7
74-3CSUNUC IRVServe errJulia Bazylevych+2.4
84-4UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.3
94-5CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeon+2.7
105-5CSUNUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.3
115-6UC IRVCSUNBad setAngelina Dellutri+2.2
126-6CSUNUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+2.4
137-6UC IRVUC IRVKillAbby Pekrul+3.2
147-7UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.5
157-8CSUNCSUNAttack errAngelina Dellutri+2.9
168-8CSUNUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Angelina Dellutri+2.5
178-9UC IRVCSUN×7KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.4
188-10CSUNCSUN×7KillKatie Kolarset Hailey Brockway+2.8
198-11CSUNCSUN×7KillKatie Kolar+2.5
208-12CSUNCSUN×7KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.2
218-13CSUNCSUN×7BlockedAva Gronemeyerblk Iye Okolo+1.8
228-14CSUNCSUN×7KillHailey Brockwayset Nicole Feliciano+1.3
238-15CSUNCSUN×7KillKatie Kolarset Whitney Wallace+1.0
249-15CSUNUC IRVServe errPaige Sentes+0.6
259-16UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+0.8
2610-16CSUNUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+0.6
2711-16UC IRVUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+1.0
2811-17UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Fallyn Blotzer+1.1
2911-18CSUNCSUNBlockedTaylor Boiceblk Iye Okolo+0.9
3012-18CSUNUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+0.5
3112-19UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Julia Bazylevych+0.7
3213-19CSUNUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Taylor Boice+0.4
3313-20UC IRVCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+0.6
3413-21CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+0.4
3514-21CSUNUC IRVServe errFallyn Blotzer+0.2
3614-22UC IRVCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+0.2
3715-22CSUNUC IRV×5KillAbby Pekrulset Angelina Dellutri+0.1
3816-22UC IRVUC IRV×5KillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+0.2
3917-22UC IRVUC IRV×5KillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+0.5
4018-22UC IRVUC IRV×5AceNicole Felicianoaced Hailey Brockway+0.9
4119-22UC IRVUC IRV×5AceNicole Felicianoaced Raegan Richardson+1.6
4219-23UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.1
4320-23CSUNUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+1.1
4420-24UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.9
4521-24CSUNUC IRV×6KillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+0.6
4622-24UC IRVUC IRV×6AceWhitney Wallaceaced Hailey Brockway+1.9
4723-24UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Taylor Boice, Ava Gronemeyer+4.4
4824-24UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Taylor Boice, Ava Gronemeyer+10.6
4925-24UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Taylor Boice, Ava Gronemeyer+12.2
5026-24UC IRVUC IRV×6Attack errJulia Bazylevych+14.0
Set 3
10-1CSUNCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.3
20-2CSUNCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+2.2
31-2CSUNUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+1.8
42-2UC IRVUC IRVBlockedTatiana Turgeonblk Taylor Boice+2.5
52-3UC IRVCSUNServe errWhitney Wallace+2.0
63-3CSUNUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+2.1
74-3UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errKatie Kolar+2.8
85-3UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedKatie Kolarblk Taylor Boice+3.0
95-4UC IRVCSUN×4BlockedNicole Felicianoblk Tatiana Turgeon, Julia Bazylevych+2.3
105-5CSUNCSUN×4KillTatiana Turgeon+2.8
115-6CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.7
125-7CSUNCSUN×4Attack errMemphis Burnett+2.5
136-7CSUNUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Angelina Dellutri+2.1
147-7UC IRVUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Angelina Dellutri+2.9
157-8UC IRVCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.3
167-9CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.7
177-10CSUNCSUN×4KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.4
187-11CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.0
198-11CSUNUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.5
208-12UC IRVCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.7
218-13CSUNCSUN×3KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+1.7
228-14CSUNCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.3
239-14CSUNUC IRVServe errKatie Kolar+0.9
2410-14UC IRVUC IRVBlockedAudrey Nuckolsblk Lois Hansen+1.5
2510-15UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.4
2611-15CSUNUC IRVServe errHailey Brockway+1.2
2711-16UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Paige Sentes+1.4
2811-17CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeon+1.3
2912-17CSUNUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+0.8
3012-18UC IRVCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.0
3113-18CSUNUC IRV×3KillMemphis Burnettset Taylor Boice+0.7
3214-18UC IRVUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boice+1.3
3315-18UC IRVUC IRV×3AceAngelina Dellutri+2.0
3415-19UC IRVCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.0
3515-20CSUNCSUNAttack errNicole Feliciano+1.7
3616-20CSUNUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.0
3716-21UC IRVCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.4
3817-21CSUNUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Angelina Dellutri+0.9
3917-22UC IRVCSUNServe errTaylor Boice+1.3
4017-23CSUNCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.8
4118-23CSUNUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Angelina Dellutri+0.2
4219-23UC IRVUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+0.6
4319-24UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+0.9
4419-25CSUNCSUNAceHailey Brockway+0.3
Set 4
10-1UC IRVCSUNKillIye Okoloset Paige Sentes+2.8
21-1CSUNUC IRV×3KillMemphis Burnettset Madison Triplett+3.0
32-1UC IRVUC IRV×3AceWhitney Wallaceaced Paige Sentes+4.0
43-1UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errJulia Bazylevych+4.3
53-2UC IRVCSUNServe errWhitney Wallace+3.2
64-2CSUNUC IRVBlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Ava Gronemeyer, Taylor Boice+3.6
75-2UC IRVUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+4.5
85-3UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+3.3
96-3CSUNUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+3.8
106-4UC IRVCSUNAttack errNicole Feliciano+3.4
117-4CSUNUC IRV×3KillLois Hansenset Angelina Dellutri+3.9
128-4UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errHailey Brockway+4.8
139-4UC IRVUC IRV×3AceKaia Ciszewskiaced Paige Sentes+4.6
149-5UC IRVCSUNAttack errAbby Pekrul+3.1
1510-5CSUNUC IRVServe errPaige Sentes+3.9
1610-6UC IRVCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.1
1710-7CSUNCSUN×4KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+4.3
1810-8CSUNCSUN×4Attack errLois Hansen+4.6
1910-9CSUNCSUN×4Attack errAva Gronemeyer+4.8
2011-9CSUNUC IRV×4KillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+4.5
2112-9UC IRVUC IRV×4BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Ava Gronemeyer, Abby Pekrul+5.6
2213-9UC IRVUC IRV×4KillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+5.4
2314-9UC IRVUC IRV×4KillAva Gronemeyerset Abby Pekrul+5.0
2414-10UC IRVCSUN×4KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+3.2
2514-11CSUNCSUN×4KillKatie Kolarset Nicole Feliciano+4.6
2614-12CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+5.1
2714-13CSUNCSUN×4KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+5.5
2815-13CSUNUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+5.3
2915-14UC IRVCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+4.6
3016-14CSUNUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+5.5
3116-15UC IRVCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+4.8
3216-16CSUNCSUNBlockedMemphis Burnettblk Tatiana Turgeon, Katie Kolar+6.3
3317-16CSUNUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+5.8
3417-17UC IRVCSUNServe errMemphis Burnett+5.4
3518-17CSUNUC IRV×3Attack errKatie Kolar+6.2
3619-17UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Nicole Feliciano, Abby Pekrul, Lois Hansen+8.1
3720-17UC IRVUC IRV×3KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+7.8
3820-18UC IRVCSUNServe errKaia Ciszewski+4.8
3920-19CSUNCSUNAttack errLois Hansen+7.4
4021-19CSUNUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Angelina Dellutri+7.8
4122-19UC IRVUC IRVAttack errIye Okolo+8.8
4222-20UC IRVCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+4.8
4323-20CSUNUC IRV×3KillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+7.7
4424-20UC IRVUC IRV×3KillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+6.1
4525-20UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errHailey Brockway+2.2

Score shown after each rally, UC Irvine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).