Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UC San Diego def. UC Irvine 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UC San Diego 56.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC San Diego won at UC Irvine 3-1 (25-23, 29-27, 21-25, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. UC San Diego's Molly McCluskey led with 24 kills, and Paulina Baillie added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
UCSD252921253
UC IRV232725231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Molly Mccluskey scored 26.5 points, and UC San Diego needed them all against UC Irvine.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UC San Diego's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave UC San Diego 56% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · UC San Diego 12–13 UC Irvine

    UC San Diego scored 8 straight to turn a 12–13 deficit into a 20–13 lead.

    UC San Diego 71% → 89%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · UC San Diego 26–27 UC Irvine

    Down 26–27, UC San Diego scored 3 straight to lead 29–27.

    UC San Diego 65% → 90%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · UC San Diego 22–22 UC Irvine

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to UC San Diego, enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.

    UC San Diego 76% → >99%

UC Irvine above 50UC San Diego belowMax swing 9.7%

UC San DiegoUC Irvine

Sideout %
UC San Diego 51.5·UC Irvine 50.5
Break %
UC San Diego 49.5·UC Irvine 48.5
Hitting
UC San Diego .167·UC Irvine .122
Longest run
UC San Diego 8·UC Irvine 7

Molly McCluskey
5 of her kills came in the stretches above. 24 K, .281, 26.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC Irvine above 50 · UC San Diego below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.7% UCSDrally 198 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.7% to UC San Diego — set 4, UCSD 23-22 UC IRV. Lois Hansen stuffed by Madison Johnson & Molly McCluskey. UC IRV win probability 24% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSD 54.6%45.4% UC IRV

UC San Diego wins

3-0
14.5%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%

UC Irvine wins

3-0
10.7%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%
UCSD break %
44.2% vs this opp
UC IRV break %
43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Lois Hansen stuffed by Madison Johnson & Molly McCluskey

    Set 4 · UCSD 23-22 UC IRV · UCSD 76% → 86%

  2. 02

    Kill by Memphis Burnett (set by Whitney Wallace)

    Set 2 · UCSD 26-27 UC IRV · UC IRV 26% → 35%

  3. 03

    Kill by Molly McCluskey (set by Marleena Catalan)

    Set 4 · UCSD 25-23 UC IRV · UCSD 91% → 100%

  4. 04
    Taylor BoiceAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Taylor Boice

    Set 4 · UCSD 24-22 UC IRV · UCSD 86% → 95%

  5. 05

    Memphis Burnett stuffed by Madison Johnson & Brynne McGhie

    Set 2 · UCSD 28-27 UC IRV · UCSD 72% → 81%

  6. 06

    Kill by Ireland McNees (set by Brynne McGhie)

    Set 2 · UCSD 29-27 UC IRV · UCSD 81% → 90%

  7. 07
    Lois HansenKill+7.4%

    Kill by Lois Hansen (set by Nicole Feliciano)

    Set 4 · UCSD 20-21 UC IRV · UC IRV 22% → 29%

  8. 08

    Kill by Molly McCluskey (set by Marleena Catalan)

    Set 1 · UCSD 25-23 UC IRV · UCSD 66% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424857.281112112031.526.5
416753.170310151111.518.5
43313.000000001647
43114.14300130052.55.5
4000–101720000
4000–2301900000
46729-.03400041010.56.5
43010.3001300300425
4000–5011710000
23110.200000000214
1000–000200000
1000–400200000
Team totals5827186.167502673722213100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48222.273264116016416
49629.1032003014312
410833.0610006002111
45737-.054400901227
34419.000000100215
1035-.60000000010.50.5
412118.61100010094.516.5
4102.50017221200003
4002.000113900001
4000–000200000
4000–3002110000
25212.250100000216
2203.667000000002
1117.000000300001
Team totals5734189.12254768323281798

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC San Diego vs UC Irvine

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 UCSD · UC IRV 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 UCSDUC IRV 5

Set 2

29-27

Longest run 8 UCSDUC IRV 7

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 UCSDUC IRV 6

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 3 UCSDUC IRV 3

Bars above the line = UC Irvine leads, below = UC San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
30%3/10
2
62%8/13
62%13/21
3
35%6/17
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
38%6/16
57%8/14
6
63%5/8
25%2/8
All
52%39/75
48%36/75

UC Irvine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
33%3/9
2
42%8/19
38%5/13
3
50%6/12
53%9/17
4
43%6/14
45%5/11
5
55%6/11
40%4/10
6
71%5/7
67%10/15
All
52%39/75
48%36/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#UCSD-UC IRVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UC IRVUCSD×4KillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+1.8
22-0UCSDUCSD×4KillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+2.4
33-0UCSDUCSD×4Attack errAbby Pekrul+2.2
44-0UCSDUCSD×4KillMadison Johnson+2.1
54-1UCSDUC IRV×5Serve errUC San Diego+1.5
64-2UC IRVUC IRV×5KillLois Hansenset Whitney Wallace+2.2
74-3UC IRVUC IRV×5KillLois Hansenset Madison Triplett+2.4
84-4UC IRVUC IRV×5KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+2.6
94-5UC IRVUC IRV×5BlockedMadison Johnsonblk Taylor Boice+2.7
105-5UC IRVUCSDAttack errTaylor Boice+2.0
116-5UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+2.7
126-6UCSDUC IRVServe errUC San Diego+2.1
137-6UC IRVUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+2.1
147-7UCSDUC IRVBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Lois Hansen, Taylor Boice+2.1
158-7UC IRVUCSD×3KillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+2.2
169-7UCSDUCSD×3KillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.8
1710-7UCSDUCSD×3KillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.6
1810-8UCSDUC IRVAttack errLucia Barroso+1.9
1911-8UC IRVUCSDBlockedMadison Triplettblk Lucia Barroso, Brynne McGhie+2.1
2012-8UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.4
2112-9UCSDUC IRVBlockedGia Riverablk Nicole Feliciano, Abby Pekrul+1.6
2213-9UC IRVUCSD×5BlockedAva Gronemeyerblk Gia Rivera, Lucia Barroso+1.9
2314-9UCSDUCSD×5Attack errAbby Pekrul+2.1
2415-9UCSDUCSD×5Attack errAbby Pekrul+1.6
2516-9UCSDUCSD×5KillIreland McNees+1.2
2617-9UCSDUCSD×5KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.8
2717-10UCSDUC IRVServe errUC San Diego+0.4
2817-11UC IRV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
2918-11UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.8
3019-11UCSDUCSDAttack errLois Hansen+0.7
3119-12UCSDUC IRV×3KillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+0.3
3219-13UC IRVUC IRV×3KillLois Hansenset Taylor Boice+0.6
3319-14UC IRVUC IRV×3KillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+0.9
3420-14UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.1
3521-14UCSDUCSDAttack errLois Hansen+0.8
3621-15UCSDUC IRVServe errUC San Diego+0.3
3722-15UC IRVUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+0.5
3822-16UCSDUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+0.2
3923-16UC IRVUCSDServe errKaia Ciszewski+0.4
4023-17UCSDUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+0.1
4123-18UC IRVUC IRVBlockedGia Riverablk Nicole Feliciano, Vani Tatoulian+0.3
4224-18UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Brynne McGhie+0.5
4324-19UCSDUC IRV×5KillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+0.1
4424-20UC IRVUC IRV×5KillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+0.3
4524-21UC IRVUC IRV×5BlockedGia Riverablk Jessica Bates, Vani Tatoulian+0.8
4624-22UC IRVUC IRV×5Attack errMolly McCluskey+1.8
4724-23UC IRVUC IRV×5AceUC Irvineaced Molly McCluskey+4.1
4825-23UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+7.2
Set 2
10-1UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+1.8
20-2UC IRVUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Madison Triplett+2.3
31-2UC IRVUCSDBlockedJessica Batesblk Ireland McNees, Lucia Barroso+1.7
41-3UCSDUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.8
51-4UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvineaced Dillyn Griffin+2.3
61-5UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvineaced Dillyn Griffin+2.2
72-5UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.5
82-6UCSDUC IRV×4KillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.7
92-7UC IRVUC IRV×4KillMadison Triplettset Kaia Ciszewski+2.1
102-8UC IRVUC IRV×4Attack errIreland McNees+1.8
112-9UC IRVUC IRV×4BlockedMadison Johnsonblk Madison Triplett+1.5
123-9UC IRVUCSD×3KillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+0.9
134-9UCSDUCSD×3AceUC San Diegoaced Whitney Wallace+1.5
145-9UCSDUCSD×3BlockedMadison Triplettblk Madison Johnson, Brynne McGhie+1.8
155-10UCSDUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.6
166-10UC IRVUCSD×4KillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+1.4
177-10UCSDUCSD×4Attack errMadison Triplett+2.1
188-10UCSDUCSD×4KillLucia Barrososet Brynne McGhie+2.4
199-10UCSDUCSD×4KillBrynne McGhieset Ireland McNees+2.7
209-11UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Angelina Dellutri+2.2
2110-11UC IRVUCSDAttack errVani Tatoulian+2.1
2211-11UCSDUCSDAttack errJessica Bates+3.0
2311-12UCSDUC IRVBlockedGia Riverablk Vani Tatoulian, Jessica Bates+2.4
2412-12UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.3
2512-13UCSDUC IRVKillJessica Batesset Nicole Feliciano+2.5
2613-13UC IRVUCSD×8KillIreland McNeesset Dillyn Griffin+2.4
2714-13UCSDUCSD×8KillIreland McNeesset Molly McCluskey+3.3
2815-13UCSDUCSD×8Attack errLois Hansen+3.2
2916-13UCSDUCSD×8KillMolly McCluskey+2.9
3017-13UCSDUCSD×8Attack errLois Hansen+2.5
3118-13UCSDUCSD×8KillMolly McCluskeyset Nicole Feliciano+2.0
3219-13UCSDUCSD×8BlockedLois Hansenblk Molly McCluskey, Madison Johnson+1.4
3320-13UCSDUCSD×8KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.9
3420-14UCSDUC IRVKillJessica Batesset Taylor Boice+0.4
3521-14UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.6
3621-15UCSDUC IRVBlockedIreland McNeesblk Nicole Feliciano+0.3
3722-15UC IRVUCSDServe errKaia Ciszewski+0.5
3822-16UCSDUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+0.2
3923-16UC IRVUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+0.4
4023-17UCSDUC IRV×7KillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+0.1
4123-18UC IRVUC IRV×7Attack errIreland McNees+0.3
4223-19UC IRVUC IRV×7KillJessica Bates+0.6
4323-20UC IRVUC IRV×7AceUC Irvineaced Ireland McNees+1.2
4423-21UC IRVUC IRV×7KillMadison Triplettset Jessica Bates+2.3
4523-22UC IRVUC IRV×7AceUC Irvineaced Molly McCluskey+4.2
4623-23UC IRVUC IRV×7Attack errIreland McNees+6.9
4724-23UC IRVUCSDKillKatelyn Hernandezset Brynne McGhie+7.0
4824-24UCSDUC IRVBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Madison Triplett, Vani Tatoulian+7.0
4925-24UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Paulina Baillie+7.0
5025-25UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+7.0
5126-25UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+7.0
5226-26UCSDUC IRVAttack errTaylor Boice+7.0
5326-27UC IRVUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Whitney Wallace+9.3
5427-27UC IRVUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+7.2
5528-27UCSDUCSD×3BlockedMemphis Burnettblk Madison Johnson, Brynne McGhie+9.1
5629-27UCSDUCSD×3KillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+8.9
Set 3
10-1UC IRVUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+1.5
20-2UC IRVUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Madison Triplett+1.5
31-2UC IRVUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+1.1
42-2UCSDUCSDAttack errAva Gronemeyer+1.5
52-3UCSDUC IRV×3KillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+1.2
62-4UC IRVUC IRV×3KillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.5
72-5UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errMolly McCluskey+1.5
83-5UC IRVUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+1.1
93-6UCSDUC IRV×6KillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+1.2
103-7UC IRVUC IRV×6KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.5
113-8UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedIreland McNeesblk Taylor Boice, Nicole Feliciano+1.3
123-9UC IRVUC IRV×6KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.2
133-10UC IRVUC IRV×6KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.0
143-11UC IRVUC IRV×6KillTaylor Boice+0.8
154-11UC IRVUCSDServe errAngelina Dellutri+0.4
165-11UCSDUCSDBlockedTaylor Boiceblk Madison Johnson+0.7
175-12UCSDUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+0.7
186-12UC IRVUCSDAttack errMadison Triplett+0.5
196-13UCSDUC IRV×3Serve errUC San Diego+0.7
206-14UC IRVUC IRV×3KillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+0.7
216-15UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedGia Riverablk Vani Tatoulian, Nicole Feliciano+0.5
227-15UC IRVUCSDKillKatelyn Hernandezset Maija Nepszy+0.2
238-15UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.5
248-16UCSDUC IRVBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Madison Triplett, Vani Tatoulian+0.5
258-17UC IRVUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+0.4
269-17UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Paulina Baillie+0.2
2710-17UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Paulina Baillie+0.4
2810-18UCSDUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+0.4
2911-18UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Ireland McNees+0.2
3012-18UCSDUCSDBlockedLois Hansenblk Madison Johnson, Molly McCluskey+0.5
3112-19UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+0.6
3213-19UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.3
3313-20UCSDUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+0.5
3413-21UC IRVUC IRVBlockedKatelyn Hernandezblk Nicole Feliciano, Taylor Boice+0.4
3514-21UC IRVUCSDAttack errNicole Feliciano+0.1
3615-21UCSDUCSDKillGia Riveraset Maija Nepszy+0.3
3715-22UCSDUC IRVKillAngelina Dellutriset Madison Triplett+0.4
3816-22UC IRVUCSD×5KillKatelyn Hernandezset Maija Nepszy+0.2
3917-22UCSDUCSD×5BlockedMadison Triplettblk Katelyn Hernandez, Lucia Barroso+0.4
4018-22UCSDUCSD×5Attack errTaylor Boice+0.6
4119-22UCSDUCSD×5Attack errTaylor Boice+1.1
4220-22UCSDUCSD×5BlockedMadison Triplettblk Lucia Barroso, Katelyn Hernandez+1.8
4320-23UCSDUC IRVKillIsabella Romeroset Whitney Wallace+2.2
4421-23UC IRVUCSDKillLucia Barrososet Maija Nepszy+1.2
4521-24UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Angelina Dellutri+2.2
4621-25UC IRVUC IRVBlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Ava Gronemeyer, Vani Tatoulian+1.2
Set 4
11-0UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Paulina Baillie+3.0
21-1UCSDUC IRV×3KillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+2.3
31-2UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedIreland McNeesblk Ava Gronemeyer, Taylor Boice+3.2
41-3UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errMolly McCluskey+3.2
52-3UC IRVUCSDBlockedAva Gronemeyerblk Ireland McNees+2.4
63-3UCSDUCSDAttack errLois Hansen+3.2
73-4UCSDUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+2.5
84-4UC IRVUCSD×3Serve errAngelina Dellutri+2.5
95-4UCSDUCSD×3AceUC San Diego+3.3
106-4UCSDUCSD×3BlockedNicole Felicianoblk Madison Johnson, Brynne McGhie+3.3
116-5UCSDUC IRVAttack errIreland McNees+2.4
126-6UC IRVUC IRVAceUC Irvineaced Paulina Baillie+3.4
137-6UC IRVUCSDServe errKaia Ciszewski+2.7
148-6UCSDUCSDKillBrynne McGhieset Paulina Baillie+3.4
158-7UCSDUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.5
169-7UC IRVUCSDAttack errMadison Triplett+2.7
179-8UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Angelina Dellutri+2.6
189-9UC IRVUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+3.7
1910-9UC IRVUCSDAttack errAva Gronemeyer+2.9
2010-10UCSDUC IRVServe errUC San Diego+2.9
2111-10UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.0
2212-10UCSDUCSDKillLucia Barroso+3.9
2312-11UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+2.8
2413-11UC IRVUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+3.1
2514-11UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.7
2614-12UCSDUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+2.6
2715-12UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.9
2815-13UCSDUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Whitney Wallace+2.6
2915-14UC IRVUC IRVAttack errMadison Johnson+4.1
3016-14UC IRVUCSDAttack errTaylor Boice+3.5
3117-14UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+4.1
3217-15UCSDUC IRV×3KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.7
3317-16UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedGia Riverablk Vani Tatoulian, Nicole Feliciano+4.4
3417-17UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errGia Rivera+5.2
3518-17UC IRVUCSDKillBrynne McGhieset Ireland McNees+4.2
3619-17UCSDUCSDKillGia Rivera+5.4
3719-18UCSDUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+3.7
3819-19UC IRVUC IRVAceUC Irvineaced Gia Rivera+5.9
3920-19UC IRVUCSDServe errNicole Feliciano+5.0
4020-20UCSDUC IRVKillIsabella Romeroset Nicole Feliciano+4.9
4120-21UC IRVUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+7.4
4221-21UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+5.5
4321-22UCSDUC IRVKillVani Tatoulianset Nicole Feliciano+6.4
4422-22UC IRVUCSD×3KillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+6.2
4523-22UCSDUCSD×3BlockedLois Hansenblk Madison Johnson, Molly McCluskey+9.7
4624-22UCSDUCSD×3Attack errTaylor Boice+9.1
4724-23UCSDUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+4.0
4825-23UC IRVUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+9.2

Score shown after each rally, UC San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).