FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

$East Texas A&M logo$

HomeSOUTHLAND

East Texas A&M def. Texas Southern 3–0

(25-20, 25-16, 25-9)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TX SOU	20	16	9	0
TAMUCO	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TAMUCO above 50 · TX SOU below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Texas Southern — set 1, TX SOU 11-6 TAMUCO. Bad set by Ellie Thurman. TAMUCO win probability 94% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TX SOU 2.6%97.4% TAMUCO

Texas Southern wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.6%

East Texas A&M wins

3-0

64.3%

3-1

26.4%

3-2

6.7%

TX SOU break %: 36.5% vs this opp
TAMUCO break %: 51.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ellie ThurmanBad set+0.9%
Bad set by Ellie Thurman
Set 1 · TX SOU 11-6 TAMUCO · TX SOU 6% → 7%
02
Ellie ThurmanAttack error+0.8%
Ellie Thurman stuffed by Aaliyah Brown & Keldri Young
Set 1 · TX SOU 10-6 TAMUCO · TX SOU 5% → 6%
03
Ellie ThurmanAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Ellie Thurman
Set 1 · TX SOU 16-16 TAMUCO · TX SOU 3% → 4%
04
Keldri YoungAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Keldri Young
Set 1 · TX SOU 18-20 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 97% → 98%
05
Semaj CoxAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Semaj Cox
Set 1 · TX SOU 9-6 TAMUCO · TX SOU 4% → 5%
06
Sediong ScottAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Sediong Scott
Set 1 · TX SOU 12-7 TAMUCO · TX SOU 6% → 7%
07
Sabine WenzelKill+0.7%
Kill by Sabine Wenzel (set by Haley Mullaney)
Set 1 · TX SOU 14-14 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 96% → 96%
08
TAMUCO serverService error+0.7%
East Texas A&M service error
Set 1 · TX SOU 18-18 TAMUCO · TX SOU 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Texas Southernaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Selana MoralesOH	3	5	4	15	.067	0	1	2	6	1	0	0	0	6
6Ava HoustonMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4
20Aaliyah BrownMB	3	2	2	12	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
14Lauren BattleOH	3	3	3	11	.000	0	0	0	7	3	0	0	0	3
16Kadence DavisonS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
7Morgynne McQueenMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Keldri YoungOH	3	3	5	15	-.133	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
17Lauanna Pino WatanabeL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	12	1	0	0	0	0
8Kennedi WalkerS	3	0	0	1	.000	6	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
5Morelia Lorenzo DiazL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
3Gracie LeeOH	2	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
21Aliyah SpencerMB	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2
11Ava RayS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
2Lacey KusnierOH	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
1Keagan St. JuniousL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	18	86	.047	19	1	3	41	10	1	4	3	45

East Texas A&Mhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Ariana BrownOH	3	14	2	31	.387	1	0	2	10	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
11Sediong ScottOH	3	5	2	9	.333	0	4	4	1	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
16Sabine WenzelMB	3	8	1	14	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
2Haley MullaneyS	3	5	1	13	.308	22	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	6
4Semaj CoxL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	3
13Ellie ThurmanOH	2	2	2	12	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
19Samantha MosleyOH	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
6Jade WashingtonL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	0	1	14	0	0	0	0	0
7Jill VinalS	2	1	0	2	.500	10	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
14Rendi FettyOH	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
18Allie IhloffMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	100	.310	36	10	10	43	1	2	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 TX SOU · TAMUCO 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 TX SOUTAMUCO 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUTAMUCO 5

Set 3

9-25

Longest run 2 TX SOUTAMUCO 7

Bars above the line = East Texas A&M leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Texas Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%6/18	22%2/9
2	33%5/15	14%1/7
3	63%5/8	38%3/8
4	45%5/11	44%4/9
5	56%5/9	44%4/9
6	42%5/12	0%0/5
All	42%31/73	30%14/47

East Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	69%11/16
2	100%6/6	65%11/17
3	56%5/9	62%8/13
4	63%5/8	17%1/6
5	56%5/9	58%7/12
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	70%33/47	58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

120 rallies

Rally log

#	TX SOU-TAMUCO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jade Washington	+0.2
2	1-1	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.3
3	1-2	TX SOU	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Lauren Battle	blk Sabine Wenzel, Samantha Mosley	+0.2
4	1-3	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Bad set	Ava Houston		+0.3
5	1-4	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Samantha Mosley	set Haley Mullaney	+0.2
6	2-4	TAMUCO	TX SOU×3	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.2
7	3-4	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.3
8	4-4	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Samantha Mosley		+0.4
9	4-5	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Bad set	Aaliyah Brown		+0.3
10	5-5	TAMUCO	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.3
11	6-5	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Keldri Young		+0.5
12	7-5	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Ellie Thurman	blk Aaliyah Brown, Keldri Young	+0.6
13	7-6	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown	blk Sediong Scott	+0.4
14	8-6	TAMUCO	TX SOU×4	Attack err	Sediong Scott		+0.5
15	9-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Attack err	Semaj Cox		+0.8
16	10-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Attack err	Ellie Thurman	blk Aaliyah Brown, Keldri Young	+0.8
17	11-6	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Bad set	Ellie Thurman		+0.9
18	11-7	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Attack err	Keldri Young		+0.5
19	12-7	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Attack err	Sediong Scott		+0.8
20	12-8	TX SOU	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Haley Mullaney	+0.5
21	12-9	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Lauren Battle	+0.7
22	12-10	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Lauren Battle	+0.7
23	12-11	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Lauren Battle	+0.7
24	13-11	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.7
25	13-12	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ellie Thurman	set Ariana Brown	+0.6
26	14-12	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.7
27	14-13	TX SOU	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jade Washington	+0.6
28	14-14	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Haley Mullaney	+0.7
29	14-15	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Haley Mullaney	+0.7
30	14-16	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Ellie Thurman	set Haley Mullaney	+0.6
31	15-16	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Kadence Davison	+0.5
32	16-16	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Ellie Thurman		+0.8
33	16-17	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown		+0.6
34	17-17	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.7
35	17-18	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Samantha Mosley	set Haley Mullaney	+0.6
36	18-18	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.7
37	18-19	TX SOU	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Haley Mullaney		+0.7
38	18-20	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Keldri Young		+0.8
39	18-21	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Bad set	Keldri Young		+0.6
40	19-21	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Keldri Young	set Kennedi Walker	+0.4
41	19-22	TX SOU	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.4
42	19-23	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Semaj Cox	+0.3
43	19-24	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Keldri Young		+0.1
44	20-24	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.0
45	20-25	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.2
2	0-2	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.2
3	0-3	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
4	0-4	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.1
5	1-4	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.1
6	1-5	TX SOU	TAMUCO×5	Kill	Haley Mullaney	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
7	1-6	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×5	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.1
8	1-7	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×5	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
9	1-8	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×5	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jill Vinal	+0.0
10	1-9	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×5	Kill	Sabine Wenzel		+0.0
11	2-9	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
12	2-10	TX SOU	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jill Vinal	+0.0
13	2-11	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Lacey Kusnier	+0.0
14	2-12	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Samantha Mosley	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
15	3-12	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kennedi Walker	+0.0
16	3-13	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
17	4-13	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kennedi Walker	+0.0
18	4-14	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Samantha Mosley	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
19	4-15	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Gracie Lee		+0.0
20	5-15	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Attack err	Ariana Brown		+0.0
21	5-16	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
22	5-17	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Lacey Kusnier	+0.0
23	6-17	TAMUCO	TX SOU×3	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
24	7-17	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Ace	TX SOU server	aced Team	+0.0
25	8-17	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.0
26	8-18	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Attack err	Selana Morales		+0.0
27	8-19	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Ava Ray	+0.0
28	9-19	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
29	10-19	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Haley Mullaney		+0.0
30	10-20	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Jill Vinal	+0.0
31	11-20	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Keldri Young	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
32	11-21	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
33	12-21	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.0
34	13-21	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Ariana Brown	blk Aliyah Spencer	+0.0
35	13-22	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
36	14-22	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Aliyah Spencer	set Sediong Scott	+0.0
37	14-23	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
38	15-23	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kennedi Walker	+0.0
39	15-24	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Jill Vinal	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
40	16-24	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
41	16-25	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
2	0-2	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Haley Mullaney	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
3	1-2	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.1
4	1-3	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
5	2-3	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kadence Davison	+0.1
6	2-4	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Attack err	Selana Morales		+0.1
7	2-5	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Haley Mullaney	+0.1
8	3-5	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kadence Davison	+0.1
9	4-5	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Sabine Wenzel		+0.1
10	4-6	TX SOU	TAMUCO×7	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.1
11	4-7	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Attack err	Selana Morales	blk Samantha Mosley	+0.1
12	4-8	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Attack err	Keldri Young	blk Sediong Scott, Ariana Brown	+0.1
13	4-9	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Attack err	Keldri Young		+0.0
14	4-10	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
15	4-11	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Kill	Sediong Scott		+0.0
16	4-12	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Attack err	Selana Morales		+0.0
17	5-12	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.0
18	6-12	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kennedi Walker	+0.0
19	6-13	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
20	6-14	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Samantha Mosley	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
21	7-14	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.0
22	7-15	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Kennedi Walker	+0.0
23	7-16	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Team	+0.0
24	8-16	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kennedi Walker	+0.0
25	8-17	TX SOU	TAMUCO×7	Kill	Rendi Fetty	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
26	8-18	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Attack err	Gracie Lee		+0.0
27	8-19	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Selana Morales	+0.0
28	8-20	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Morelia Lorenzo Diaz	+0.0
29	8-21	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Kill	Haley Mullaney	set Jill Vinal	+0.0
30	8-22	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.0
31	8-23	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×7	Attack err	Lauren Battle		+0.0
32	9-23	TAMUCO	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
33	9-24	TX SOU	TAMUCO	Kill	Haley Mullaney	set Jill Vinal	+0.0
34	9-25	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Lauren Battle		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.