CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Southern Ill. def. East Texas A&M 31

(25-27, 25-22, 25-21, 25-19)
Set12*34Sets
SIU252525253
TAMUCO272221191
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TAMUCO above 50 · SIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100TAMUCOSIUBiggest swing +9.4% TAMUCO · S1 24-24rally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.4% to East Texas A&M — set 1, SIU 24-24 TAMUCO. Attack error by Natalie Vance. TAMUCO win probability 59%68%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SIU 28.1%71.9% TAMUCO

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.1%

East Texas A&M wins

3-0
24.6%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%
SIU break %
40.7% vs this opp
TAMUCO break %
45.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Natalie VanceAttack error+9.4%

    Attack error by Natalie Vance

    Set 1 · SIU 24-24 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 59%68%

  2. 02

    Kill by Samantha Mosley (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 1 · SIU 24-25 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 68%77%

  3. 03
    McKenzie MoellerAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by McKenzie Moeller

    Set 1 · SIU 25-27 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 77%85%

  4. 04
    TAMUCO serverService error+6.3%

    East Texas A&M service error

    Set 1 · SIU 25-25 TAMUCO · SIU 23%29%

  5. 05
    Ariana BrownKill+6.3%

    Kill by Ariana Brown (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 1 · SIU 25-26 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 71%77%

  6. 06
    Carlota MoraKill+5.5%

    Kill by Carlota Mora (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 1 · SIU 22-20 TAMUCO · SIU 35%40%

  7. 07
    SIU serverAce+5.3%

    Southern Ill. ace on Team

    Set 1 · SIU 21-20 TAMUCO · SIU 29%35%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ella Swansiger (set by Lillian Dempkey)

    Set 3 · SIU 16-14 TAMUCO · SIU 38%43%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414127.48100030010.514.5
413937.10810210300013
46212.333012100429
46524.042111132010.57.5
45114.28601020010.56.5
41011.0002844900005
414231.38700010031.515.5
40002221900002
40006101400001
Team totals5920146.2675810106260105100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415442.2624227200017
412122.5000001012214
410324.29200220031.511.5
49423.21700010031.510.5
46217.2352833800009
4001.0001021020000
40003131740001
40001402600000
3123-.33300000010.51.5
3000000000000
2015-.20000010010.50.5
1000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals5317137.263506145310110689

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 SIU · TAMUCO 4

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 5 SIUTAMUCO 4

Set 2*

25-22

Longest run 9 SIUTAMUCO 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 SIUTAMUCO 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 SIUTAMUCO 3

Bars above the line = East Texas A&M leads, below = Southern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
42%5/12
2
60%9/15
40%6/15
3
73%8/11
18%2/11
4
64%7/11
50%7/14
5
60%6/10
57%8/14
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
66%45/68
41%30/74

East Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
27%3/11
2
82%9/11
40%6/15
3
53%8/15
20%2/10
4
50%6/12
38%5/13
5
67%6/9
14%1/7
6
55%6/11
50%6/12
All
59%44/74
34%23/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

189 rallies

Rally log

#SIU-TAMUCOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TAMUCOTAMUCOAceTAMUCO serveraced McKenzie Moeller+2.0
21-1TAMUCOSIUKillElla McFarlandset McKenzie Moeller+1.6
31-2SIUTAMUCO×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.5
41-3TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+1.9
51-4TAMUCOTAMUCO×3AceTAMUCO serveraced Carlota Mora+1.8
62-4TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+1.3
73-4SIUSIUAceSIU serveraced Rendi Fetty+2.0
83-5SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.5
93-6TAMUCOTAMUCOAceTAMUCO serveraced McKenzie Moeller+1.9
104-6TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+1.3
114-7SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+1.4
124-8TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.7
135-8TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+1.2
145-9SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Jill Vinal+1.3
155-10TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Morablk Sabine Wenzel, Allie Ihloff+1.4
166-10TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+0.9
176-11SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.1
186-12TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+1.1
197-12TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.7
207-13SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jade Washington+0.8
217-14TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+0.8
228-14TAMUCOSIU×5Serve errTAMUCO server+0.5
239-14SIUSIU×5Attack errSabine Wenzel+0.9
2410-14SIUSIU×5AceSIU serveraced Team+1.2
2511-14SIUSIU×5KillMcKenzie Moellerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.6
2612-14SIUSIU×5KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.1
2712-15SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.8
2813-15TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.6
2913-16SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.8
3014-16TAMUCOSIU×4Serve errTAMUCO server+1.7
3115-16SIUSIU×4AceSIU serveraced Jade Washington+2.8
3216-16SIUSIU×4KillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+3.4
3317-16SIUSIU×4AceSIU serveraced Jade Washington+3.8
3417-17SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+2.7
3518-17TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.1
3618-18SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+2.9
3719-18TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.3
3819-19SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+3.1
3919-20TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzel+4.4
4020-20TAMUCOSIU×4KillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+3.4
4121-20SIUSIU×4AceSIU serveraced Team+5.3
4222-20SIUSIU×4KillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+5.5
4323-20SIUSIU×4AceSIU serveraced Rendi Fetty+4.7
4423-21SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+2.0
4524-21TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.7
4624-22SIUTAMUCO×4KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.4
4724-23TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillAriana Brown+4.2
4824-24TAMUCOTAMUCO×4Attack errNatalie Vance+9.4
4924-25TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+8.5
5025-25TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+6.3
5125-26SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+6.3
5225-27TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+7.6
Set 2
10-1SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.2
20-2TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+1.5
31-2TAMUCOSIUKillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+1.2
41-3SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.2
52-3TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+1.2
62-4SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.2
73-4TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.2
83-5SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Jill Vinal+1.2
94-5TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
104-6SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.3
114-7TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.6
125-7TAMUCOSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+1.1
136-7SIUSIUAceSIU serveraced Jade Washington+1.7
146-8SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+1.3
156-9TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Mora+1.6
167-9TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
177-10SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+1.2
187-11TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+1.4
198-11TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+1.0
208-12SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.1
219-12TAMUCOSIUAttack errAllie Ihloffblk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia+1.0
2210-12SIUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+1.6
2310-13SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Ariana Brown+1.4
2411-13TAMUCOSIU×9KillMcKenzie Moellerset Carlota Mora+1.3
2512-13SIUSIU×9KillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.0
2613-13SIUSIU×9Attack errHaley Mullaneyblk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger+2.4
2714-13SIUSIU×9Attack errAllie Ihloff+2.6
2815-13SIUSIU×9Attack errSediong Scottblk Ella Swansiger, Chloe Anderson+2.8
2916-13SIUSIU×9KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.7
3017-13SIUSIU×9KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.5
3118-13SIUSIU×9KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+2.1
3219-13SIUSIU×9Attack errAriana Brown+1.6
3319-14SIUTAMUCOAttack errChloe Anderson+0.7
3420-14TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.1
3520-15SIUTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.6
3620-16TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.3
3721-16TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+1.5
3821-17SIUTAMUCO×3Serve errSIU server+0.8
3921-18TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.7
4021-19TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errElla Swansiger+2.5
4122-19TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+2.8
4222-20SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.8
4322-21TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+3.5
4423-21TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+3.9
4523-22SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+2.7
4624-22TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+4.6
4725-22SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+3.7
Set 3
11-0TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.3
22-0SIUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.2
32-1SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+2.3
42-2TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moellerblk Samantha Mosley, Sediong Scott+3.1
53-2TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.5
63-3SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+2.3
74-3TAMUCOSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.5
85-3SIUSIU×3Attack errSediong Scottblk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger+3.5
96-3SIUSIU×3Attack errSamantha Mosley+3.5
106-4SIUTAMUCO×3KillSediong Scottset Ariana Brown+2.4
116-5TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errMcKenzie Moellerblk Sediong Scott, Skylar Lambert+3.4
126-6TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+3.4
137-6TAMUCOSIU×3Serve errTAMUCO server+2.7
148-6SIUSIU×3Attack errSkylar Lambert+3.8
159-6SIUSIU×3Attack errSediong Scott+3.8
169-7SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+2.5
1710-7TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+3.0
1810-8SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+2.6
1911-8TAMUCOSIUAttack errHaley Mullaney+3.1
2011-9SIUTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Mora+2.7
2111-10TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Morablk Samantha Mosley, Sabine Wenzel+3.8
2212-10TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.3
2312-11SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+2.9
2413-11TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.4
2513-12SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+3.0
2614-12TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.5
2714-13SIUTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+3.2
2814-14TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Jill Vinal+4.5
2915-14TAMUCOSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.7
3016-14SIUSIU×4KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+5.1
3117-14SIUSIU×4KillCarlota Moraset Jillian Shaneyfelt+5.0
3218-14SIUSIU×4KillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+4.5
3318-15SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jill Vinal+2.5
3419-15TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.5
3519-16SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jill Vinal+2.4
3619-17TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errBeatriz Piaiablk Sabine Wenzel+4.3
3720-17TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+4.3
3820-18SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+3.2
3921-18TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+4.6
4021-19SIUTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Mora+3.2
4122-19TAMUCOSIUAttack errSamantha Mosley+4.8
4222-20SIUTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moellerblk Sediong Scott, Samantha Mosley+3.1
4323-20TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+5.1
4424-20SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+4.1
4524-21SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+0.9
4625-21TAMUCOSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+2.2
Set 4
10-1SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+2.7
21-1TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.8
31-2SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+2.7
42-2TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.9
53-2SIUSIUAceSIU serveraced Ariana Brown+4.1
63-3SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+3.0
73-4TAMUCOTAMUCOAceTAMUCO serveraced Team+3.9
84-4TAMUCOSIUAttack errSamantha Mosley+3.0
95-4SIUSIUAttack errAriana Brown+4.3
105-5SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+3.1
116-5TAMUCOSIU×4Serve errTAMUCO server+3.4
127-5SIUSIU×4Attack errSamantha Mosleyblk Chloe Anderson, Carlota Mora+4.7
138-5SIUSIU×4Attack errAriana Brown+4.7
149-5SIUSIU×4Attack errAriana Brown+4.6
159-6SIUTAMUCOAttack errElla Swansiger+2.9
169-7TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAllie Ihloffset Ariana Brown+4.3
1710-7TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.8
1811-7SIUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+4.8
1911-8SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+3.0
2012-8TAMUCOSIU×3KillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+3.7
2113-8SIUSIU×3AceSIU serveraced Ariana Brown+4.5
2214-8SIUSIU×3AceSIU serveraced Jade Washington+3.8
2314-9SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+2.1
2415-9TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.9
2516-9SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+3.0
2616-10SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+1.5
2717-10TAMUCOSIUServe errTAMUCO server+2.2
2817-11SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Rendi Fetty+1.3
2918-11TAMUCOSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+2.1
3018-12SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+1.2
3119-12TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.9
3219-13SIUTAMUCO×3KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.1
3319-14TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errChloe Anderson+2.1
3419-15TAMUCOTAMUCO×3AceTAMUCO serveraced McKenzie Moeller+3.0
3520-15TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+3.4
3621-15SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.0
3721-16SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Ariana Brown+1.1
3822-16TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.0
3922-17SIUTAMUCOServe errSIU server+0.9
4023-17TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.7
4123-18SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+0.6
4224-18TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.2
4324-19SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+0.2
4425-19TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.