Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Southern Ill. def. East Texas A&M 3–1

Southern Ill. won at East Texas A&M 3-1 (25-27, 25-22, 25-21, 25-19) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Natalie Vance and Ella Swansiger led Southern Ill. with 14 kills each; East Texas A&M's Ariana Brown had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
SIU252525253
TAMUCO272221191

Win probability

East Texas A&M above 50 · Southern Ill. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% TAMUCOrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to East Texas A&M — set 1, SIU 24-24 TAMUCO. Attack error by Natalie Vance. TAMUCO win probability 49% → 59%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIU 38.9%61.1% TAMUCO

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.1%
3-2
16.4%

East Texas A&M wins

3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
20.0%
SIU break %
42.3% vs this opp
TAMUCO break %
44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Natalie VanceAttack error+10.0%

    Attack error by Natalie Vance

    Set 1 · SIU 24-24 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 49% → 59%

  2. 02

    Kill by Samantha Mosley (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 1 · SIU 24-25 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 59% → 68%

  3. 03
    McKenzie MoellerAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by McKenzie Moeller

    Set 1 · SIU 25-27 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 68% → 77%

  4. 04
    East Texas A&MService error+7.2%

    East Texas A&M service error

    Set 1 · SIU 25-25 TAMUCO · SIU 32% → 39%

  5. 05
    Ariana BrownKill+7.2%

    Kill by Ariana Brown (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 1 · SIU 25-26 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 61% → 68%

  6. 06
    Carlota MoraKill+5.8%

    Kill by Carlota Mora (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 1 · SIU 22-20 TAMUCO · SIU 45% → 51%

  7. 07
    Southern Ill.Ace+5.7%

    Southern Ill. ace

    Set 1 · SIU 21-20 TAMUCO · SIU 39% → 45%

  8. 08
    Natalie VanceKill+5.3%

    Kill by Natalie Vance (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 2 · SIU 24-22 TAMUCO · SIU 32% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414127.48100030010.514.5
413937.10810210300013
46212.333012100429
46524.042111132010.57.5
45114.28601020010.56.5
41011.0002844900005
414231.38700010031.515.5
4000–2221900002
4000–6101400001
Team totals5920146.2675810106260105100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415442.2624227200017
412122.5000001012214
410324.29200220031.511.5
49423.21700010031.510.5
46217.2352833800009
4001.0001021020000
4000–3131740001
4000–1402600000
3123-.33300000010.51.5
3000–000000000
2015-.20000010010.50.5
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5317137.263506145310110689

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 SIU · TAMUCO 4

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 5 SIUTAMUCO 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 9 SIUTAMUCO 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 SIUTAMUCO 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 SIUTAMUCO 3

Bars above the line = East Texas A&M leads, below = Southern Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
42%5/12
2
60%9/15
40%6/15
3
73%8/11
18%2/11
4
64%7/11
50%7/14
5
60%6/10
57%8/14
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
66%45/68
41%30/74

East Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
27%3/11
2
82%9/11
40%6/15
3
53%8/15
20%2/10
4
50%6/12
38%5/13
5
67%6/9
14%1/7
6
55%6/11
50%6/12
All
59%44/74
34%23/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#SIU-TAMUCOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TAMUCOTAMUCOAceEast Texas A&Maced McKenzie Moeller+2.3
21-1TAMUCOSIUKillElla McFarlandset McKenzie Moeller+1.8
31-2SIUTAMUCO×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.8
41-3TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+2.3
51-4TAMUCOTAMUCO×3AceEast Texas A&Maced Carlota Mora+2.2
62-4TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+1.6
73-4SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Rendi Fetty+2.3
83-5SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.8
93-6TAMUCOTAMUCOAceEast Texas A&Maced McKenzie Moeller+2.3
104-6TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+1.6
114-7SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+1.8
124-8TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.1
135-8TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+1.4
145-9SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Jill Vinal+1.6
155-10TAMUCOTAMUCOBlockedCarlota Morablk Sabine Wenzel, Allie Ihloff+1.8
166-10TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+1.2
176-11SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.4
186-12TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+1.5
197-12TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.9
207-13SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jade Washington+1.1
217-14TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.1
228-14TAMUCOSIU×5Serve errEast Texas A&M+0.6
239-14SIUSIU×5Attack errSabine Wenzel+1.2
2410-14SIUSIU×5AceSouthern Ill.+1.5
2511-14SIUSIU×5KillMcKenzie Moellerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.0
2612-14SIUSIU×5KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.5
2712-15SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+2.2
2813-15TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.0
2913-16SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+2.3
3014-16TAMUCOSIU×4Serve errEast Texas A&M+2.0
3115-16SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Jade Washington+3.2
3216-16SIUSIU×4KillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+3.8
3317-16SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Jade Washington+4.1
3417-17SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+3.1
3518-17TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.4
3618-18SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+3.3
3719-18TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.6
3819-19SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+3.5
3919-20TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzel+5.0
4020-20TAMUCOSIU×4KillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+3.8
4121-20SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.+5.7
4222-20SIUSIU×4KillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+5.8
4323-20SIUSIU×4AceSouthern Ill.aced Rendi Fetty+4.7
4423-21SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+2.1
4524-21TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.8
4624-22SIUTAMUCO×4KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.5
4724-23TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillAriana Brown+4.4
4824-24TAMUCOTAMUCO×4Attack errNatalie Vance+10.0
4924-25TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+9.5
5025-25TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+7.2
5125-26SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+7.2
5225-27TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+9.0
Set 2
10-1SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.6
20-2TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+2.0
31-2TAMUCOSIUKillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+1.5
41-3SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.6
52-3TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+1.6
62-4SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.6
73-4TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.6
83-5SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Jill Vinal+1.6
94-5TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
104-6SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.7
114-7TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+2.1
125-7TAMUCOSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
136-7SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Jade Washington+2.2
146-8SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+1.8
156-9TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Mora+2.2
167-9TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
177-10SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+1.7
187-11TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+2.0
198-11TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+1.3
208-12SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.5
219-12TAMUCOSIUBlockedAllie Ihloffblk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia+1.4
2210-12SIUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+2.2
2310-13SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Ariana Brown+1.8
2411-13TAMUCOSIU×9KillMcKenzie Moellerset Carlota Mora+1.7
2512-13SIUSIU×9KillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.6
2613-13SIUSIU×9BlockedHaley Mullaneyblk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger+2.9
2714-13SIUSIU×9Attack errAllie Ihloff+3.2
2815-13SIUSIU×9BlockedSediong Scottblk Ella Swansiger, Chloe Anderson+3.2
2916-13SIUSIU×9KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.1
3017-13SIUSIU×9KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.7
3118-13SIUSIU×9KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+2.2
3219-13SIUSIU×9Attack errAriana Brown+1.6
3319-14SIUTAMUCOAttack errChloe Anderson+0.8
3420-14TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
3520-15SIUTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.7
3620-16TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+1.4
3721-16TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+1.6
3821-17SIUTAMUCO×3Serve errSouthern Ill.+0.9
3921-18TAMUCO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
4021-19TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errElla Swansiger+2.8
4122-19TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+3.1
4222-20SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+2.1
4322-21TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+4.1
4423-21TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+4.5
4523-22SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+3.2
4624-22TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+5.3
4725-22SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+4.1
Set 3
11-0TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.5
22-0SIUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.3
32-1SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+2.4
42-2TAMUCOTAMUCOBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Samantha Mosley, Sediong Scott+3.3
53-2TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.6
63-3SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+2.5
74-3TAMUCOSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.7
85-3SIUSIU×3BlockedSediong Scottblk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger+3.6
96-3SIUSIU×3Attack errSamantha Mosley+3.5
106-4SIUTAMUCO×3KillSediong Scottset Ariana Brown+2.5
116-5TAMUCOTAMUCO×3BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Sediong Scott, Skylar Lambert+3.5
126-6TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+3.6
137-6TAMUCOSIU×3Serve errEast Texas A&M+2.9
148-6SIUSIU×3Attack errSkylar Lambert+3.8
159-6SIUSIU×3Attack errSediong Scott+3.8
169-7SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+2.6
1710-7TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+3.0
1810-8SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+2.7
1911-8TAMUCOSIUAttack errHaley Mullaney+3.1
2011-9SIUTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Mora+2.7
2111-10TAMUCOTAMUCOBlockedCarlota Morablk Samantha Mosley, Sabine Wenzel+3.9
2212-10TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.3
2312-11SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+3.1
2413-11TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.5
2513-12SIUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+3.2
2614-12TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.6
2714-13SIUTAMUCOAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+3.3
2814-14TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Jill Vinal+4.7
2915-14TAMUCOSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.9
3016-14SIUSIU×4KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+5.1
3117-14SIUSIU×4KillCarlota Moraset Jillian Shaneyfelt+4.8
3218-14SIUSIU×4KillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+4.2
3318-15SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jill Vinal+2.4
3419-15TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.3
3519-16SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jill Vinal+2.4
3619-17TAMUCOTAMUCOBlockedBeatriz Piaiablk Sabine Wenzel+4.2
3720-17TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+4.3
3820-18SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+3.2
3921-18TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+4.5
4021-19SIUTAMUCOAttack errCarlota Mora+3.2
4122-19TAMUCOSIUAttack errSamantha Mosley+4.7
4222-20SIUTAMUCOBlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Sediong Scott, Samantha Mosley+3.1
4323-20TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+4.9
4424-20SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+3.8
4524-21SIUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+0.9
4625-21TAMUCOSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+2.1
Set 4
10-1SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+2.6
21-1TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.7
31-2SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+2.7
42-2TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.8
53-2SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Ariana Brown+3.8
63-3SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+2.8
73-4TAMUCOTAMUCOAceEast Texas A&M+3.7
84-4TAMUCOSIUAttack errSamantha Mosley+2.9
95-4SIUSIUAttack errAriana Brown+4.0
105-5SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+3.0
116-5TAMUCOSIU×4Serve errEast Texas A&M+3.1
127-5SIUSIU×4BlockedSamantha Mosleyblk Chloe Anderson, Carlota Mora+4.2
138-5SIUSIU×4Attack errAriana Brown+4.1
149-5SIUSIU×4Attack errAriana Brown+3.9
159-6SIUTAMUCOAttack errElla Swansiger+2.6
169-7TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAllie Ihloffset Ariana Brown+3.8
1710-7TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.3
1811-7SIUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+4.0
1911-8SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+2.6
2012-8TAMUCOSIU×3KillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+3.2
2113-8SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Ariana Brown+3.7
2214-8SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Jade Washington+3.0
2314-9SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+1.7
2415-9TAMUCOSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.3
2516-9SIUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.3
2616-10SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+1.2
2717-10TAMUCOSIUServe errEast Texas A&M+1.7
2817-11SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Rendi Fetty+1.1
2918-11TAMUCOSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+1.6
3018-12SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+1.0
3119-12TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
3219-13SIUTAMUCO×3KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+0.9
3319-14TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errChloe Anderson+1.7
3419-15TAMUCOTAMUCO×3AceEast Texas A&Maced McKenzie Moeller+2.5
3520-15TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.8
3621-15SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.4
3721-16SIUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Ariana Brown+1.0
3822-16TAMUCOSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
3922-17SIUTAMUCOServe errSouthern Ill.+0.7
4023-17TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.3
4123-18SIUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+0.5
4224-18TAMUCOSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.9
4324-19SIUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+0.2
4425-19TAMUCOSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Southern Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).