FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

$East Texas A&M logo$

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

UTSA def. East Texas A&M 3–0

(25-18, 25-22, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TAMUCO	18	22	19	0
UTSA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTSA above 50 · TAMUCO below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to East Texas A&M — set 2, TAMUCO 22-22 UTSA. Attack error by Sydney Bryant. UTSA win probability 95% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TAMUCO 11.2%88.8% UTSA

East Texas A&M wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.5%

3-2

6.2%

UTSA wins

3-0

42.4%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.7%

TAMUCO break %: 37.1% vs this opp
UTSA break %: 46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sydney BryantAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Sydney Bryant
Set 2 · TAMUCO 22-22 UTSA · TAMUCO 5% → 7%
02
Ally TribeKill+2.4%
Kill by Ally Tribe
Set 2 · TAMUCO 22-24 UTSA · UTSA 95% → 97%
03
Haley MullaneyAttack error+2.0%
Haley Mullaney stuffed by Sydney Bryant & Ledisi Kpea
Set 2 · TAMUCO 22-23 UTSA · UTSA 93% → 95%
04
Sydney BryantAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Sydney Bryant
Set 2 · TAMUCO 20-20 UTSA · TAMUCO 5% → 7%
05
Gracie CampbellAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Gracie Campbell
Set 2 · TAMUCO 20-22 UTSA · UTSA 94% → 96%
06
Caroline TredwellKill+1.7%
Kill by Caroline Tredwell (set by Valeria Ortiz)
Set 2 · TAMUCO 17-17 UTSA · UTSA 91% → 93%
07
Ariana BrownAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Ariana Brown
Set 2 · TAMUCO 17-18 UTSA · UTSA 93% → 94%
08
Haley MullaneyAttack error+1.5%
Haley Mullaney stuffed by Isabella Arroyave
Set 2 · TAMUCO 16-15 UTSA · UTSA 90% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

East Texas A&Maway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Ariana BrownOH	3	14	2	37	.324	0	0	1	7	2	0	0	0	14
11Sediong ScottOH	3	3	1	16	.125	0	0	1	0	0	2	4	4	7
16Sabine WenzelMB	3	2	2	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	4
2Haley MullaneyS	3	0	2	5	-.400	15	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
7Jill VinalS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
14Rendi FettyOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
1Gracie CampbellOH	3	9	4	25	.200	0	1	1	5	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
18Allie IhloffMB	3	2	2	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	4
19Samantha MosleyOH	3	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
6Jade WashingtonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	11	0	0	0	0	1
4Semaj CoxL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	13	106	.170	27	3	6	31	4	3	12	9	59

UTSAhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Caroline TredwellMB	3	10	0	12	.833	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	10
7Ledisi KpeaMB	3	3	4	12	-.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	5
23Brooke ElliottOPP	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
0Giada ObregonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
21Valeria OrtizS	3	0	0	0	–	21	1	2	6	0	0	0	0	1
6Isabella ArroyaveOH	2	7	3	16	.250	0	0	2	2	1	1	0	1	8
15Sydney BryantOH	3	13	7	30	.200	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	1	15
9Gigi MasonOPP	3	10	3	26	.269	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	11
3Alyssa ManitzasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	13	1	0	0	0	1
12Megan HawkinsS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
5Ally TribeOH	2	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	6
Team totals		51	18	107	.308	45	4	7	48	3	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 TAMUCO · UTSA 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 TAMUCOUTSA 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 TAMUCOUTSA 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 TAMUCOUTSA 5

Bars above the line = UTSA leads, below = East Texas A&M leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

East Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	0%0/6
2	47%7/15	47%7/15
3	58%7/12	42%5/12
4	40%6/15	36%4/11
5	86%6/7	25%2/8
6	83%5/6	25%2/8
All	53%39/74	33%20/60

UTSA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	56%9/16
2	50%7/14	61%11/18
3	70%7/10	36%4/11
4	64%7/11	50%7/14
5	86%6/7	33%3/9
6	83%5/6	17%1/6
All	67%40/60	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	TAMUCO-UTSA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.1
2	0-2	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Caroline Tredwell	+1.0
3	0-3	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.8
4	0-4	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.7
5	0-5	UTSA	UTSA×6	Ace	UTSA server	aced Rendi Fetty	+0.6
6	0-6	UTSA	UTSA×6	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
7	1-6	UTSA	TAMUCO	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.3
8	1-7	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
9	1-8	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Brooke Elliott	set Caroline Tredwell	+0.3
10	2-8	UTSA	TAMUCO	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.2
11	2-9	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.2
12	3-9	UTSA	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.2
13	4-9	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea	blk Sediong Scott	+0.4
14	5-9	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Haley Mullaney	+0.5
15	5-10	TAMUCO	UTSA×5	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
16	5-11	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
17	5-12	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
18	5-13	UTSA	UTSA×5	Attack err	Allie Ihloff	blk Ledisi Kpea, Sydney Bryant	+0.2
19	5-14	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Gigi Mason		+0.1
20	6-14	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Haley Mullaney	+0.1
21	6-15	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.1
22	7-15	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jade Washington	+0.1
23	7-16	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Megan Hawkins	+0.1
24	8-16	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jill Vinal	+0.1
25	8-17	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Megan Hawkins	+0.1
26	9-17	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.0
27	10-17	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Alyssa Manitzas	+0.1
28	10-18	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.1
29	11-18	UTSA	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jade Washington	+0.1
30	12-18	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Sydney Bryant	+0.2
31	13-18	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Sediong Scott, Allie Ihloff	+0.3
32	14-18	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×4	Kill	Allie Ihloff	set Haley Mullaney	+0.5
33	14-19	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.5
34	14-20	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
35	15-20	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.2
36	15-21	TAMUCO	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
37	15-22	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
38	15-23	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Gracie Campbell	blk Gigi Mason, Ledisi Kpea	+0.1
39	16-23	UTSA	TAMUCO	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.0
40	16-24	TAMUCO	UTSA	Attack err	Sediong Scott		+0.0
41	17-24	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jill Vinal	+0.0
42	18-24	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Isabella Arroyave		+0.0
43	18-25	TAMUCO	UTSA	Attack err	Gracie Campbell		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.5
2	1-1	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.6
3	2-1	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.9
4	2-2	TAMUCO	UTSA	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.6
5	3-2	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.7
6	3-3	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.6
7	4-3	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.7
8	5-3	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jill Vinal	+1.1
9	5-4	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.7
10	6-4	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Gigi Mason	blk Gracie Campbell, Sediong Scott	+0.8
11	6-5	TAMUCO	UTSA	Attack err	Gracie Campbell		+0.7
12	7-5	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Isabella Arroyave		+0.9
13	8-5	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Ace	TAMUCO server	aced Isabella Arroyave	+1.3
14	8-6	TAMUCO	UTSA	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.8
15	9-6	UTSA	TAMUCO	Serve err	UTSA server		+1.0
16	9-7	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Isabella Arroyave	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.8
17	10-7	UTSA	TAMUCO×3	Serve err	UTSA server		+1.0
18	11-7	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+1.4
19	12-7	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Sediong Scott, Allie Ihloff	+1.4
20	12-8	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.7
21	13-8	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea	blk Sediong Scott	+1.0
22	13-9	TAMUCO	UTSA	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.7
23	14-9	UTSA	TAMUCO	Serve err	UTSA server		+1.0
24	14-10	TAMUCO	UTSA	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.7
25	14-11	UTSA	UTSA	Ace	UTSA server	aced Ariana Brown	+1.2
26	15-11	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jill Vinal	+1.2
27	15-12	TAMUCO	UTSA	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.9
28	15-13	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Sabine Wenzel		+1.4
29	16-13	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jill Vinal	+1.3
30	16-14	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+1.0
31	16-15	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Haley Mullaney	blk Isabella Arroyave	+1.5
32	17-15	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Isabella Arroyave		+1.4
33	17-16	TAMUCO	UTSA×4	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.1
34	17-17	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.7
35	17-18	UTSA	UTSA×4	Attack err	Ariana Brown		+1.6
36	17-19	UTSA	UTSA×4	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.4
37	18-19	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Haley Mullaney	+1.0
38	18-20	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.1
39	19-20	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+1.0
40	20-20	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+2.0
41	20-21	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Ledisi Kpea	set Valeria Ortiz	+1.5
42	20-22	UTSA	UTSA	Attack err	Gracie Campbell		+1.8
43	21-22	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Gigi Mason		+1.1
44	22-22	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+2.4
45	22-23	TAMUCO	UTSA×3	Attack err	Haley Mullaney	blk Sydney Bryant, Ledisi Kpea	+2.0
46	22-24	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ally Tribe		+2.4
47	22-25	UTSA	UTSA×3	Ace	UTSA server	aced Ariana Brown	+1.1
Set 3
1	1-0	UTSA	TAMUCO×3	Kill	Allie Ihloff	set Haley Mullaney	+0.3
2	2-0	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Sabine Wenzel, Allie Ihloff	+0.5
3	3-0	TAMUCO	TAMUCO×3	Attack err	Gigi Mason		+0.5
4	3-1	TAMUCO	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
5	3-2	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
6	3-3	UTSA	UTSA×3	Attack err	Allie Ihloff		+0.4
7	4-3	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Sabine Wenzel	set Haley Mullaney	+0.3
8	4-4	TAMUCO	UTSA×3	Bad set	Haley Mullaney		+0.3
9	4-5	UTSA	UTSA×3	Ace	UTSA server	aced Gracie Campbell	+0.4
10	4-6	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.4
11	5-6	UTSA	TAMUCO	Serve err	UTSA server		+0.3
12	5-7	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.3
13	6-7	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jill Vinal	+0.3
14	7-7	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Gracie Campbell	set Jill Vinal	+0.5
15	7-8	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
16	8-8	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Jill Vinal	+0.3
17	8-9	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
18	9-9	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Samantha Mosley	set Jill Vinal	+0.4
19	9-10	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe		+0.3
20	10-10	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+0.4
21	11-10	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Sabine Wenzel, Allie Ihloff	+0.6
22	11-11	TAMUCO	UTSA×5	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.4
23	11-12	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Ally Tribe	set Megan Hawkins	+0.5
24	11-13	UTSA	UTSA×5	Attack err	Sabine Wenzel		+0.5
25	11-14	UTSA	UTSA×5	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
26	11-15	UTSA	UTSA×5	Attack err	Ariana Brown	blk Ledisi Kpea, Gigi Mason	+0.3
27	12-15	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.2
28	13-15	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Haley Mullaney	+0.4
29	13-16	TAMUCO	UTSA	Serve err	TAMUCO server		+0.3
30	13-17	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Gigi Mason	+0.3
31	14-17	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Haley Mullaney	+0.2
32	14-18	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Gigi Mason	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
33	15-18	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Sediong Scott	set Jill Vinal	+0.2
34	16-18	TAMUCO	TAMUCO	Attack err	Ally Tribe	blk Sediong Scott, Samantha Mosley	+0.4
35	16-19	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Caroline Tredwell	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.3
36	17-19	UTSA	TAMUCO	Kill	Ariana Brown	set Jill Vinal	+0.3
37	17-20	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Alyssa Manitzas	+0.4
38	18-20	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea	blk Sabine Wenzel	+0.3
39	18-21	TAMUCO	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Valeria Ortiz	+0.4
40	18-22	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Ledisi Kpea		+0.3
41	18-23	UTSA	UTSA×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.2
42	19-23	UTSA	TAMUCO	Attack err	Ledisi Kpea		+0.0
43	19-24	TAMUCO	UTSA	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Megan Hawkins	+0.1
44	19-25	UTSA	UTSA	Kill	Ally Tribe		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, East Texas A&M first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.