FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayACC

3:0

HomeHORIZON

NC State def. Robert Morris 3–0

(25-17, 25-20, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NC ST	25	25	25	3
ROBMOR	17	20	12	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ROBMOR above 50 · NC ST below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Robert Morris — set 2, NC ST 0-2 ROBMOR. Kill by Tia Schultz (set by Kenlee Barnard). ROBMOR win probability 0% → 1%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NC ST 99.2%0.8% ROBMOR

NC State wins

3-0

75.5%

3-1

20.3%

3-2

3.4%

Robert Morris wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

NC ST break %: 50.6% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %: 32.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tia SchultzKill+0.1%
Kill by Tia Schultz (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · NC ST 0-2 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 0% → 1%
02
Rebecca RingAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Rebecca Ring
Set 2 · NC ST 12-11 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 0% → 0%
03
Rebecca RingKill+0.1%
Kill by Rebecca Ring (set by Eva Long)
Set 1 · NC ST 2-0 ROBMOR · NC ST 99% → 99%
04
Britni SilverKill+0.1%
Kill by Britni Silver (set by Kenlee Barnard)
Set 2 · NC ST 2-2 ROBMOR · NC ST 99% → 100%
05
Sophia GroomKill+0.1%
Kill by Sophia Groom
Set 2 · NC ST 14-11 ROBMOR · NC ST 100% → 100%
06
NC ST serverAce+0.1%
NC State ace on Anahi Alvarado
Set 1 · NC ST 4-1 ROBMOR · NC ST 99% → 99%
07
Kenlee BarnardAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Kenlee Barnard
Set 1 · NC ST 1-0 ROBMOR · NC ST 99% → 99%
08
Tia SchultzAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Tia Schultz
Set 2 · NC ST 3-2 ROBMOR · NC ST 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

NC Stateaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
42Britni SilverOH	3	11	5	26	.231	1	0	1	10	2	0	2	1	12
27Rebecca RingOH	3	11	3	29	.276	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
4Sophia GroomMB	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	10
22Eva LongS	3	6	0	10	.600	35	2	2	7	0	0	2	1	9
17Talia FrancomMB	3	5	1	12	.333	1	0	0	3	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
23Jordan SmithOPP	3	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	4
3Clara VondranOH	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
7Kate KilpatrickL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	6	1	0	0	0	1
31Elaisa VillarL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
1Zuzanna MaciejewiczL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
12Makenna KowrenOPP	1	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
14Norah BuschMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Hailey McFaddenMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	14	113	.319	42	3	9	50	3	1	14	8	75

Robert Morrishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Addyson ButtsMB	3	3	3	9	.000	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4
4Natalie StepanovichOH	3	2	3	15	-.067	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	2.5
15Keira HornungMB	3	0	4	18	-.222	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	1
1Kenlee BarnardS	3	0	2	3	-.667	20	1	0	5	0	0	0	1
12Cat SmithL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
13Lauren DeckerOH	2	4	5	18	-.056	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
3Tia SchultzOH	3	7	2	12	.417	0	0	0	6	0	1	0.5	7.5
10Anahi AlvaradoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	14	1	0	0	1
8Maddie SiphakongvisethL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
14Natalie FrostOH	2	4	1	19	.158	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
9Layla ToddOH	1	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
Team totals		23	21	102	.020	23	3	1	42	3	4	2	49

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 NC ST · ROBMOR 3

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 NC STROBMOR 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 NC STROBMOR 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 7 NC STROBMOR 2

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

NC State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	58%7/12
2	75%6/8	45%5/11
3	67%6/9	57%8/14
4	60%6/10	33%3/9
5	83%5/6	67%10/15
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	69%35/51	55%40/73

Robert Morris

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	40%4/10
2	43%6/14	36%4/11
3	75%6/8	33%3/9
4	29%5/17	25%2/8
5	42%5/12	29%2/7
6	44%4/9	17%1/6
All	45%33/73	31%16/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	NC ST-ROBMOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ROBMOR	NC ST	Attack err	Kenlee Barnard		+0.1
2	2-0	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.1
3	2-1	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.1
4	3-1	ROBMOR	NC ST×5	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.1
5	4-1	NC ST	NC ST×5	Ace	NC ST server	aced Anahi Alvarado	+0.1
6	5-1	NC ST	NC ST×5	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+0.1
7	6-1	NC ST	NC ST×5	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.0
8	7-1	NC ST	NC ST×5	Attack err	Addyson Butts	blk Sophia Groom, Britni Silver	+0.0
9	7-2	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
10	8-2	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
11	8-3	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
12	9-3	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
13	9-4	NC ST	ROBMOR	Attack err	Britni Silver		+0.0
14	10-4	ROBMOR	NC ST×6	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich		+0.0
15	11-4	NC ST	NC ST×6	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich	blk Talia Francom, Eva Long	+0.0
16	12-4	NC ST	NC ST×6	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
17	13-4	NC ST	NC ST×6	Attack err	Keira Hornung	blk Talia Francom, Rebecca Ring	+0.0
18	14-4	NC ST	NC ST×6	Attack err	Keira Hornung		+0.0
19	15-4	NC ST	NC ST×6	Kill	Eva Long	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
20	15-5	NC ST	ROBMOR	Attack err	Britni Silver		+0.0
21	16-5	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
22	16-6	NC ST	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
23	16-7	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Rebecca Ring		+0.0
24	16-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
25	17-8	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
26	17-9	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
27	17-10	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Jordan Smith		+0.0
28	18-10	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.0
29	18-11	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
30	18-12	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
31	19-12	ROBMOR	NC ST	Attack err	Addyson Butts		+0.0
32	19-13	NC ST	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
33	19-14	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Jordan Smith	blk Natalie Stepanovich, Keira Hornung	+0.0
34	19-15	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Britni Silver	+0.1
35	20-15	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+0.0
36	20-16	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
37	21-16	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.0
38	21-17	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
39	22-17	ROBMOR	NC ST×4	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.0
40	23-17	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Britni Silver	+0.0
41	24-17	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Eva Long	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
42	25-17	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Stepanovich	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
2	0-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
3	1-2	ROBMOR	NC ST×3	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+0.1
4	2-2	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Britni Silver	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.1
5	3-2	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+0.1
6	3-3	NC ST	ROBMOR	Attack err	Rebecca Ring	blk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz	+0.1
7	4-3	ROBMOR	NC ST×3	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.1
8	5-3	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Britni Silver	set Kate Kilpatrick	+0.1
9	6-3	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Natalie Stepanovich	blk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom	+0.1
10	6-4	NC ST	ROBMOR	Attack err	Britni Silver		+0.0
11	7-4	ROBMOR	NC ST×4	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.0
12	8-4	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Keira Hornung	blk Talia Francom, Britni Silver	+0.0
13	9-4	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Eva Long	set Lauren Decker	+0.0
14	10-4	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.0
15	10-5	NC ST	ROBMOR	Attack err	Britni Silver		+0.0
16	10-6	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
17	11-6	ROBMOR	NC ST	Serve err	ROBMOR server		+0.0
18	11-7	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Lauren Decker	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
19	11-8	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Britni Silver	+0.0
20	12-8	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.0
21	12-9	NC ST	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Sophia Groom		+0.0
22	12-10	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.1
23	12-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR×3	Attack err	Rebecca Ring		+0.1
24	13-11	ROBMOR	NC ST×4	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.1
25	14-11	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Sophia Groom		+0.1
26	15-11	NC ST	NC ST×4	Ace	NC ST server	aced Team	+0.1
27	16-11	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+0.0
28	16-12	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Frost	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
29	17-12	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.0
30	17-13	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
31	18-13	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.0
32	18-14	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Frost	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.0
33	19-14	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
34	19-15	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
35	19-16	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Ace	ROBMOR server	aced Kate Kilpatrick	+0.1
36	20-16	ROBMOR	NC ST	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.1
37	21-16	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Lauren Decker		+0.0
38	21-17	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
39	22-17	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.0
40	23-17	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
41	23-18	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
42	24-18	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
43	24-19	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
44	24-20	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Frost	set Maddie Siphakongviseth	+0.0
45	25-20	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	ROBMOR	NC ST×3	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.0
2	2-0	NC ST	NC ST×3	Ace	NC ST server	aced Layla Todd	+0.0
3	3-0	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Layla Todd		+0.0
4	3-1	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
5	3-2	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Sophia Groom		+0.0
6	4-2	ROBMOR	NC ST×3	Attack err	Tia Schultz		+0.0
7	5-2	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Keira Hornung	blk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom	+0.0
8	6-2	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Britni Silver	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+0.0
9	6-3	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
10	6-4	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Britni Silver		+0.0
11	7-4	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
12	7-5	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
13	8-5	ROBMOR	NC ST×7	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+0.0
14	9-5	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
15	10-5	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
16	11-5	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Eva Long	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
17	12-5	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Eva Long	set Anahi Alvarado	+0.0
18	13-5	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.0
19	14-5	NC ST	NC ST×7	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+0.0
20	14-6	NC ST	ROBMOR	Attack err	Talia Francom		+0.0
21	15-6	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long	set Eva Long	+0.0
22	16-6	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Talia Francom	+0.0
23	16-7	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Natalie Frost	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
24	17-7	ROBMOR	NC ST	Attack err	Natalie Frost	blk Eva Long, Talia Francom	+0.0
25	18-7	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Norah Busch	set Elaisa Villar	+0.0
26	18-8	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Addyson Butts	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
27	19-8	ROBMOR	NC ST	Attack err	Kenlee Barnard	blk Sophia Groom	+0.0
28	19-9	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Tia Schultz	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
29	20-9	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Rebecca Ring	+0.0
30	20-10	NC ST	ROBMOR	Serve err	NC ST server		+0.0
31	20-11	ROBMOR	ROBMOR	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+0.0
32	21-11	ROBMOR	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+0.0
33	21-12	NC ST	ROBMOR	Kill	Layla Todd	set Kenlee Barnard	+0.0
34	22-12	ROBMOR	NC ST×4	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+0.0
35	23-12	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.0
36	24-12	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.0
37	25-12	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.