NC State def. Charlotte 3–2
NC State beat visiting Charlotte 3-2 (23-25, 22-25, 25-17, 25-14, 15-12) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. NC State's Jordan Smith led with 17 kills, and Kate Kilpatrick added 11 digs.
Data through · final Sep 6
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR | 25 | 25 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 2 |
| NC ST | 23 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 5.7% to Charlotte — set 5, CHAR 5-6 NC ST. Kill by Clara Briley (set by Zuzanna Maciejewicz). NC ST win probability 90% → 84%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Charlotte wins
NC State wins
- CHAR break %
- 35.5% vs this opp
- NC ST break %
- 50.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Clara BrileyKill+5.7%
Kill by Clara Briley (set by Zuzanna Maciejewicz)
Set 5 · CHAR 5-6 NC ST · CHAR 10% → 16%
- 02Clara BrileyKill+5.3%
Kill by Clara Briley (set by Milena Lopez)
Set 2 · CHAR 25-22 NC ST · CHAR 35% → 40%
- 03Clara VondranKill+5.2%
Kill by Clara Vondran (set by Eva Long)
Set 5 · CHAR 7-10 NC ST · NC ST 89% → 94%
- 04
- 05Milan CannonKill+5.0%
Kill by Milan Cannon (set by Milena Lopez)
Set 5 · CHAR 7-8 NC ST · CHAR 11% → 16%
- 06
- 07Britni SilverKill+4.7%
Kill by Britni Silver (set by Zuzanna Maciejewicz)
Set 5 · CHAR 6-8 NC ST · NC ST 84% → 89%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 31 | .323 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | |
| 5 | 15 | 5 | 38 | .263 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 17 | .294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 27 | 143 | .196 | 51 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 93 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 17 | 1 | 39 | .410 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 13 | 4 | 29 | .310 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -.053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 22 | .318 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 61 | 20 | 153 | .268 | 58 | 14 | 11 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 110 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-23
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
17-25
Set 4
14-25
Set 5
12-15
Bars above the line = NC State leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Charlotte
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%9/19 | 43%6/14 |
| 2 | 69%9/13 | 25%3/12 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 75%9/12 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 41%7/17 | 38%5/13 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 40%4/10 |
| All | 58%49/85 | 38%30/79 |
NC State
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64%9/14 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 64%9/14 | 50%9/18 |
| 3 | 82%9/11 | 44%7/16 |
| 4 | 50%8/16 | 18%2/11 |
| 5 | 67%8/12 | 50%8/16 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 62%49/79 | 42%36/85 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
203 rallies
| # | CHAR-NC ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +0.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CHAR | NC ST | Attack err | Gia McGrew | +0.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Chloe Maughan | +0.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CHAR | NC ST×3 | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Attack err | Clara Briley | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +0.2 |
| 8 | 3-5 | CHAR | NC ST | Serve err | Charlotte | +0.2 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Clara Briley | blk Norah Busch, Jordan Smith | +0.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Gia McGrew | set Clara Briley | +0.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +0.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NC ST | CHAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | CHAR | NC ST | Serve err | Charlotte | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Milena Lopez | +0.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Attack err | Elaisa Villar | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Norah Busch | blk Gia McGrew, Sofia Locadia | +0.5 |
| 17 | 8-9 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Milena Lopez | +0.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Ace | Charlotte | aced Rebecca Ring | +0.6 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +0.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | CHAR | NC ST×3 | Serve err | Charlotte | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Attack err | Sofia Locadia | +0.6 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Attack err | Mariam Mushkudiani | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Chloe Maughan | +0.5 |
| 25 | 12-13 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.4 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Clara Briley | +0.5 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +0.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +0.4 |
| 29 | 14-15 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.4 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.4 |
| 31 | 14-17 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Chloe Maughan | +0.4 |
| 32 | 15-17 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Milena Lopez | +0.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Norah Busch | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Milena Lopez | +0.3 |
| 35 | 16-19 | CHAR | NC ST | Serve err | Charlotte | +0.3 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Milena Lopez | +0.3 |
| 37 | 17-20 | CHAR | NC ST | Bad set | Chloe Maughan | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | NC ST | CHAR×4 | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +0.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Ace | Charlotte | aced Rebecca Ring | +0.7 |
| 40 | 20-20 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Sofia Locadia | +1.1 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +1.5 |
| 42 | 21-21 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 43 | 21-22 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +1.1 |
| 45 | 22-23 | CHAR | NC ST | Serve err | Charlotte | +1.2 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +1.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Chloe Maughan | +2.8 |
| 48 | 25-23 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Milena Lopez | +4.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CHAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +0.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Sofia Locadia | blk Talia Francom, Rebecca Ring | +0.9 |
| 3 | 0-3 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Mariam Mushkudiani | blk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith | +0.7 |
| 4 | 0-4 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CHAR | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +0.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +0.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NC ST | CHAR×5 | Attack err | Sophia Groom | +0.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Milena Lopez | +1.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Kill | Milena Lopez | set Eva Long | +1.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Attack err | Sophia Groom | +1.9 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +2.2 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Milena Lopez | +1.8 |
| 17 | 10-7 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Attack err | Eva Long | +2.7 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Ace | Charlotte | aced Britni Silver | +3.0 |
| 19 | 11-8 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Elaisa Villar | +1.8 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NC ST | CHAR×4 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Milena Lopez | +2.5 |
| 21 | 13-8 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Milena Lopez | +3.3 |
| 22 | 14-8 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +3.2 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Ace | Charlotte | aced Sophia Groom | +3.0 |
| 24 | 15-9 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Makenna Kowren | set Elaisa Villar | +1.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Chloe Maughan | +2.3 |
| 26 | 16-10 | NC ST | CHAR×4 | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Milena Lopez | +2.6 |
| 27 | 17-10 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Mariam Mushkudiani, Sofia Locadia | +2.9 |
| 28 | 18-10 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Blocked | Makenna Kowren | blk Sofia Locadia, Gia McGrew | +2.3 |
| 29 | 19-10 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +1.6 |
| 30 | 19-11 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Elaisa Villar | +0.6 |
| 31 | 19-12 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Mariam Mushkudiani | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +1.5 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | CHAR | NC ST×3 | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 34 | 20-14 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | aced Chloe Maughan | +1.3 |
| 35 | 20-15 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | aced Erin Lehman | +1.8 |
| 36 | 21-15 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +2.4 |
| 37 | 21-16 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.1 |
| 38 | 22-16 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Erin Lehman | +2.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +0.8 |
| 40 | 22-18 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Elena Kovacevic | blk Sophia Groom | +1.8 |
| 41 | 23-18 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Milena Lopez | +2.7 |
| 42 | 24-18 | CHAR | CHAR | Ace | Charlotte | aced Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +1.7 |
| 43 | 24-19 | CHAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Elaisa Villar | +0.2 |
| 44 | 24-20 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Elaisa Villar | +0.7 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Chloe Maughan | +1.3 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Elena Kovacevic | blk Sophia Groom, Rebecca Ring | +2.6 |
| 47 | 25-22 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Milena Lopez | +5.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +2.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +1.6 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CHAR | CHAR | Ace | Charlotte | +2.7 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Elaisa Villar | +1.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Gia McGrew | +2.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon | +2.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon | +3.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +2.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NC ST | CHAR | Blocked | Talia Francom | blk Elena Kovacevic | +3.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CHAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +2.6 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +3.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Gia McGrew | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Elena Kovacevic | +2.1 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Gia McGrew | set Chloe Maughan | +1.6 |
| 19 | 9-10 | CHAR | CHAR | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +2.9 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Sofia Locadia | blk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom | +2.3 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Gia McGrew | set Milena Lopez | +1.8 |
| 23 | 11-12 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Gia McGrew, Sofia Locadia | +3.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +2.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Gia McGrew | set Harper Hall | +2.6 |
| 26 | 12-14 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +2.8 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | CHAR | NC ST | Attack err | Clara Briley | +2.6 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Chloe Maughan | +2.9 |
| 30 | 14-16 | CHAR | NC ST | Attack err | Milan Cannon | +2.8 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | +3.0 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +2.2 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | CHAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Eva Long | +2.3 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Gia McGrew | blk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith | +2.2 |
| 35 | 15-20 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Clara Briley | +1.4 |
| 36 | 15-21 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Elena Kovacevic | blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom | +0.7 |
| 37 | 16-21 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.3 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +0.5 |
| 39 | 16-23 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +0.2 |
| 40 | 17-23 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Dixie Gayden | +0.1 |
| 41 | 17-24 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.1 |
| 42 | 17-25 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Clara Briley | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CHAR | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Chloe Maughan | +3.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CHAR | NC ST | Serve err | Charlotte | +2.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CHAR | NC ST×4 | Serve err | Charlotte | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Mariam Mushkudiani | blk Britni Silver, Sophia Groom | +2.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +1.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Milena Lopez | +1.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Ace | Charlotte | aced Britni Silver | +2.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | CHAR | NC ST×5 | Attack err | Gia McGrew | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Blocked | Milan Cannon | blk Sophia Groom, Eva Long | +2.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Attack err | Milan Cannon | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Ace | NC State | aced Gia McGrew | +1.3 |
| 18 | 6-12 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Ace | NC State | aced Chloe Maughan | +0.9 |
| 19 | 7-12 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.6 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Sophia Groom | blk Gia McGrew, Sofia Locadia | +1.2 |
| 21 | 8-13 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 22 | 8-14 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 23 | 9-14 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | CHAR | NC ST×5 | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +0.7 |
| 25 | 9-16 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Ace | NC State | aced Clara Briley | +0.6 |
| 26 | 9-17 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 27 | 9-18 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Blocked | Clara Briley | blk Clara Vondran | +0.2 |
| 28 | 9-19 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Blocked | Gia McGrew | blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom | +0.1 |
| 29 | 10-19 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Attack err | Clara Vondran | · | |
| 30 | 11-19 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Chloe Maughan | +0.1 |
| 31 | 12-19 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Chloe Maughan | +0.2 |
| 32 | 12-20 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +0.2 |
| 33 | 12-21 | NC ST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 34 | 13-21 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | · |
| 35 | 13-22 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.1 |
| 36 | 13-23 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Erin Lehman | · |
| 37 | 14-23 | NC ST | CHAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | · | |
| 38 | 14-24 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | · |
| 39 | 14-25 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | +0.8 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CHAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Talia Francom | +3.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Elena Kovacevic | blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom | +4.4 |
| 3 | 0-3 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | +3.5 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Mariam Mushkudiani | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +1.9 |
| 6 | 1-5 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +2.0 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Harper Hall | +1.9 |
| 8 | 2-6 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NC ST | CHAR×3 | Serve err | NC State | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Milena Lopez | +3.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +5.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +4.3 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Gia McGrew | set Milena Lopez | +4.7 |
| 14 | 6-8 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +4.7 |
| 15 | 7-8 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Milena Lopez | +5.0 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +5.1 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +5.2 |
| 18 | 8-10 | NC ST | CHAR | Serve err | NC State | +3.4 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +4.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +3.4 |
| 21 | 9-12 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +4.2 |
| 22 | 10-12 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +3.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +4.4 |
| 24 | 11-13 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Clara Briley | +2.9 |
| 25 | 11-14 | CHAR | NC ST | Attack err | Clara Briley | +4.5 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | NC ST | CHAR | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Milena Lopez | +2.0 |
| 27 | 12-15 | CHAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +3.9 |
Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).