NC State def. Coastal Carolina 3–2
NC State won at Coastal Carolina 3-2 (25-21, 18-25, 21-25, 25-13, 15-10) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. NC State's Britni Silver led with 12 kills, and Kate Kilpatrick added 9 digs.
Data through · final Sep 20
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC ST | 25 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| CO CAR | 21 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 11.2% to Coastal Carolina — set 5, NC ST 8-8 CO CAR. Britni Silver stuffed by Hatteras Welker & Natalie Hughes. CO CAR win probability 28% → 40%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
NC State wins
Coastal Carolina wins
- NC ST break %
- 46.2% vs this opp
- CO CAR break %
- 40.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Hatteras Welker&Natalie HughesBlock+11.2%
Britni Silver stuffed by Hatteras Welker & Natalie Hughes
Set 5 · NC ST 8-8 CO CAR · CO CAR 28% → 40%
- 02Jordan Smith&Talia FrancomBlock+10.9%
Isabele Filardo stuffed by Jordan Smith & Talia Francom
Set 5 · NC ST 10-8 CO CAR · NC ST 69% → 80%
- 03Eva Long&Talia FrancomBlock+9.5%
Isabele Filardo stuffed by Eva Long & Talia Francom
Set 5 · NC ST 8-6 CO CAR · NC ST 69% → 79%
- 04Anzley RinardKill+9.5%
Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Kaylee Musick)
Set 5 · NC ST 1-4 CO CAR · CO CAR 55% → 65%
- 05Anna RitaKill+9.4%
Kill by Anna Rita (set by Zuzanna Maciejewicz)
Set 5 · NC ST 1-3 CO CAR · CO CAR 46% → 55%
- 06NC StateAce+9.3%
NC State ace on Abby Bucey
Set 5 · NC ST 4-4 CO CAR · NC ST 50% → 60%
- 07Anzley RinardAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Anzley Rinard
Set 5 · NC ST 5-4 CO CAR · NC ST 60% → 69%
- 08Britni SilverKill+9.0%
Kill by Britni Silver (set by Elaisa Villar)
Set 5 · NC ST 9-8 CO CAR · NC ST 60% → 69%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| 5 | 12 | 13 | 40 | -.025 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .889 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 20 | -.100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 28 | 135 | .163 | 47 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 104 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 24 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 44 | .091 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | .313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 7 | 8 | 31 | -.032 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 23 | 129 | .178 | 42 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 94 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
25-13
Set 5
15-10
Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
NC State
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%13/20 | 52%12/23 |
| 2 | 48%11/23 | 50%12/24 |
| 3 | 89%8/9 | 47%8/17 |
| 4 | 80%8/10 | 20%2/10 |
| 5 | 53%8/15 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 47%8/17 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 60%56/94 | 46%48/104 |
Coastal Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45%13/29 | 52%11/21 |
| 2 | 58%11/19 | 19%3/16 |
| 3 | 53%8/15 | 53%10/19 |
| 4 | 73%8/11 | 20%2/10 |
| 5 | 57%8/14 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 50%8/16 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 54%56/104 | 40%38/94 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
198 rallies
| # | NC ST-CO CAR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +1.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Kaylee Musick | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Kaylee Musick | set Anzley Rinard | +1.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +1.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +1.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Serve err | NC State | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Ace | Coastal Carolina | aced Britni Silver | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Eva Long | +2.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CO CAR | NC ST | Attack err | Isabele Filardo | +1.7 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Jonna Spohn | +1.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +1.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | CO CAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +1.7 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Britni Silver | +2.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith | +1.9 |
| 22 | 13-9 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +1.1 |
| 24 | 14-10 | CO CAR | NC ST×3 | Attack err | Anna Rita | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | +1.3 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Sophia Groom | +1.0 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.6 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.7 |
| 29 | 17-12 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.7 |
| 31 | 18-13 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +1.0 |
| 33 | 19-14 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 34 | 19-15 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +0.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker | +1.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +2.1 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | CO CAR | NC ST×3 | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +2.0 |
| 38 | 21-17 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | +1.9 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | +1.2 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +0.5 |
| 41 | 22-19 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +1.1 |
| 42 | 23-19 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.4 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.7 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | +1.8 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.3 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Abby Bucey | +1.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NC ST | CO CAR | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes | +1.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +1.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +1.2 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | CO CAR | NC ST | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +1.2 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.2 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Isabele Filardo | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +1.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | CO CAR | NC ST×3 | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.1 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Blocked | Isabele Filardo | blk Jordan Smith | +1.4 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | aced Isabele Filardo | +1.2 |
| 17 | 10-7 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.8 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | +1.3 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes | +1.6 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +1.3 |
| 22 | 11-11 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Sophia Groom | +1.9 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.5 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | NC ST | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +1.5 |
| 25 | 12-13 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +2.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +2.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +2.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.5 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +1.9 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.6 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +2.0 |
| 32 | 14-18 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Ace | Coastal Carolina | +2.4 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +1.3 |
| 34 | 15-19 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Jonna Spohn | +1.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | CO CAR | NC ST | Attack err | Isabele Filardo | +1.3 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +1.9 |
| 37 | 16-21 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Jordan Smith | +1.9 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +1.2 |
| 39 | 17-22 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +0.8 |
| 41 | 18-23 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +0.5 |
| 43 | 18-25 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.2 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +2.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Hatteras Welker | +2.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita | +3.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Eva Long | set Kate Kilpatrick | +2.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +2.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Eva Long, Sophia Groom | +2.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +2.3 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +2.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Serve err | NC State | +2.4 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Ace | Coastal Carolina | aced Rebecca Ring | +3.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +3.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | CO CAR | NC ST | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +2.5 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +2.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +2.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | NC ST | CO CAR | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker | +2.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard | +3.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | CO CAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.6 |
| 19 | 9-10 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Talia Francom | +3.6 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Hatteras Welker | blk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom | +3.7 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Jonna Spohn | +3.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NC ST | CO CAR | Blocked | Talia Francom | blk Hatteras Welker | +2.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +2.8 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Natalie Hughes | +3.0 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +2.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +3.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +2.7 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Sophia Groom | blk Isabele Filardo | +4.1 |
| 29 | 15-14 | CO CAR | NC ST×3 | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +3.2 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Ace | NC State | aced Abby Bucey | +3.9 |
| 31 | 17-14 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +3.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +2.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +3.9 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +3.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Talia Francom | +3.2 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Ace | Coastal Carolina | aced Britni Silver | +5.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +6.1 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Eva Long | +4.4 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | NC ST | CO CAR×4 | Attack err | Jordan Smith | +5.2 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Ace | Coastal Carolina | aced Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +7.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Jonna Spohn | +6.4 |
| 42 | 19-23 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Natalie Hughes | +4.7 |
| 43 | 20-23 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +3.3 | |
| 45 | 21-24 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 46 | 21-25 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +2.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +3.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Julia Rivera | +3.4 |
| 3 | 3-0 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +3.0 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Natalie Hughes | blk Sophia Groom, Clara Vondran | +2.7 |
| 5 | 4-1 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +2.0 |
| 6 | 5-1 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Britni Silver | +2.1 |
| 7 | 5-2 | NC ST | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anna Rita | set Kaylee Musick | +2.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +3.1 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Jonna Spohn | +3.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Attack err | Sophia Groom | +4.1 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +3.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Anna Rita | +3.8 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +2.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Kaylee Musick, Anna Rita | +4.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +3.3 |
| 16 | 8-8 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +3.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | CO CAR | NC ST×5 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +3.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Blocked | Isabele Filardo | blk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom | +4.2 |
| 19 | 11-8 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Blocked | Isabele Filardo | blk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith | +3.7 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +3.2 |
| 21 | 13-8 | NC ST | NC ST×5 | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +2.6 |
| 22 | 13-9 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +1.7 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +1.7 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Eva Long | +2.9 |
| 26 | 15-11 | CO CAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +2.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Natalie Hughes | +2.6 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom | +1.9 |
| 29 | 18-11 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Kate Kilpatrick | +1.2 |
| 30 | 18-12 | NC ST | CO CAR | Serve err | NC State | +0.6 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | CO CAR | NC ST×6 | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.9 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | NC ST | NC ST×6 | Attack err | Anna Rita | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | NC ST | NC ST×6 | Ace | NC State | aced Julia Rivera | +0.3 |
| 34 | 22-12 | NC ST | NC ST×6 | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.1 |
| 35 | 23-12 | NC ST | NC ST×6 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | · |
| 36 | 24-12 | NC ST | NC ST×6 | Attack err | Natalie Hughes | · | |
| 37 | 24-13 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Talia Johnson | set Kaylee Musick | · |
| 38 | 25-13 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +0.9 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +6.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +6.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NC ST | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +6.9 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Anna Rita | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +9.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +9.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | CO CAR | NC ST×4 | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +6.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +8.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Abby Bucey | +9.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +9.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +7.3 |
| 11 | 6-5 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +7.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | +7.7 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | CO CAR | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +7.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Isabele Filardo | blk Eva Long, Talia Francom | +9.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NC ST | CO CAR | Attack err | Britni Silver | +6.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes | +11.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | CO CAR | NC ST×4 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Elaisa Villar | +9.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Isabele Filardo | blk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom | +10.9 |
| 19 | 11-8 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Isabele Filardo | +8.8 |
| 20 | 12-8 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Bad set | Kaylee Musick | +6.0 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +2.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +4.4 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Anzley Rinard | +2.6 |
| 24 | 14-10 | NC ST | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +0.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | CO CAR | NC ST | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +1.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).