Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 20, 2026

NC State def. Coastal Carolina 3–2

NC State won at Coastal Carolina 3-2 (25-21, 18-25, 21-25, 25-13, 15-10) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. NC State's Britni Silver led with 12 kills, and Kate Kilpatrick added 9 digs.

Data through · final Sep 20

Set12345Sets
NC ST25182125153
CO CAR21252513102

Win probability

Coastal Carolina above 50 · NC State below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+11.2% CO CARrally 198 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.2% to Coastal Carolina — set 5, NC ST 8-8 CO CAR. Britni Silver stuffed by Hatteras Welker & Natalie Hughes. CO CAR win probability 28% → 40%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC ST 76.7%23.3% CO CAR

NC State wins

3-0
28.5%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
19.0%

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
11.4%
NC ST break %
46.2% vs this opp
CO CAR break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Britni Silver stuffed by Hatteras Welker & Natalie Hughes

    Set 5 · NC ST 8-8 CO CAR · CO CAR 28% → 40%

  2. 02

    Isabele Filardo stuffed by Jordan Smith & Talia Francom

    Set 5 · NC ST 10-8 CO CAR · NC ST 69% → 80%

  3. 03

    Isabele Filardo stuffed by Eva Long & Talia Francom

    Set 5 · NC ST 8-6 CO CAR · NC ST 69% → 79%

  4. 04
    Anzley RinardKill+9.5%

    Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Kaylee Musick)

    Set 5 · NC ST 1-4 CO CAR · CO CAR 55% → 65%

  5. 05
    Anna RitaKill+9.4%

    Kill by Anna Rita (set by Zuzanna Maciejewicz)

    Set 5 · NC ST 1-3 CO CAR · CO CAR 46% → 55%

  6. 06
    NC StateAce+9.3%

    NC State ace on Abby Bucey

    Set 5 · NC ST 4-4 CO CAR · NC ST 50% → 60%

  7. 07
    Anzley RinardAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Anzley Rinard

    Set 5 · NC ST 5-4 CO CAR · NC ST 60% → 69%

  8. 08
    Britni SilverKill+9.0%

    Kill by Britni Silver (set by Elaisa Villar)

    Set 5 · NC ST 9-8 CO CAR · NC ST 60% → 69%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
59424.2080433008417
5121340-.0252138200013
59320.30000000052.511.5
57317.2350122006311
5000–252900005
5205.4003911800214
5000–100700000
5000–302810000
3809.88900030010.58.5
33520-.100000310003
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5028135.16347121351502211104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512324.3750003016416
512844.09110251010.512.5
58316.31300020031.59.5
5416.50000810153.57.5
5206.333382160010.54.5
5000–000720000
57831-.032013221019
5000–3211110002
5001.000002630000
11011.000000000001
Team totals4623129.1784251743123161194

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NC ST · CO CAR 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 NC STCO CAR 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 NC STCO CAR 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 NC STCO CAR 4

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 6 NC STCO CAR 4

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 4 NC STCO CAR 3

Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NC State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
52%12/23
2
48%11/23
50%12/24
3
89%8/9
47%8/17
4
80%8/10
20%2/10
5
53%8/15
53%9/17
6
47%8/17
38%5/13
All
60%56/94
46%48/104

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%13/29
52%11/21
2
58%11/19
19%3/16
3
53%8/15
53%10/19
4
73%8/11
20%2/10
5
57%8/14
47%7/15
6
50%8/16
38%5/13
All
54%56/104
40%38/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#NC ST-CO CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CO CARCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+2.0
21-1CO CARNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.4
32-1NC STNC STBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom+1.8
42-2NC STCO CARAttack errBritni Silver+1.5
53-2CO CARNC STKillBritni Silverset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+1.4
63-3NC STCO CARAttack errKaylee Musick+1.5
74-3CO CARNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.5
84-4NC STCO CARKillKaylee Musickset Anzley Rinard+1.5
95-4CO CARNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+1.5
106-4NC STNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.9
116-5NC STCO CAR×3Serve errNC State+1.4
126-6CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Britni Silver+2.1
136-7CO CARCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Eva Long+2.3
147-7CO CARNC STAttack errIsabele Filardo+1.7
157-8NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Jonna Spohn+1.9
168-8CO CARNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+1.7
179-8NC STNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+2.2
189-9NC STCO CARServe errNC State+1.8
1910-9CO CARNC ST×4KillJordan Smithset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+1.7
2011-9NC STNC ST×4KillJordan Smithset Britni Silver+2.2
2112-9NC STNC ST×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith+1.9
2213-9NC STNC ST×4KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.6
2313-10NC STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.1
2414-10CO CARNC ST×3Attack errAnna Rita+1.3
2515-10NC STNC ST×3AceNC State+1.3
2616-10NC STNC ST×3KillSophia Groom+1.0
2716-11NC STCO CARServe errNC State+0.6
2817-11CO CARNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.7
2917-12NC STCO CARServe errNC State+0.5
3018-12CO CARNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.7
3118-13NC STCO CARServe errNC State+0.5
3218-14CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+1.0
3319-14CO CARNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.0
3419-15NC STCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+0.7
3519-16CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedJordan Smithblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+1.4
3619-17CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errBritni Silver+2.1
3720-17CO CARNC ST×3KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+2.0
3821-17NC STNC ST×3AceNC State+1.9
3922-17NC STNC ST×3AceNC State+1.2
4022-18NC STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+0.5
4122-19CO CARCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+1.1
4223-19CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.4
4323-20NC STCO CARServe errNC State+0.7
4423-21CO CARCO CARAttack errBritni Silver+1.8
4524-21CO CARNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+2.3
4625-21NC STNC STAceNC Stateaced Abby Bucey+1.1
Set 2
11-0NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.4
21-1NC STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+1.1
32-1CO CARNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.1
42-2NC STCO CARBlockedBritni Silverblk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes+1.1
52-3CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.6
63-3CO CARNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.2
74-3NC STNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.5
84-4NC STCO CARServe errNC State+1.2
95-4CO CARNC STAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.2
105-5NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.2
116-5CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.2
127-5NC STNC STAttack errIsabele Filardo+1.5
137-6NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.1
148-6CO CARNC ST×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+1.1
159-6NC STNC ST×3BlockedIsabele Filardoblk Jordan Smith+1.4
1610-6NC STNC ST×3AceNC Stateaced Isabele Filardo+1.2
1710-7NC STCO CAR×3Attack errBritni Silver+0.8
1810-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinard+1.3
1910-9CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedBritni Silverblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+1.6
2011-9CO CARNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.3
2111-10NC STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.3
2211-11CO CARCO CARAttack errSophia Groom+1.9
2312-11CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.5
2412-12NC STCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+1.5
2512-13CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.2
2612-14CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+2.4
2712-15CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+2.4
2813-15CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.5
2913-16NC STCO CARAttack errRebecca Ring+1.9
3014-16CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.6
3114-17NC STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+2.0
3214-18CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolina+2.4
3315-18CO CARNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.3
3415-19NC STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+1.9
3516-19CO CARNC STAttack errIsabele Filardo+1.3
3616-20NC STCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+1.9
3716-21CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errJordan Smith+1.9
3816-22CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+1.2
3917-22CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+0.4
4017-23NC STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+0.8
4118-23CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+0.3
4218-24NC STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+0.5
4318-25CO CARCO CARAttack errBritni Silver+0.2
Set 3
11-0CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.0
21-1NC STCO CARAttack errHatteras Welker+2.1
31-2CO CARCO CARBlockedBritni Silverblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+3.0
42-2CO CARNC STKillEva Longset Kate Kilpatrick+2.2
52-3NC STCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+2.4
63-3CO CARNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+2.2
74-3NC STNC STBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Eva Long, Sophia Groom+2.9
84-4NC STCO CARServe errNC State+2.3
95-4CO CARNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+2.2
105-5NC STCO CAR×3Serve errNC State+2.4
115-6CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Rebecca Ring+3.3
125-7CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errRebecca Ring+3.6
136-7CO CARNC STAttack errAnzley Rinard+2.5
146-8NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+2.8
157-8CO CARNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+2.6
167-9NC STCO CARBlockedRebecca Ringblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+2.9
177-10CO CARCO CARBlockedRebecca Ringblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+3.9
188-10CO CARNC ST×4KillJordan Smithset Eva Long+2.6
199-10NC STNC ST×4KillTalia Francom+3.6
2010-10NC STNC ST×4BlockedHatteras Welkerblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+3.7
2111-10NC STNC ST×4AceNC Stateaced Jonna Spohn+3.6
2211-11NC STCO CARBlockedTalia Francomblk Hatteras Welker+2.8
2312-11CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.8
2412-12NC STCO CARAttack errNatalie Hughes+3.0
2513-12CO CARNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+2.9
2614-12NC STNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+3.6
2714-13NC STCO CARServe errNC State+2.7
2814-14CO CARCO CARBlockedSophia Groomblk Isabele Filardo+4.1
2915-14CO CARNC ST×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+3.2
3016-14NC STNC ST×3AceNC Stateaced Abby Bucey+3.9
3117-14NC STNC ST×3KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.4
3217-15NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+2.3
3317-16CO CARCO CARAttack errRebecca Ring+3.9
3418-16CO CARNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+3.3
3518-17NC STCO CAR×3Attack errTalia Francom+3.2
3618-18CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Britni Silver+5.2
3718-19CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errBritni Silver+6.1
3819-19CO CARNC STKillEva Long+4.4
3919-20NC STCO CAR×4Attack errJordan Smith+5.2
4019-21CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Zuzanna Maciejewicz+7.0
4119-22CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+6.4
4219-23CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedJordan Smithblk Natalie Hughes+4.7
4320-23CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.6
4420-24NC STCO CARServe errNC State+3.3
4521-24CO CARNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.0
4621-25NC STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+2.4
Set 4
11-0NC STNC ST×4KillClara Vondranset Eva Long+3.6
22-0NC STNC ST×4AceNC Stateaced Julia Rivera+3.4
33-0NC STNC ST×4Attack errAnzley Rinard+3.0
44-0NC STNC ST×4BlockedNatalie Hughesblk Sophia Groom, Clara Vondran+2.7
54-1NC STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+2.0
65-1CO CARNC STKillClara Vondranset Britni Silver+2.1
75-2NC STCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Kaylee Musick+2.0
85-3CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+3.1
95-4CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+3.6
105-5CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errSophia Groom+4.1
116-5CO CARNC STKillClara Vondranset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+3.1
127-5NC STNC STAttack errAnna Rita+3.8
137-6NC STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+2.9
147-7CO CARCO CARBlockedBritni Silverblk Kaylee Musick, Anna Rita+4.3
158-7CO CARNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.3
168-8NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+3.5
179-8CO CARNC ST×5KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.4
1810-8NC STNC ST×5BlockedIsabele Filardoblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+4.2
1911-8NC STNC ST×5BlockedIsabele Filardoblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+3.7
2012-8NC STNC ST×5KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.2
2113-8NC STNC ST×5KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+2.6
2213-9NC STCO CARServe errNC State+1.7
2314-9CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+2.0
2414-10NC STCO CARKillIsabele Filardoset Kaylee Musick+1.7
2514-11CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Eva Long+2.9
2615-11CO CARNC ST×4KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+2.6
2716-11NC STNC ST×4Attack errNatalie Hughes+2.6
2817-11NC STNC ST×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Jordan Smith, Sophia Groom+1.9
2918-11NC STNC ST×4KillClara Vondranset Kate Kilpatrick+1.2
3018-12NC STCO CARServe errNC State+0.6
3119-12CO CARNC ST×6Serve errCoastal Carolina+0.9
3220-12NC STNC ST×6Attack errAnna Rita+0.6
3321-12NC STNC ST×6AceNC Stateaced Julia Rivera+0.3
3422-12NC STNC ST×6KillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.1
3523-12NC STNC ST×6KillClara Vondranset Eva Long·
3624-12NC STNC ST×6Attack errNatalie Hughes·
3724-13NC STCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Kaylee Musick·
3825-13CO CARNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+0.9
Set 5
10-1NC STCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+6.6
21-1CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+6.2
31-2NC STCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Kaylee Musick+6.9
41-3CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+9.4
51-4CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+9.5
62-4CO CARNC ST×4Serve errCoastal Carolina+6.2
73-4NC STNC ST×4KillClara Vondranset Eva Long+8.9
84-4NC STNC ST×4AceNC Stateaced Abby Bucey+9.3
95-4NC STNC ST×4Attack errAnzley Rinard+9.2
105-5NC STCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Kaylee Musick+7.3
116-5CO CARNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+7.3
126-6NC STCO CARAttack errBritni Silver+7.7
137-6CO CARNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+7.8
148-6NC STNC STBlockedIsabele Filardoblk Eva Long, Talia Francom+9.5
158-7NC STCO CARAttack errBritni Silver+6.9
168-8CO CARCO CARBlockedBritni Silverblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+11.2
179-8CO CARNC ST×4KillBritni Silverset Elaisa Villar+9.0
1810-8NC STNC ST×4BlockedIsabele Filardoblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+10.9
1911-8NC STNC ST×4AceNC Stateaced Isabele Filardo+8.8
2012-8NC STNC ST×4Bad setKaylee Musick+6.0
2112-9NC STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+2.8
2213-9CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+4.4
2314-9NC STNC STAceNC Stateaced Anzley Rinard+2.6
2414-10NC STCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Kaylee Musick+0.5
2515-10CO CARNC STServe errCoastal Carolina+1.1

Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).