North Carolina def. NC State 3–1
North Carolina won at NC State 3-1 (28-26, 25-20, 23-25, 25-16) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. North Carolina's Safi Hampton led with 16 kills, and Julia Bohlinger added 22 digs.
Data through · final Sep 25
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 28 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 3 |
| NC ST | 26 | 20 | 25 | 16 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.4% to NC State — set 1, UNC 24-25 NC ST. Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long). NC ST win probability 23% → 31%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
North Carolina wins
NC State wins
- UNC break %
- 44.8% vs this opp
- NC ST break %
- 38.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Jordan SmithKill+8.4%
Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long)
Set 1 · UNC 24-25 NC ST · NC ST 23% → 31%
- 02Jackie Taylor&Laynie SmithBlock+7.5%
Rebecca Ring stuffed by Jackie Taylor & Laynie Smith
Set 1 · UNC 26-25 NC ST · UNC 75% → 82%
- 03Sophia Groom&Jordan SmithBlock+7.2%
Bridget Malone stuffed by Sophia Groom & Jordan Smith
Set 1 · UNC 24-24 NC ST · NC ST 16% → 23%
- 04Chelsea ThorpeKill+6.5%
Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 1 · UNC 28-26 NC ST · UNC 82% → 89%
- 05Laynie SmithKill+6.1%
Kill by Laynie Smith (set by Sienna Cozza)
Set 1 · UNC 25-25 NC ST · UNC 69% → 75%
- 06Jordan SmithKill+5.3%
Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long)
Set 1 · UNC 26-26 NC ST · NC ST 18% → 23%
- 07Bridget MaloneKill+5.3%
Kill by Bridget Malone (set by Sienna Cozza)
Set 1 · UNC 27-26 NC ST · UNC 77% → 82%
- 08Lauren SchutterKill+5.1%
Kill by Lauren Schutter (set by Sienna Cozza)
Set 1 · UNC 24-22 NC ST · UNC 81% → 86%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 2 | 38 | .368 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 33 | .242 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 37 | .108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 25 | .120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 19 | 158 | .222 | 49 | 4 | 5 | 73 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 101 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 43 | .186 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 21 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | .048 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 19 | .158 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | .182 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 40 | .125 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 30 | 173 | .145 | 49 | 5 | 11 | 72 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 87 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
28-26
Set 2
25-20
Set 3
23-25
Set 4
25-16
Bars above the line = NC State leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
North Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%11/24 | 25%3/12 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 47%9/19 |
| 3 | 67%8/12 | 53%10/19 |
| 4 | 62%8/13 | 53%9/17 |
| 5 | 73%8/11 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 57%8/14 | 56%10/18 |
| All | 60%53/88 | 48%48/100 |
NC State
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%10/15 | 40%6/15 |
| 2 | 42%10/24 | 55%12/22 |
| 3 | 45%9/20 | 29%4/14 |
| 4 | 62%8/13 | 38%5/13 |
| 5 | 53%8/15 | 20%2/10 |
| 6 | 54%7/13 | 43%6/14 |
| All | 52%52/100 | 40%35/88 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
188 rallies
| # | UNC-NC ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNC | NC ST×3 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +2.1 |
| 3 | 0-3 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +2.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UNC | UNC | Bad set | Eva Long | +2.0 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | NC ST | UNC | Attack err | Rebecca Ring | +1.4 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | UNC | NC ST | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +1.5 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +2.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +2.4 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | UNC | NC ST | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.8 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | NC ST | UNC×3 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +2.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | +2.2 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +1.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.6 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Talia Francom | blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith | +2.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +1.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Sienna Cozza | +2.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | NC ST | UNC×4 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +1.7 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Ace | North Carolina | aced Britni Silver | +2.2 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Jackie Taylor, Bridget Malone | +2.0 |
| 26 | 15-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.6 |
| 27 | 15-12 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 28 | 16-12 | NC ST | UNC | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +1.1 |
| 29 | 16-13 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 30 | 17-13 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.2 |
| 31 | 17-14 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 32 | 18-14 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.2 |
| 33 | 19-14 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Britni Silver | +1.2 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | UNC | NC ST×4 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Blocked | Chelsea Thorpe | blk Talia Francom, Britni Silver | +1.3 |
| 36 | 19-17 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Safi Hampton | +1.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +2.8 |
| 38 | 20-18 | NC ST | UNC×3 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +2.3 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +2.6 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Jordan Smith | +1.7 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | UNC | NC ST×4 | Kill | Eva Long | +0.7 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Ace | NC State | aced Safi Hampton | +1.8 |
| 43 | 22-21 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +3.1 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +4.9 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +4.2 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Sienna Cozza | +5.1 |
| 47 | 24-23 | UNC | NC ST×3 | Kill | Rebecca Ring | set Eva Long | +2.0 |
| 48 | 24-24 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith | +7.2 |
| 49 | 24-25 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +8.4 |
| 50 | 25-25 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +6.1 |
| 51 | 26-25 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +7.5 |
| 52 | 26-26 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Eva Long | +5.3 |
| 53 | 27-26 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +5.3 |
| 54 | 28-26 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +6.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNC | NC ST | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom | +0.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith | +1.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NC ST | UNC×3 | Blocked | Rebecca Ring | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +1.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | UNC | UNC×3 | Ace | North Carolina | aced Britni Silver | +1.3 |
| 7 | 5-2 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | UNC | NC ST×3 | Kill | Jordan Smith | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +0.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Bad set | Zoe Behrendt | +1.3 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Attack err | Jackie Taylor | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NC ST | UNC×4 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Chelsea Thorpe | +1.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | UNC | UNC×4 | Attack err | Clara Vondran | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.3 |
| 14 | 9-5 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Sophia Groom | blk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton | +1.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +0.7 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 17 | 10-7 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.7 |
| 18 | 11-7 | NC ST | UNC×4 | Serve err | NC State | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | UNC | UNC×4 | Ace | North Carolina | +0.9 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith | +0.7 |
| 21 | 14-7 | UNC | UNC×4 | Ace | North Carolina | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 23 | 15-8 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +0.3 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +0.2 |
| 25 | 15-10 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +0.5 |
| 26 | 16-10 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Sienna Cozza | +0.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | UNC | NC ST | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.5 |
| 29 | 17-12 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.3 |
| 30 | 18-12 | NC ST | UNC×3 | Attack err | Clara Vondran | +0.4 | |
| 31 | 19-12 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Sophia Groom | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +0.1 |
| 34 | 20-14 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 21-14 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.2 |
| 36 | 21-15 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.1 |
| 37 | 22-15 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 23-15 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Safi Hampton | +0.1 |
| 39 | 23-16 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | · |
| 40 | 23-17 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Laynie Smith | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Carly Markham | +0.1 |
| 42 | 24-18 | UNC | NC ST×3 | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | · |
| 43 | 24-19 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | · |
| 44 | 24-20 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Blocked | Laynie Smith | blk Talia Francom, Clara Vondran | +0.1 |
| 45 | 25-20 | NC ST | UNC | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Bridget Malone, Lauren Schutter | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +0.5 |
| 2 | 0-2 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Laynie Smith | +0.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Bridget Malone, Jackie Taylor | +0.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Clara Vondran | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Eva Long | +0.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Safi Hampton | +0.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.8 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | UNC | NC ST | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 17 | 9-8 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Julia Bohlinger | +0.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | UNC | NC ST×4 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +0.6 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Bad set | Lauren Schutter | +0.9 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | NC ST | NC ST×4 | Attack err | Lauren Schutter | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.7 |
| 24 | 11-13 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Sienna Cozza | +0.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Eva Long | +0.9 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | UNC | NC ST | Blocked | Chelsea Thorpe | blk Britni Silver, Sophia Groom | +0.9 |
| 30 | 13-17 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | +1.1 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 32 | 15-17 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | +1.1 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Talia Francom | set Eva Long | +1.0 |
| 34 | 16-18 | NC ST | UNC×3 | Serve err | NC State | +0.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Talia Francom | +1.3 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Eva Long | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.1 |
| 38 | 19-19 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Sienna Cozza | +1.1 |
| 39 | 19-20 | UNC | NC ST | Attack err | Eva Long | +1.3 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +1.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NC ST | UNC | Blocked | Clara Vondran | blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith | +1.0 |
| 42 | 21-21 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Jordan Smith | blk Bridget Malone, Jackie Taylor | +1.8 |
| 43 | 21-22 | UNC | NC ST×3 | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +2.3 |
| 45 | 21-24 | NC ST | NC ST×3 | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Sophia Groom, Eva Long | +1.8 |
| 46 | 22-24 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +0.5 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Clara Vondran | blk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe | +1.5 |
| 48 | 23-25 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +2.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC | NC ST | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NC ST | UNC×5 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UNC | UNC×5 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +2.0 |
| 5 | 4-1 | UNC | UNC×5 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +1.8 |
| 6 | 5-1 | UNC | UNC×5 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Carly Markham | +1.6 |
| 7 | 6-1 | UNC | UNC×5 | Bad set | Eva Long | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.9 |
| 9 | 7-2 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Carly Markham | +0.9 |
| 10 | 7-3 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Sophia Groom | set Eva Long | +0.9 |
| 11 | 7-4 | NC ST | NC ST | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +1.5 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +1.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.1 |
| 14 | 9-5 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.2 |
| 15 | 9-6 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | +1.1 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Safi Hampton | +1.9 |
| 17 | 10-7 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +1.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.5 |
| 20 | 12-8 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UNC | NC ST | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +1.2 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | NC ST | NC ST | Ace | NC State | aced Safi Hampton | +2.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.6 |
| 24 | 14-10 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Sophia Groom | blk Safi Hampton, Lauren Schutter | +1.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Clara Vondran | set Eva Long | +1.2 |
| 26 | 15-11 | NC ST | UNC×4 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.4 |
| 27 | 16-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Attack err | Sophia Groom | +1.5 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +1.0 |
| 29 | 18-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | UNC | NC ST | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | NC ST | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zuzanna Maciejewicz | +0.7 |
| 32 | 19-13 | NC ST | UNC×5 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Sienna Cozza | +0.7 |
| 33 | 20-13 | UNC | UNC×5 | Attack err | Britni Silver | +0.5 | |
| 34 | 21-13 | UNC | UNC×5 | Blocked | Britni Silver | blk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor | +0.3 |
| 35 | 22-13 | UNC | UNC×5 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +0.1 |
| 36 | 23-13 | UNC | UNC×5 | Kill | Laynie Smith | · | |
| 37 | 23-14 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Eva Long | · |
| 38 | 24-14 | NC ST | UNC | Serve err | NC State | · | |
| 39 | 24-15 | UNC | NC ST | Kill | Britni Silver | set Zoe Behrendt | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | NC ST | NC ST | Blocked | Chelsea Thorpe | blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom | · |
| 41 | 25-16 | NC ST | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | · |
Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).