FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Florida St. def. NC State 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida St. 50.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida St. beat visiting NC State 3-0 (26-24, 28-26, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Florida St.'s Kyleene Filimaua led with 17 kills, and Emma Lilo added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
NC ST2426150
FSU2628253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kyleene Filimaua hit .429 on 35 swings as Florida St. edged NC State.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Florida St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Florida St. went in as RallyIQ's 50% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · NC State 23–23 Florida St.

    Florida St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0.

    Florida St. 52% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · NC State 17–24 Florida St.

    Down 17–24, NC State scored 7 straight to tie it at 24.

    Florida St. 88% → 70%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · NC State 25–25 Florida St.

    Florida St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–0.

    Florida St. 70% → 88%

Florida St. above 50NC State belowMax swing 10.1%

NC StateFlorida St.

Sideout %
NC State 50.0·Florida St. 60.6
Break %
NC State 39.4·Florida St. 50.0
Hitting
NC State .096·Florida St. .244
Longest run
NC State 7·Florida St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Florida St. above 50 · NC State below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.1% FSUrally 144 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Florida St. — set 1, NC ST 24-26 FSU. Florida St. ace. FSU win probability 59% → 69%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC ST 43.3%56.7% FSU

NC State wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.4%

Florida St. wins

3-0
15.5%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%
NC ST break %
40.7% vs this opp
FSU break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Florida St.Ace+10.1%

    Florida St. ace

    Set 1 · NC ST 24-26 FSU · FSU 59% → 69%

  2. 02
    Britni SilverKill+10.0%

    Kill by Britni Silver (set by Eva Long)

    Set 2 · NC ST 24-24 FSU · NC ST 20% → 30%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kyleene Filimaua (set by Eva Long)

    Set 2 · NC ST 26-28 FSU · FSU 78% → 88%

  4. 04
    Sofia MossKill+7.2%

    Kill by Sofia Moss (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 1 · NC ST 23-24 FSU · FSU 52% → 59%

  5. 05
    Jordan SmithKill+7.2%

    Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long)

    Set 1 · NC ST 24-24 FSU · NC ST 41% → 48%

  6. 06
    Clara VondranAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Clara Vondran

    Set 1 · NC ST 24-25 FSU · FSU 52% → 59%

  7. 07
    Britni SilverAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Britni Silver

    Set 2 · NC ST 24-25 FSU · FSU 70% → 78%

  8. 08
    Britni SilverBlock+7.2%

    Sofia Moss stuffed by Britni Silver

    Set 2 · NC ST 25-25 FSU · NC ST 22% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39829.0341004002110
36211.36400120052.58.5
37426.11500070010.57.5
34424.000110401227
35013.385000000216
3015-.2002420120010.52.5
3000–011000001
3004.0003001710000
3000–002200000
3000–000400000
1125-.20000010010.51.5
1105.200000000001
1113.000000000001
Team totals3422125.0962944538114865
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317235.42923360010.520.5
312633.18213251010.515.5
35018.27802010031.58.5
3308.375000000003
32411-.1822011200002
3204.50030021600002
33312.00000030010.53.5
3000–002000000
3000–100600000
3000–300700000
2000–000000000
2000–000000000
1102.500000000001
Team totals4515123.2443981056406379

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NC ST · FSU 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 NC STFSU 4

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 7 NC STFSU 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 NC STFSU 5

Bars above the line = Florida St. leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NC State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
55%6/11
2
38%5/13
14%1/7
3
80%4/5
38%3/8
4
44%4/9
33%2/6
5
50%4/8
0%0/4
6
44%4/9
73%11/15
All
51%27/53
45%23/51

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
29%2/7
2
75%6/8
57%8/14
3
57%4/7
50%4/8
4
80%4/5
20%1/5
5
44%4/9
60%6/10
6
31%4/13
56%5/9
All
55%28/51
49%26/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

144 rallies

#NC ST-FSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FSUNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.8
21-1NC STFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.8
31-2FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimaua+2.6
41-3FSUFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+2.6
52-3FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.+1.8
63-3NC STNC STAceNC Stateaced Sofia Moss+2.6
73-4NC STFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.9
84-4FSUNC STAttack errKyleene Filimaua+1.9
95-4NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+2.8
105-5NC STFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Sofia Moss+2.0
116-5FSUNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+2.0
126-6NC STFSUAttack errBritni Silver+2.0
136-7FSUFSUAceFlorida St.+2.9
147-7FSUNC ST×4Serve errFlorida St.+2.1
158-7NC STNC ST×4AceNC State+3.0
169-7NC STNC ST×4KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.0
1710-7NC STNC ST×4AceNC State+2.8
1810-8NC STFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.8
1910-9FSUFSU×3BlockedTalia Francomblk Nenu Kpea, Sofia Moss+2.9
2010-10FSUFSU×3Attack errJordan Smith+3.2
2111-10FSUNC STAttack errBailey Higgins+2.4
2211-11NC STFSUAttack errClara Vondran+2.3
2312-11FSUNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+2.5
2412-12NC STFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.4
2512-13FSUFSU×4KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+3.6
2612-14FSUFSU×4Attack errClara Vondran+3.5
2712-15FSUFSU×4BlockedJordan Smithblk Kyleene Filimaua, Nenu Kpea+3.3
2813-15FSUNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+2.0
2913-16NC STFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Victoria David+2.4
3014-16FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.+2.1
3114-17NC STFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.5
3214-18FSUFSUKillEmma Liloset Eva Long+2.9
3315-18FSUNC STKillBritni Silverset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+1.6
3415-19NC STFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.1
3515-20FSUFSUAttack errBritni Silver+2.2
3616-20FSUNC ST×3KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.0
3717-20NC STNC ST×3Attack errBailey Higgins+2.1
3818-20NC STNC ST×3KillBritni Silverset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+3.0
3918-21NC STFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+3.0
4018-22FSUFSUKillSofia Mossset Victoria David+3.0
4119-22FSUNC ST×4KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.2
4220-22NC STNC ST×4KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+2.8
4321-22NC STNC ST×4Attack errSofia Moss+4.5
4422-22NC STNC ST×4BlockedBailey Higginsblk Talia Francom, Clara Vondran+6.5
4522-23NC STFSUServe errNC State+5.7
4623-23FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.+5.5
4723-24NC STFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+7.2
4824-24FSUNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+7.2
4924-25NC STFSUAttack errClara Vondran+7.2
5024-26FSUFSUAceFlorida St.+10.1
Set 2
11-0NC STNC ST×3Attack errBailey Higgins+2.5
22-0NC STNC ST×3BlockedSofia Mossblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+2.5
33-0NC STNC ST×3KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+2.4
43-1NC STFSU×4KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.6
53-2FSUFSU×4AceFlorida St.+2.5
63-3FSUFSU×4Attack errJordan Smith+2.6
73-4FSUFSU×4AceFlorida St.+2.7
84-4FSUNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.9
95-4NC STNC STAttack errSofia Moss+2.8
105-5NC STFSUServe errNC State+2.0
115-6FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Bailey Higgins+2.8
126-6FSUNC ST×3BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Jordan Smith+2.0
137-6NC STNC ST×3KillClara Vondranset Emma Lilo+2.9
148-6NC STNC ST×3BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Sophia Groom, Eva Long+2.9
158-7NC STFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.0
169-7FSUNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+2.1
179-8NC STFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.0
189-9FSUFSU×5AceFlorida St.aced Zuzanna Maciejewicz+3.1
199-10FSUFSU×5KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+3.2
209-11FSUFSU×5KillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+3.2
219-12FSUFSU×5AceFlorida St.+3.0
2210-12FSUNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.9
2310-13NC STFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Kyleene Filimaua+2.2
2410-14FSUFSU×3Attack errBritni Silver+2.7
2510-15FSUFSU×3BlockedBritni Silverblk Nenu Kpea, Lexie Mason+2.2
2611-15FSUNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.2
2711-16NC STFSU×3KillLexie Masonset Emma Lilo+1.6
2811-17FSUFSU×3Attack errBritni Silver+1.7
2911-18FSUFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.1
3012-18FSUNC STKillTalia Francomset Emma Lilo+0.5
3112-19NC STFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.8
3213-19FSUNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+0.4
3313-20NC STFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
3413-21FSUFSUAceFlorida St.+0.5
3514-21FSUNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.1
3614-22NC STFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.3
3715-22FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.+0.1
3816-22NC STNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.3
3916-23NC STFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.4
4017-23FSUNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+0.1
4117-24NC STFSUServe errNC State+0.2
4218-24FSUNC ST×7KillBritni Silverset Eva Long·
4319-24NC STNC ST×7KillJordan Smith+0.1
4420-24NC STNC ST×7Attack errLexie Mason+0.3
4521-24NC STNC ST×7KillTalia Francomset Emma Lilo+0.7
4622-24NC STNC ST×7Attack errSofia Moss+1.7
4723-24NC STNC ST×7BlockedSofia Mossblk Jordan Smith, Talia Francom+4.2
4824-24NC STNC ST×7KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+10.0
4924-25NC STFSUAttack errBritni Silver+7.2
5025-25FSUNC STBlockedSofia Mossblk Britni Silver+7.2
5125-26NC STFSUKillSofia Mossset Kyleene Filimaua+7.2
5226-26FSUNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+7.2
5326-27NC STFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+7.2
5426-28FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Eva Long+10.0
Set 3
11-0FSUNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.2
21-1NC STFSU×3KillEmma Lilo+1.2
31-2FSUFSU×3AceFlorida St.+1.7
41-3FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.7
52-3FSUNC STAttack errSophia Groom+1.2
62-4NC STFSU×3Attack errEva Long+1.2
72-5FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimaua+1.6
82-6FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Eva Long+1.5
93-6FSUNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.0
103-7NC STFSUAttack errBritni Silver+1.1
114-7FSUNC ST×3Serve errFlorida St.+1.0
125-7NC STNC ST×3AceNC State+1.6
136-7NC STNC ST×3BlockedLexie Masonblk Britni Silver, Talia Francom+1.8
146-8NC STFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Victoria David+1.3
156-9FSUFSU×3Attack errBritni Silver+1.8
166-10FSUFSU×3Attack errTalia Francom+1.6
177-10FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.+1.0
187-11NC STFSU×3Attack errRebecca Ring+1.2
197-12FSUFSU×3Attack errNorah Busch+1.4
207-13FSUFSU×3Attack errJordan Smith+1.2
218-13FSUNC STKillRebecca Ringset Zuzanna Maciejewicz+0.6
228-14NC STFSUServe errNC State+0.8
239-14FSUNC STKillClara Vondranset Britni Silver+0.6
249-15NC STFSU×5KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.8
259-16FSUFSU×5KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.8
269-17FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Bailey Higgins+0.6
279-18FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.3
289-19FSUFSU×5Attack errClara Vondran+0.2
2910-19FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.+0.1
3010-20NC STFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.1
3111-20FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.·
3211-21NC STFSUAttack errRebecca Ring+0.1
3312-21FSUNC STBlockedLexie Masonblk Rebecca Ring, Sophia Groom·
3412-22NC STFSUKillKelsey Perryset Emma Lilo+0.1
3512-23FSUFSUKillLexie Masonset Maile Chan·
3613-23FSUNC STServe errFlorida St.·
3714-23NC ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3814-24NC STFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo·
3915-24FSUNC STKillSa'Mya Dorseyset Eva Long·
4015-25NC STFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo·

Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).