Final · 5 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ACCNX

NC State def. Clemson 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: NC State 83.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

NC State won at Clemson 3-2 (25-22, 21-25, 16-25, 25-23, 15-10) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Sophia Groom led NC State with 13 kills; Clemson's Anika Groom had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set12345Sets
NC ST25211625153
CLEM22252523102

Match story · written from the play-by-play

NC State took the fifth 15–10 to finish off Clemson.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are NC State's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave NC State 84% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · NC State 22–19 Clemson

    Clemson had 3 straight kills to erase a 19–22 deficit and tie it at 22. The match swung to Clemson.

    NC State 62% → 41%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · NC State 22–22 Clemson

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to NC State, enough to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 2–2. The match swung to NC State.

    NC State 41% → 68%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · NC State 0–1 Clemson

    Down 0–1, NC State scored 4 straight to lead 4–1.

    NC State 59% → 86%

Clemson above 50NC State belowMax swing 14.9%

NC StateClemson

Sideout %
NC State 57.5·Clemson 59.4
Break %
NC State 40.6·Clemson 42.5
Hitting
NC State .214·Clemson .178
Longest run
NC State 4·Clemson 5

Rebecca Ring
3 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .333 for the match (10.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Clemson above 50 · NC State below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.9% NC STrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.9% to NC State — set 4, NC ST 25-23 CLEM. Kill by Rebecca Ring (set by Eva Long). CLEM win probability 47% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC ST 81.5%18.5% CLEM

NC State wins

3-0
33.0%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.8%

Clemson wins

3-0
2.9%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
9.5%
NC ST break %
45.4% vs this opp
CLEM break %
38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Rebecca RingKill+14.9%

    Kill by Rebecca Ring (set by Eva Long)

    Set 4 · NC ST 25-23 CLEM · NC ST 53% → 68%

  2. 02
    Sophia GroomKill+11.6%

    Kill by Sophia Groom (set by Eva Long)

    Set 4 · NC ST 24-23 CLEM · NC ST 41% → 53%

  3. 03
    Maddie AnspaughKill+10.8%

    Kill by Maddie Anspaugh (set by Katherine Sandt)

    Set 4 · NC ST 22-22 CLEM · CLEM 48% → 59%

  4. 04

    Kill by Maddie Anspaugh (set by Katherine Sandt)

    Set 4 · NC ST 23-23 CLEM · CLEM 49% → 59%

  5. 05
    Rebecca RingKill+9.2%

    Kill by Rebecca Ring (set by Eva Long)

    Set 4 · NC ST 23-22 CLEM · NC ST 41% → 51%

  6. 06
    ClemsonAce+8.5%

    Clemson ace on Britni Silver

    Set 5 · NC ST 0-1 CLEM · CLEM 32% → 41%

  7. 07

    Brianna Washington stuffed by Sophia Groom & Norah Busch

    Set 5 · NC ST 2-1 CLEM · NC ST 65% → 73%

  8. 08
    Lina MerzAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Lina Merz

    Set 5 · NC ST 3-1 CLEM · NC ST 73% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510122.4090220016416
5121040.05012214100014
513217.6471001002114
55214.2144601800216
55420.050203103010.55.5
32313-.07700120031.53.5
51011.0003011000001
5000–3141010001
410321.33300230010.510.5
2102.50000020111.52.5
2002.000010000001
1117.000000100001
Team totals6026159.2145661661721610102
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5181151.13700351010.518.5
57517.11800010233.510.5
54220.100001202237
54010.40037211300006
51011.0003301110004
5000–301710000
513634.2061003002114
57318.222100100218
5000–221500002
4001.000300910000
Team totals5427152.17850775764109105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NC ST · CLEM 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 NC STCLEM 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 NC STCLEM 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 NC STCLEM 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 NC STCLEM 4

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 4 NC STCLEM 2

Bars above the line = Clemson leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NC State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
18%2/11
2
50%8/16
50%9/18
3
80%8/10
20%2/10
4
54%7/13
46%6/13
5
50%7/14
36%4/11
6
50%7/14
50%7/14
All
57%47/83
39%30/77

Clemson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
53%10/19
2
73%8/11
44%7/16
3
64%7/11
27%3/11
4
58%7/12
46%6/13
5
70%7/10
22%2/9
6
50%7/14
53%8/15
All
61%47/77
43%36/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#NC ST-CLEMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.0
22-0NC STNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.3
32-1NC STCLEMServe errEva Long+1.0
43-1CLEMNC STKillJordan Smithset Eva Long+1.0
53-2NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.0
63-3CLEMCLEMBlockedJordan Smithblk Brianna Washington, Maddie Anspaugh+1.6
74-3CLEMNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.1
85-3NC STNC STAceTalia Francomaced Addi Rains+1.4
95-4NC STCLEMServe errTalia Francom+1.1
106-4CLEMNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.0
117-4NC STNC STAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+1.3
127-5NC STCLEMServe errJordan Smith+0.9
137-6CLEMCLEMBlockedClara Vondranblk Brianna Washington, Lina Merz+1.5
148-6CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.1
158-7NC STCLEM×5KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.2
168-8CLEMCLEM×5KillAnika Groomset Lucy Maloney+1.9
178-9CLEMCLEM×5AceClemsonaced Clara Vondran+2.1
188-10CLEM
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
198-11CLEMCLEM×5KillAnika Groomset Lucy Maloney+2.4
209-11CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Elaisa Villar+1.5
219-12NC STCLEMServe errKate Kilpatrick+1.8
229-13CLEMCLEMAttack errEva Long+2.5
2310-13CLEMNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.4
2411-13NC STNC STBad setKatherine Sandt+2.2
2511-14NC STCLEMAttack errBritni Silver+2.0
2612-14CLEMNC STServe errClemson+1.6
2712-15NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.1
2812-16CLEMCLEMBlockedJordan Smithblk Maddie Anspaugh, Brianna Washington+2.7
2913-16CLEMNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+1.5
3014-16NC STNC STAceTalia Francomaced Anika Groom+2.4
3114-17NC STCLEMServe errTalia Francom+2.3
3215-17CLEMNC ST×3Bad setAnika Groom+1.7
3316-17NC STNC ST×3KillClara Vondranset Eva Long+2.8
3417-17NC STNC ST×3KillClara Vondranset Kate Kilpatrick+3.0
3517-18NC STCLEMAttack errBritni Silver+2.5
3617-19CLEMCLEMKillAnika Groomset Addi Rains+3.6
3718-19CLEMNC STKillEva Longset Kate Kilpatrick+2.2
3819-19NC STNC STAttack errLina Merz+3.4
3919-20NC STCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.9
4020-20CLEMNC STKillEva Longset Clara Vondran+2.6
4121-20NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.9
4221-21NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+2.8
4322-21CLEMNC ST×3KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.1
4423-21NC STNC ST×3Attack errAnika Groom+3.8
4524-21NC STNC ST×3BlockedAnika Groomblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+2.4
4624-22NC STCLEMKillKatherine Sandtset Claire Luoma+0.7
4725-22CLEMNC STAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+1.5
Set 2
11-0NC STNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.0
21-1NC STCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+0.8
31-2CLEMCLEMKillKatherine Sandtset Maddie Anspaugh+1.2
42-2CLEMNC STBlockedBrianna Washingtonblk Talia Francom, Clara Vondran+0.8
52-3NC STCLEM×3KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+0.9
62-4CLEMCLEM×3Attack errSophia Groom+1.4
72-5CLEMCLEM×3KillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.5
83-5CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Clara Vondran+0.9
93-6NC STCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt+1.1
104-6CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.9
114-7NC STCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt+1.1
125-7CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.0
135-8NC STCLEMKillTalea Mitchellset Katherine Sandt+1.2
146-8CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+1.0
157-8NC STNC STBlockedAnika Groomblk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith+1.4
167-9NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Addi Rains+1.2
177-10CLEMCLEMAttack errBritni Silver+1.7
188-10CLEMNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.0
198-11NC STCLEMKillClaire Luoma+1.3
209-11CLEMNC ST×3KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.1
2110-11NC STNC ST×3AceMakenna Kowrenaced Claire Luoma+1.6
2211-11NC STNC ST×3Attack errBrianna Washington+1.6
2311-12NC STCLEMAttack errJordan Smith+1.3
2411-13CLEMCLEMAttack errClara Vondran+1.9
2512-13CLEMNC STAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+1.2
2612-14NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.5
2712-15CLEMCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.0
2813-15CLEMNC ST×3KillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.2
2914-15NC STNC ST×3KillElaisa Villarset Katherine Sandt+1.9
3015-15NC STNC ST×3Attack errAnika Groom+1.9
3115-16NC STCLEM×3Serve errClara Vondran+1.6
3215-17CLEMCLEM×3Attack errBritni Silver+2.3
3315-18CLEMCLEM×3AceClemson+2.3
3416-18CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+1.3
3517-18NC STNC STBlockedAnika Groomblk Talia Francom, Eva Long+2.1
3617-19NC STCLEM×3KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+1.9
3717-20CLEMCLEM×3Attack errBritni Silver+2.6
3817-21CLEMCLEM×3AceClemsonaced Clara Vondran+2.2
3918-21CLEMNC ST×3Attack errTalea Mitchell+0.9
4019-21NC STNC ST×3Attack errAnika Groom+1.9
4120-21NC STNC ST×3Attack errAnika Groom+2.5
4220-22NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+2.5
4320-23CLEMCLEMAttack errBritni Silver+3.0
4421-23CLEMNC STServe errClemson+1.2
4521-24NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.3
4621-25CLEMCLEMBad setClara Vondran+1.4
Set 3
10-1CLEMCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.7
21-1CLEMNC STServe errClemson+1.8
31-2NC STCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt+2.0
42-2CLEMNC STServe errClemson+1.9
52-3NC STCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt+2.1
63-3CLEMNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+1.9
74-3NC STNC STAceBritni Silveraced Lucy Maloney+2.6
84-4NC STCLEM×4Serve errBritni Silver+2.0
94-5CLEMCLEM×4KillAnika Groomset McKenna Gildon+3.0
104-6CLEMCLEM×4BlockedBritni Silverblk Talea Mitchell+3.3
114-7CLEMCLEM×4KillTalea Mitchellset Lina Merz+3.5
125-7CLEMNC STServe errClemson+2.2
135-8NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Lucy Maloney+2.6
146-8CLEMNC STKillClara Vondranset Eva Long+2.2
156-9NC STCLEMAttack errClara Vondran+2.7
167-9CLEMNC STServe errClemson+2.3
177-10NC STCLEMServe errClara Vondran+2.8
187-11CLEMCLEMBlockedEva Longblk Brianna Washington+3.8
198-11CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+2.2
209-11NC STNC STBlockedBrianna Washingtonblk Rebecca Ring, Talia Francom+3.4
219-12NC STCLEM×5Serve errKate Kilpatrick+3.0
229-13CLEMCLEM×5AceClemsonaced Clara Vondran+4.0
239-14CLEMCLEM×5KillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+3.7
249-15CLEMCLEM×5KillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+3.2
259-16CLEMCLEM×5KillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+2.6
2610-16CLEMNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+1.2
2710-17NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+1.8
2811-17CLEMNC STServe errClemson+1.1
2911-18NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Addi Rains+1.7
3011-19CLEMCLEMAttack errClara Vondran+1.6
3112-19CLEMNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+0.6
3212-20NC STCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+1.0
3313-20CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.5
3413-21NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+0.9
3514-21CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+0.3
3614-22NC STCLEMAttack errSophia Groom+0.7
3714-23CLEMCLEMKillBrianna Washington+0.4
3815-23CLEMNC STKillRebecca Ringset Elaisa Villar+0.1
3916-23NC STNC STAttack errBrianna Washington+0.2
4016-24NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+0.3
4116-25CLEMCLEMAttack errRebecca Ring+0.1
Set 4
11-0NC STNC STKillTalia Francomset Eva Long+3.6
21-1NC STCLEMKillKatherine Sandtset Claire Luoma+2.8
32-1CLEMNC STKillSa'Mya Dorseyset Eva Long+2.6
42-2NC STCLEMBlockedRebecca Ringblk Brianna Washington+2.9
53-2CLEMNC STKillRebecca Ringset Britni Silver+2.7
63-3NC STCLEMServe errClara Vondran+2.9
73-4CLEMCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+4.5
84-4CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+3.0
94-5NC STCLEMKillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+3.4
105-5CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+3.1
115-6NC STCLEM×4BlockedSa'Mya Dorseyblk Anika Groom, Talea Mitchell+3.5
125-7CLEMCLEM×4AceClemsonaced Kate Kilpatrick+5.2
135-8CLEMCLEM×4KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+5.5
145-9CLEMCLEM×4AceClemson+5.6
156-9CLEMNC ST×4Attack errAnika Groom+3.3
167-9NC STNC ST×4Attack errTalea Mitchell+5.0
178-9NC STNC ST×4Attack errAnika Groom+5.1
189-9NC STNC ST×4KillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+5.1
199-10NC STCLEM×3Serve errBritni Silver+4.0
209-11CLEMCLEM×3Bad setBritni Silver+6.0
219-12CLEMCLEM×3BlockedTalia Francomblk Talea Mitchell+6.3
2210-12CLEMNC STBlockedAnika Groomblk Talia Francom+3.8
2310-13NC STCLEMAttack errRebecca Ring+4.8
2411-13CLEMNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+3.9
2511-14NC STCLEMServe errElaisa Villar+5.0
2612-14CLEMNC ST×3KillRebecca Ringset Sophia Groom+4.0
2713-14NC STNC ST×3Attack errMaddie Anspaugh+6.1
2814-14NC STNC ST×3KillBritni Silverset Eva Long+6.3
2914-15NC STCLEMServe errRebecca Ring+5.1
3015-15CLEMNC ST×3KillEva Longset McKenna Gildon+4.6
3116-15NC STNC ST×3AceKate Kilpatrick+6.4
3217-15NC STNC ST×3Attack errLina Merz+5.7
3317-16NC STCLEMServe errKate Kilpatrick+4.0
3418-16CLEMNC ST×3BlockedAnika Groomblk Talia Francom, Eva Long+4.3
3519-16NC STNC ST×3KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+5.0
3620-16NC STNC ST×3KillBritni Silverset Kate Kilpatrick+3.6
3720-17NC STCLEM×3KillLina Merzset Katherine Sandt+1.9
3820-18CLEMCLEM×3KillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt+4.1
3920-19CLEMCLEM×3Attack errBritni Silver+6.2
4021-19CLEMNC STKillNorah Buschset Eva Long+5.4
4122-19NC STNC STAceBritni Silver+5.7
4222-20NC STCLEM×3KillKatherine Sandtset Claire Luoma+2.8
4322-21CLEMCLEM×3KillTalea Mitchell+6.7
4422-22CLEMCLEM×3KillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+10.8
4523-22CLEMNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+9.2
4623-23NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+9.2
4724-23CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+11.6
4825-23NC STNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+14.9
Set 5
10-1CLEMCLEMAceClemsonaced Britni Silver+8.5
21-1CLEMNC ST×4KillTalia Francomset Eva Long+5.8
32-1NC STNC ST×4BlockedBrianna Washingtonblk Sophia Groom, Norah Busch+7.8
43-1NC STNC ST×4Attack errLina Merz+7.1
54-1NC STNC ST×4KillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+6.0
64-2NC STCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt+4.1
75-2CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+4.4
85-3NC STCLEMKillAnika Groomset McKenna Gildon+4.2
96-3CLEMNC STKillRebecca Ringset Eva Long+4.6
106-4NC STCLEMServe errRebecca Ring+4.3
117-4CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+4.8
128-4NC STNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+5.2
138-5NC STCLEMServe errKate Kilpatrick+3.0
149-5CLEMNC STKillEva Longset Elaisa Villar+3.7
159-6NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.9
169-7CLEMCLEMAttack errBritni Silver+6.1
1710-7CLEMNC STKillBritni Silverset Eva Long+5.5
1810-8NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+4.5
1911-8CLEMNC STAttack errMaddie Anspaugh+5.7
2012-8NC STNC STBlockedMaddie Anspaughblk Norah Busch+5.3
2112-9NC STCLEMKillMaddie Anspaughset Katherine Sandt+2.3
2213-9CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+3.5
2313-10NC STCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt+1.7
2414-10CLEMNC STKillSophia Groomset Eva Long+3.1
2515-10NC STNC STKillEva Longset Elaisa Villar+1.1

Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).