FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

South Fla. def. Charlotte 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: South Fla. 93.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Fla. beat visiting Charlotte 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. South Fla.'s Laila Ivey led with 14 kills, and Miya Thomas added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
CHAR2320180
USF2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Laila Ivey needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. South Fla. swept Charlotte.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.1 points. Charlotte peaked at 9% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave South Fla. 94% before first serve.

CharlotteSouth Fla.
  • Break %+11.9 pts
    33.345.2

    Points won on own serve: 33 of 73 vs 21 of 63. Charlotte sided out 54.8% of the time.

  • Hitting+.209
    -.021.188

    41 K / 20 E against 24 K / 26 E.

  • Longest run+1
    56

    6 straight South Fla. points in the second set turned a 1–2 deficit into a 7–2 lead. That set ended 25–20.

South Fla. above 50Charlotte belowMax swing 2.1%

CharlotteSouth Fla.

Aces
Charlotte 3·South Fla. 4
Serve err
Charlotte 4·South Fla. 14
Blocks
Charlotte 8.5·South Fla. 105 BS · 7 BA vs 2 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Charlotte 37·South Fla. 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Fla. above 50 · Charlotte below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% USFrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to South Fla. — set 1, CHAR 23-25 USF. Kill by Laila Ivey (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva). USF win probability 95% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHAR 7.3%92.7% USF

Charlotte wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.3%

South Fla. wins

3-0
49.7%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
12.0%
CHAR break %
36.6% vs this opp
USF break %
47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Laila IveyKill+2.1%

    Kill by Laila Ivey (set by Nina Jioshvili-Ravva)

    Set 1 · CHAR 23-25 USF · USF 95% → 97%

  2. 02

    Addy Brus stuffed by Sara Marinkovic & Harper Hall

    Set 1 · CHAR 20-20 USF · CHAR 7% → 9%

  3. 03

    Sara Marinkovic stuffed by Iyanna Garvin & Laila Ivey

    Set 1 · CHAR 20-22 USF · USF 93% → 95%

  4. 04
    Laila IveyKill+1.7%

    Kill by Laila Ivey (set by Emelyn Stettin)

    Set 1 · CHAR 22-24 USF · USF 94% → 96%

  5. 05
    Jovana AnticBlock+1.6%

    Addy Brus stuffed by Jovana Antic

    Set 1 · CHAR 17-17 USF · CHAR 7% → 8%

  6. 06
    Addy BrusKill+1.6%

    Kill by Addy Brus (set by Emelyn Stettin)

    Set 1 · CHAR 20-21 USF · USF 91% → 93%

  7. 07
    Gia McGrewAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Gia McGrew

    Set 1 · CHAR 21-23 USF · USF 94% → 95%

  8. 08
    South Fla.Ace+1.4%

    South Fla. ace on Clara Briley

    Set 1 · CHAR 17-19 USF · USF 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35216.1881201022310
36415.13320231010.56.5
35623-.0430011000216
34312.083000102026
3001.00015101100212
31614-.357000500001
3011-1.000100410000
23313.000000001014
2000–000000000
2000–300200000
1012-.500000000000
1000–100000000
1000–001000000
Team totals242697-.0212334374578.561
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314434.2940002002115
310522.22701270031.512.5
39730.06700160010.59.5
3419.33300011132.56.5
3219.11100310052.54.5
3112.0002714601224
3001.0005231400002
3104.250000000001
3011-1.000500000000
3000–000220000
1000–000000000
1000–000100000
1000–001000000
Team totals4120112.188374144032161075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CHAR · USF 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 CHARUSF 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 CHARUSF 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 CHARUSF 4

Bars above the line = South Fla. leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Charlotte

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
27%3/11
2
73%8/11
27%3/11
3
50%6/12
11%1/9
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
50%6/12
50%6/12
6
50%6/12
50%6/12
All
55%40/73
33%21/63

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
54%7/13
2
73%8/11
38%5/13
3
100%8/8
50%8/16
4
75%6/8
25%2/8
5
38%6/16
45%5/11
6
60%6/10
50%6/12
All
67%42/63
45%33/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#CHAR-USFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHARCHARAttack errLaila Ivey+0.9
21-1CHARUSF×4KillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
31-2USFUSF×4BlockedGia McGrewblk Nina Jioshvili-Ravva, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.7
41-3USFUSF×4BlockedClara Brileyblk Laila Ivey, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.6
51-4USFUSF×4KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
62-4USFCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.4
72-5CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Miya Thomas+0.4
83-5USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
93-6CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
104-6USFCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.4
114-7CHARUSFBlockedSara Marinkovicblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.4
125-7USFCHARAttack errNina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
135-8CHARUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
145-9USFUSF×3Attack errSara Marinkovic+0.5
155-10USFUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
166-10USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.3
176-11CHARUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
186-12USFUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Clara Briley+0.3
197-12USFCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.2
207-13CHARUSFKillNina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
218-13USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.2
228-14CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
239-14USFCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.2
249-15CHARUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
259-16USFUSFAttack errGia McGrew+0.2
2610-16USFCHAR×3KillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+0.1
2711-16CHARCHAR×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Sara Marinkovic, Jovana Antic+0.2
2812-16CHARCHAR×3Attack errAddy Brus+0.3
2912-17CHARUSFKillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.3
3013-17USFCHAR×5Serve errSouth Fla.+0.3
3114-17CHARCHAR×5AceCharlotteaced Iyanna Garvin+0.5
3215-17CHARCHAR×5AceCharlotteaced Ryelle Rondo+0.8
3316-17CHARCHAR×5BlockedIyanna Garvinblk Sofia Locadia+1.2
3417-17CHARCHAR×5BlockedAddy Brusblk Jovana Antic+1.6
3517-18CHARUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+1.1
3617-19USFUSF×3AceSouth Fla.aced Clara Briley+1.4
3717-20USFUSF×3Attack errSara Marinkovic+1.1
3818-20USFCHAR×3Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.6
3919-20CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Chloe Maughan+1.4
4020-20CHARCHAR×3BlockedAddy Brusblk Sara Marinkovic, Harper Hall+2.0
4120-21CHARUSFKillAddy Brusset Emelyn Stettin+1.6
4220-22USFUSFBlockedSara Marinkovicblk Iyanna Garvin, Laila Ivey+1.8
4321-22USFCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+1.1
4421-23CHARUSFAttack errGia McGrew+1.5
4522-23USFCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+1.1
4622-24CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Emelyn Stettin+1.7
4723-24USFCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+1.0
4823-25CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+2.1
Set 2
11-0USFCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Clara Briley+0.4
21-1CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
32-1USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
42-2CHARUSF×6KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
52-3USFUSF×6Attack errGia McGrew+0.5
62-4USFUSF×6KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
72-5USFUSF×6BlockedJovana Anticblk Addy Brus, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.4
82-6USFUSF×6BlockedGia McGrewblk Paula Tomasa, Amelia Wass de Czege+0.3
92-7USFUSF×6KillAmelia Wass de Czegeset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
103-7USFCHARAttack errAddy Brus+0.2
113-8CHARUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.2
123-9USFUSFBlockedSara Marinkovicblk Iyanna Garvin, Paula Tomasa+0.2
134-9USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
144-10CHARUSFAttack errSara Marinkovic+0.1
155-10USFCHAR×5KillMariam Mushkudianiset Sofia Locadia+0.1
166-10CHARCHAR×5Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.2
177-10CHARCHAR×5Attack errEmelyn Stettin+0.3
188-10CHARCHAR×5KillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+0.4
199-10CHARCHAR×5AceCharlotteaced Ryelle Rondo+0.6
209-11CHARUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Emelyn Stettin+0.4
219-12USFUSF×3Attack errClara Briley+0.5
229-13USFUSF×3Attack errSofia Locadia+0.4
2310-13USFCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.2
2411-13CHARCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.5
2511-14CHARUSFKillMora Pampinset Emelyn Stettin+0.4
2611-15USFUSFKillLaila Iveyset Harper Hall+0.4
2712-15USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.3
2813-15CHARCHARBlockedAmelia Wass de Czegeblk Jovana Antic+0.5
2913-16CHARUSFAttack errGia McGrew+0.4
3014-16USFCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.4
3115-16CHARCHARAttack errLaila Ivey+0.7
3215-17CHARUSFServe errCharlotte+0.6
3316-17USFCHARAttack errAddy Brus+0.6
3416-18CHARUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
3517-18USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.6
3617-19CHARUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
3717-20USFUSF×3Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.7
3817-21USFUSF×3BlockedSofia Locadiablk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.5
3918-21USFCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Milena Lopez+0.2
4018-22CHARUSFAttack errChloe Maughan+0.3
4119-22USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.2
4220-22CHARCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Milena Lopez+0.5
4320-23CHARUSF×3KillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.6
4420-24USFUSF×3KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.4
4520-25USFUSF×3AceSouth Fla.+0.1
Set 3
10-1CHARUSF×3Serve errCharlotte+0.2
20-2USFUSF×3AceSouth Fla.+0.2
30-3USFUSF×3Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.2
41-3USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
52-3CHARCHARAttack errPaula Tomasa+0.2
62-4CHARUSF×4KillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
72-5USFUSF×4AceSouth Fla.aced Chloe Maughan+0.2
82-6USFUSF×4Attack errMariam Mushkudiani+0.1
92-7USFUSF×4KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
103-7USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
113-8CHARUSFServe errCharlotte+0.1
124-8USFCHARBlockedAddy Brusblk Jovana Antic, Harper Hall, Clara Briley+0.1
134-9CHARUSFServe errCharlotte+0.1
145-9USFCHAR×3Serve errSouth Fla.+0.1
156-9CHARCHAR×3BlockedAddy Brusblk Sofia Locadia+0.1
167-9CHARCHAR×3KillSara Marinkovicset Jovana Antic+0.2
177-10CHARUSFAttack errSofia Locadia+0.1
188-10USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
198-11CHARUSF×3KillAddy Brusset Miya Thomas+0.1
208-12USFUSF×3KillLaila Iveyset Miya Thomas+0.2
218-13USFUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
229-13USFCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.1
239-14CHARUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
2410-14USFCHARBlockedLaila Iveyblk Mariam Mushkudiani+0.1
2511-14CHARCHARKillJovana Anticset Dixie Gayden+0.2
2611-15CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Emelyn Stettin+0.1
2712-15USFCHARKillMariam Mushkudianiset Harper Hall+0.1
2812-16CHARUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Miya Thomas+0.1
2913-16USFCHARKillClara Brileyset Milena Lopez+0.1
3013-17CHARUSF×4Attack errClara Briley+0.1
3113-18USFUSF×4KillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva+0.1
3213-19USFUSF×4Attack errCassidy Flakes+0.1
3313-20USFUSF×4BlockedJovana Anticblk Iyanna Garvin·
3414-20USFCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Clara Briley·
3514-21CHARUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
3615-21USFCHARAttack errPaula Tomasa·
3715-22CHARUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
3816-22USFCHARAttack errLaila Ivey·
3916-23CHARUSFBlockedClara Brileyblk Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
4017-23USFCHARKillClara Brileyset Harper Hall·
4117-24CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Nina Jioshvili-Ravva·
4218-24USFCHARServe errSouth Fla.·
4318-25CHARUSFKillLaila Iveyset Miya Thomas·

Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).