FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMEAC

3:0

HomeSWAC

Delaware St. def. Ark.-Pine Bluff 3–0

(25-21, 25-15, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
DEL ST	25	25	25	3
ARK PB	21	15	15	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ARK PB above 50 · DEL ST below

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Delaware St. — set 1, DEL ST 22-20 ARK PB. Kill by Duura Kpea (set by Paige Ahakuelo). ARK PB win probability 4% → 3%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DEL ST 96.6%3.4% ARK PB

Delaware St. wins

3-0

60.7%

3-1

27.9%

3-2

8.0%

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

DEL ST break %: 54.4% vs this opp
ARK PB break %: 40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Duura KpeaKill+1.0%
Kill by Duura Kpea (set by Paige Ahakuelo)
Set 1 · DEL ST 22-20 ARK PB · DEL ST 96% → 97%
02
Ashanti ButlerKill+0.9%
Kill by Ashanti Butler (set by Kennedy Adams)
Set 1 · DEL ST 20-19 ARK PB · ARK PB 3% → 4%
03
ARK PB serverService error+0.9%
Ark.-Pine Bluff service error
Set 1 · DEL ST 21-19 ARK PB · DEL ST 96% → 97%
04
Haley ReevesKill+0.9%
Kill by Haley Reeves (set by London King)
Set 1 · DEL ST 21-20 ARK PB · ARK PB 3% → 4%
05
Haley ReevesAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Haley Reeves
Set 1 · DEL ST 23-20 ARK PB · DEL ST 97% → 98%
06
Duura KpeaAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Duura Kpea
Set 1 · DEL ST 1-3 ARK PB · ARK PB 4% → 5%
07
Zuzanna ZietekKill+0.6%
Kill by Zuzanna Zietek (set by Jnireah Henry)
Set 1 · DEL ST 2-4 ARK PB · ARK PB 4% → 5%
08
Aaliyah MitchellKill+0.6%
Kill by Aaliyah Mitchell (set by Courtney Nix)
Set 1 · DEL ST 20-17 ARK PB · DEL ST 97% → 98%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Delaware St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Aaliyah MitchellOH	3	15	4	27	.407	0	4	1	5	0	0	2	1	20
25Duura KpeaMB	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
14Jalia DublinOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	1	7
4Hannah SandersMB	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	1	1	0	0	6	3	6
11Mikayla MooreMB	3	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	4	5
9Paige AhakueloS	3	2	0	2	1.000	17	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	3
5Haley CrawfordOH	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
15Ailena MykinsS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
1Maria Fernanda Cisneros SalasOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
10Autumn RichardsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
6Courtney NixL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
13Myracle DavisMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Aubree MonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	18	86	.221	35	7	5	39	4	2	20	12	75

Ark.-Pine Bluffhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ashanti ButlerMB	3	6	5	15	.067	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
2Haley ReevesOH	3	4	2	16	.125	1	0	1	8	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
8Zuzanna ZietekOPP	3	5	6	22	-.045	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
20Kennedy AdamsMB	3	1	4	9	-.333	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
6Kinsley HooperL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
5Martyna LubowiczS	2	1	0	2	.500	6	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
14Ngozi NwosuMB	3	6	3	15	.200	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6
12Kaylen RobinsonOH	3	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Ava MillerS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
1Jnireah HenryL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
7London KingMB	2	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
22Karli GloverOH	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		24	24	92	.000	23	4	5	29	7	1	6	4	51

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 DEL ST · ARK PB 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 6 DEL STARK PB 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 4 DEL STARK PB 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 DEL STARK PB 5

Bars above the line = Ark.-Pine Bluff leads, below = Delaware St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Delaware St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	50%6/12
2	67%6/9	71%15/21
3	50%5/10	17%1/6
4	83%5/6	76%16/21
5	50%5/10	38%3/8
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	62%32/52	58%43/74

Ark.-Pine Bluff

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	29%2/7
2	35%6/17	42%5/12
3	50%5/10	14%1/7
4	29%5/17	55%6/11
5	50%4/8	0%0/5
6	100%4/4	60%6/10
All	42%31/74	38%20/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	DEL ST-ARK PB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.4
2	1-1	ARK PB	DEL ST	Attack err	Ashanti Butler	blk Duura Kpea, Hannah Sanders	+0.4
3	1-2	DEL ST	ARK PB	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.5
4	1-3	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Duura Kpea		+0.6
5	2-3	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.5
6	2-4	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Jnireah Henry	+0.6
7	3-4	ARK PB	DEL ST×6	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.5
8	4-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Courtney Nix	+0.5
9	5-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Ngozi Nwosu	+0.4
10	6-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Ngozi Nwosu		+0.4
11	7-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.3
12	8-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Kennedy Adams	blk Mikayla Moore	+0.3
13	8-5	DEL ST	ARK PB	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.2
14	9-5	ARK PB	DEL ST×3	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
15	10-5	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
16	11-5	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
17	11-6	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Jnireah Henry	+0.1
18	11-7	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Jalia Dublin		+0.2
19	12-7	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
20	12-8	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves		+0.2
21	13-8	ARK PB	DEL ST	Attack err	Kaylen Robinson	blk Hannah Sanders, Jalia Dublin	+0.2
22	13-9	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Jnireah Henry	+0.2
23	14-9	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.2
24	14-10	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.2
25	15-10	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.2
26	15-11	DEL ST	ARK PB	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.2
27	15-12	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Mikayla Moore		+0.3
28	16-12	ARK PB	DEL ST×3	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.3
29	17-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adams		+0.3
30	18-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek	blk Mikayla Moore, Aaliyah Mitchell	+0.2
31	18-13	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
32	19-13	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
33	19-14	DEL ST	ARK PB×4	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set London King	+0.1
34	19-15	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Mikayla Moore	blk Kennedy Adams	+0.2
35	19-16	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Haley Crawford		+0.4
36	19-17	ARK PB	ARK PB×4	Attack err	Jalia Dublin		+0.6
37	20-17	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Courtney Nix	+0.6
38	20-18	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Haley Crawford	blk Haley Reeves, Kennedy Adams	+0.5
39	20-19	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Kennedy Adams	+0.9
40	21-19	ARK PB	DEL ST	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.9
41	21-20	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set London King	+0.9
42	22-20	ARK PB	DEL ST×3	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Paige Ahakuelo	+1.0
43	23-20	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Haley Reeves		+0.8
44	24-20	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.4
45	24-21	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Aaliyah Mitchell		+0.1
46	25-21	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	ARK PB	DEL ST×4	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.2
2	2-0	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.2
3	3-0	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek	blk Duura Kpea, Mikayla Moore	+0.2
4	4-0	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
5	4-1	DEL ST	ARK PB×3	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+0.1
6	4-2	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Mikayla Moore		+0.2
7	4-3	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+0.2
8	5-3	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.2
9	6-3	DEL ST	DEL ST	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek	blk Mikayla Moore, Aaliyah Mitchell	+0.2
10	6-4	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set London King	+0.2
11	7-4	ARK PB	DEL ST×4	Kill	Mikayla Moore	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
12	8-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Zuzanna Zietek	+0.2
13	9-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
14	10-4	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Haley Reeves	+0.1
15	10-5	DEL ST	ARK PB	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.1
16	11-5	ARK PB	DEL ST	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.1
17	12-5	DEL ST	DEL ST	Attack err	Kaylen Robinson	blk Hannah Sanders, Haley Crawford	+0.1
18	12-6	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Ava Miller	+0.1
19	13-6	ARK PB	DEL ST×3	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
20	14-6	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Autumn Richardson	+0.0
21	15-6	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Kill	Jalia Dublin		+0.0
22	15-7	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Haley Reeves	set Ava Miller	+0.0
23	15-8	ARK PB	ARK PB	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Jalia Dublin	+0.0
24	16-8	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
25	16-9	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Duura Kpea	blk Ashanti Butler, Haley Reeves	+0.0
26	16-10	ARK PB	ARK PB	Attack err	Duura Kpea	blk Ashanti Butler, Haley Reeves	+0.1
27	17-10	ARK PB	DEL ST×3	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
28	18-10	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Ashanti Butler	blk Mikayla Moore	+0.0
29	19-10	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek	blk Duura Kpea, Mikayla Moore	+0.0
30	19-11	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Aaliyah Mitchell		+0.0
31	20-11	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Duura Kpea	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.0
32	20-12	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set London King	+0.0
33	21-12	ARK PB	DEL ST×3	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.0
34	22-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Jnireah Henry	+0.0
35	23-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×3	Ace	DEL ST server	aced London King	+0.0
36	23-13	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set London King	+0.0
37	23-14	ARK PB	ARK PB	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Autumn Richardson	+0.0
38	24-14	ARK PB	DEL ST	Attack err	Ngozi Nwosu		+0.0
39	24-15	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Ngozi Nwosu	set Ava Miller	+0.0
40	25-15	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Ailena Mykins	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	DEL ST	DEL ST	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.1
2	1-1	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Hannah Sanders		+0.1
3	1-2	ARK PB	ARK PB	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Jalia Dublin	+0.1
4	2-2	ARK PB	DEL ST×4	Kill	Hannah Sanders	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
5	3-2	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Attack err	Ashanti Butler		+0.1
6	4-2	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Attack err	Zuzanna Zietek		+0.1
7	5-2	DEL ST	DEL ST×4	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Paige Ahakuelo	+0.1
8	5-3	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
9	6-3	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Paige Ahakuelo	set Maria Fernanda Cisneros Salas	+0.1
10	6-4	DEL ST	ARK PB×5	Serve err	DEL ST server		+0.1
11	6-5	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Kill	Zuzanna Zietek	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
12	6-6	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Attack err	Aaliyah Mitchell		+0.1
13	6-7	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Ace	ARK PB server	aced Maria Fernanda Cisneros Salas	+0.2
14	6-8	ARK PB	ARK PB×5	Kill	Martyna Lubowicz	set Haley Reeves	+0.2
15	7-8	ARK PB	DEL ST×5	Kill	Paige Ahakuelo	set Maria Fernanda Cisneros Salas	+0.2
16	8-8	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Kill	Aaliyah Mitchell	set Ailena Mykins	+0.2
17	9-8	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Kennedy Adams		+0.1
18	10-8	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
19	11-8	DEL ST	DEL ST×5	Attack err	Karli Glover		+0.1
20	11-9	DEL ST	ARK PB	Kill	Kennedy Adams	set Martyna Lubowicz	+0.1
21	12-9	ARK PB	DEL ST	Kill	Haley Crawford	set Ailena Mykins	+0.1
22	12-10	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Jalia Dublin		+0.1
23	12-11	ARK PB	ARK PB	Kill	Kaylen Robinson	set Ava Miller	+0.1
24	13-11	ARK PB	DEL ST	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.1
25	13-12	DEL ST	ARK PB	Attack err	Aaliyah Mitchell		+0.1
26	14-12	ARK PB	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Kennedy Adams		+0.1
27	15-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Bad set	Ava Miller		+0.1
28	16-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Kaylen Robinson	blk Hannah Sanders, Jalia Dublin	+0.1
29	17-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Karli Glover	+0.1
30	18-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Kill	Jalia Dublin	set Autumn Richardson	+0.0
31	19-12	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Haley Reeves	blk Hannah Sanders, Duura Kpea	+0.0
32	19-13	DEL ST	ARK PB×3	Kill	Ashanti Butler	set Ava Miller	+0.0
33	19-14	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Hannah Sanders		+0.0
34	19-15	ARK PB	ARK PB×3	Attack err	Myracle Davis		+0.1
35	20-15	ARK PB	DEL ST×6	Serve err	ARK PB server		+0.1
36	21-15	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Bad set	Martyna Lubowicz		+0.0
37	22-15	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Ace	DEL ST server	aced Karli Glover	+0.0
38	23-15	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Ashanti Butler	blk Duura Kpea, Hannah Sanders	+0.0
39	24-15	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Kill	Hannah Sanders		+0.0
40	25-15	DEL ST	DEL ST×6	Attack err	Ngozi Nwosu		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Delaware St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.