Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

Delaware St. def. UMES 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Delaware St. 77.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Delaware St. won at UMES 3-1 (23-25, 25-15, 25-22, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Delaware St.'s Aaliyah Mitchell led with 12 kills.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
DEL ST232525253
UMES251522221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Delaware St. held on against UMES.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Delaware St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Delaware St. at 78%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Delaware St. 18–16 UMES

    UMES scored 5 straight to turn a 16–18 deficit into a 21–18 lead.

    Delaware St. 81% → 64%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Delaware St. 22–22 UMES

    UMES closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.

    Delaware St. 74% → 57%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Delaware St. 10–13 UMES

    Delaware St. scored 5 straight to turn a 10–13 deficit into a 15–13 lead.

    Delaware St. 59% → 77%

UMES above 50Delaware St. belowMax swing 9.7%

Delaware St.UMES

Sideout %
Delaware St. 58.8·UMES 50.5
Break %
Delaware St. 49.5·UMES 41.2
Hitting
Delaware St. .167·UMES .145
Longest run
Delaware St. 5·UMES 5

Aaliyah Mitchell
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .138, 14.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UMES above 50 · Delaware St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.7% UMESrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.7% to UMES — set 1, DEL ST 23-25 UMES. Attack error by Hannah Sanders. UMES win probability 33% → 43%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DEL ST 86.7%13.3% UMES

Delaware St. wins

3-0
39.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%

UMES wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
DEL ST break %
48.1% vs this opp
UMES break %
39.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hannah SandersAttack error+9.7%

    Attack error by Hannah Sanders

    Set 1 · DEL ST 23-25 UMES · UMES 33% → 43%

  2. 02

    Aaliyah Mitchell stuffed by Shayla Henry & Kyra Bradford

    Set 1 · DEL ST 23-24 UMES · UMES 27% → 33%

  3. 03

    Jayda Hutchins stuffed by Jalia Dublin & Hannah Sanders

    Set 1 · DEL ST 22-22 UMES · DEL ST 69% → 74%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Karielys Melendez)

    Set 1 · DEL ST 22-23 UMES · UMES 26% → 31%

  5. 05
    UMESService error+4.9%

    UMES service error

    Set 1 · DEL ST 23-23 UMES · DEL ST 69% → 73%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Arianna Warner Torres)

    Set 3 · DEL ST 21-20 UMES · UMES 20% → 25%

  7. 07
    Shayla HenryAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Shayla Henry

    Set 3 · DEL ST 22-20 UMES · DEL ST 75% → 80%

  8. 08

    Kill by Amanda Santos Juliao (set by Paige Ahakuelo)

    Set 3 · DEL ST 23-20 UMES · DEL ST 80% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412829.138124110010.514.5
410317.4121000014313
48317.2940000004210
48827.00001060010.59.5
46524.042000100217
4204.50021201000004
48425.1600001004210
41011.0004211100003
4000–1901400000
4000–002000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5531144.1674678440116998
UMEShome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412325.36000420435.517.5
48627.07410190010.58.5
44413.00000010132.56.5
45420.050000100216
4001.00021001400000
4000–001300000
410521.2380000002111
44416.00000210010.54.5
41011.0001401100001
4000–4001340000
Team totals4426124.14540094575121184

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Delaware St. vs UMES

Season series · Delaware St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 DEL ST · UMES 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 DEL STUMES 5

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 DEL STUMES 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 DEL STUMES 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 DEL STUMES 4

Bars above the line = UMES leads, below = Delaware St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Delaware St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
60%12/20
2
77%10/13
38%6/16
3
62%8/13
57%12/21
4
57%8/14
50%8/16
5
58%7/12
53%8/15
6
37%7/19
22%2/9
All
59%50/85
49%48/97

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%10/26
44%7/16
2
64%9/14
17%2/12
3
42%8/19
47%7/15
4
57%8/14
38%5/13
5
50%7/14
38%5/13
6
70%7/10
56%9/16
All
51%49/97
41%35/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#DEL ST-UMESSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UMESDEL STKillCourtney Nixset Jayda Hutchins+1.3
21-1DEL STUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+1.4
32-1UMESDEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+1.4
42-2DEL STUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+1.5
52-3UMESUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+2.0
63-3UMESDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.5
73-4DEL STUMESAttack errAmanda Santos Juliao+1.6
83-5UMESUMESAttack errJalia Dublin+2.2
94-5UMESDEL STBlockedRayah Howellblk Duura Kpea, Aaliyah Mitchell+1.6
104-6DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+1.8
114-7UMESUMESKillJaslyn Dawkinsset Kate - Linh Eden+2.3
125-7UMESDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Courtney Nix+1.6
135-8DEL STUMESServe errDelaware St.+1.9
146-8UMESDEL STAttack errJayda Hutchins+1.7
156-9DEL STUMESKillJaslyn Dawkinsset Arianna Warner Torres+2.0
167-9UMESDEL ST×5Serve errUMES+1.7
178-9DEL STDEL ST×5Attack errJayda Hutchins+2.3
189-9DEL STDEL ST×5AceDelaware St.+2.3
1910-9DEL STDEL ST×5KillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Aaliyah Mitchell+2.2
2011-9DEL STDEL ST×5BlockedMalaysia Shawblk Hannah Sanders+2.1
2111-10DEL STUMESBlockedAaliyah Mitchellblk Malaysia Shaw+1.6
2212-10UMESDEL STKillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+1.7
2313-10DEL STDEL STKillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Paige Ahakuelo+1.9
2413-11DEL STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+1.4
2513-12UMESUMESAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+2.2
2614-12UMESDEL ST×3KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.8
2715-12DEL STDEL ST×3KillDuura Kpea+2.1
2816-12DEL STDEL ST×3AceDelaware St.aced Karielys Melendez+1.7
2916-13DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+1.1
3016-14UMESUMESAttack errJalia Dublin+1.9
3117-14UMESDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.7
3217-15DEL STUMESBlockedEmma Patmonblk Rayah Howell, Kyra Bradford+1.6
3317-16UMESUMESAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+2.6
3418-16UMESDEL STBad setMalaysia Shaw+2.2
3518-17DEL STUMES×5Serve errDelaware St.+2.1
3618-18UMESUMES×5Attack errAmanda Santos Juliao+3.4
3718-19UMESUMES×5KillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+4.0
3818-20UMESUMES×5Attack errDuura Kpea+4.2
3918-21UMESUMES×5Attack errEmma Patmon+4.0
4019-21UMESDEL STKillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Ailena Mykins+2.2
4119-22DEL STUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+3.4
4220-22UMESDEL ST×3Serve errUMES+2.2
4321-22DEL STDEL ST×3KillPaige Ahakueloset Paige Ahakuelo+4.1
4422-22DEL STDEL ST×3BlockedJayda Hutchinsblk Jalia Dublin, Hannah Sanders+5.3
4522-23DEL STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Karielys Melendez+5.3
4623-23UMESDEL STServe errUMES+4.9
4723-24DEL STUMESBlockedAaliyah Mitchellblk Shayla Henry, Kyra Bradford+6.7
4823-25UMESUMESAttack errHannah Sanders+9.7
Set 2
11-0DEL STDEL ST×3KillHannah Sandersset Courtney Nix+2.5
22-0DEL STDEL ST×3KillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+2.3
33-0DEL STDEL ST×3KillHannah Sanders+2.1
43-1DEL STUMESKillJaslyn Dawkinsset Karielys Melendez+1.6
54-1UMESDEL STServe errUMES+1.7
64-2DEL STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.7
75-2UMESDEL ST×5Attack errJayda Hutchins+1.7
86-2DEL STDEL ST×5KillDuura Kpea+1.9
97-2DEL STDEL ST×5KillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Ailena Mykins+1.6
108-2DEL STDEL ST×5BlockedShayla Henryblk Duura Kpea, Emma Patmon+1.3
119-2DEL STDEL ST×5KillAaliyah Mitchellset Ailena Mykins+1.0
129-3DEL STUMESServe errDelaware St.+0.7
1310-3UMESDEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Ailena Mykins+0.8
1410-4DEL STUMES×3KillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.7
1510-5UMESUMES×3BlockedAmanda Santos Juliaoblk Rayah Howell, Kyra Bradford+1.1
1610-6UMESUMES×3KillJaslyn Dawkinsset Karielys Melendez+1.5
1711-6UMESDEL ST×4KillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Ailena Mykins+1.3
1812-6DEL STDEL ST×4KillEmma Patmonset Kate - Linh Eden+1.4
1913-6DEL STDEL ST×4KillHannah Sandersset Ailena Mykins+1.0
2014-6DEL STDEL ST×4BlockedJaslyn Dawkinsblk Amanda Santos Juliao, Hannah Sanders+0.7
2114-7DEL STUMESServe errDelaware St.+0.4
2214-8UMESUMESBlockedEmma Patmonblk Malaysia Shaw, Jaslyn Dawkins+0.8
2315-8UMESDEL STKillHannah Sandersset Ailena Mykins+0.8
2415-9DEL STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
2516-9UMESDEL STBlockedShayla Henryblk Jalia Dublin, Hannah Sanders+0.7
2616-10DEL STUMESAttack errJalia Dublin+0.5
2717-10UMESDEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+0.7
2817-11DEL STUMESServe errDelaware St.+0.5
2917-12UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+1.0
3018-12UMESDEL ST×3Serve errUMES+1.0
3119-12DEL STDEL ST×3KillEmma Patmonset Ailena Mykins+0.8
3220-12DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errKyra Bradford+0.4
3320-13DEL STUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Arianna Warner Torres+0.2
3420-14UMESUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.4
3521-14UMESDEL ST×4KillAaliyah Mitchellset Ailena Mykins+0.5
3622-14DEL STDEL ST×4KillEmma Patmon+0.3
3723-14DEL STDEL ST×4Attack errKyra Bradford+0.1
3824-14DEL STDEL ST×4AceDelaware St.aced Karielys Melendez·
3924-15DEL STUMESServe errDelaware St.·
4025-15UMESDEL STKillEmma Patmonset Ailena Mykins·
Set 3
10-1UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+2.9
21-1UMESDEL STKillPaige Ahakueloset Hannah Sanders+2.1
31-2DEL STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+2.3
42-2UMESDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.2
52-3DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+2.4
63-3UMESDEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Paige Ahakuelo+2.2
73-4DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+2.4
83-5UMESUMESAttack errEmma Patmon+3.3
94-5UMESDEL STAttack errMalaysia Shaw+2.4
105-5DEL STDEL STBlockedRayah Howellblk Emma Patmon, Duura Kpea+3.1
115-6DEL STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+2.6
125-7UMESUMESBlockedAmanda Santos Juliaoblk Shayla Henry, Malaysia Shaw+3.5
136-7UMESDEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Ailena Mykins+2.5
147-7DEL STDEL STAttack errJayda Hutchins+3.2
157-8DEL STUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+2.8
167-9UMESUMES×3BlockedHannah Sandersblk Malaysia Shaw+3.7
177-10UMESUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Ailena Mykins+3.8
188-10UMESDEL STKillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Ailena Mykins+2.6
199-10DEL STDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+3.5
209-11DEL STUMESAttack errJalia Dublin+3.2
219-12UMESUMESAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+4.1
2210-12UMESDEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+2.7
2310-13DEL STUMESBlockedJalia Dublinblk Kyra Bradford+3.3
2411-13UMESDEL ST×5KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+2.8
2512-13DEL STDEL ST×5Attack errKyra Bradford+3.9
2613-13DEL STDEL ST×5Attack errRayah Howell+4.0
2714-13DEL STDEL ST×5KillAaliyah Mitchellset Courtney Nix+3.9
2815-13DEL STDEL ST×5AceDelaware St.aced Karielys Melendez+3.7
2915-14DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+2.8
3015-15UMESUMESAttack errDuura Kpea+4.3
3116-15UMESDEL ST×3Serve errUMES+3.4
3217-15DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errKyra Bradford+4.1
3318-15DEL STDEL ST×3Attack errJayda Hutchins+3.5
3418-16DEL STUMESAttack errAmanda Santos Juliao+2.4
3518-17UMESUMESBlockedDuura Kpeablk Malaysia Shaw+4.0
3619-17UMESDEL STKillEmma Patmonset Courtney Nix+3.5
3720-17DEL STDEL STBlockedMalaysia Shawblk Emma Patmon, Duura Kpea+3.8
3820-18DEL STUMESAttack errAmanda Santos Juliao+2.4
3921-18UMESDEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Ailena Mykins+3.1
4021-19DEL STUMESServe errDelaware St.+2.4
4121-20UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+4.7
4222-20UMESDEL STAttack errShayla Henry+4.6
4323-20DEL STDEL STKillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Paige Ahakuelo+4.4
4423-21DEL STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+2.1
4524-21UMESDEL STKillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+3.5
4624-22DEL STUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+1.5
4725-22UMESDEL STServe errUMES+3.2
Set 4
11-0DEL STDEL ST×4KillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+2.1
22-0DEL STDEL ST×4KillJalia Dublinset Courtney Nix+1.9
33-0DEL STDEL ST×4Attack errShayla Henry+1.8
44-0DEL STDEL ST×4AceDelaware St.aced Karielys Melendez+1.5
54-1DEL STUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.2
65-1UMESDEL STKillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.2
75-2DEL STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+1.2
85-3UMESUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Arianna Warner Torres+1.8
96-3UMESDEL STServe errMalaysia Shaw+1.5
107-3DEL STDEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Ailena Mykins+1.6
117-4DEL STUMESKillShayla Henryset Arianna Warner Torres+1.2
128-4UMESDEL STAttack errRayah Howell+1.3
139-4DEL STDEL STAceAaliyah Mitchell+1.4
149-5DEL STUMESServe errAaliyah Mitchell+1.0
1510-5UMESDEL STKillDuura Kpeaset Ailena Mykins+1.1
1611-5DEL STDEL STAttack errRayah Howell+1.1
1711-6DEL STUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Kate - Linh Eden+0.8
1811-7UMESUMESAttack errAmanda Santos Juliao+1.3
1912-7UMESDEL STKillEmma Patmonset Ailena Mykins+1.1
2013-7DEL STDEL STAcePaige Ahakuelo+1.1
2113-8DEL STUMES×4KillKate - Linh Edenset Aaliyah Mitchell+0.7
2213-9UMESUMES×4Attack errHannah Sanders+1.3
2313-10UMESUMES×4Bad setAaliyah Mitchell+1.7
2413-11UMESUMES×4Attack errAmanda Santos Juliao+2.1
2514-11UMESDEL ST×4Attack errJaslyn Dawkins+1.8
2615-11DEL STDEL ST×4Attack errJaslyn Dawkins+2.0
2716-11DEL STDEL ST×4KillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+1.5
2817-11DEL STDEL ST×4KillAaliyah Mitchellset Paige Ahakuelo+1.1
2917-12DEL STUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+0.6
3017-13UMESUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Arianna Warner Torres+1.2
3117-14UMESUMES×3BlockedAaliyah Mitchellblk Malaysia Shaw, Jayda Hutchins+1.7
3218-14UMESDEL STKillHannah Sandersset Paige Ahakuelo+1.6
3318-15DEL STUMESAttack errAaliyah Mitchell+1.4
3418-16UMESUMESKillKyra Bradfordset Jayda Hutchins+2.4
3519-16UMESDEL STServe errMalaysia Shaw+2.3
3619-17DEL STUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Arianna Warner Torres+1.9
3720-17UMESDEL STKillEmma Patmonset Ailena Mykins+2.4
3820-18DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+2.0
3921-18UMESDEL ST×3KillEmma Patmonset Ailena Mykins+2.5
4022-18DEL STDEL ST×3KillHannah Sandersset Ailena Mykins+2.2
4123-18DEL STDEL ST×3KillAmanda Santos Juliaoset Kate - Linh Eden+1.2
4223-19DEL STUMESKillRayah Howellset Karielys Melendez+0.4
4324-19UMESDEL STBlockedJaslyn Dawkinsblk Emma Patmon, Hannah Sanders+0.7
4424-20DEL STUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
4524-21UMESUMES×3KillMalaysia Shawset Karielys Melendez+0.6
4624-22UMESUMES×3BlockedAaliyah Mitchellblk Malaysia Shaw+1.5
4725-22UMESDEL STKillJalia Dublinset Paige Ahakuelo+2.5

Score shown after each rally, Delaware St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).