CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

West Florida def. Southwest Minn. St. 31

(19-25, 25-16, 25-23, 25-22)
Set1234Sets
SW MN251623221
W FLA192525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W FLA above 50 · SW MN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100W FLASW MNBiggest swing +12.8% W FLA · S3 23-24rally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.8% to West Florida — set 3, SW MN 23-24 W FLA. Attack error by Mollie Rupp. W FLA win probability 56%69%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SW MN 38.0%62.0% W FLA

Southwest Minn. St. wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.1%

West Florida wins

3-0
18.3%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%
SW MN break %
41.9% vs this opp
W FLA break %
44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Mollie RuppAttack error+12.8%

    Attack error by Mollie Rupp

    Set 3 · SW MN 23-24 W FLA · W FLA 56%69%

  2. 02
    Lindsay KruseAttack error+12.1%

    Attack error by Lindsay Kruse

    Set 3 · SW MN 23-25 W FLA · W FLA 69%81%

  3. 03
    Mollie RuppKill+10.5%

    Kill by Mollie Rupp (set by Trevyn Smith)

    Set 3 · SW MN 23-22 W FLA · SW MN 41%51%

  4. 04
    Josie PundtAttack error+8.4%

    Josie Pundt stuffed by Kumara Flanagain

    Set 4 · SW MN 22-24 W FLA · W FLA 87%95%

  5. 05
    Mollie RuppKill+8.3%

    Kill by Mollie Rupp (set by Trevyn Smith)

    Set 3 · SW MN 22-22 W FLA · SW MN 33%41%

  6. 06
    SW MN serverAce+7.5%

    Southwest Minn. St. ace on Madalyn Mire

    Set 4 · SW MN 22-22 W FLA · SW MN 12%20%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kennedy Plummer (set by Gabi Moulton)

    Set 3 · SW MN 23-23 W FLA · W FLA 49%56%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kumara Flanagain (set by Gabi Moulton)

    Set 4 · SW MN 22-23 W FLA · W FLA 80%87%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48425.160101141010.58.5
45321.09500260010.55.5
43018.167012400004
32411-.182201200002
1215.200100000213
1001.000601400000
411530.2000001000011
41011.0001532900004
4001.0001011100000
4000100710000
37418.16700021010.57.5
33215.06700020010.53.5
3002.0001800300000
25320.100001100005
1000000200000
Team totals4726168.1254541168306386
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48420.2000203012212
48317.294311014002110
4125-.200001800001
33319.00010110212.55.5
2326.167001200003
2115.00010140010.51.5
411019.5790003020213
49332.18810210010110
40002032230000
32210.000000000002
3102.500700500001
23111.182000200003
2000000200000
1102.500000100001
1000602000000
1000000010000
Team totals5121148.2034931177466994

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 SW MN · W FLA 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 SW MNW FLA 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 SW MNW FLA 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 SW MNW FLA 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 SW MNW FLA 6

Bars above the line = West Florida leads, below = Southwest Minn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Southwest Minn. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
36%5/14
2
59%10/17
23%3/13
3
56%10/18
33%5/15
4
83%10/12
38%6/16
5
44%8/18
25%3/12
6
70%7/10
53%9/17
All
59%55/93
36%31/87

West Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
10%1/10
2
67%10/15
47%9/19
3
67%10/15
44%8/18
4
75%9/12
33%5/15
5
50%9/18
36%5/14
6
58%7/12
59%10/17
All
64%56/87
41%38/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

180 rallies

Rally log

#SW MN-W FLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0W FLASW MNKillAshley Peltierset Sydney Thein+1.8
22-0SW MNSW MNAttack errAniston Cochran+2.5
32-1SW MNW FLAAttack errPaige Steinmetzblk Gabi Moulton, Aniston Cochran+1.8
43-1W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+1.9
53-2SW MNW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+1.8
63-3W FLAW FLAAttack errMaddy Rangeblk Talya Sampson+2.5
74-3W FLASW MNAttack errRowan Kage+2.0
84-4SW MNW FLAKillRowan Kageset Gabi Moulton+1.9
95-4W FLASW MNAttack errDelaney Hanowell+2.0
105-5SW MNW FLA×4Attack errMakenzie Walsh+1.9
115-6W FLAW FLA×4KillRowan Kageset Talya Sampson+2.6
125-7W FLAW FLA×4KillEmily Breazealeset Delaney Hanowell+2.5
135-8W FLAW FLA×4KillRowan Kageset Gabi Moulton+2.3
146-8W FLASW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Trevyn Smith+1.7
157-8SW MNSW MNAttack errRowan Kageblk Ashley Peltier, Reese Drake+2.5
167-9SW MNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+2.0
178-9W FLASW MN×3KillReese Drakeset Trevyn Smith+1.9
189-9SW MNSW MN×3KillMaddy Rangeset Ashley Peltier+2.8
1910-9SW MNSW MN×3Bad setKaryna Werley+3.0
2010-10SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+2.2
2111-10W FLASW MNKillReese Drakeset Sydney Thein+2.4
2211-11SW MNW FLAAttack errAshley Peltierblk Aniston Cochran+2.3
2312-11W FLASW MNKillPaige Steinmetzset Sydney Thein+2.5
2412-12SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+2.4
2513-12W FLASW MNKillMaddy Rangeset Sydney Thein+2.6
2613-13SW MNW FLAAttack errPaige Steinmetz+2.5
2714-13W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+2.7
2814-14SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+2.6
2915-14W FLASW MN×3Serve errW FLA server+2.8
3016-14SW MNSW MN×3KillMakenzie Walshset Paige Steinmetz+3.8
3117-14SW MNSW MN×3KillJosie Pundt+3.6
3217-15SW MNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+2.3
3318-15W FLASW MNAttack errAniston Cochran+2.8
3418-16SW MNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley+2.3
3519-16W FLASW MNAttack errGabi Moultonblk Josie Pundt, Ashley Peltier+3.0
3619-17SW MNW FLAAttack errPaige Steinmetz+2.3
3720-17W FLASW MNKillAshley Peltierset Sydney Thein+3.1
3821-17SW MNSW MNKillAvery Fahlset Sydney Thein+3.3
3921-18SW MNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+1.6
4022-18W FLASW MN×3Attack errTalya Sampson+2.5
4123-18SW MNSW MN×3AceSW MN serveraced Madalyn Mire+1.9
4224-18SW MNSW MN×3AceSW MN serveraced Madalyn Mire+0.8
4324-19SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+0.1
4425-19W FLASW MNKillPaige Steinmetzset Trevyn Smith+0.3
Set 2
10-1SW MNW FLA×3Serve errSW MN server+2.0
20-2W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Madalyn Mire+2.6
30-3W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+2.4
41-3W FLASW MNKillAvery Fahlset Trevyn Smith+1.7
51-4SW MNW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+1.8
62-4W FLASW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Trevyn Smith+1.8
72-5SW MNW FLA×4KillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.9
82-6W FLAW FLA×4Attack errLindsay Kruse+2.3
92-7W FLAW FLA×4KillTalya Sampsonset Karyna Werley+2.0
102-8W FLAW FLA×4Attack errMakenzie Walshblk Talya Sampson, Delaney Hanowell+1.7
113-8W FLASW MNKillMollie Ruppset Trevyn Smith+1.1
123-9SW MNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.3
134-9W FLASW MNAttack errGabi Moulton+1.1
145-9SW MNSW MNBad setKaryna Werley+1.8
155-10SW MNW FLA×6Serve errSW MN server+1.6
165-11W FLAW FLA×6Attack errJosie Pundtblk Aniston Cochran, Gabi Moulton+1.7
175-12W FLAW FLA×6KillKaryna Werleyset Gabi Moulton+1.3
185-13W FLAW FLA×6Attack errMaddy Range+1.0
195-14W FLAW FLA×6KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.7
205-15W FLAW FLA×6KillGabi Moultonset Emily Breazeale+0.4
216-15W FLASW MN×3KillJosie Pundtset Tatem Schmidt+0.2
227-15SW MNSW MN×3Attack errEmily Breazeale+0.4
238-15SW MNSW MN×3Attack errCamryn Brooks+0.6
248-16SW MNW FLABad setMollie Rupp+0.6
259-16W FLASW MNKillJosie Pundtset Kennedy Drake+0.4
269-17SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+0.6
279-18W FLAW FLAAttack errJosie Pundt+0.5
2810-18W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+0.2
2911-18SW MNSW MNAttack errTalya Sampson+0.4
3011-19SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+0.5
3112-19W FLASW MNKillMollie Ruppset Trevyn Smith+0.3
3212-20SW MNW FLAKillKendra Howseset Gabi Moulton+0.4
3312-21W FLAW FLAAttack errMakenzie Walshblk Talya Sampson+0.3
3413-21W FLASW MN×3KillLindsay Kruseset Trevyn Smith+0.1
3514-21SW MNSW MN×3Attack errTalya Sampsonblk Maddy Range, Lindsay Kruse+0.2
3615-21SW MNSW MN×3Attack errKendra Howse+0.4
3715-22SW MNW FLAAttack errMollie Rupp+0.5
3815-23W FLAW FLAAttack errMollie Rupp+0.3
3916-23W FLASW MNKillMaddy Rangeset Tatem Schmidt+0.1
4016-24SW MNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.1
4116-25W FLAW FLAKillLiliana Gegovicset Madalyn Mire+0.0
Set 3
11-0W FLASW MNKillLindsay Kruseset Tatem Schmidt+2.5
21-1SW MNW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+2.4
31-2W FLAW FLA×3KillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+3.2
41-3W FLAW FLA×3Attack errPaige Steinmetz+3.1
52-3W FLASW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Tatem Schmidt+2.3
62-4SW MNW FLAKillCamryn Brooksset Gabi Moulton+2.4
73-4W FLASW MNKillAvery Fahlset Tatem Schmidt+2.4
83-5SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+2.4
94-5W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+2.4
104-6SW MNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.5
115-6W FLASW MNKillMollie Ruppset Reese Drake+2.5
126-6SW MNSW MNKillReese Drakeset Trevyn Smith+3.5
136-7SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+2.7
146-8W FLAW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.5
157-8W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+2.6
167-9SW MNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.7
178-9W FLASW MNKillReese Drakeset Tatem Schmidt+2.6
188-10SW MNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+2.8
199-10W FLASW MN×3Serve errW FLA server+2.7
2010-10SW MNSW MN×3Attack errAniston Cochran+4.0
2111-10SW MNSW MN×3Attack errEmily Breazeale+4.3
2211-11SW MNW FLA×3KillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+3.1
2311-12W FLAW FLA×3AceW FLA serveraced Reese Drake+4.2
2411-13W FLAW FLA×3KillKendra Howseset Gabi Moulton+4.1
2512-13W FLASW MNKillMaddy Rangeset Tatem Schmidt+3.0
2613-13SW MNSW MNAttack errCamryn Brooks+4.4
2713-14SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+3.5
2814-14W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+3.5
2914-15SW MNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.6
3015-15W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+3.7
3115-16SW MNW FLAKillKennedy Plummerset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.8
3216-16W FLASW MNAttack errGabi Moulton+3.9
3316-17SW MNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+4.0
3416-18W FLAW FLAAceW FLA serveraced Kennedy Drake+5.2
3517-18W FLASW MNKillReese Drakeset Tatem Schmidt+3.6
3617-19SW MNW FLAKillKennedy Plummerset Gabi Moulton+4.1
3718-19W FLASW MNKillMaddy Rangeset Tatem Schmidt+3.8
3818-20SW MNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+4.4
3919-20W FLASW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Tatem Schmidt+3.9
4019-21SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+4.8
4120-21W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+4.1
4220-22SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+5.3
4321-22W FLASW MN×3KillReese Drakeset Mollie Rupp+4.3
4422-22SW MNSW MN×3KillMollie Ruppset Trevyn Smith+8.3
4523-22SW MNSW MN×3KillMollie Ruppset Trevyn Smith+10.5
4623-23SW MNW FLA×3KillKennedy Plummerset Gabi Moulton+7.5
4723-24W FLAW FLA×3Attack errMollie Rupp+12.8
4823-25W FLAW FLA×3Attack errLindsay Kruse+12.1
Set 4
10-1SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+2.1
20-2W FLAW FLAAttack errReese Drake+2.8
31-2W FLASW MNKillLindsay Kruseset Tatem Schmidt+2.1
42-2SW MNSW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Tatem Schmidt+2.9
52-3SW MNW FLA×6Attack errReese Drakeblk Kumara Flanagain+2.2
62-4W FLAW FLA×6Attack errMaddy Range+2.9
72-5W FLAW FLA×6Attack errMakenzie Walsh+2.7
82-6W FLAW FLA×6KillGabi Moultonset Tatem Schmidt+2.5
92-7W FLAW FLA×6Attack errReese Drake+2.1
102-8W FLAW FLA×6Attack errMakenzie Walshblk Emily Breazeale+1.8
113-8W FLASW MNServe errW FLA server+1.2
123-9SW MNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.4
133-10W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.5
144-10W FLASW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Tatem Schmidt+0.9
155-10SW MNSW MNAttack errAniston Cochran+1.5
165-11SW MNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.4
176-11W FLASW MN×3KillReese Drakeset Tatem Schmidt+1.1
187-11SW MNSW MN×3KillJosie Pundtset Tatem Schmidt+1.9
198-11SW MNSW MN×3KillJosie Pundtset Tatem Schmidt+2.4
208-12SW MNW FLAAttack errTatem Schmidt+2.1
218-13W FLAW FLAAceW FLA serveraced Josie Pundt+2.3
229-13W FLASW MNKillJosie Pundtset Tatem Schmidt+1.4
2310-13SW MNSW MNAceSW MN serveraced Gracyn Marshall+2.4
2410-14SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+2.2
2511-14W FLASW MN×3Attack errKennedy Plummer+1.9
2612-14SW MNSW MN×3Bad setGabi Moulton+3.1
2713-14SW MNSW MN×3KillMakenzie Walshset Tatem Schmidt+3.7
2813-15SW MNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+3.0
2913-16W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+3.6
3014-16W FLASW MNKillMakenzie Walshset Trevyn Smith+2.4
3114-17SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+2.8
3215-17W FLASW MN×3KillReese Drakeset Trevyn Smith+2.5
3316-17SW MNSW MN×3KillMakenzie Walshset Paige Steinmetz+4.1
3417-17SW MNSW MN×3KillMakenzie Walshset Trevyn Smith+4.9
3517-18SW MNW FLAServe errSW MN server+3.9
3618-18W FLASW MNAttack errEmily Breazeale+4.0
3718-19SW MNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+4.2
3818-20W FLAW FLAAttack errReese Drake+5.4
3919-20W FLASW MNKillTrevyn Smithset Ashlynn Schroeder+3.6
4019-21SW MNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley+4.4
4120-21W FLASW MNAttack errKendra Howse+3.8
4220-22SW MNW FLAAttack errKennedy Plummer+4.8
4321-22W FLASW MNKillJosie Pundtset Trevyn Smith+3.9
4422-22SW MNSW MNAceSW MN serveraced Madalyn Mire+7.5
4522-23SW MNW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+6.9
4622-24W FLAW FLA×3Attack errJosie Pundtblk Kumara Flanagain+8.4
4722-25W FLAW FLA×3Attack errJosie Pundt+4.6

Score shown after each rally, Southwest Minn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.