FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayASUN

3:0

HomeSWAC

West Florida def. Alabama St. 3–0

(25-14, 25-11, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W FLA	25	25	25	3
ALA ST	14	11	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALA ST above 50 · W FLA below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Alabama St. — set 2, W FLA 2-5 ALA ST. Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay). ALA ST win probability 0% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W FLA 99.7%0.3% ALA ST

West Florida wins

3-0

82.0%

3-1

15.7%

3-2

1.9%

Alabama St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

W FLA break %: 56.3% vs this opp
ALA ST break %: 35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kaylen HinesKill+0.1%
Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 2 · W FLA 2-5 ALA ST · ALA ST 0% → 0%
02
Emily BreazealeAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Emily Breazeale
Set 1 · W FLA 1-2 ALA ST · ALA ST 0% → 0%
03
Talya SampsonAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Talya Sampson
Set 3 · W FLA 17-18 ALA ST · ALA ST 0% → 0%
04
Amaya RobinsonKill+0.1%
Kill by Amaya Robinson (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 2 · W FLA 4-6 ALA ST · ALA ST 0% → 0%
05
W FLA serverAce+0.1%
West Florida ace on Team
Set 2 · W FLA 4-5 ALA ST · W FLA 100% → 100%
06
Aniston CochranAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Aniston Cochran
Set 3 · W FLA 15-16 ALA ST · ALA ST 0% → 0%
07
W FLA serverAce+0.1%
West Florida ace on Julia Slaughter
Set 1 · W FLA 3-2 ALA ST · W FLA 100% → 100%
08
Kumara FlanagainAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Kumara Flanagain
Set 2 · W FLA 0-2 ALA ST · ALA ST 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

West Floridaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Delaney HanowellMB	3	9	0	13	.692	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	4.5	13.5
1Emily BreazealeOH	3	9	4	20	.250	1	1	2	4	0	0	2	1	11
18Kumara FlanagainOH	3	7	1	14	.429	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	10.5
12Gabi MoultonS	3	7	2	14	.357	17	0	0	9	0	1	0	1	8
11Aniston CochranMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
8Camryn BrooksL/DS	3	2	0	6	.333	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
20Talya SampsonOH	3	6	3	11	.273	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
5Karyna WerleyS	3	1	0	2	.500	18	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
6Madalyn MireL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	6	1	1	17	1	0	0	0	1
4Kennedy PlummerOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
2Madison JoynerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		46	12	93	.366	43	7	5	47	3	3	14	10	75

Alabama St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Kaylen HinesMB	3	10	2	19	.421	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
5Lyric EdwardsMB	3	7	2	20	.250	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	8
21Amaya RobinsonOH	3	7	7	29	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
14Kamrynn ClayS	3	0	0	4	.000	22	0	1	4	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Emani GreenDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
11Julia SlaughterS	2	0	2	6	-.333	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0
8Taylor WilliamsOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	2	1	5	1	0	0	2
2Denver WatkinsOH	3	1	3	14	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Mirra RiddleL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	11	1	0	0	1
12Alexis WilliamsMB	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
23Ava O'HareL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Makeda EdwardsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	17	97	.082	23	3	3	28	7	8	4	46

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 10 W FLA · ALA ST 3

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 5 W FLAALA ST 2

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 10 W FLAALA ST 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 W FLAALA ST 3

Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = West Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

West Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	64%9/14
2	75%6/8	67%12/18
3	56%5/9	44%4/9
4	83%5/6	44%4/9
5	100%5/5	62%8/13
6	57%4/7	64%7/11
All	66%31/47	59%44/74

Alabama St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	27%6/22	55%6/11
2	56%5/9	33%3/9
3	56%5/9	38%3/8
4	50%5/10	38%3/8
5	38%5/13	17%1/6
6	36%4/11	0%0/5
All	41%30/74	34%16/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

121 rallies

Rally log

#	W FLA-ALA ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
2	1-1	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
3	1-2	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+0.1
4	2-2	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.1
5	3-2	W FLA	W FLA×3	Ace	W FLA server	aced Julia Slaughter	+0.1
6	4-2	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Amaya Robinson	blk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain	+0.0
7	4-3	W FLA	ALA ST	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
8	5-3	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
9	5-4	W FLA	ALA ST	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+0.0
10	6-4	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
11	7-4	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
12	8-4	W FLA	W FLA×3	Ace	W FLA server	aced Julia Slaughter	+0.0
13	8-5	W FLA	ALA ST	Attack err	Gabi Moulton	blk Denver Watkins, Lyric Edwards	+0.0
14	9-5	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
15	10-5	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Camryn Brooks	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
16	11-5	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
17	11-6	W FLA	ALA ST	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
18	12-6	ALA ST	W FLA×4	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
19	13-6	W FLA	W FLA×4	Ace	W FLA server	aced Mirra Riddle	+0.0
20	14-6	W FLA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Lyric Edwards		+0.0
21	15-6	W FLA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Julia Slaughter	blk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell	+0.0
22	15-7	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
23	15-8	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines		+0.0
24	16-8	ALA ST	W FLA×5	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
25	17-8	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Amaya Robinson	blk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain	+0.0
26	18-8	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
27	19-8	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Delaney Hanowell	+0.0
28	20-8	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
29	20-9	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
30	21-9	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
31	21-10	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
32	21-11	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Madalyn Mire	+0.0
33	22-11	ALA ST	W FLA	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
34	22-12	W FLA	ALA ST	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
35	23-12	ALA ST	W FLA	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+0.0
36	23-13	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
37	24-13	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
38	24-14	W FLA	ALA ST	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+0.0
39	25-14	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards		+0.0
2	0-2	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Kumara Flanagain		+0.1
3	1-2	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
4	1-3	W FLA	ALA ST	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.1
5	2-3	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Emily Breazeale	+0.0
6	2-4	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
7	2-5	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
8	3-5	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+0.1
9	4-5	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Team	+0.1
10	4-6	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
11	5-6	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
12	6-6	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Madalyn Mire	+0.1
13	7-6	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
14	7-7	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
15	8-7	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+0.0
16	9-7	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Lyric Edwards		+0.0
17	10-7	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
18	10-8	W FLA	ALA ST	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+0.0
19	11-8	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
20	12-8	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Denver Watkins	blk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain	+0.0
21	13-8	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Alexis Williams	blk Delaney Hanowell, Emily Breazeale	+0.0
22	13-9	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
23	13-10	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
24	14-10	ALA ST	W FLA×10	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
25	15-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
26	16-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Attack err	Julia Slaughter	blk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain	+0.0
27	17-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Bad set	Kamrynn Clay		+0.0
28	18-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
29	19-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
30	20-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Ace	W FLA server	aced Lyric Edwards	+0.0
31	21-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
32	22-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
33	23-10	W FLA	W FLA×10	Attack err	Amaya Robinson	blk Kumara Flanagain	+0.0
34	23-11	W FLA	ALA ST	Attack err	Kennedy Plummer		+0.0
35	24-11	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
36	25-11	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Julia Slaughter	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Amaya Robinson	blk Kumara Flanagain, Delaney Hanowell	+0.0
2	1-1	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
3	1-2	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
4	2-2	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
5	3-2	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Lyric Edwards	+0.0
6	3-3	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
7	3-4	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Kennedy Plummer	+0.0
8	4-4	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
9	5-4	W FLA	W FLA×3	Ace	W FLA server	aced Taylor Williams	+0.0
10	6-4	W FLA	W FLA×3	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
11	6-5	W FLA	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
12	6-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
13	6-7	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Kaylen Hines, Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
14	7-7	ALA ST	W FLA	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
15	7-8	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
16	8-8	ALA ST	W FLA	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+0.0
17	8-9	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
18	9-9	ALA ST	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
19	10-9	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
20	11-9	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+0.0
21	11-10	W FLA	ALA ST	Attack err	Gabi Moulton	blk Amaya Robinson, Alexis Williams	+0.0
22	11-11	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Emily Breazeale	blk Lyric Edwards, Alexis Williams	+0.0
23	12-11	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
24	12-12	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
25	12-13	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Team	+0.0
26	13-13	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Camryn Brooks	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
27	13-14	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
28	14-14	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
29	15-14	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
30	15-15	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
31	15-16	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Aniston Cochran		+0.1
32	16-16	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
33	17-16	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
34	17-17	W FLA	ALA ST	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
35	17-18	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+0.1
36	18-18	ALA ST	W FLA×5	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
37	19-18	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Amaya Robinson	blk Gabi Moulton	+0.1
38	20-18	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Kaylen Hines		+0.0
39	21-18	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
40	22-18	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
41	22-19	W FLA	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
42	23-19	ALA ST	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
43	23-20	W FLA	ALA ST	Bad set	Aniston Cochran		+0.0
44	23-21	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
45	24-21	ALA ST	W FLA	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
46	25-21	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Camryn Brooks	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, West Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.