Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwaySUNSHINE-STATE

3:1

HomeASUN

Tampa def. West Florida 3–1

(30-28, 25-21, 13-25, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
TAMPA	30	25	13	25	3
W FLA	28	21	25	21	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W FLA above 50 · TAMPA below

Biggest swing: 10.5% to Tampa — set 1, TAMPA 30-28 W FLA. Attack error by Emily Breazeale. W FLA win probability 50% → 40%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TAMPA 40.5%59.5% W FLA

Tampa wins

3-0

8.9%

3-1

14.8%

3-2

16.8%

West Florida wins

3-0

16.9%

3-1

22.7%

3-2

19.9%

TAMPA break %: 40.4% vs this opp
W FLA break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Emily BreazealeAttack error+10.5%
Attack error by Emily Breazeale
Set 1 · TAMPA 30-28 W FLA · TAMPA 50% → 60%
02
Gabi MoultonAttack error+10.0%
Gabi Moulton stuffed by Maddie Sofarelli & Camden Rahn
Set 1 · TAMPA 25-24 W FLA · TAMPA 40% → 50%
03
Olivia GuzmanAttack error+7.8%
Olivia Guzman stuffed by Aniston Cochran & Emily Breazeale
Set 1 · TAMPA 22-23 W FLA · W FLA 58% → 65%
04
Aniston CochranKill+7.1%
Kill by Aniston Cochran (set by Karyna Werley)
Set 1 · TAMPA 25-25 W FLA · W FLA 50% → 57%
05
Connor RahnKill+7.1%
Kill by Connor Rahn (set by Kayla Dondero)
Set 1 · TAMPA 26-25 W FLA · TAMPA 43% → 50%
06
Gabi MoultonKill+7.1%
Kill by Gabi Moulton (set by Karyna Werley)
Set 1 · TAMPA 26-26 W FLA · W FLA 50% → 57%
07
Talya SampsonAttack error+7.1%
Talya Sampson stuffed by Camden Rahn & Mak Carter
Set 1 · TAMPA 27-26 W FLA · TAMPA 43% → 50%
08
Gabi MoultonKill+7.1%
Kill by Gabi Moulton (set by Karyna Werley)
Set 1 · TAMPA 27-27 W FLA · W FLA 50% → 57%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tampaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Connor RahnOH	4	13	6	49	.143	1	0	0	8	2	1	3	2.5	15.5
33Mak CarterMB	4	10	2	19	.421	0	0	2	1	0	0	8	4	14
9Ainhoa MollejaOH	4	12	5	30	.233	1	0	3	15	2	0	1	0.5	12.5
4Camden RahnOH	4	7	6	26	.038	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9
7Maddie SofarelliMB	4	8	4	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
1Kayla DonderoS	4	0	0	0	–	23	3	1	8	0	0	0	0	3
17Jenna GlaudelS	4	2	0	2	1.000	23	2	1	11	0	0	0	0	4
3Ana RiveraL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	1	3	20	3	0	0	0	1
13Olivia GuzmanMB	3	2	2	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
14Logan MilanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Zoe RichardsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Julianna BaskinMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2
6Katelynn LoweryOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		56	26	157	.191	53	6	11	63	7	2	20	12	93

West Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Emily BreazealeOH	4	9	7	27	.074	0	0	1	6	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
5Karyna WerleyS	4	5	3	17	.118	15	3	0	10	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
11Aniston CochranMB	4	6	2	18	.222	0	1	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
7Delaney HanowellMB	4	7	3	20	.200	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
12Gabi MoultonS	4	6	4	23	.087	25	0	0	9	0	1	0	1	7
8Camryn BrooksL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	1	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
20Talya SampsonOH	4	7	6	20	.050	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
6Madalyn MireL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	2	1	21	2	0	0	0	2
18Kumara FlanagainOH	3	8	1	16	.438	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
2Madison JoynerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
14Rowan KageL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	26	145	.152	43	7	4	66	6	1	8	5	95

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 TAMPA · W FLA 6

Set 1

30-28

Longest run 4 TAMPAW FLA 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 TAMPAW FLA 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 TAMPAW FLA 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 3 TAMPAW FLA 5

Bars above the line = West Florida leads, below = Tampa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tampa

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	52%11/21	47%8/17
2	50%9/18	36%5/14
3	38%9/24	31%4/13
4	89%8/9	44%7/16
5	67%8/12	50%8/16
6	67%8/12	50%8/16
All	55%53/96	43%40/92

West Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%11/17	50%9/18
2	53%9/17	39%7/18
3	64%9/14	57%12/21
4	47%8/17	50%8/16
5	73%8/11	20%2/10
6	44%7/16	38%5/13
All	57%52/92	45%43/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

188 rallies

Rally log

#	TAMPA-W FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Kayla Dondero	+1.8
2	1-1	TAMPA	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Madalyn Mire	+1.7
3	1-2	W FLA	W FLA×3	Ace	W FLA server	aced Ana Rivera	+2.5
4	1-3	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Maddie Sofarelli		+2.4
5	2-3	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Kayla Dondero	+1.7
6	2-4	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+1.7
7	3-4	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Ana Rivera	+1.7
8	3-5	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+1.8
9	4-5	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+1.7
10	5-5	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Ace	TAMPA server	aced Emily Breazeale	+2.7
11	6-5	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Olivia Guzman, Mak Carter	+2.8
12	6-6	TAMPA	W FLA×3	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+2.0
13	6-7	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+2.8
14	6-8	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Mak Carter		+2.7
15	7-8	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Jenna Glaudel	+1.9
16	7-9	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+2.0
17	8-9	W FLA	TAMPA	Bad set	Gabi Moulton		+1.9
18	8-10	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+2.0
19	8-11	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Connor Rahn		+2.7
20	9-11	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Jenna Glaudel	+1.7
21	9-12	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Camden Rahn		+1.9
22	9-13	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Ana Rivera	+2.4
23	10-13	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Kayla Dondero	+1.4
24	11-13	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Ana Rivera	+2.5
25	12-13	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Emily Breazeale	blk Maddie Sofarelli, Connor Rahn	+3.0
26	12-14	TAMPA	W FLA×5	Serve err	TAMPA server		+2.3
27	12-15	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Ainhoa Molleja		+3.0
28	12-16	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+2.6
29	12-17	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+2.0
30	12-18	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Connor Rahn		+1.4
31	13-18	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Kayla Dondero	+0.6
32	14-18	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+1.4
33	15-18	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+2.0
34	15-19	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+1.9
35	16-19	W FLA	TAMPA×4	Attack err	Emily Breazeale	blk Mak Carter, Connor Rahn	+1.4
36	17-19	TAMPA	TAMPA×4	Attack err	Gabi Moulton	blk Mak Carter, Connor Rahn	+2.8
37	18-19	TAMPA	TAMPA×4	Attack err	Gabi Moulton		+3.8
38	19-19	TAMPA	TAMPA×4	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+4.7
39	19-20	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Karyna Werley	+3.7
40	20-20	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+3.6
41	21-20	TAMPA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja		+6.0
42	21-21	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+4.0
43	22-21	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+4.8
44	22-22	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+4.6
45	22-23	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Olivia Guzman	blk Aniston Cochran, Emily Breazeale	+7.8
46	23-23	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Jenna Glaudel	+5.2
47	23-24	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+6.8
48	24-24	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+6.8
49	25-24	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Gabi Moulton	blk Maddie Sofarelli, Camden Rahn	+10.0
50	25-25	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Karyna Werley	+7.1
51	26-25	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+7.1
52	26-26	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+7.1
53	27-26	W FLA	TAMPA	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Camden Rahn, Mak Carter	+7.1
54	27-27	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+7.1
55	28-27	W FLA	TAMPA	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell		+7.1
56	28-28	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+7.1
57	29-28	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Jenna Glaudel	+7.1
58	30-28	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+10.5
Set 2
1	1-0	TAMPA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+2.8
2	1-1	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+1.9
3	1-2	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Camden Rahn		+2.8
4	2-2	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Kayla Dondero	+2.0
5	3-2	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+2.9
6	3-3	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+2.0
7	3-4	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Connor Rahn		+2.9
8	4-4	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Ainhoa Molleja	+2.1
9	4-5	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+2.1
10	5-5	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.1
11	5-6	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Karyna Werley	+2.1
12	6-6	W FLA	TAMPA	Serve err	W FLA server		+2.2
13	6-7	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+2.2
14	7-7	W FLA	TAMPA×5	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.2
15	8-7	TAMPA	TAMPA×5	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Kayla Dondero	+3.3
16	9-7	TAMPA	TAMPA×5	Ace	TAMPA server	aced Emily Breazeale	+3.4
17	10-7	TAMPA	TAMPA×5	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja		+3.3
18	11-7	TAMPA	TAMPA×5	Ace	TAMPA server	aced Emily Breazeale	+3.1
19	11-8	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Ainhoa Molleja		+1.8
20	12-8	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Kayla Dondero	+2.2
21	12-9	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+1.8
22	13-9	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+2.3
23	14-9	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Kumara Flanagain		+2.7
24	14-10	TAMPA	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+1.5
25	14-11	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+2.7
26	14-12	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+3.2
27	15-12	W FLA	TAMPA	Serve err	W FLA server		+2.7
28	15-13	TAMPA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Olivia Guzman		+2.3
29	15-14	W FLA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Mak Carter		+3.8
30	15-15	W FLA	W FLA×4	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+4.2
31	15-16	W FLA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Connor Rahn	blk Gabi Moulton	+4.4
32	16-16	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+3.1
33	17-16	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Gabi Moulton	blk Olivia Guzman, Mak Carter	+4.8
34	18-16	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+4.9
35	18-17	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+3.0
36	19-17	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Olivia Guzman	set Jenna Glaudel	+3.7
37	19-18	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+3.1
38	19-19	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Ainhoa Molleja		+5.4
39	20-19	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Jenna Glaudel	+4.3
40	20-20	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+4.1
41	21-20	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+4.7
42	22-20	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+6.6
43	22-21	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+3.6
44	23-21	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Ana Rivera	+5.3
45	24-21	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+5.4
46	25-21	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Mak Carter	set Kayla Dondero	+2.1
Set 3
1	0-1	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Maddie Sofarelli		+2.0
2	1-1	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+1.4
3	1-2	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+1.5
4	1-3	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Ainhoa Molleja	+2.0
5	2-3	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+1.4
6	2-4	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Connor Rahn		+1.4
7	3-4	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Camden Rahn	+1.4
8	4-4	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Jenna Glaudel	set Camryn Brooks	+2.2
9	5-4	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.3
10	5-5	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+1.6
11	6-5	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Olivia Guzman	set Jenna Glaudel	+1.7
12	7-5	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell		+2.4
13	7-6	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+1.6
14	8-6	W FLA	TAMPA	Serve err	W FLA server		+1.7
15	8-7	TAMPA	W FLA×4	Serve err	TAMPA server		+1.6
16	8-8	W FLA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Ainhoa Molleja		+2.5
17	8-9	W FLA	W FLA×4	Ace	W FLA server	aced Connor Rahn	+2.5
18	8-10	W FLA	W FLA×4	Bad set	Jenna Glaudel		+2.4
19	9-10	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Jenna Glaudel	+1.6
20	10-10	TAMPA	TAMPA	Ace	TAMPA server	aced Madalyn Mire	+2.6
21	10-11	TAMPA	W FLA×6	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Madison Joyner	+1.9
22	10-12	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+2.6
23	10-13	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Camden Rahn	blk Aniston Cochran, Karyna Werley	+2.4
24	10-14	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Maddie Sofarelli	blk Karyna Werley, Aniston Cochran	+2.0
25	10-15	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+1.7
26	10-16	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+1.2
27	11-16	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Julianna Baskin	set Kayla Dondero	+0.6
28	11-17	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Kayla Dondero	+0.8
29	11-18	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Camden Rahn		+0.8
30	12-18	W FLA	TAMPA	Attack err	Aniston Cochran	blk Julianna Baskin	+0.3
31	12-19	TAMPA	W FLA×5	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Gabi Moulton	+0.5
32	12-20	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Ainhoa Molleja	+0.4
33	12-21	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Camryn Brooks	+0.2
34	12-22	W FLA	W FLA×5	Ace	W FLA server	aced Ainhoa Molleja	+0.1
35	12-23	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Camden Rahn		+0.0
36	13-23	W FLA	TAMPA	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
37	13-24	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
38	13-25	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	TAMPA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Jenna Glaudel	+3.7
2	2-0	TAMPA	TAMPA	Kill	Jenna Glaudel	set Connor Rahn	+3.8
3	2-1	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Gabi Moulton	+2.5
4	3-1	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.7
5	3-2	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+2.6
6	3-3	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Connor Rahn	+3.8
7	4-3	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.8
8	5-3	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+4.0
9	5-4	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+2.7
10	6-4	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Maddie Sofarelli	set Kayla Dondero	+2.9
11	7-4	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Karyna Werley		+4.1
12	7-5	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Connor Rahn		+2.6
13	8-5	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+2.9
14	9-5	TAMPA	TAMPA	Attack err	Aniston Cochran		+3.9
15	9-6	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+2.4
16	9-7	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Katelynn Lowery		+3.9
17	10-7	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Connor Rahn	set Kayla Dondero	+3.1
18	11-7	TAMPA	TAMPA	Ace	TAMPA server	aced Karyna Werley	+4.1
19	11-8	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+2.4
20	12-8	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Karyna Werley	blk Mak Carter, Camden Rahn	+2.9
21	13-8	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+3.6
22	14-8	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.9
23	14-9	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+1.5
24	14-10	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Gabi Moulton	+2.8
25	15-10	W FLA	TAMPA	Attack err	Karyna Werley	blk Mak Carter, Ainhoa Molleja	+2.6
26	15-11	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Maddie Sofarelli		+1.9
27	16-11	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Camden Rahn	set Jenna Glaudel	+2.6
28	16-12	TAMPA	W FLA×5	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Gabi Moulton	+1.9
29	16-13	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+3.5
30	16-14	W FLA	W FLA×5	Bad set	Kayla Dondero		+4.4
31	16-15	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Emily Breazeale		+5.3
32	16-16	W FLA	W FLA×5	Ace	W FLA server	aced Ana Rivera	+5.9
33	17-16	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Kayla Dondero	+4.5
34	17-17	TAMPA	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+4.4
35	18-17	W FLA	TAMPA	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+4.8
36	19-17	TAMPA	TAMPA	Ace	TAMPA server	aced Madalyn Mire	+6.9
37	19-18	TAMPA	W FLA	Serve err	TAMPA server		+4.2
38	20-18	W FLA	TAMPA×3	Kill	Katelynn Lowery	set Kayla Dondero	+5.2
39	21-18	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell	blk Connor Rahn	+6.5
40	22-18	TAMPA	TAMPA×3	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Mak Carter, Camden Rahn	+4.7
41	22-19	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Mak Carter		+1.8
42	22-20	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Camden Rahn	blk Delaney Hanowell, Karyna Werley	+4.4
43	23-20	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Mak Carter	set Jenna Glaudel	+5.0
44	23-21	TAMPA	W FLA	Attack err	Ainhoa Molleja		+2.7
45	24-21	W FLA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Jenna Glaudel	+5.1
46	25-21	TAMPA	TAMPA	Kill	Ainhoa Molleja	set Logan Milan	+2.8

Score shown after each rally, Tampa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.