FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

West Florida def. Stetson 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: West Florida 98.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 3:06 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

West Florida won at Stetson 3-0 (25-20, 25-20, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. West Florida's Emily Breazeale led with 13 kills, and Madison Joyner added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
W FLA2525253
STETSN2020130

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: West Florida swept Stetson.

Win probability never moved more than 0.5 points on one rally; Stetson topped out at 2% in Set 1. West Florida went in as RallyIQ's 99% pick.

West FloridaStetson
  • Break %+21.4 pts
    47.325.9

    On serve: 35/74 against 14/54 (Stetson sideout 52.7%).

  • Hitting+.155
    .327.172

    Kills and errors: 53–17 vs 25–9.

  • Longest run+5
    94

    Up 14–12 in the third set, West Florida scored 9 straight to make it 23–12. That set ended 25–13.

Stetson above 50West Florida belowMax swing 0.5%

West FloridaStetson

Aces
West Florida 8·Stetson 3
Serve err
West Florida 7·Stetson 3
Blocks
West Florida 2·Stetson 50 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
West Florida 51·Stetson 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stetson above 50 · West Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 128 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: West Florida stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W FLA 96.5%3.5% STETSN

West Florida wins

3-0
60.3%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
8.1%

Stetson wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.2%
W FLA break %
51.9% vs this opp
STETSN break %
37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310221.38100030010.510.5
37518.111000110007
36313.23100000010.56.5
35011.45500120010.55.5
3000–2201100002
24312.0831810400005
313423.39100051010.513.5
32021.0002032800005
3000–111810001
3000–502700000
1507.714511200006
1102.500000000001
1001.000000000000
Team totals5317110.327518751304275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38119.368000401019
35111.364100000216
34120.15000182010.54.5
33116.125151050010.54.5
33316.00000222010.53.5
3003.000000120211
3001.000610300001
3000–1101210001
3002.000000000000
2102.50000000010.51.5
1123-.333000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals25993.172233335818553

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

West Florida vs Stetson

Season series · West Florida leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 W FLA · STETSN 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 W FLASTETSN 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 W FLASTETSN 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 9 W FLASTETSN 4

Bars above the line = Stetson leads, below = West Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
46%6/13
2
73%8/11
11%1/9
3
80%8/10
47%7/15
4
60%6/10
67%12/18
5
100%5/5
55%6/11
6
100%5/5
38%3/8
All
74%40/54
47%35/74

Stetson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
40%4/10
2
67%8/12
11%1/9
3
58%7/12
27%3/11
4
33%6/18
36%4/11
5
50%5/10
25%2/8
6
71%5/7
0%0/5
All
53%39/74
26%14/54

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#W FLA-STETSNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0W FLAW FLAAceWest Floridaaced Andrea Diaz Dominguez
22-0W FLAW FLABlockedKarsu Bayraktarblk Kumara Flanagain, Delaney Hanowell
32-1W FLASTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Vanessa Shevchenko
42-2STETSNSTETSNBlockedTalya Sampsonblk Kayla Balfour, Eden Bristow
53-2STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley
63-3W FLASTETSNAttack errKumara Flanagain
74-3STETSNW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
85-3W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Eden Bristow
96-3W FLAW FLA×3KillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley
106-4W FLASTETSN×3Serve errWest Florida
116-5STETSNSTETSN×3BlockedEmily Breazealeblk Vanessa Shevchenko, Sofia Torcello
126-6STETSNSTETSN×3AceStetsonaced Emily Breazeale
137-6STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley
147-7W FLASTETSNAttack errKaryna Werley
158-7STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
169-7W FLAW FLAAceWest Florida
179-8W FLASTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou
1810-8STETSNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
1911-8W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
2011-9W FLASTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Maia Keely Pou
2112-9STETSNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
2213-9W FLAW FLAAttack errEden Bristow
2313-10W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
2414-10STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley
2514-11W FLASTETSNServe errWest Florida
2615-11STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
2715-12W FLASTETSNKillEden Bristowset Vanessa Shevchenko
2816-12STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Madalyn Mire
2916-13W FLASTETSN×3Serve errWest Florida
3016-14STETSNSTETSN×3KillVanessa Shevchenkoset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3116-15STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errEmily Breazeale
3217-15STETSNW FLAServe errStetson
3317-16W FLASTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou
3418-16STETSNW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3518-17W FLASTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Maia Keely Pou
3619-17STETSNW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3719-18W FLASTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Vanessa Shevchenko
3820-18STETSNW FLAKillElizabeth Kwiatkowskiset Karyna Werley
3920-19W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
4021-19STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
4122-19W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
4222-20W FLASTETSNKillEden Bristowset Vanessa Shevchenko
4323-20STETSNW FLA×3KillElizabeth Kwiatkowskiset Karyna Werley
4424-20W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Sofia Torcello
4525-20W FLAW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
Set 2
10-1STETSNSTETSNBlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Andrea Diaz Dominguez, Kayla Balfour
20-2STETSNSTETSNAceStetsonaced Talya Sampson
31-2STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley
41-3W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
52-3STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
62-4W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
73-4STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley
83-5W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
94-5STETSNW FLA×3KillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
105-5W FLAW FLA×3Attack errVanessa Shevchenko
116-5W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Jannelize Perez
126-6W FLASTETSNAttack errKaryna Werley
137-6STETSNW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
147-7W FLASTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Maia Keely Pou
158-7STETSNW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Madison Joyner
168-8W FLASTETSNAttack errTalya Sampson
179-8STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley
1810-8W FLAW FLABad setKarsu Bayraktar
1910-9W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
2011-9STETSNW FLA×4Serve errStetson
2112-9W FLAW FLA×4KillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley
2213-9W FLAW FLA×4KillEmily Breazealeset Madalyn Mire
2314-9W FLAW FLA×4Attack errKayla Balfour
2414-10W FLASTETSNBlockedEmily Breazealeblk Karsu Bayraktar
2515-10STETSNW FLABad setJannelize Perez
2616-10W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Madalyn Mire
2716-11W FLASTETSN×3KillSoraya Testonset Vanessa Shevchenko
2816-12STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errKaryna Werley
2916-13STETSNSTETSN×3BlockedEmily Breazealeblk Sofia Torcello, Soraya Teston
3017-13STETSNW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3117-14W FLASTETSNAttack errTalya Sampson
3218-14STETSNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3319-14W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3419-15W FLASTETSNAttack errTalya Sampson
3520-15STETSNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3620-16W FLASTETSN×3KillVanessa Shevchenkoset Maia Keely Pou
3720-17STETSNSTETSN×3Attack errTalya Sampson
3820-18STETSNSTETSN×3KillKarsu Bayraktarset Jannelize Perez
3921-18STETSNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley
4021-19W FLASTETSNKillKayla Balfourset Vanessa Shevchenko
4122-19STETSNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley
4223-19W FLAW FLAKillKumara Flanagain
4323-20W FLASTETSNKillKarsu Bayraktarset Vanessa Shevchenko
4424-20STETSNW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley
4525-20W FLAW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
Set 3
11-0W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Andrea Diaz Dominguez
22-0W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton
33-0W FLAW FLA×3KillTalya Sampsonset Camryn Brooks
43-1W FLASTETSNServe errWest Florida
54-1STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton
64-2W FLASTETSNKillEden Bristowset Kayla Balfour
75-2STETSNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton
85-3W FLASTETSNKillKeely Starnesset Vanessa Shevchenko
96-3STETSNW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Madalyn Mire
106-4W FLASTETSNKillVanessa Shevchenkoset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
117-4STETSNW FLA×3Serve errStetson
128-4W FLAW FLA×3KillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
139-4W FLAW FLA×3KillGabi Moultonset Madison Joyner
149-5W FLASTETSNBad setElizabeth Kwiatkowski
1510-5STETSNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
1611-5W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
1711-6W FLASTETSNServe errWest Florida
1812-6STETSNW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
1912-7W FLASTETSNAttack errDelaney Hanowell
2013-7STETSNW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton
2113-8W FLASTETSN×4Serve errWest Florida
2213-9STETSNSTETSN×4AceStetsonaced Camryn Brooks
2313-10STETSNSTETSN×4Attack errDelaney Hanowell
2413-11STETSNSTETSN×4Attack errKumara Flanagain
2514-11STETSNW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton
2614-12W FLASTETSNKillAndrea Diaz Dominguezset Vanessa Shevchenko
2715-12STETSNW FLA×9Attack errEden Bristow
2816-12W FLAW FLA×9AceWest Floridaaced Eden Bristow
2917-12W FLAW FLA×9BlockedKeely Starnesblk Emily Breazeale, Aniston Cochran
3018-12W FLAW FLA×9Attack errAndrea Diaz Dominguez
3119-12W FLAW FLA×9KillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3220-12W FLAW FLA×9KillGabi Moultonset Madalyn Mire
3321-12W FLAW FLA×9Attack errKeely Starnes
3422-12W FLAW FLA×9AceWest Floridaaced Sofia Torcello
3523-12W FLAW FLA×9Attack errEden Bristow
3623-13W FLASTETSNServe errWest Florida
3724-13STETSNW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski
3825-13W FLAW FLAKillKendra Howseset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski

Score shown after each rally, West Florida first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).