Morehead St. def. Cleveland St. 3–1
(25-18, 26-24, 15-25, 25-16)| Set | 1 | 2* | 3 | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOREST | 25 | 26 | 15 | 25 | 3 |
| CLE ST | 18 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 1 |
- * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.0% to Morehead St. — set 2, MOREST 24-23 CLE ST. Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Sydney Sennett). CLE ST win probability 15% → 10%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Morehead St. wins
Cleveland St. wins
- MOREST break %
- 46.1% vs this opp
- CLE ST break %
- 40.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Hollan EverettKill+6.0%
Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Sydney Sennett)
Set 2 · MOREST 24-23 CLE ST · MOREST 85% → 90%
- 02Hollan EverettKill+5.2%
Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Sydney Sennett)
Set 2 · MOREST 26-24 CLE ST · MOREST 90% → 96%
- 03Bryn VanVleetAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Bryn VanVleet
Set 2 · MOREST 23-23 CLE ST · MOREST 80% → 85%
- 04Amelia NottAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Amelia Nott
Set 2 · MOREST 21-23 CLE ST · CLE ST 18% → 23%
- 05Bryn VanVleetKill+4.5%
Kill by Bryn VanVleet (set by Vayda Delventhal)
Set 2 · MOREST 24-24 CLE ST · CLE ST 10% → 14%
- 06Hollan EverettKill+4.5%
Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Sydney Sennett)
Set 2 · MOREST 25-24 CLE ST · MOREST 86% → 90%
- 07Amelia NottAttack error+4.4%
Amelia Nott stuffed by Bryn VanVleet
Set 2 · MOREST 21-22 CLE ST · CLE ST 14% → 18%
- 08Jazen DebinaKill+3.5%
Kill by Jazen Debina (set by Fiona Cooper)
Set 2 · MOREST 21-21 CLE ST · CLE ST 10% → 14%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 5 | 54 | .204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 17.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 31 | .161 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 3 | 23 | .391 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 30 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 20 | 140 | .207 | 47 | 4 | 9 | 61 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 91 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 40 | .100 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 39 | .128 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | .300 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | .133 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -.375 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 30 | 140 | .107 | 44 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 83 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-18
Set 2*
26-24
Set 3
15-25
Set 4*
25-16
Bars above the line = Cleveland St. leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Morehead St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%5/7 | 57%4/7 |
| 2 | 31%4/13 | 64%7/11 |
| 3 | 50%4/8 | 60%6/10 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 0%0/4 |
| 5 | 60%3/5 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 75%3/4 | 0%0/3 |
| All | 52%23/44 | 44%17/39 |
Cleveland St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36%4/11 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 40%4/10 | 69%9/13 |
| 3 | 100%4/4 | 50%4/8 |
| 4 | 100%4/4 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 100%3/3 | 40%2/5 |
| 6 | 43%3/7 | 25%1/4 |
| All | 56%22/39 | 48%21/44 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
174 rallies
Rally log
| # | MOREST-CLE ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MOREST | CLE ST×3 | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CLE ST | CLE ST×3 | Bad set | Sydney Sennett | +2.0 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | CLE ST | CLE ST×3 | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Hollan Everett | +2.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CLE ST | MOREST×4 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +1.5 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MOREST | MOREST×4 | Attack err | Julia Jozefov | +2.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | MOREST | MOREST×4 | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | MOREST | MOREST×4 | Attack err | Julia Jozefov | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +1.4 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +1.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +1.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Haidyn Carter | set Josie Certa | +1.4 |
| 13 | 7-6 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Addison Koppelman | set Fiona Cooper | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +1.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +1.5 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | CLE ST | MOREST | Attack err | Addison Koppelman | +1.5 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +1.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Vayda Delventhal | +1.5 |
| 19 | 10-9 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +1.6 |
| 20 | 11-9 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Courtney Fitzgerald | +1.6 |
| 21 | 12-9 | MOREST | MOREST | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +1.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +2.2 |
| 24 | 13-11 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +1.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +1.7 |
| 26 | 13-13 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Hollan Everett | +2.7 |
| 27 | 14-13 | CLE ST | MOREST | Attack err | Fiona Cooper | +2.0 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Addison Koppelman | set Vayda Delventhal | +2.1 |
| 29 | 14-15 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Ella Warrick | +3.1 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +2.3 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | JeriLynn Koehler | set Fiona Cooper | +2.6 |
| 32 | 16-16 | CLE ST | MOREST×4 | Serve err | CLE ST server | +2.4 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | MOREST | MOREST×4 | Ace | MOREST server | aced Bryn VanVleet | +3.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | MOREST | MOREST×4 | Attack err | Addison Koppelman | +2.9 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | MOREST | MOREST×4 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | +2.5 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +1.6 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Kill | JeriLynn Koehler | set Addison Koppelman | +2.9 |
| 38 | 20-18 | CLE ST | MOREST×6 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +2.5 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MOREST | MOREST×6 | Kill | Anna Schiltz | set Sydney Sennett | +2.7 |
| 40 | 22-18 | MOREST | MOREST×6 | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | blk Anna Schiltz | +1.9 |
| 41 | 23-18 | MOREST | MOREST×6 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +1.0 |
| 42 | 24-18 | MOREST | MOREST×6 | Ace | MOREST server | aced Vayda Delventhal | +0.4 |
| 43 | 25-18 | MOREST | MOREST×6 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | blk Hollan Everett | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CLE ST | MOREST | Serve err | CLE ST server | +1.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Haidyn Carter | blk Julia Jozefov | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +1.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MOREST | MOREST | Kill | Julia Jozefov | set Josie Certa | +1.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Hollan Everett | +1.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Addison Koppelman | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Ace | MOREST server | aced Laila Mossey | +1.6 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +1.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MOREST | CLE ST | Attack err | Ella Warrick | +1.2 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Kylie Sharp | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | CLE ST | MOREST | Attack err | JeriLynn Koehler | +1.3 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | MOREST | MOREST | Attack err | Fiona Cooper | +1.7 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | MOREST | CLE ST | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Josie Certa | +1.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MOREST | CLE ST | Attack err | Anna Schiltz | blk Jazen Debina | +1.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Amelia Nott | +2.0 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Sydney Sennett | +1.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Vayda Delventhal | +1.6 |
| 22 | 11-11 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Anna Schiltz | set Sydney Sennett | +1.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Vayda Delventhal | +1.6 |
| 24 | 12-12 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +1.5 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Addison Koppelman | set Fiona Cooper | +1.7 |
| 26 | 12-14 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Hollan Everett | +2.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | CLE ST | MOREST | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | +1.6 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | MOREST | MOREST | Kill | Haidyn Carter | set Josie Certa | +2.2 |
| 29 | 14-15 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +1.9 |
| 30 | 15-15 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +1.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MOREST | CLE ST | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.0 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Tinsley Brown | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Tinsley Brown | +1.8 |
| 34 | 16-18 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +2.2 |
| 35 | 17-18 | CLE ST | MOREST×5 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +1.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Attack err | JeriLynn Koehler | +2.8 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +2.8 |
| 38 | 20-18 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | blk Anna Schiltz | +2.6 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Kill | Hollan Everett | +2.1 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | MOREST | CLE ST×5 | Attack err | Hollan Everett | blk Jazen Debina | +1.2 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CLE ST | CLE ST×5 | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +2.4 |
| 42 | 21-21 | CLE ST | CLE ST×5 | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +3.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | CLE ST | CLE ST×5 | Attack err | Amelia Nott | blk Bryn VanVleet | +4.4 |
| 44 | 21-23 | CLE ST | CLE ST×5 | Attack err | Amelia Nott | +4.6 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +2.5 |
| 46 | 23-23 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | +4.9 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +6.0 |
| 48 | 24-24 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Vayda Delventhal | +4.5 |
| 49 | 25-24 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +4.5 |
| 50 | 26-24 | MOREST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +5.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CLE ST | MOREST | Serve err | CLE ST server | +0.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MOREST | CLE ST×7 | Serve err | MOREST server | +0.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | CLE ST | CLE ST×7 | Attack err | Hollan Everett | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | CLE ST | CLE ST×7 | Kill | Julia Jozefov | set Fiona Cooper | +0.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | CLE ST | CLE ST×7 | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Hollan Everett | +0.9 |
| 6 | 1-5 | CLE ST | CLE ST×7 | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +0.9 |
| 7 | 1-6 | CLE ST | CLE ST×7 | Bad set | Sydney Sennett | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | CLE ST | CLE ST×7 | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +0.8 |
| 9 | 2-7 | CLE ST | MOREST | Serve err | CLE ST server | +0.5 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | MOREST | CLE ST×3 | Serve err | MOREST server | +0.7 | |
| 11 | 2-9 | CLE ST | CLE ST×3 | Attack err | Haidyn Carter | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 2-10 | CLE ST | CLE ST×3 | Attack err | Hollan Everett | +0.6 | |
| 13 | 3-10 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Haidyn Carter | set Sydney Sennett | +0.4 |
| 14 | 3-11 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +0.5 | |
| 15 | 3-12 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Haidyn Carter | blk Julia Jozefov | +0.5 |
| 16 | 4-12 | CLE ST | MOREST | Serve err | CLE ST server | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 4-13 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +0.4 |
| 18 | 5-13 | CLE ST | MOREST | Serve err | CLE ST server | +0.2 | |
| 19 | 5-14 | MOREST | CLE ST | Attack err | Ella Warrick | blk JeriLynn Koehler | +0.4 |
| 20 | 5-15 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Anna Schiltz | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 6-15 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Alyssa Cerovac | +0.1 |
| 22 | 7-15 | MOREST | MOREST | Attack err | Ella Warrick | +0.3 | |
| 23 | 7-16 | MOREST | CLE ST | Attack err | Ella Warrick | +0.3 | |
| 24 | 7-17 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Ella Warrick | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Sydney Sennett | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 10-17 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Ace | MOREST server | aced Addison Koppelman | +0.3 |
| 28 | 10-18 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +0.4 |
| 29 | 10-19 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Sydney Sennett | +0.3 |
| 30 | 11-19 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +0.1 |
| 31 | 12-19 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Amelia Nott | +0.2 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | +0.3 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +0.4 |
| 34 | 13-21 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Ace | CLE ST server | aced Ella Warrick | +0.3 |
| 35 | 14-21 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +0.1 |
| 36 | 14-22 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +0.2 |
| 37 | 14-23 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Kill | Julia Jozefov | set Fiona Cooper | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Josie Certa | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Julia Jozefov | +0.0 |
| 40 | 15-25 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Attack err | Anna Schiltz | +0.0 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Vayda Delventhal | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MOREST | MOREST | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | +2.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Julia Jozefov | set Fiona Cooper | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CLE ST | MOREST | Attack err | Fiona Cooper | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Julia Jozefov | set Fiona Cooper | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +2.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | CLE ST | MOREST | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +2.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +1.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MOREST | MOREST | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +2.4 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +1.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Anna Schiltz | set Courtney Fitzgerald | +1.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +2.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Alyssa Cerovac | +2.1 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Fiona Cooper | +1.5 |
| 17 | 10-7 | CLE ST | MOREST×5 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +1.6 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Attack err | Alyssa Cerovac | +1.5 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Kill | Hollan Everett | set Sydney Sennett | +1.1 |
| 21 | 14-7 | MOREST | MOREST×5 | Kill | Jazen Debina | set Sydney Sennett | +0.8 |
| 22 | 14-8 | MOREST | CLE ST×3 | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +0.5 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CLE ST | CLE ST×3 | Kill | Bryn VanVleet | set Fiona Cooper | +0.9 |
| 24 | 14-10 | CLE ST | CLE ST×3 | Attack err | Hollan Everett | blk Julia Jozefov | +1.3 |
| 25 | 15-10 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +1.2 |
| 26 | 15-11 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Julia Jozefov | set Fiona Cooper | +1.0 |
| 27 | 16-11 | CLE ST | MOREST | Serve err | CLE ST server | +1.2 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Addison Koppelman | set Fiona Cooper | +0.9 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CLE ST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +1.7 |
| 30 | 17-13 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Anna Schiltz | set Josie Certa | +1.6 |
| 31 | 17-14 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +1.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | CLE ST | MOREST | Kill | Haidyn Carter | set Josie Certa | +1.6 |
| 33 | 19-14 | MOREST | MOREST | Attack err | Alyssa Cerovac | +1.5 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | MOREST | CLE ST | Kill | Alyssa Cerovac | set Fiona Cooper | +0.8 |
| 35 | 20-15 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Ella Warrick | set Josie Certa | +1.1 |
| 36 | 21-15 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | +0.9 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Alyssa Cerovac | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MOREST | CLE ST | Serve err | MOREST server | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | CLE ST | MOREST×3 | Kill | Amelia Nott | set Sydney Sennett | +0.2 |
| 40 | 24-16 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Bryn VanVleet | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 25-16 | MOREST | MOREST×3 | Attack err | Jazen Debina | +0.0 | |
Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.