FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayCUSA

3:0

HomeHORIZON

Western Ky. def. Wright St. 3–0

(25-21, 25-22, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
W KY	25	25	25	3
WRIGHT	21	22	21	0

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WRIGHT above 50 · W KY below

Biggest swing: 5.8% to Western Ky. — set 2, W KY 23-22 WRIGHT. Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush). WRIGHT win probability 19% → 13%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W KY 71.0%29.0% WRIGHT

Western Ky. wins

3-0

24.0%

3-1

27.2%

3-2

19.8%

Wright St. wins

3-0

5.4%

3-1

10.1%

3-2

13.4%

W KY break %: 42.8% vs this opp
WRIGHT break %: 38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alivia SkidmoreKill+5.8%
Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)
Set 2 · W KY 23-22 WRIGHT · W KY 81% → 87%
02
Katie SowkoKill+5.2%
Kill by Katie Sowko (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · W KY 21-22 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 17% → 22%
03
Abigail KnightAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Abigail Knight
Set 2 · W KY 24-22 WRIGHT · W KY 87% → 92%
04
Sonja LaaksonenAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Sonja Laaksonen
Set 2 · W KY 20-20 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 13% → 17%
05
Abigail KnightAttack error+3.4%
Abigail Knight stuffed by Sonja Laaksonen & Eliza McKnight
Set 2 · W KY 22-22 WRIGHT · W KY 78% → 81%
06
Faith YoungAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Faith Young
Set 1 · W KY 8-10 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 32% → 35%
07
Mya AyroKill+2.9%
Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · W KY 21-21 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 14% → 17%
08
Faith YoungKill+2.9%
Kill by Faith Young (set by Kate Rush)
Set 2 · W KY 21-20 WRIGHT · W KY 83% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Faith YoungOH	3	9	1	16	.500	0	2	1	4	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
5Kaira KnoxOH	3	10	2	18	.444	2	0	3	4	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
16Sonja LaaksonenOH	3	9	2	16	.438	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
20Kate RushS	3	2	0	6	.333	33	6	2	3	0	0	2	1	9
21Eliza McKnightOH	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
8Cali FosterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
17Alivia SkidmoreOH	3	6	2	20	.200	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	8
3Kennedy CherryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
2Tayler BaronL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	12	2	0	0	0	0
18Aubrey SearsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	9	91	.363	38	9	10	40	3	1	12	7	75

Wright St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Reilly ZegunisMB	3	12	1	23	.478	1	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	13.5
14Katie SowkoOH	3	8	3	25	.200	0	0	1	2	1	1	0.5	8.5
4Abigail KnightOH	3	5	6	15	-.067	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	7
7Lauren YacobucciS	3	1	0	3	.333	26	0	0	7	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Alisandra HayesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	5	3	0	0	1
11Olivia SchmidtMB	2	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Mya AyroOH	3	8	5	22	.136	0	0	2	5	2	1	0.5	8.5
9Greta McKeeDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
3Taygan CorstangeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	8	0	0	0	0
17Haley RobinsonMB	2	5	1	7	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
35Ella GaonaDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Ella SeegerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	16	100	.230	32	3	8	34	9	6	3	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 W KY · WRIGHT 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 W KYWRIGHT 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 W KYWRIGHT 3

Set 3*

25-21

Longest run 5 W KYWRIGHT 4

Bars above the line = Wright St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	50%5/10
2	67%6/9	50%6/12
3	63%5/8	44%4/9
4	100%4/4	50%4/8
5	57%4/7	20%1/5
6	57%4/7	20%1/5
All	66%29/44	43%21/49

Wright St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%6/13	29%2/7
2	60%6/10	33%3/9
3	36%4/11	40%4/10
4	100%4/4	20%1/5
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	57%28/49	34%15/44

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	W KY-WRIGHT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	W KY	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Taygan Corstange	+1.6
2	0-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Reilly Zegunis	+2.4
3	0-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Attack err	Kaira Knox	blk Reilly Zegunis, Katie Sowko	+2.4
4	1-3	WRIGHT	W KY	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.5
5	1-4	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko		+1.7
6	2-4	WRIGHT	W KY×4	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+1.5
7	3-4	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Tayler Baron	+2.4
8	4-4	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis		+2.4
9	5-4	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.3
10	5-5	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+1.7
11	6-5	WRIGHT	W KY	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.6
12	6-6	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
13	7-6	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+1.7
14	7-7	W KY	WRIGHT	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		+1.7
15	7-8	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.7
16	8-8	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush		+1.8
17	8-9	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.0
18	8-10	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Faith Young		+3.0
19	9-10	WRIGHT	W KY×3	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.9
20	10-10	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+2.9
21	11-10	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	W KY server	aced Team	+2.8
22	11-11	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Taygan Corstange	+2.0
23	12-11	WRIGHT	W KY×4	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+2.0
24	13-11	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Abigail Knight	blk Kaira Knox, Eliza McKnight	+2.8
25	14-11	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen		+2.4
26	15-11	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	W KY server	aced Alisandra Hayes	+2.0
27	15-12	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.2
28	16-12	WRIGHT	W KY	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+1.4
29	16-13	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Taygan Corstange	+1.2
30	16-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore	blk Reilly Zegunis, Lauren Yacobucci	+2.2
31	17-14	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.8
32	17-15	W KY	WRIGHT	Attack err	Eliza McKnight	blk Reilly Zegunis, Mya Ayro	+1.6
33	18-15	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.9
34	19-15	W KY	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.2
35	19-16	W KY	WRIGHT	Bad set	Kate Rush		+1.1
36	20-16	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.5
37	20-17	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
38	21-17	WRIGHT	W KY×3	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.5
39	22-17	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	W KY server	aced Alisandra Hayes	+1.3
40	23-17	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.6
41	23-18	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+0.1
42	24-18	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.3
43	24-19	W KY	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.1
44	24-20	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Bad set	Kate Rush		+0.2
45	24-21	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Taygan Corstange	+0.5
46	25-21	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.8
Set 2
1	1-0	WRIGHT	W KY×3	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+1.2
2	2-0	W KY	W KY×3	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Faith Young, Kaira Knox	+1.7
3	3-0	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	W KY server	aced Greta McKee	+1.5
4	3-1	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
5	4-1	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.0
6	5-1	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+1.4
7	5-2	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.9
8	5-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
9	6-3	WRIGHT	W KY	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+1.1
10	6-4	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.1
11	7-4	WRIGHT	W KY	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.1
12	7-5	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.1
13	7-6	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis		+1.8
14	8-6	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+1.3
15	8-7	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
16	9-7	WRIGHT	W KY	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.3
17	10-7	W KY	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+1.8
18	10-8	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.1
19	11-8	WRIGHT	W KY	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+1.2
20	12-8	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.6
21	12-9	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.9
22	13-9	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.1
23	13-10	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.9
24	14-10	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.1
25	15-10	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Haley Robinson		+1.3
26	15-11	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
27	16-11	WRIGHT	W KY	Attack err	Abigail Knight	blk Alivia Skidmore	+0.9
28	16-12	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+0.7
29	16-13	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.4
30	17-13	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+1.2
31	18-13	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Katie Sowko	blk Kate Rush, Faith Young	+1.3
32	18-14	W KY	WRIGHT×3	Serve err	W KY server		+0.6
33	18-15	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Team	+1.3
34	18-16	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Tayler Baron	+1.9
35	19-16	WRIGHT	W KY	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+1.6
36	19-17	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
37	19-18	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro		+2.7
38	20-18	WRIGHT	W KY	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Kate Rush, Faith Young	+2.2
39	20-19	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.0
40	20-20	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Sonja Laaksonen		+3.8
41	21-20	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+2.9
42	21-21	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.9
43	21-22	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+5.2
44	22-22	WRIGHT	W KY×4	Attack err	Abigail Knight	blk Sonja Laaksonen, Eliza McKnight	+3.4
45	23-22	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+5.8
46	24-22	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+5.0
47	25-22	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Kaira Knox		+2.5
Set 3
1	1-0	W KY	W KY×5	Ace	W KY server	aced Mya Ayro	+0.9
2	2-0	W KY	W KY×5	Ace	W KY server	aced Mya Ayro	+0.9
3	3-0	W KY	W KY×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
4	4-0	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.7
5	5-0	W KY	W KY×5	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+0.6
6	5-1	W KY	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.4
7	5-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Greta McKee	+0.7
8	5-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Bad set	Kate Rush		+0.8
9	6-3	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+0.6
10	6-4	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+0.6
11	6-5	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson		+1.0
12	7-5	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+0.7
13	7-6	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
14	8-6	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kennedy Cherry	+0.7
15	9-6	W KY	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.9
16	9-7	W KY	WRIGHT×4	Serve err	W KY server		+0.6
17	9-8	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.0
18	9-9	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.2
19	9-10	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Attack err	Eliza McKnight		+1.3
20	10-10	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.9
21	10-11	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.9
22	10-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+1.4
23	11-12	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.9
24	12-12	W KY	W KY	Ace	W KY server	aced Alisandra Hayes	+1.4
25	12-13	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+1.0
26	13-13	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.0
27	14-13	W KY	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kaira Knox	+1.4
28	14-14	W KY	WRIGHT	Attack err	Sonja Laaksonen		+1.0
29	15-14	WRIGHT	W KY×4	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.0
30	16-14	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	W KY server	aced Katie Sowko	+1.4
31	17-14	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen		+1.2
32	18-14	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Kaira Knox, Eliza McKnight	+0.9
33	18-15	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.5
34	19-15	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.6
35	19-16	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.5
36	19-17	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Tayler Baron	+1.0
37	20-17	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.9
38	20-18	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+0.7
39	21-18	WRIGHT	W KY	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.0
40	21-19	W KY	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+0.7
41	22-19	WRIGHT	W KY	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.0
42	23-19	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Kaira Knox	+0.9
43	23-20	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+0.3
44	24-20	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+0.5
45	24-21	W KY	WRIGHT	Serve err	W KY server		+0.2
46	25-21	WRIGHT	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.