FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

Western Ky. def. Wright St. 3–0

Western Ky. won at Wright St. 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Kaira Knox led Western Ky. with 10 kills; Wright St.'s Reilly Zegunis had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set123Sets
W KY2525253
WRIGHT2122210

Win probability

Wright St. above 50 · Western Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.3% W KYrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.3% to Western Ky. — set 2, W KY 23-22 WRIGHT. Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush). WRIGHT win probability 22% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W KY 66.6%33.4% WRIGHT

Western Ky. wins

3-0
21.0%
3-1
25.5%
3-2
20.0%

Wright St. wins

3-0
6.7%
3-1
11.9%
3-2
14.8%
W KY break %
42.4% vs this opp
WRIGHT break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 2 · W KY 23-22 WRIGHT · W KY 78% → 85%

  2. 02
    Katie SowkoKill+5.7%

    Kill by Katie Sowko (set by Lauren Yacobucci)

    Set 2 · W KY 21-22 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 20% → 25%

  3. 03
    Abigail KnightAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Abigail Knight

    Set 2 · W KY 24-22 WRIGHT · W KY 85% → 90%

  4. 04
    Sonja LaaksonenAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Sonja Laaksonen

    Set 2 · W KY 20-20 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 16% → 20%

  5. 05

    Abigail Knight stuffed by Sonja Laaksonen & Eliza McKnight

    Set 2 · W KY 22-22 WRIGHT · W KY 75% → 78%

  6. 06
    Mya AyroKill+3.2%

    Kill by Mya Ayro (set by Lauren Yacobucci)

    Set 2 · W KY 21-21 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 17% → 20%

  7. 07
    Faith YoungKill+3.2%

    Kill by Faith Young (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 2 · W KY 21-20 WRIGHT · W KY 80% → 83%

  8. 08
    Faith YoungAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Faith Young

    Set 1 · W KY 8-10 WRIGHT · WRIGHT 36% → 39%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39116.50002140031.512.5
310218.44420340031.511.5
39216.43800020010.59.5
3206.3333362300219
36215.26700030031.57.5
3000–000500000
36220.200012001018
3000–201700000
3000–1011220000
1000–000000000
Team totals42991.36338910403112775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312123.47810030031.513.5
38325.20000121010.58.5
35615-.067022300007
3103.333260070010.51.5
3000–011530001
2004.000000000000
38522.13600252010.58.5
3001.000100110000
3000–402800000
2517.571000000005
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3916100.230323834906364

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 W KY · WRIGHT 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 W KYWRIGHT 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 W KYWRIGHT 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 W KYWRIGHT 4

Bars above the line = Wright St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
50%5/10
2
67%6/9
50%6/12
3
63%5/8
44%4/9
4
100%4/4
50%4/8
5
57%4/7
20%1/5
6
57%4/7
20%1/5
All
66%29/44
43%21/49

Wright St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
29%2/7
2
60%6/10
33%3/9
3
36%4/11
40%4/10
4
100%4/4
20%1/5
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
57%28/49
34%15/44

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#W KY-WRIGHTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W KYWRIGHT×3KillKatie Sowkoset Taygan Corstange+1.7
20-2WRIGHTWRIGHT×3KillKatie Sowkoset Reilly Zegunis+2.5
30-3WRIGHTWRIGHT×3BlockedKaira Knoxblk Reilly Zegunis, Katie Sowko+2.5
41-3WRIGHTW KYServe errWright St.+1.6
51-4W KYWRIGHTKillKatie Sowko+1.8
62-4WRIGHTW KY×4KillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+1.6
73-4W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Tayler Baron+2.5
84-4W KYW KY×4Attack errReilly Zegunis+2.5
95-4W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.5
105-5W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+1.8
116-5WRIGHTW KYServe errWright St.+1.7
126-6W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.8
137-6WRIGHTW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.8
147-7W KYWRIGHTAttack errAlivia Skidmore+1.9
157-8WRIGHTWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+2.9
168-8WRIGHTW KYKillKate Rush+1.9
178-9W KYWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+2.1
188-10WRIGHTWRIGHTAttack errFaith Young+3.1
199-10WRIGHTW KY×3Serve errWright St.+2.0
2010-10W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+3.0
2111-10W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.+3.0
2211-11W KYWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Taygan Corstange+2.1
2312-11WRIGHTW KY×4KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.1
2413-11W KYW KY×4BlockedAbigail Knightblk Kaira Knox, Eliza McKnight+3.0
2514-11W KYW KY×4KillSonja Laaksonen+2.7
2615-11W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Alisandra Hayes+2.2
2715-12W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.3
2816-12WRIGHTW KYAttack errAbigail Knight+1.5
2916-13W KYWRIGHTKillLauren Yacobucciset Taygan Corstange+1.3
3016-14WRIGHTWRIGHTBlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Reilly Zegunis, Lauren Yacobucci+2.4
3117-14WRIGHTW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.0
3217-15W KYWRIGHTBlockedEliza McKnightblk Reilly Zegunis, Mya Ayro+1.7
3318-15WRIGHTW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.1
3419-15W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Lauren Yacobucci+2.4
3519-16W KYWRIGHTBad setKate Rush+1.2
3620-16WRIGHTW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.6
3720-17W KYWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+1.1
3821-17WRIGHTW KY×3Serve errWright St.+1.6
3922-17W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Alisandra Hayes+1.4
4023-17W KYW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.6
4123-18W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+0.1
4224-18WRIGHTW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.3
4324-19W KYWRIGHT×3KillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+0.1
4424-20WRIGHTWRIGHT×3Bad setKate Rush+0.2
4524-21WRIGHTWRIGHT×3KillKatie Sowkoset Taygan Corstange+0.5
4625-21WRIGHTW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.9
Set 2
11-0WRIGHTW KY×3KillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+1.3
22-0W KYW KY×3BlockedMya Ayroblk Faith Young, Kaira Knox+1.9
33-0W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Greta McKee+1.7
43-1W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.1
54-1WRIGHTW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.2
65-1W KYW KYAttack errMya Ayro+1.6
75-2W KYWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+1.0
85-3WRIGHTWRIGHTKillHaley Robinsonset Lauren Yacobucci+1.7
96-3WRIGHTW KYAttack errAbigail Knight+1.3
106-4W KYWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+1.2
117-4WRIGHTW KYServe errWright St.+1.3
127-5W KYWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+1.2
137-6WRIGHTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunis+2.0
148-6WRIGHTW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.5
158-7W KYWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+1.5
169-7WRIGHTW KYServe errWright St.+1.5
1710-7W KYW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+2.0
1810-8W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.3
1911-8WRIGHTW KYAttack errMya Ayro+1.4
2012-8W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.8
2112-9W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.1
2213-9WRIGHTW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.2
2313-10W KYWRIGHTKillHaley Robinsonset Lauren Yacobucci+1.1
2414-10WRIGHTW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.3
2515-10W KYW KYAttack errHaley Robinson+1.5
2615-11W KYWRIGHTKillAbigail Knightset Lauren Yacobucci+0.8
2716-11WRIGHTW KYBlockedAbigail Knightblk Alivia Skidmore+1.0
2816-12W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+0.8
2916-13WRIGHTWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.6
3017-13WRIGHTW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.3
3118-13W KYW KYBlockedKatie Sowkoblk Kate Rush, Faith Young+1.5
3218-14W KYWRIGHT×3Serve errWestern Ky.+0.7
3318-15WRIGHTWRIGHT×3AceWright St.+1.5
3418-16WRIGHTWRIGHT×3AceWright St.aced Tayler Baron+2.2
3519-16WRIGHTW KYAttack errKatie Sowko+1.9
3619-17W KYWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+1.5
3719-18WRIGHTWRIGHTKillMya Ayro+3.0
3820-18WRIGHTW KYBlockedMya Ayroblk Kate Rush, Faith Young+2.5
3920-19W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+2.2
4020-20WRIGHTWRIGHTAttack errSonja Laaksonen+4.2
4121-20WRIGHTW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+3.2
4221-21W KYWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+3.2
4321-22WRIGHTWRIGHTKillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+5.7
4422-22WRIGHTW KY×4BlockedAbigail Knightblk Sonja Laaksonen, Eliza McKnight+3.7
4523-22W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+6.3
4624-22W KYW KY×4Attack errAbigail Knight+5.6
4725-22W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knox+2.9
Set 3
11-0W KYW KY×5AceWestern Ky.aced Mya Ayro+1.1
22-0W KYW KY×5AceWestern Ky.aced Mya Ayro+1.0
33-0W KY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
44-0W KYW KY×5KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.9
55-0W KYW KY×5Attack errKatie Sowko+0.8
65-1W KYWRIGHT×3KillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+0.5
75-2WRIGHTWRIGHT×3KillMya Ayroset Greta McKee+0.8
85-3WRIGHTWRIGHT×3Bad setKate Rush+1.0
96-3WRIGHTW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+0.7
106-4W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+0.7
116-5WRIGHTWRIGHTKillHaley Robinson+1.1
127-5WRIGHTW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+0.8
137-6W KYWRIGHTKillHaley Robinsonset Lauren Yacobucci+0.8
148-6WRIGHTW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kennedy Cherry+0.8
159-6W KYW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.1
169-7W KYWRIGHT×4Serve errWestern Ky.+0.7
179-8WRIGHTWRIGHT×4KillKatie Sowkoset Lauren Yacobucci+1.2
189-9WRIGHTWRIGHT×4KillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.4
199-10WRIGHTWRIGHT×4Attack errEliza McKnight+1.5
2010-10WRIGHTW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.0
2110-11W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+1.1
2210-12WRIGHTWRIGHTAttack errKaira Knox+1.6
2311-12WRIGHTW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.0
2412-12W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Alisandra Hayes+1.5
2512-13W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+1.1
2613-13WRIGHTW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.1
2714-13W KYW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kaira Knox+1.6
2814-14W KYWRIGHTAttack errSonja Laaksonen+1.1
2915-14WRIGHTW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.2
3016-14W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Katie Sowko+1.6
3117-14W KYW KY×4KillSonja Laaksonen+1.4
3218-14W KYW KY×4BlockedMya Ayroblk Kaira Knox, Eliza McKnight+1.1
3318-15W KYWRIGHTKillMya Ayroset Lauren Yacobucci+0.6
3419-15WRIGHTW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.8
3519-16W KYWRIGHTKillHaley Robinsonset Lauren Yacobucci+0.6
3619-17WRIGHTWRIGHTAceWright St.aced Tayler Baron+1.2
3720-17WRIGHTW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.1
3820-18W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+0.8
3921-18WRIGHTW KYServe errWright St.+1.1
4021-19W KYWRIGHTKillReilly Zegunisset Lauren Yacobucci+0.8
4122-19WRIGHTW KYServe errWright St.+1.2
4223-19W KYW KYKillKate Rushset Kaira Knox+1.1
4323-20W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+0.3
4424-20WRIGHTW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+0.6
4524-21W KYWRIGHTServe errWestern Ky.+0.2
4625-21WRIGHTW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).