FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Utah def. Wyoming 3–0

(25-15, 25-14, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WYO	15	14	23	0
UTAH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UTAH above 50 · WYO below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Utah — set 3, WYO 22-23 UTAH. Kill by Ashley West (set by Sierra Grizzle). UTAH win probability 97% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WYO 10.8%89.2% UTAH

Wyoming wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.3%

3-2

6.0%

Utah wins

3-0

43.1%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.5%

WYO break %: 36.8% vs this opp
UTAH break %: 46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ashley WestKill+1.3%
Kill by Ashley West (set by Sierra Grizzle)
Set 3 · WYO 22-23 UTAH · UTAH 97% → 98%
02
Ashley WestAttack error+1.2%
Ashley West stuffed by Rylee Heinz & Paige Lauterwasser
Set 2 · WYO 9-7 UTAH · WYO 7% → 8%
03
Ruby JensenAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Ruby Jensen
Set 2 · WYO 11-11 UTAH · UTAH 92% → 94%
04
WYO serverAce+1.1%
Wyoming ace on Levani Falatea
Set 3 · WYO 21-20 UTAH · WYO 2% → 4%
05
Emma WinterAttack error+1.1%
Emma Winter stuffed by Devyn Wiest & Katelynn Field
Set 2 · WYO 11-12 UTAH · UTAH 94% → 95%
06
Reagan SharpAttack error+1.1%
Reagan Sharp stuffed by DyBorrah Johnson
Set 3 · WYO 22-24 UTAH · UTAH 98% → 100%
07
Paige LauterwasserAttack error+1.1%
Paige Lauterwasser stuffed by OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH & Izzy Mogridge
Set 1 · WYO 0-1 UTAH · UTAH 89% → 90%
08
WYO serverAce+1.0%
Wyoming ace on Sierra Grizzle
Set 2 · WYO 6-5 UTAH · WYO 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Wyomingaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Paige LauterwasserOH	3	7	2	16	.313	0	0	0	6	2	2	1	8
57Rylee HeinzMB	3	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
9Emma WinterOH	3	1	4	8	-.375	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1
17Sara QuigleyS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
12Addy ThoringtonOH	2	3	3	16	.000	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	4
2Anna MelgrenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
16Reagan SharpOH	3	7	3	16	.250	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
6Ruby JensenMB	3	3	5	10	-.200	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Maddy StuckyS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	14	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
1Rya FingerlinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	1
18Kristina BozovicOH	1	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
19Senna Roberts-NavarroOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0
3Peyton CarruthL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	18	82	.110	26	3	5	30	8	8	4	52

Utahhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAHMB	3	10	1	11	.818	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	11
18Kamryn GibadloOH	3	7	4	21	.143	0	1	1	5	1	0	2	1	9
4Loryn HelgesenOPP	3	8	3	23	.217	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	8
2Izzy MogridgeS	3	1	0	1	1.000	20	1	1	8	0	0	2	1	3
11McKenna PayneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
12Katelynn FieldMB	2	1	0	6	.167	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
6Ashley WestOH	3	7	3	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
8Sierra GrizzleL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	6	2	0	10	1	0	0	0	2
3Isabelle MarcoS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
16Devyn WiestOH	2	6	0	9	.667	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
7DyBorrah JohnsonMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	2	0	0	1	4	3	4
5Suttyn HarrisOH	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
17Allie GrossenbachOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Levani FalateaOH	1	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
9Grace MossL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	15	94	.309	37	8	7	33	3	1	18	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 WYO · UTAH 13

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 WYOUTAH 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 WYOUTAH 13

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 WYOUTAH 4

Bars above the line = Utah leads, below = Wyoming leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wyoming

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	25%2/8
2	47%7/15	36%4/11
3	30%6/20	13%1/8
4	75%6/8	14%1/7
5	56%5/9	50%6/12
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	49%36/74	30%16/53

Utah

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	57%8/14
2	88%7/8	53%8/15
3	100%6/6	25%2/8
4	55%6/11	67%12/18
5	60%6/10	50%6/12
6	83%5/6	29%2/7
All	70%37/53	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	WYO-UTAH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UTAH	UTAH×3	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser	blk OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH, Izzy Mogridge	+1.1
2	0-2	UTAH	UTAH×3	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH		+1.0
3	0-3	UTAH	UTAH×3	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.8
4	1-3	UTAH	WYO	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+0.6
5	2-3	WYO	WYO	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+1.0
6	2-4	WYO	UTAH×3	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.7
7	2-5	UTAH	UTAH×3	Ace	UTAH server	aced Anna Melgren	+0.9
8	2-6	UTAH	UTAH×3	Attack err	Addy Thorington	blk Izzy Mogridge, Katelynn Field	+0.7
9	3-6	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Addy Thorington	set Emma Winter	+0.5
10	4-6	WYO	WYO	Ace	WYO server	aced Kamryn Gibadlo	+0.9
11	4-7	WYO	UTAH	Serve err	WYO server		+0.6
12	5-7	UTAH	WYO	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.7
13	5-8	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.7
14	6-8	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Ruby Jensen	set Maddy Stucky	+0.7
15	6-9	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.7
16	7-9	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+0.7
17	7-10	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.7
18	7-11	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.8
19	8-11	UTAH	WYO	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.5
20	8-12	WYO	UTAH	Serve err	WYO server		+0.6
21	8-13	UTAH	UTAH	Ace	UTAH server	aced Paige Lauterwasser	+0.6
22	9-13	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+0.4
23	9-14	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Isabelle Marco	+0.4
24	9-15	UTAH	UTAH	Attack err	Emma Winter		+0.5
25	10-15	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Addy Thorington	set Sara Quigley	+0.3
26	10-16	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.3
27	10-17	UTAH	UTAH	Ace	UTAH server	aced Rya Fingerlin	+0.3
28	11-17	UTAH	WYO	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo		+0.1
29	11-18	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
30	12-18	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+0.1
31	13-18	WYO	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+0.3
32	13-19	WYO	UTAH×5	Serve err	WYO server		+0.3
33	13-20	UTAH	UTAH×5	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
34	13-21	UTAH	UTAH×5	Attack err	Reagan Sharp		+0.1
35	13-22	UTAH	UTAH×5	Attack err	Ruby Jensen		+0.0
36	13-23	UTAH	UTAH×5	Ace	UTAH server	aced Addy Thorington	+0.0
37	14-23	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+0.0
38	14-24	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
39	15-24	UTAH	WYO	Attack err	Ashley West	blk Rylee Heinz, Paige Lauterwasser	+0.0
40	15-25	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.5
2	1-1	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+0.6
3	1-2	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.5
4	2-2	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Emma Winter	set Sara Quigley	+0.6
5	2-3	WYO	UTAH	Attack err	Addy Thorington		+0.5
6	3-3	UTAH	WYO	Attack err	Sierra Grizzle		+0.6
7	4-3	WYO	WYO	Kill	Ruby Jensen	set Maddy Stucky	+1.0
8	4-4	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.6
9	4-5	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.8
10	5-5	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Ruby Jensen	set Maddy Stucky	+0.6
11	6-5	WYO	WYO	Ace	WYO server	aced Sierra Grizzle	+1.0
12	6-6	WYO	UTAH	Attack err	Reagan Sharp		+0.7
13	7-6	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Ruby Jensen	+0.8
14	7-7	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Isabelle Marco	+0.7
15	8-7	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+0.8
16	9-7	WYO	WYO	Attack err	Ashley West	blk Rylee Heinz, Paige Lauterwasser	+1.2
17	9-8	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Isabelle Marco	+0.8
18	10-8	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+0.9
19	10-9	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.8
20	11-9	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Addy Thorington	set Sara Quigley	+1.0
21	11-10	WYO	UTAH×13	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.8
22	11-11	UTAH	UTAH×13	Attack err	Ruby Jensen		+1.2
23	11-12	UTAH	UTAH×13	Attack err	Emma Winter	blk Devyn Wiest, Katelynn Field	+1.1
24	11-13	UTAH	UTAH×13	Attack err	Emma Winter	blk Devyn Wiest, Katelynn Field	+1.0
25	11-14	UTAH	UTAH×13	Kill	Katelynn Field	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.8
26	11-15	UTAH	UTAH×13	Attack err	Ruby Jensen		+0.6
27	11-16	UTAH	UTAH×13	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.5
28	11-17	UTAH	UTAH×13	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.3
29	11-18	UTAH	UTAH×13	Attack err	Ruby Jensen		+0.2
30	11-19	UTAH	UTAH×13	Ace	UTAH server	aced Emma Winter	+0.1
31	11-20	UTAH	UTAH×13	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
32	11-21	UTAH	UTAH×13	Kill	Devyn Wiest	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.0
33	11-22	UTAH	UTAH×13	Attack err	Addy Thorington	blk DyBorrah Johnson, Allie Grossenbach	+0.0
34	12-22	UTAH	WYO	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.0
35	12-23	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Suttyn Harris	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
36	12-24	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Suttyn Harris		+0.0
37	13-24	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+0.0
38	14-24	WYO	WYO	Attack err	Allie Grossenbach		+0.0
39	14-25	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Suttyn Harris	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	UTAH	UTAH×4	Kill	Izzy Mogridge		+0.3
2	0-2	UTAH	UTAH×4	Ace	UTAH server	aced Senna Roberts-Navarro	+0.3
3	0-3	UTAH	UTAH×4	Ace	UTAH server	aced Paige Lauterwasser	+0.3
4	0-4	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Maddy Stucky	blk OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH, Kamryn Gibadlo	+0.2
5	1-4	UTAH	WYO	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.2
6	2-4	WYO	WYO	Attack err	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH		+0.3
7	2-5	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
8	3-5	UTAH	WYO	Attack err	Loryn Helgesen		+0.2
9	3-6	WYO	UTAH	Serve err	WYO server		+0.2
10	3-7	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen		+0.2
11	4-7	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+0.2
12	4-8	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
13	5-8	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+0.2
14	5-9	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Loryn Helgesen	set Sierra Grizzle	+0.2
15	6-9	UTAH	WYO	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.2
16	6-10	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.2
17	6-11	UTAH	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH		+0.2
18	7-11	UTAH	WYO	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.1
19	7-12	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
20	8-12	UTAH	WYO×3	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+0.1
21	9-12	WYO	WYO×3	Attack err	Ashley West		+0.2
22	10-12	WYO	WYO×3	Attack err	Kamryn Gibadlo	blk Reagan Sharp, Ruby Jensen	+0.3
23	10-13	WYO	UTAH×4	Serve err	WYO server		+0.2
24	10-14	UTAH	UTAH×4	Ace	UTAH server	aced Senna Roberts-Navarro	+0.3
25	10-15	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Ruby Jensen	blk Ashley West, DyBorrah Johnson	+0.2
26	10-16	UTAH	UTAH×4	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser		+0.1
27	11-16	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Rya Fingerlin	+0.1
28	11-17	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.1
29	12-17	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Maddy Stucky	+0.1
30	12-18	WYO	UTAH	Attack err	Emma Winter	blk DyBorrah Johnson, Kamryn Gibadlo	+0.1
31	13-18	UTAH	WYO×4	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+0.1
32	14-18	WYO	WYO×4	Attack err	Loryn Helgesen		+0.2
33	15-18	WYO	WYO×4	Attack err	Levani Falatea	blk Rylee Heinz, Kristina Bozovic	+0.2
34	16-18	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Kristina Bozovic	set Sara Quigley	+0.4
35	16-19	WYO	UTAH	Kill	DyBorrah Johnson	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.3
36	17-19	UTAH	WYO×3	Serve err	UTAH server		+0.3
37	18-19	WYO	WYO×3	Attack err	Loryn Helgesen		+0.6
38	19-19	WYO	WYO×3	Kill	Kristina Bozovic	set Grace Moss	+0.8
39	19-20	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Izzy Mogridge	+0.6
40	20-20	UTAH	WYO	Attack err	Levani Falatea		+0.6
41	21-20	WYO	WYO	Ace	WYO server	aced Levani Falatea	+1.1
42	21-21	WYO	UTAH	Kill	OMONIGHO PRINCESS ATAMAH	set Isabelle Marco	+0.7
43	22-21	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+1.0
44	22-22	WYO	UTAH×3	Kill	Kamryn Gibadlo	set Isabelle Marco	+0.9
45	22-23	UTAH	UTAH×3	Kill	Ashley West	set Sierra Grizzle	+1.3
46	22-24	UTAH	UTAH×3	Attack err	Reagan Sharp	blk DyBorrah Johnson	+1.1
47	23-24	UTAH	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+0.4
48	23-25	WYO	UTAH	Kill	Ashley West	set Isabelle Marco	+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Wyoming first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.